It's a win, no worries

First 2 bets are hit!

Waiting for the last 2 matches

[CS:GO] My picks for today:

Espada - NaVi Junior: MY PREDICTION

Espada is going to face NAVI Junior in the match of SECTOR: MOSTBET Season 3 on 14th of May 2020. Espada are ranked 44, while NAVI Junior have a rank of 85. Espada are considered heavy favourites by the bookmakers. NAVI Junior is worse ranked (#85), they have won their last game against LDLC, and have 3 victories in last five matches played. Espada best maps are Train and Dust2, with 75% and 67% win rate respectively. Their first pick in 45% of the cases is Dust2, leaving Vertigo as a first ban (70%). NAVI Junior favours Dust2 as their first pick with 46%. In 85% of times they ban Nuke. Espada have a win rate of 67% on Dust2, while their worst map is Vertigo with a win percentage of 0. NAVI Junior are at their best on Train — a win rate of 100%. However, they really struggle at Nuke with a success of just 0. NAVI Junior usually win 9.88 rounds in their losses on average. Patsi is arguably the best player in Espada at the moment with 0.68 kills per round and an impact of 1.06. His KAST is 70.5%, and he is showing a Rating 2.0 of 1.07. His most dangerous rival in NAVI Junior is B1T. He provides 0.72 kills per round on average, has an IMPACT of 1.23, and Rating 2.0 of 1.15. I believe Espada will win if everything goes according to their plans. But i think NaVi junior can surprise us with a map. Odds on their handicap are higher then on Espada ML.

Heretics - G2: MY PREDICTION

Coming into this match, G2 is the obvious favourite here. Anything other than that, with the likes of KennyS, Nexa, and huNter, would be pretty shocking. However, they shouldn’t underestimate their opponents here. Heretics packs quite the punch in terms of experience and talent. KioShiMa and Lucky are still going strong, but Maka is the one delivering the main fragging potential with outright ridiculous numbers. Against North, the 22-year-old Frenchmen had 61 kills across two maps, and 1.63 HLTV score. If that’s not ridiculous, then I don’t know what is… Unfortunately, a big part of Heretics’ surprising win against North comes down to the fact jumpy had to replace kjaerbye. I’m not trying to belittle Maka’s excellent gameplay, I’m just saying that he wouldn’t get the chance to snowball that much if kjaerbye was on the server. As far as our G2 vs. Heretics predictions are concerned, there’s really no need to overcomplicate things. KennyS is in fine form, and the rest of his teammates are rock solid too. They shouldn’t have any absentees today, and despite the fact we’re looking at an online match here, G2 should cruise to victory. G2 are the heavy favorites here, and there’s no way Heretics mess up their plans… not even if we see another brilliant performance by Maka. Heretics defeated Dignitas, ENCE, and Complexity, but in my books that’s just not enough to be a potent opponent against G2. True, one of the best French teams had its ups and downs on this event, but with KennyS showing off superb form in the last few matches, there’s little kioShiMa and the boys will be able to do today. However, odds on G2 ML are pretty low, and I do believe Heretics showed us that they can win vs big teams, hopefully they can take a map here, im positive about that.

GL!

[DOTA 2] OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online is entering day 2 with some amazing matches. On day 1 we saw some surprises, but some teams extended their winning streaks (Team Secret, FlyToMoon) too. Here are my picks for Day 2.

HellRaisers - FlyToMoon: MY PREDICTION
Alliance - ViKin.gg: MY PREDICTION
Ninjas in Pyjamas - Virtus Pro: MY PREDICTION
Team Liquid - Team Spirit: MY PREDICTION

On the day 1 we saw FlyToMoon beat Vikin.gg with a 2-1 score. It looked like FTM had the win in their pocket after the 2nd map, but Vikin.gg managed to return back into the game and even the series. On the other side HellRaisers were demolished by 2x TI champions OG with MidOne and Ceb in their lineup. I’m feeling like HellRaisers dropped in their form quite heavily, and their match history shows that. They have only 1 win in the last 5 matches, while FlyToMoon is on an amazing winning streak. 5 wins out of 5 last matches. FTM’s carry Iceberg played amazingly on Day 1, and I expect him to repeat his performance on Day 2. Even though HellRaisers are sportsbooks favourites, I would go here with FTM win. They have all that it takes. However, in their last clash, HellRaisers won the match 2-0. Now 19 days later, it’s maybe the time for revenge.

Vikin.gg looked pretty good lately, but on the day 1 of this event, they were shut down by the FlyToMoon. Alliance still didn’t play any matches in this league, as this will be their opening match. Alliance are big favourites here, but I worried about their strength currently as they still didn’t find a long term solution on the position 5. I don’t think SoNNeikO is the right solution, due to possible communication issues. Alliance has lately lost to Team Liquid and VP.Prodigy, while Vikin.gg has some decent wins vs tier 2 EU / CIS teams. Yes, Alliance are favourites here, but Vikin.gg will be a big threat to them, as they surely can take a map here. They can fight top EU teams for sure. Nice bet with amazing odds.

Ninjas In Pyjamas had an amazing league opening on Wednesday. They were underdog vs Team Liquid and they managed to take the series with 2-1. Such a nice confidence boost for them. On the other side, VirtusPro is looking lost lately, as they can’t find their pace vs top tier teams. They have lost vs Team Liquid and Team Secret twice in the last days, without taking a map. Yes, NiP is not a top EU team yet, but surely they have capacity for it. I do think NiP can surprise VP too, as they did with Team Liquid yesterday. VP is on a slight knock down, as they were again destroyed by Team Secret yesterday. That’s a chance for NiP. VP are sportsbooks favourite, NiP are underdogs here, but I believe they can surely take a map here. Handicap is a good bet here.

Team Liquid somehow dropped their first match in this league to NiP. They opened it with a strong 1-0 lead, but in the next 2 games they fell apart. In the last 5 matches, Team Liquid has only 2 wins and 3 losses. Out of those 2 wins, one win was 2-0 vs VirtusPro and another one was 2-1 win over Alliance. From their win vs VirtusPro we can draw some conclusions that they are comfortable by playing CIS teams and beating them (not including VP.P of course). Team Spirit is dropping in form, they’ve replaced one player and now they have 0LD_A on position 3. Did he adapt already? I don’t think so. Their results lately are disastrous, as they have only 1 win in their last 5 matches, and that was a win over currently very weak Team Unique. I do think Spirit has quality carry players with a lot of potential, but they need stability. Liquid is a big favourite here, but odds on Liquid’s win are so low. I do think there is a decent chance that Liquid can 2-0 Spirit. I would say chances for that are 60%, and if we check out those -1.5 handicap odds on Liquid, it turns out it is worth a risk.

GL!

[CS:GO] ESL One: Road to Rio EU

Astralis - G2: BetOnBit

Odds suck tho, bigger bet on Astralis ML!

[DOTA 2] WePlay Pushka League just ended with Team Secret triumphing, and there is no time for the rest. OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online is starting with the wednesday with the best teams from Europe and CIS region. Let’s analyze day 1.

OG - HellRaisers: BetOnBit
ViKin.gg - flytomoon: BetOnBit
Team Secret - Virtus Pro: BetOnBit
Team Liquid - Ninjas in Pyjamas: BetOnBit

Day 1 will start with 2x TI champions facing HellRaisers, an up and coming CIS team. The main question here is, who will play for OG? Will Topson finally return to the main lineup and will he play in this tourney? There are some indications that he is back, but let’s wait for the official confirmations, which will most probably be a few hours before their match starts. HellRaisers had a good 5-1 run in their WePlay Pushka League group, but they showed a lot of weakness in the playoffs, losing to NiP and VirtusPro. All the way around, NoTail’s team is a way better squad, and even if they had a disastrous performance in WePlay Pushka League, I would give them advantage any day of the week, especially vs HellRaisers. Their last match 28 days ago was won by OG with 2-0.

In the last 1 month, those two teams played 2 times and both times Vikin.gg came out victorious. Since then, I would say FlyToMoon improved a lot. Even though they didn’t manage to grab their playoff spot in the WePlay Pushka league, they showed some amazing games and decent performance. Now, they are on a 5 match winning streak and they have beaten Spirit, B8, VirtusPro, Team Empire and other teams in various tournaments. How they will prepare for their first European challenge in a while, we will see. I think this will be a close match, and I give a slight edge to FlyToMoon. Vikin.gg is an amazing squad with a lot of potential, I just like the FTM lineup better on the paper.

Team Secret just won the WePlay Pushka League and $70.000 check. A day after, they are playing in a new league already. Even though all matches are online now, the schedule is so stacked, teams don’t have time to rest and their schedules are busy. Can VirtusPro use this situation? Maybe they can. I would say VirtusPro are the top 3-4 teams in Europe right now, but sometimes they have big drops in their performance, for example like in their last match vs Liquid in the WePlay Pushka league playoffs. Solo is a good captain and drafted, NoOne can carry games, but it’s questionable if they will be able to do it vs Secret today. Secret is a big favourite here and a safe bet, but I do believe in VirtusPro. I think there is a small to no chance that VirtusPro takes the match, but there is a chance for VirtusPro to take the map here. Give a good carry hero to NoOne and he will make wonders. Otherwise, Secret are big big favourites. Team Secret ML is a good bet in case you can get decent odds.

After seeing Team Liquid in the WePlay Pushka playoffs, their victory should be logical here. But NiP is not a bad team and they showed already that they can beat Liquid. Their last match was 18 days ago and NiP celebrated with a 2-0. Team Liquid was impressive in the WePlay Pushka playoffs, and they surely found their pace and plays. This match is Europe vs Europe, and I do think NiP has a chance to take a map, but overall favourites for me are Team Liquid. In the last 5 matches Liquid has 3 wins and 2 losses. 2 of those losses are Team Secret and VP.Prodigy, while surprisingly enough they have beaten VirtusPro 2 times. Sadly enough for NiP, they are looking to be in some sort of crysis, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches. Favourites here to take the match vs Team Liquid, and they should be able to do it.

All matches and bets are very risky, especially Secret vs VP bet, be careful about that.

GL!

And another 1.35 favourite drops the match.

Liquid 0-2

[CS:GO] 

Heretics - North: BetOnBit

Small bet on North today. They are looking better without kjaerbye then with him lol. Hopefully we see another surprise today as North with Jumpy still didn't lose a match.

[DOTA 2] WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 is coming to an end. 2 more matches remaining. Tuesday is the final day of the league and we have to see lower bracket finals and grand finals yet. Let’s check out 3 teams that remained.

VP.Prodigy - Team Liquid: BetOnBit

Monday was very interesting in the WePlay Pushka league. We saw Team Liquid crushing their 2 opponents in the lower bracket of the tournament. After they dropped to the lower bracket by losing to Team Secret, Liquid played 2 very strong matches in one day. They beat Alliance 2-1, and Virtus.Pro 2-0. Their Monday performance was impeccable. I was more impressed with their match vs Virtus.Pro than vs Alliance. They just crushed Virtus.Pro in both maps in under 40 minutes. Virtus.Pro looked like a tier 3 team vs Team Liquid, making mistakes and weird moves / rotations. The Team Liquid from ESL One LA Online and the Team Liquid from WePlay Pushka league are two different teams. Currently, Liquid looks like one of the strongest European teams. VP.Prodigy after their wins vs Alliance and NiP in the upper bracket, and their loss to Team Secret, are facing another strong European team. This will be a very interesting match, and it will be interesting to see if VP.Prodigy can pull off a miracle vs Team Liquid, or even take a map against them. Team Liquid are very big favourites here, and odds on their match win are decent. When you watch Liquid’s last two matches, there is no doubt on who to bet here. Liquid must win this. I'm gonna risk with 3 maps. Much safer pick is Liquid ML, if you find decent odds.

Potential winner: Team Secret

Whoever wins the match between VP.Prodigy and Team Liquid, will be put to the hardest test yet. Team Secret awaits them in the grand finals. The grand finals will be played in best of 5 series. Team Secret had an almost perfect tournament run. But they lost one match vs one team in the group stage. And that team was Team Liquid. Yes, Team Liquid is the only team in this tournament who managed to beat Team Secret. Secret ended their group stage run with 5 wins and 1 loss, and in the playoffs they rolled over their competition 2-0 vs Natus Vincere, 2-0 vs Team Liquid and 2-0 vs VP.Prodigy. I think whoever will face Team Secret in the grand finals will lose. However I do think Team Liquid is the only team in this tournament who can beat Team Secret (according to previous match statistics), so hopefully they will make this match interesting. Another thing is that grand finals are best of 5, which favours Team Secret even more. Winner of this match will win a big check with $70.000.

My twitter: rand1919

All favourites lost today, it's time for Secret now to lose the game 

[DOTA 2] Lower Bracket R3 WePlay Pushka League

Virtus Pro - Team Liquid: VP ML, 1.53 @ BetOnBit

[DOTA 2] WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 is entering its final phase. 5 matches remaining until we will crown first Pushka league champion. After a lot of surprises and underdogs performing well, is it time for the favourites to take over? Let’s see.

Team Liquid - Alliance: Alliance ML, 2.15 @ BetOnBit
VP.Prodigy - Team Secret: Team Secret -1.5, 1.89 @ BetOnBit

Both teams have surprised us in this tournament, especially Team Liquid. They looked awful at ESL One LA Online, but they came back in this tournament and have some showed amazing plays and matches. After their 3rd place in the EU group and amazing win vs Virtus.Pro in round 1 of the playoffs, now is the time to face Alliance. Alliance and Liquid faced each other in the group stage already where Alliance celebrated a 2-1 win. Alliance dominated the EU group by beating all teams except Team Secret. In round 1 of the playoffs they got surprised by VP.Prodigy. In the lower bracket they’ve crushed Natus Vincere to advance on. In their last 2 matches, Alliance hasn’t lost vs Team Liquid, counting the last 2 months. They have already beat Liquid in the group stage, and I don’t see any reason why they couldn’t do it again. Liquid are the sportsbooks favourites, but that’s good for Alliance bettors. Nice odds on Alliance win. It will be a close match, but Alliance has a strong chance.

What makes Team Secret so special and one of the best teams in the world? It has to be Puppey, their captain and drafter. Their drafts are impeccable, and if they fall short draft wise, they will make up for it in game. Their rotations, team fights and understanding of the game makes them the biggest favourites to take this tournament. They have had almost a perfect tournament run. Their loss vs Team Liquid in the group stage didn’t affect them. They topped their group with 5 wins and 1 loss, but in the playoffs they are looking even better. 2-0 vs VirtusPro and 2-0 vs Team Liquid in the playoffs brought them to the upper bracket finals. On the other hand VP.Prodigy is most probably the biggest surprise of the tournament and the biggest discovery in the EU dota scene lately. They are doing it all, making the plays and surprising and knocking out big teams. They have beaten Alliance and NiP to make it here. Now, they will be put on the biggest test until now, as Team Secret is the strongest team that they’ve faced since the Virtus.Pro academy team was created. However, I don’t think they can do it, Team Secret is too strong, and they will just get overrun. Maybe they can surprise us by taking a map off Secret, that’s possible, however I do think there is a higher chance that this match ends up with 2-0 for Secret.

My twitter: rand1919

G2 losing this series to North with Jumpy (coach) standing in for Kjaerbye might just take the cake of the most nonsensical, fucked up result since we've moved to online play.

Secret won 2-0 and we did hit those juicy ~2.40 odds.

Pitty for NaVi + NiP. Both NaVi and NiP had a chance to take a map, but they both threw the leads they had. Pitty for that :/

[CS:GO] My picks and bets for today's matches of ESL One: Road to Rio:

Hard Legion - Natus Vincere: Natus Vincere -1.5, 1.53 @ BetOnBit
Virtus.pro - Espada: Espada 1.5, 1.51 @ BetOnBit
GODSENT - Movistar Riders: Movistar Riders 1.5, 1.46 @ BetOnBit
c0ntact - FaZe: FaZe -1.5, 1.57 @ BetOnBit
Cloud9 - Liquid: Liquid -1.5, 1.94 @ BetOnBit
FURIA - Gen.G: Gen.G 1.5, 1.58 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3, and all bets are very risky. Most likely like all ESL One matches last days.

My twitter: rand1919

[DOTA 2] My picks and bets for WePlay Pushka Division 1 playoffs today:

Ninjas in Pyjamas - Virtus Pro: Ninjas in Pyjamas 1.5, 1.73 @ BetOnBit
Alliance - Natus Vincere: Natus Vincere 1.5, 1.49 @ BetOnBit
Team Liquid - Team Secret: Team Secret -1.5, 2.37 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3. I do think that today is very risky day and so are the bets, especially if you go for handicaps. Value in ML bets is very low to none, if you go on favourites of course.

My twitter: rand1919

I don't think it is coincidence. Since COVID-19 started all tournaments switched to online and players are playing from their homes. It makes a lot of different to the game approach and mentality... Some teams are relaxed, other teams are having fun or are just better online. Etc... This lockdown changed a lot of things, and inconsistency is one of them. That's why it's lot harder to bet currently. There are no favourites and underdogs basically.

[DOTA 2] My picks for today's WePlay! Pushka League playoffs:

HellRaisers - Ninjas in Pyjamas: Ninjas in Pyjamas, 2.24 @ BetOnBit
Alliance - VP.Prodigy: VP.Prodigy 1.5, 1.61 @ BetOnBit
Virtus Pro - Team Liquid: Virtus Pro, 1.44 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3, and betting risk is high here. Let's see what will happen.

My twitter: rand1919

Thursday's bets:

3/4 CS:GO
1/1 Dota 2

GG. Let's move on!

[CS:GO] My picks for today:

Nordavind - SMASH: Nordavind ML, 1.45 @ BetOnBit
Nemiga - Spirit: Nemiga 1.5, 1.68 @ BetOnBit
G2 - c0ntact: G2 -1.5, 1.49 @ BetOnBit
Liquid - 100 Thieves: Liquid ML, 1.51 @ BetOnBit

All matches are BO3 and betting risk is normal.

[DOTA 2] My pick for today:

Nigma - OG Seed: Nigma ML, 1.47 @ BetOnBit

My twitter: rand1919

Always listen your gut