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1  Economy / Services / Re: Increase Your Dropbox Storage (up to 18 GB) - Special Offer!!! on: March 18, 2012, 06:45:37 PM
Just got my 16 gigs, everything worked out as promised.  A++ would do business again etc. blah blah.  Pretty sweet deal if you ask me.  For some reason my other referral from before didn't count towards the maximum so now I have 18.2 gigs total.
2  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: ./CLInfo only shows CPU! on: August 27, 2011, 09:17:00 PM
Thanks for your reply, but I've already done those a million times :/

Hello,

make sure that you have extracted the SDK License.
(I think this was like, cd /; tar xvf /path/to/amdsdk/icd-registration.tgz)

Code:
/etc/OpenCL/vendors $ ls
atiocl32.icd  atiocl64.icd  nvidia.icd

And you have to check if you added the SDK Variables to your enviromnent,
I just added /opt/AMD-APP-SDK-v2.4-lnx64/lib/x86_64 to my /etc/ld.so.conf.
Seems to work too. (read the pdfs in the doc folder of the sdk if in doubt)


My .bashrc:

Code:
export LD_LIBRARY_PATH=/opt/ati-stream-sdk-v2.1-lnx64/lib/x86_64:$LD_LIBRARY_PATH
export ATISTREAMSDKROOT=/opt/ati-stream-sdk-v2.1-lnx64
export ATISTREAMSDKSAMPLESROOT=/opt/ati-stream-sdk-v2.1-lnx64
3  Bitcoin / Mining support / ./CLInfo only shows CPU! on: August 24, 2011, 12:35:15 AM
I feel like this is a common issue, and I have had this in the past, but I just installed a new distro and I have no idea how to fix it.  I have installed Catalyst 11.8 from the ATI website and I'm using SDK 2.1.  I've searched for a while on Google, the forums, and my head, but to no avail.  SOS!
4  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Getting m0mchill-poclbm to compile - mixed vector/scalar operation? on: August 23, 2011, 10:11:03 PM
The error that I get is:
Build on <pyopencl.Device 'AMD Phenom(tm) II X6 1055T Processor' at 0x10d4380>:

/tmp/OCLWr29ew.cl(45): error: mixed vector-scalar operation not allowed unless
          up-convertable(scalar-type=>vector-element-type)
     nonce = base + get_global_id(0) + (uint2)(0, 0x80000000U);
                                       ^

1 error detected in the compilation of "/tmp/OCLWr29ew.cl".


Any idea how I can fix this?



Hey, I'm getting the same error.  Did you figure it out?
5  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Comic: Bank Scam, 2 versions of the same story on: August 10, 2011, 07:08:59 PM
I don't know what ass ants are, but I sure as hell don't want anything to do with them.
6  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: which of these 2 pools should I choose? on: August 10, 2011, 02:20:02 AM
mineco.in has 0% fee and they even give you the transaction fees made off each block.  They use PPLNS so you don't get shafted by pool hoppers like you do on proportional pools, and you lose a little bit on SMPPS if you're on a bad streak since they can't pay you more than they have, so try not to use SMPPS if you are not mining 24/7.
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Knock Knock? on: August 10, 2011, 02:12:43 AM
My bitcoins are completely secure. They are encrypted with an unbreakable password. They are backed up in many places globally. The only way to take my bitcoins would be under duress and even then you would only get my small stash. Nothing comes even close to the security of bitcoins.

However, an attacker only has to install a small program on your computer that waits for you to unencrypt your wallet (since you eventually have to use it for it to mean anything) to steal your private key then.
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: Are we about to witness something epic? on: August 09, 2011, 11:24:04 PM
EVEN I THOUGHT BITCOIN WAS DEAD!!



bitcoin works on faith and I think a little faith is being restored. That guy who made the $120,000 investment made a great investment.

I would feel a little safer if it was a gradual increase after we were all sure the decline was over, it still feels we could slip back down any minute Undecided

the investor will likely just sell back out if he see's he hasn't kicked off a rally, The fear of going through 10 then free falling to 5's again will be on his mind. its on ficken mine  Grin

Agreed, it's still far from the $15 range we were seeing just a week or two ago.

I'd love for it to shoot up again, but you guys are insane, it goes down 6-8 bucks over a week then comes back 5 and you think it's rallying.

it's unhealthy thinking



+1

I think it's just as likely to drop back down again, especially since this jump wasn't accompanied by any good news, promotion, or anything new at all.  Hash rates continue to fall and all the press has been super negative.  MyBitcoin and the Bitcoin Police have only brought up more sketchiness and mistrust.  I'm still sticking by my prediction that it will bottom out around $5-6 within the next month or so.  Unfortunately, I can also think of scenarios where it crashes below $1 too... but I'll stay optimistic for now.

It's funny how hackers flooding the market with 75K coins from mybitcoin.com is called a "crash". When someone with 150k buys up the market it's not a rally it's "temporary blip".


It's because the "crash" wasn't caused by 75k coins, but by the loss of faith in the currency by everyone who heard the news.  The stolen coins may have precipitated the sell-off, but everyone responded based on their own feelings and readings of the fundamentals.


Hash rates have nothing to do with anything. Bitcoin works just as well at 1.5k ghash as it does at 15k ghash.


Yes, but my point is that miners respond to the prices, and turn off their rigs when it stops being profitable for them.


Bad press? You heard the press on the USD? Do you still use USD? Have you moved all your savings out of USD? Do you still get paid in USD?


Yes, because the USD is backed by the US government, which despite the recent news is still the world's only superpower.  Bitcoin is backed by the faith of anonymous people on the internet.


People use Bitcoins as a currency. What that currency trades for on the open market doesn't mean jack squat. Sellers don't sell at a fixed BTC price. They sell at a fixed USD price. Bitcoins could be worth 10 cents and it doesn't change how these transactions work. When you go buy $50 worth of bitcoins to buy that bong you've had your eye on, does it really matter if you buy 100 bitcoins with that $50 or 2 bitcoins? The buyer/seller don't really care.

Trust me they're not nearly as important as they'd tell you they are. And the USD value of BTC isn't nearly as important as people tell you it is.

Except that only works if you can convert between USD/BTC immediately.  Otherwise, the price and volatility matter tremendously.  If I can lose 20-30% of the value of a transaction between the time I get one confirmation and completing the trade on Mt. Gox, then fuck yeah it matters, since I gotta pay the bills in fiat.


In fact, it isn't important at all. If Bitcoins magically stayed at $2 for the next 10 years it would work just fine. People mine at a loss at various folding projects, lots of people don't pay for electricity, there'd be plenty of miners still cranking away.

Yes, but people generally donate computing time for worthy causes.  They want to see their stats increase for a reason, and if BTC fails and only a few geeks use it for shits and giggles then that's not a good reason.

However, you're right that if it stayed at $2 it would be great.  Nobody is going to assume the risk of accepting BTC with the volatility this high.  Right now it's riskier than investing in a penny stock and it's just a fun game for naive geeks to play with.


The people who care are the miners, investors, day traders, get rich quick crew. None of those people are needed. 80% of miners could fuck off and it would barely be a blip in the community. An 80% exodus would take 2-3 weeks plenty of time for difficulty to adjust. Even if there was a span where transactions took 15 minutes instead of 5 to confirm? Big deal. Eventually it adjusts and things are back to normal.


The miners are absolutely essential to the success of BTC.  Once it drops low enough, such as your 80% scenario, the integrity of the network is put in jeopardy and double-spend attacks etc. become much more of a threat.  Not to mention, a quick crash could lead to an instant exodus of miners which could leave the remaining miners unable to reach the next difficulty adjustment like we see with Namecoin.

No more trading bots? Sign me up for that.

Trading bots are important for liquidity and stability, two things we absolutely need if we want to start the transition from fiat --> BTC in any measurable amounts.

Get rid of the drama queens, the pumper and dumpers, get rich quick crew, and most of the cancer of the bitcoin community is gone.

I see you come from /b/ ಠ_ಠ
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: Stock market crash - 5 % overall on: August 09, 2011, 07:51:52 PM
The stock market is a rigged game. Every week a portion of millions of paychecks goes into the market. It has no choice but to go up.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vy5SckoCX9s
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: investment management or club on: August 09, 2011, 07:44:26 PM
Intersting; I don't have much experience in this but I would definitely want to learn more if this ever gets set up.
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why are we letting bitcoin fall into the floating fiat currency trap? on: August 09, 2011, 06:14:31 PM
3) Every block that is mined reduces the available supply, which in turn provides higher value. (For bitcoin itself, not compared to fiat currencies.)

I don't get this one; doesn't each block introduce 50 new BTC every 10 minutes?
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: Are we about to witness something epic? on: August 09, 2011, 06:12:27 PM
EVEN I THOUGHT BITCOIN WAS DEAD!!



bitcoin works on faith and I think a little faith is being restored. That guy who made the $120,000 investment made a great investment.

I would feel a little safer if it was a gradual increase after we were all sure the decline was over, it still feels we could slip back down any minute Undecided

the investor will likely just sell back out if he see's he hasn't kicked off a rally, The fear of going through 10 then free falling to 5's again will be on his mind. its on ficken mine  Grin

Agreed, it's still far from the $15 range we were seeing just a week or two ago.

I'd love for it to shoot up again, but you guys are insane, it goes down 6-8 bucks over a week then comes back 5 and you think it's rallying.

it's unhealthy thinking



+1

I think it's just as likely to drop back down again, especially since this jump wasn't accompanied by any good news, promotion, or anything new at all.  Hash rates continue to fall and all the press has been super negative.  MyBitcoin and the Bitcoin Police have only brought up more sketchiness and mistrust.  I'm still sticking by my prediction that it will bottom out around $5-6 within the next month or so.  Unfortunately, I can also think of scenarios where it crashes below $1 too... but I'll stay optimistic for now.
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: Where is the Monday rally? on: August 09, 2011, 01:24:32 PM
Rebecca Black says the rally is on Friday.  Friday, Friday.

hahahaha that's the day after thursday.

Fuck both of you guys, now it's going to be stuck in my head all day.  And it's not even FRIDAY.
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Same old song and dance. on: August 08, 2011, 05:26:53 PM
I think the crash is whats needed for now. I love bitcoin and what it's about, but I do think it's far from ready for the general public. I think we need to loose some of these greedy fookers and in it for a quick buck dudes so the price can stabilize and the community can take bitcoin to the next level. And by the next level i mean secure wallets, full safe & secure banking system, merchant services etc.

Why can't this be done now?  Why does the market need to crash so low that all interest is lost?  BTC has been around for a while now, but the first time it starts to gain any interest everything goes to hell in a handbasket.  With the bubble and the long slow steady decline, all interest will be lost, and you will be lucky to get any back.  BTC is already a joke, hoping for a severe crash to get rid of any and all interest for good is pretty boneheaded. 

This is very true; greed is the best motivator to get talent and brains involved in a project like this.  The increased interest and prices should've brought in people who would make secure wallets, exchanges, POS/merchant systems, etc., and ostensibly it did, but as it turns out they were mostly frauds (or incompetent at best) out to make a quick buck off of our naïveté.  I'm hoping for the best too, but the crash definitely wasn't a good thing.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will never reach $20 again on: August 08, 2011, 04:52:53 PM
Aren't those two different, somewhat contradictory points.  The first guy is implying the price should go up, the second is implying it should go down...

They are different, but not contradictory.

The first post was about how price is related to trading volumes, and that for this volume of trading the price should be around $5.

The second was about how price was related to mining, and how current mining hardware supports a price level of about $5 at the minimum (he also says that's the maximum, but whatever).

My point was just that both these people decided on ~$5 as the bottom using different approaches, and that plus the understanding that Bitcoin is not a company stock but a fundamentally different form of currency leads me to agree that is where we will bottom out.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will never reach $20 again on: August 08, 2011, 01:59:18 AM
I won't start buying before $6.00. I would rather miss the whole thing and forget about bitcoins all together then buy above that price or EVER chase it higher. But that's just me. When/if I will start buying, I know already the whole plan, which I might fine tune as we go along, but I won't ever go outside my comfort zone. I know exactly how much I will buy, when, how much it will cost me and when I will/might sell. There isn't anyone who could influence me in a way that I would change my plan drastically. I would/will still read what people are saying but not react on it unless the price/volume tells me so. That's how I made money in the past and will do so in the future.


When bitcoin was $1 the daily trade volume (on MtGox) was around $10k USD on low days and $50k USD on strong days.  By the time daily volume was above $100k+ on average, price was above $5 and on its way to $10 (volume was growing to a million).

Unless we see a massive decrease in daily trade volume from the current $500k-$1m, down to under $100k, I'd be very suprised to see prices below $5.

Someone made a great post earlier and independently came to the same point as you and showed his work to boot:

Bitcoin will currently continue to lower in value as long as the following is satisfied:
- Miners can sell the BTC they make for more than they can easily invest it for (>5% annual, maybe >2.5% in the current economic atmosphere)
- The global economy is a downfall and people are looking to liquidate assets while they are still worth something.
- The BTC surplus as a result of high speed mining and immediate resale of mined BTC continues, that is, there is a low demand for BTC while the number of sellers remains high.

Eventually a point must be reached at which the miners are no longer willing to sell any BTC and an equilibrium must be established.  Where is this?

Average price of power in the US: 0.1109$ / KWh (2.66$ USD/day)
Typical hash rate/KWh: 1,750 MH/s (AMD 58xx/69xx cards), or 0.84 BTC/day
Average amount of time to mine 1BTC at this hash rate: 1.19 days
Total cost/BTC: 3.16$ USD

Let's looks at the current price of BTC, 7.5$ USD or so.  This represents an insane 99% profit after addressing for power.  Of course, hardware must be factored in here too, and it is assumed that at the end of the year most miners will have spent more on hardware than on power.  How much more?  A rig that can mine 1750 MH/s probably costs in the vicinity of 1000-1300$ USD.  The value of the hardware probably declines by about 30% each year.

Looking at each miner per year, let's say the rig costs 1200$ USD and by the end of the year just 840$ USD from devaluation.  The bitcoin miner must make 360$ to recoup this loss.  This makes our math easy, because it's clear than that he or she must make at the very least about 1.00$ per day.  We also know that we owe 2.66$/day of electricity, or about 971$ per year.  We mine 6.30$ USD a day (0.84 BTC), so our ROI (return on investment) is still 72% percent.  This is an enormous and unsustainable value.

Altogether, the cost of mining with this 1,750MH/s rig is 1330.90$ USD per year.

We need to make all this back plus at least 5% for ourselves.  That's about 1400$ that we'd need to make that year, to make this worthwhile.  That would mean we'd have to be mining 3.84$ USD of BTC a day, or that the value of BTC would have to be 4.57$ USD.

What matters is not the amount of BTC being mined each day or the difficulty or whatever.  What matters is the USD equivalents of whatever is being mined per day.  If the USD equivalent is less than the end of the year hardware costs and power costs plus a small 5% or so share, no one will mine, period, and the price must rise.  If the USD equivalent is more than the end of the year hardware costs and power costs plus a small 5% or so share, everyone will mine and the price must fall.

The current price seems to be unsustainable, as there is no reason to invest anywhere else if BTC mining returns such insane amounts.  For people investing in mining rigs there is another loss fear in case the market collapses and you lose the amount you spent on electricity and the devaluation of your hardware, but there is no way that price is an additional 65%.  There are no 70% junk bonds; at best it represents an additional maximum of 5%.

ASIC mining/other highly targeted hardware may not change this much because the resale value of something that can only mine BTC will be worth dickall in the event of the BTC market collapsing and must be purchased cautiously at the present time.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: What's wrong with this picture? on: August 08, 2011, 01:55:36 AM
US dollar is a mess, euro is a mess, the whole fiat world is a mess.
And yet bitcoin is in a continuous downward spiral?  Give me a break...

It's completely unrelated; Bitcoin is still way too small, untested, and "unsafe" for normal people to use.  It's like asking why WOW gold isn't reacting to the recent financial crises.
True, bitcoin is too small, young, and somewhat "untested", but there's no comparison between bitcoin and WOW gold.

Obviously they are completely different, but from the mainstream financial world's point of view there is no difference.  Actually, there is; Blizzard is a huge corporation that has time-tested servers running the world's largest MMORPG for years, while Bitcoin is an underground P2P network with a history of repeated thefts, security breaches, scams, black markets, illegal drugs, gambling, and crazy bubbles/speculation/market manipulation.

Its valuation should follow the direction of physical gold and silver, not in the opposite direction.

It "should" only if people treat it similarly, but while the ideas are similar, the trust placed in them by the market are not.  I could draw a piece of modern art by throwing paint on a piece of paper, and it would be impossible to recreate (since only the original is worth anything), rare, stored/transported relatively easy, etc., but I couldn't sell it for the billions a real masterpiece is worth until everyone else agrees.  Actually the art trade is very similar to precious metals/Bitcoin as they also have no value until people say they do.  (Yes, art can be used for decoration and gold can be used for electronics, but we have more than enough gold/art for those needs.)

Don't get me wrong, I am a full supporter of Bitcoins, I believe it is brilliant/revolutionary, and I own some myself, but I think we have to be a little more realistic and not start comparing it to the worlds' major reserve currencies right off the bat...
18  Economy / Goods / Re: WTS Groupon for Wok Chinese Seafood Restaurant in Philadelphia (good for booze!) on: August 08, 2011, 01:23:49 AM
Bump! Price now 2 BTC...
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: lol that is one sharp spike on: August 08, 2011, 01:17:18 AM
I didn't take into account the x factor haha.

WILDCARD BITCHES

20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Knock Knock? on: August 08, 2011, 01:15:28 AM
I vote for a nice warm and sandy tropical island. And the party should definitely include a drunken orgy, with at least 3 gorgeous chicks per one guy.

Holy shit that's gonna be a looooot of chicks... Roll Eyes
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