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61  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2020, 08:20:02 AM
Why it would go up please? I don't understand...

Cos it's BTC.
What do you mean? It's something that goes up with no reason? Till which level?

To 9000, obviously.
Because it would suit you?  Roll Eyes
62  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2020, 01:44:42 AM
Steal money from "professional" traders?

Lawl. What a joke.

Bitcoin traders are basically gamblers who are aren't smart enough to realize that it's the exchanges who make the money. Those with deep enough pockets to manipulate the market may be able to earn short-term more than exchange fees and fiat transfer costs but the real gains are made by long-term growth.

Giving your bitcoins to an exchange to hold for you is just plain stupid. Not your keys, not your coins. The prudent investor avoids the internet, "wallets", passwords, etc. Do you understand dual-key cryptography? Simply  protect your private keys. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. When the day comes that your coins are worth many times what they're worth now, you'll be glad to be able to sweep small addresses.
Exchanges like CME or Bakkt are regulated, so they can't manipulate their market.

What about all the people who bought Bitcoin 2 years ago? How much did they earn as of now?

Those who paid over $30 in 2011 would have been way down when it was worth barely $5 in 2012. Those who paid over $1000 in 2013 would have been way down when it fell below $200 in 2015.

The smart people are the ones with the foresight to hold on to the coins they had while prices fell, and accumulate even more coins while they were cheap.

Even at the rock bottom price of $3.2k a year ago, those who bought for $1000 were doing pretty well. Those who stocked up at $5 or $30, or $200 are more than pleased with their investments.

When bitcoins are valued in 6 digits, these 4 digit prices will be seen as a bargain.
6 digits? you mean 6  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy  Cheesy no?
If you want I can bet 100$ against 50$ of yours that Bitcoin won't be at 6 digits in one year.  Wink
You are seriously still dreaming of lambos in 2020?  Cheesy
I'm observing $82xx as of now...  Grin
63  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 10:00:17 PM
A deflationary currency in an inflationary economic model should increase in value infinitum.
Why Bitcoin would be indefinitely deflationary?  Huh I don't understand.
It was deflationary only because its price and its market were growing. But now that almost everyone on earth has heard of it, there is no reason for growing and being deflationary anymore.

That's NOT what it means to be deflationary.
It is deflationary because the unit number is limited to 21 mil max issued and that number is already smaller and decreasing because of the losses (lost wallet, thrown away hard drive, etc.). Lost bitcoin is not being replaced. In time, total number of accessible units will be declining, hence deflationary.
However, right now it is still mildly inflationary. Currently, btc inflation is about 3.6% on a yearly basis, will drop to less than 1.8% in May.
If it's still "inflationary" as you said, it doesn't explain its growth then.
64  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 09:47:37 PM
Why it would go up please? I don't understand...

Cos it's BTC.
What do you mean? It's something that goes up with no reason? Till which level?

A deflationary currency in an inflationary economic model should increase in value infinitum.
Why Bitcoin would be indefinitely deflationary?  Huh I don't understand.
It was deflationary only because its price and its market were growing. But now that almost everyone on earth has heard of it, there is no reason for growing and being deflationary anymore.
65  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 05:35:03 PM
-snip-
... I would rather just go up from here, but seems like there exists some short term down momentum... how low it will go remains another to be determined matter.
Why it would go up please? I don't understand...

You sound a bit like a troll asking such a terse question, but for now, I will give you some benefit of the doubt, since I don't recognize your user name or having had posted in these here parts, previously.

In the short-term, we cannot always determine exactly BTC's price direction, and there is a bit of an inclination that BTC's price continues to move in the direction of the momentum that it already has until it no longer does.

Regarding BTC's medium to long term price, the pressure remains UP, and you can look at BTC price prediction models and information related to those price models which would include: 1) stock to flow, 2) four-year fractal, 3) metcalfe's law and networking effects pertaining to s-curve exponential adoption and 4) other similar models.  

If you do not understand the meaning of these models and you believe that they are purely theoretical, then likely you need to do more studying of bitcoin.  Surely there is a decent amount of truth that past performance of any asset does not guarantee future performance, and none of the price prediction models that I listed really rely on BTC's past performance, but past performance remains helpful to them in analyzing the models and where we are at in terms of those various price prediction models (looking at either time or price).

Do you have any other models or theories?  Do you believe that BTC prices are going down or going to stay flat in the coming 1-3 years?  How about 5 years?  What do you expect?

 I am frequently asserting that nothing is guaranteed, including bitcoin, but even if the price direction of bitcoin is far from guaranteed, there remains a decent amount of strong evidence that any person that takes bitcoin seriously and puts a bit of their assets into bitcoin, such as 1-10% of their investible assets are likely in a good starting place, even though individuals are going to vary in terms of some of their financial abilities or even assets that they might have available and able to invest in bitcoin.  

In any event, bitcoin seems to be a very asymmetric bet, towards the upside... so good luck to anyone who has NOT yet come around to understanding the asymmetric bet concept... you (lacking in understanding peeps) are going to need it (meaning luck).


Why it would go up please? I don't understand...

Cos it's BTC.
(btw, JJG didn't say that)

You seem to be suffering from the shitcoin syndrome.
Wish you a quick recovery.

True dat!!!   martyMC seems to have been engaging in a bit of a twisting of words, and maybe I should have restrained my lil selfie from taking the bait... I see that with some of his continued stupid-ass posts on the topic that do not really seem to add any value, just ask dumbass questions as if we were in 2011 when hardly anyone understood bitcoin, at all.    We are NO longer in those earlier days, so excuses for ignorance are NOT as acceptable... even though I do accept that there are genuinely a lot of people in the world who are quite susceptible to misinformation and disinformation regarding bitcoin because they do not know enough about the topic.
Cheesy
So you really think there is an unlimited free lunch for Bitcoin holders?
Everyone buying and holding at any price will win free money... indefinitely...
So even the dumbest guy in the world just need to buy bitcoin and sit down to earn money? He just need to wait to beat the market and steal money from professional traders?  Cheesy
What about all the people who bought Bitcoin 2 years ago? How much did they earn as of now?
66  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 09:46:02 AM
What do you mean? It's something that goes up with no reason?
That sounds semi-retarded.
It doesn't go up, for no reason.
Yes, it was my question, for which reason it would go up?

Till which level?
It remains to be seen.
I'd like to think that one of Jupiter's moon's, is the limit. Wink
You think or you hope?
67  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 09:29:36 AM
Why it would go up please? I don't understand...

Cos it's BTC.
What do you mean? It's something that goes up with no reason? Till which level?
68  Economy / Reputation / Re: List of banned participants in the Cryptotalk Campaign on: January 24, 2020, 08:28:49 AM
Quote
 Shocked
Why there is so much people with 0.0 posts before the campaign??  Huh

Had a look, clearly there is some error/bug with that report. For example, it shows I had 0 posts before the campaign which is definitely wrong as I had a couple hundreds before enrolling for it. Furthermore, my account wasn't waken up suddenly before the campaign. I am mentioning this in case it starts counting posts after a time (e.g. 1-2  months) before the start of thr campaign and not since the account creation date.

Quote
Some of them never earn one single merit!
Yahoo should handle that and ban most of them because they are cheating the campaign and spamming the forum

That's true, there are  still a few people that still post stuff that barely make any sense or sometimes are even totally incoherent. Just report them here or to yahoo, I am sure he will take care of them. He has banned a shit ton of people and I am impressed with how clean he has managed to keep this campaign, considering all the spam and alts he has to deal with.
In fact LoyceV found even more participants than suchmoon. He found 551 members who posted this week!! https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5219538.msg53684246#msg53684246
So if Yahoo is still banning people from the campaign, he seems to not ban enough people.
There are too much members with a low merit level.
69  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 24, 2020, 07:35:56 AM
-snip-
... I would rather just go up from here, but seems like there exists some short term down momentum... how low it will go remains another to be determined matter.
Why it would go up please? I don't understand...
70  Economy / Reputation / Re: List of banned participants in the Cryptotalk Campaign on: January 24, 2020, 12:58:07 AM
Quote
 Shocked
Why there is so much people with 0.0 posts before the campaign??  Huh
It's obviously spammers and cheaters with multi-accounts enrolled Angry
Some of them never earn one single merit!
Yahoo should handle that and ban most of them because they are cheating the campaign and spamming the forum
71  Other / Off-topic / Re: Music bands on: November 16, 2019, 05:49:54 PM
Trivium, Queen, AC/DC, Manowar, and now I like Hozier, Rag'N'Bone Man, Paolo Nutini
You didn't read the topic. It's " what is " and not "what are" ....
72  Economy / Services / Re: [FULL] WOLF.BET Signature Campaign - Sr/Hero/Legendary - Up to 0.008 BTC/week! on: September 27, 2019, 09:12:41 PM
How do you know he's participating to this campaign? He doesn't even wear the avatar and the Personal Text of the campaign while it's mandatory. I think it's just a troll who's wearing a signature to impersonate someone else.

No idea what's the dispute between @Vadi2323 & @Royse777 is all about but I hope you guys resolve your issue soon and yes @Royse777 is part of this campaign. He's on a private deal, you can verify that from this thread: [Signature Sold Out] Avatar Available On average 15 to 20 posts DAILY
Latest campaigns:
Wolf.bet - <Private deal>  (Signature)
A private deal? What does it mean? He's paid above the other guys of the campaign ?
73  Economy / Services / Re: [FULL] WOLF.BET Signature Campaign - Sr/Hero/Legendary - Up to 0.008 BTC/week! on: September 27, 2019, 03:59:38 PM
To campaign manager

Dear Zwei,

Please take an action with your campaign participant Royse777.

In that incident, he writes in the thread a question to which I have repeatedly given an answer, ignoring my request not to use me as feed for signature spamming.

Links to his posts:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5187431.msg52561548#msg52561548
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5187431.msg52561686#msg52561686
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5187431.msg52561800#msg52561800

http://archive.md/essFF

Thank you.
Huh How do you know he's participating to this campaign? He doesn't even wear the avatar and the Personal Text of the campaign while it's mandatory. I think it's just a troll who's wearing a signature to impersonate someone else.
74  Economy / Services / Re: [Open] LocalEthereum Signature Campaign (Hero/Legendary) - 2 Open Spots! on: August 19, 2019, 09:39:56 AM
Bitcointalk Profile Name: bitcoin-shark
Bitcointalk  Profile Link: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=843439
Rank: Hero Member
Post Count (incl. this post):3464
SegWit BTC Address: 1AVAipKuerrWxmiDyVDLgVuiCHtx9jtGH

i will change signature and avatar if accepted
You should learn about segwit I think  Cheesy  Cheesy  
75  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] WOLF.BET Signature Campaign - Hero/Legendary - Up to 0.01BTC/week! on: July 24, 2019, 04:27:49 PM
Only 1 spot left, guess Zwei doesn't like me Sad Sad

He doesn't like me either. But won't hold it against him. There are other posters here with a higher number of merits earned. Whether I am hired here or not, I just wish this campaign succeeds, the more successful these campaigns become, the more number of these campaigns will get hosted.

i think he doesn't choose based on how many merits you get but he chooses based on your post because if you see at the spreadsheet there are a few people that don't meet criteria earned 5 merits on last 120 days
I agree with you, and there are not "few" people that don't meet the criteria, but many.
And I don't see where it's written that it's just a so-called "extra requirement" and the BM could accept members on his own decision.
I wonder if WOLF.BET is aware of that.

Rules & Requirements:

  • Must wear Signature, Avatar & Personal Text.
  • A maximum of 50 constructive posts each week will be counted and paid for.
  • Must make a minimum of 15 posts each week to qualify for payment.
  • 10 posts per week must be in the gambling section.
  • Posts must be in proper English and on topic.
  • Posts must be at least 150 characters long.
  • You need to have earned at least a minimum of 5 Merit in the last 120 days to join this campaign.
  • Users not posting enough to qualify for weekly pay can be removed with no warning.
  • Do not participate in any other Campaign and do not change your Signature, Avatar or Personal Text during your stay.
  • No alt accounts allowed (If you are found to be enrolling Alts you will be removed without receiving any payment).
  • If you have legitimate negative feedback you will not be accepted.
  • Getting legitimate negative trust or spamming will cause you to be removed with no warning and no payment.
  • Post bursting is not allowed.
  • Posts in Local Boards, Games & Rounds, Off-topic, Lending, Auctions, Micro Earnings, Politics & Society, Beginners & Help, Archival, Signature Campaigns threads, or Spam Mega Threads will not count.
  • I reserve the right to remove anyone, for any reason from the campaign.
  • I reserve the right to change the rules or pay rates for new rounds.
  • Post cutoff is at 23:59:59 GMT+1 on Tuesday. Any posts made after that will count towards next week.
  • Your payment will be sent out directly to your BTC address on Wednesday/Thursday.
  • Each Round will run from Wednesday to Tuesday.


76  Other / Archival / - on: July 24, 2019, 04:10:18 PM
deleted





PT & S: PoSToken - First PoS Token|Free Airdrop|No ICO
77  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: LTC halving on: July 16, 2019, 07:13:14 PM
Halving will have a big influence on Litecoin prices, therefore this is a very good opportunity for you if you want to invest in Litecoin.
If I remember correctly the last halving Litecoin did not do much for a while, price-wise, etc. Soon after halving, as an example of the dates below.

August 2015, using the 8/31/15 date as to when Litecoin Halved, (from what I can tell) from the www.coinmarketcap.com site.

The end of August 2015 Litecoin was $3.81 USD.

From that date of 8/30/15 till say 3/1/17 the price was $3.80 USD.

That is almost exactly 1.5 years later, way after the halving!

Thus nothing really happened from the halving of any note, in that it almost exactly the same price, then the price went up, after that point in time!

So, I'd prepare for the same 'silliness' this time around. Could be whatever Litecoin price we have today is the same as the Litecoin price we will have 1.5 years from now.

Brad
Well I think you're wrong because you forget they're implementing Mimble Wimble with the Beam team above LTC!
I mentioned that they need to do that asap in a previous post on here. LTC Foundation has, IMHO, in the past 'tended' to kinda sit on their laurels and twiddle thumbs on

getting stuff like new versions of Litecoin Core out, in any quick manner. I hope you are correct, but they usually have a pretty big time to get it in lag, (with little followup IMHO in

between) from when they announce a protocol to when they get a protocol out. The exception was the seq witness compromise. So again, they step it up and get this out say, in the

next month or so and I'm good.

Brad
Thank you for your answer bro very informative!  Smiley
When you talk about "seq witness" you mean segwit (Segregated Witness) I suppose...
78  Economy / Services / Re: Windice.io Signature Campaign(FULL) on: July 06, 2019, 10:04:31 AM
Btctalk name: martyMC
Link to profile: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1077908
Rank: Member
Current post count: 83
Windice username
Wear appropriate signature
Wear avatar
79  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: LTC halving on: July 02, 2019, 06:14:35 PM
Halving will have a big influence on Litecoin prices, therefore this is a very good opportunity for you if you want to invest in Litecoin.

If I remember correctly the last halving Litecoin did not do much for a while, price-wise, etc. Soon after halving, as an example of the dates below.

August 2015, using the 8/31/15 date as to when Litecoin Halved, (from what I can tell) from the www.coinmarketcap.com site.

The end of August 2015 Litecoin was $3.81 USD.

From that date of 8/30/15 till say 3/1/17 the price was $3.80 USD.

That is almost exactly 1.5 years later, way after the halving!

Thus nothing really happened from the halving of any note, in that it almost exactly the same price, then the price went up, after that point in time!

So, I'd prepare for the same 'silliness' this time around. Could be whatever Litecoin price we have today is the same as the Litecoin price we will have 1.5 years from now.

Brad

Well I think you're wrong because you forget they're implementing Mimble Wimble with the Beam team above LTC!
80  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: JP Morgan introduces Zether protocol on: June 18, 2019, 09:20:00 PM
Any news of the Jp Morgan coin and zether protocol?
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