ESPORTS - predictions and tips (Dota 2, CS:GO, LoL)

[Avirunes]

All favourites lost today, it's time for Secret now to lose the game 

This happens sometimes which we place all the bets on the favorites and all of them disappoints. What's more interesting is that it happens on Mondays 

It has become so much frequently recently in both CSGO and DOTA. It doesn't matters if it is Monday or any day of the week. I don't know what has gotten into underdogs recently but they are thrashing the favourites and rubbing their noses on dirt quite badly.

And another 1.35 favourite drops the match.

Liquid 0-2

I would say betting with small stake on underdogs for now to keep things holding up for right now. TL losing 2-0 is really astonishing. 

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[Globb0]

Going good next team in my accumulators is Viking.gg 1 game up already.


Could do with a nice start over.

[SyGambler]

was wondering if you can filter the picks by odds range for both your free and premium services , is that possible and can be easily done for the sheets ?
like filtering 1.01-1.5 and 1.51-1.9 ...etc

somehow I feel you are losing a lot of value with the underdogs but doing good at the same time with the bigger odds range
I know you are using bettin.gs for premium and it can do that for you but the sample for premium is too small to analyze , so is it possible to do that with the sheets ?

[Globb0]

Can Nemiga win? that's the 3rd team in 2 of my accumulators

Viking and VP.P did the do.


Now I have VP.P again in another match with T Secret

North is coming soon too the pick you recommended

[Globb0]

Fucked up by north. But still up overall for the day.


Lets see what tomorrow brings.

[rand1919]

[DOTA 2] WePlay Pushka League just ended with Team Secret triumphing, and there is no time for the rest. OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online is starting with the wednesday with the best teams from Europe and CIS region. Let’s analyze day 1.

OG - HellRaisers: BetOnBit
ViKin.gg - flytomoon: BetOnBit
Team Secret - Virtus Pro: BetOnBit
Team Liquid - Ninjas in Pyjamas: BetOnBit

Day 1 will start with 2x TI champions facing HellRaisers, an up and coming CIS team. The main question here is, who will play for OG? Will Topson finally return to the main lineup and will he play in this tourney? There are some indications that he is back, but let’s wait for the official confirmations, which will most probably be a few hours before their match starts. HellRaisers had a good 5-1 run in their WePlay Pushka League group, but they showed a lot of weakness in the playoffs, losing to NiP and VirtusPro. All the way around, NoTail’s team is a way better squad, and even if they had a disastrous performance in WePlay Pushka League, I would give them advantage any day of the week, especially vs HellRaisers. Their last match 28 days ago was won by OG with 2-0.

In the last 1 month, those two teams played 2 times and both times Vikin.gg came out victorious. Since then, I would say FlyToMoon improved a lot. Even though they didn’t manage to grab their playoff spot in the WePlay Pushka league, they showed some amazing games and decent performance. Now, they are on a 5 match winning streak and they have beaten Spirit, B8, VirtusPro, Team Empire and other teams in various tournaments. How they will prepare for their first European challenge in a while, we will see. I think this will be a close match, and I give a slight edge to FlyToMoon. Vikin.gg is an amazing squad with a lot of potential, I just like the FTM lineup better on the paper.

Team Secret just won the WePlay Pushka League and $70.000 check. A day after, they are playing in a new league already. Even though all matches are online now, the schedule is so stacked, teams don’t have time to rest and their schedules are busy. Can VirtusPro use this situation? Maybe they can. I would say VirtusPro are the top 3-4 teams in Europe right now, but sometimes they have big drops in their performance, for example like in their last match vs Liquid in the WePlay Pushka league playoffs. Solo is a good captain and drafted, NoOne can carry games, but it’s questionable if they will be able to do it vs Secret today. Secret is a big favourite here and a safe bet, but I do believe in VirtusPro. I think there is a small to no chance that VirtusPro takes the match, but there is a chance for VirtusPro to take the map here. Give a good carry hero to NoOne and he will make wonders. Otherwise, Secret are big big favourites. Team Secret ML is a good bet in case you can get decent odds.

After seeing Team Liquid in the WePlay Pushka playoffs, their victory should be logical here. But NiP is not a bad team and they showed already that they can beat Liquid. Their last match was 18 days ago and NiP celebrated with a 2-0. Team Liquid was impressive in the WePlay Pushka playoffs, and they surely found their pace and plays. This match is Europe vs Europe, and I do think NiP has a chance to take a map, but overall favourites for me are Team Liquid. In the last 5 matches Liquid has 3 wins and 2 losses. 2 of those losses are Team Secret and VP.Prodigy, while surprisingly enough they have beaten VirtusPro 2 times. Sadly enough for NiP, they are looking to be in some sort of crysis, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches. Favourites here to take the match vs Team Liquid, and they should be able to do it.

All matches and bets are very risky, especially Secret vs VP bet, be careful about that.

GL!

[carlfebz2]

All matches and bets are very risky, especially Secret vs VP bet, be careful about that.

GL!

I do really have that second thoughts on which one i do pick but i would stick with Secret on here even though its risky but my guts telling me to trust Puppey squad.

Not a fan too much between viking and ftm though, choices between Liquid and Nip then i would be on Nip this time,contrary on the best above and for the last,

OG all the way even ana and Ceb is already out, have high hopes with Suma1l,topson and notail.

[thekrakennnm]

OG all the way even ana and Ceb is already out, have high hopes with Suma1l,topson and notail.

True OG showed us many times why they are called the tier 1 team. Not a single reason to not trust their gameplay.

[ralle14]

The first day could be full of upsets but i'm also sticking with Secret they look pretty consistent. The odds on OG are too good to pass up I combined their odds with Secret and might place a straight bet once the rosters are announced.

Not a fan too much between viking and ftm though, choices between Liquid and Nip then i would be on Nip this time,contrary on the best above and for the last,

NiP's new roster beat Team Liquid last time they've faced during the group stage but Team Liquid is looking like the better team after putting up a good run in the lower bracket taking down Alliance and VP.

[JanpriX]

~snipped~

OG all the way even ana and Ceb is already out, have high hopes with Suma1l,topson and notail.

Can't believe that we have in an era right now in DOTA 2 where there's roster changes happening on a weekly basis. I checked the lineups of all the teams participating in OGA Dota Pit (in Liquipedia) and that site literally listed TBD on all of the players per team. They also don't know who will play what role in the upcoming games. Funny times. 

[STT]

Some bets are so risky and unknown I think its best only to place training amounts or throwaway capital so its in theory a learnable match but not a big deal when it turns out randomly.   This is why I like underdog teams so much, not much capital required just the timing to know when and where they might come through.

[Globb0]

Sadly enough for NiP, they are looking to be in some sort of crysis, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches.

NiP is chicken fighters right? so maybe they had an identity crisis as well

I have backed them a few times and they f'ed up.

This thread is getting to be great with a few people sharing  their ideas thanks guys and thanks Rand.

I started to get my sea legs for DoTa but still a bit clueless on CS:GO there is a lot of rounds in each match. (I played counterstrike about 100 years ago its quite funny in a way its still a thing)

[rand1919]

[CS:GO] ESL One: Road to Rio EU

Astralis - G2: BetOnBit

Odds suck tho, bigger bet on Astralis ML!

[Globb0]

So far so good

[carlfebz2]

~snipped~

OG all the way even ana and Ceb is already out, have high hopes with Suma1l,topson and notail.

Can't believe that we have in an era right now in DOTA 2 where there's roster changes happening on a weekly basis. I checked the lineups of all the teams participating in OGA Dota Pit (in Liquipedia) and that site literally listed TBD on all of the players per team. They also don't know who will play what role in the upcoming games. Funny times. 

This is why i do really check out news about roster changes specially if there were sit-ins on particular tourney because even if theres a 1-man change neither temporal or permanent,
it can already give big effect to the entire performance of the said team,neither they would improve nor choke.

I started to get my sea legs for DoTa but still a bit clueless on CS:GO there is a lot of rounds in each match. (I played counterstrike about 100 years ago its quite funny in a way its still a thing)

Main reason why'd decided to stick with Dota2 than considering CS:Go - Its way too complicated into my part.

[Globb0]

Ooof again. Oh man.

LOL lucky I made a small hedge (nip + secret) when I was well ahead so no loss on the day overall.

Still missed out on those 2 juicy accs.

[rand1919]

[DOTA 2] OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online is entering day 2 with some amazing matches. On day 1 we saw some surprises, but some teams extended their winning streaks (Team Secret, FlyToMoon) too. Here are my picks for Day 2.

HellRaisers - FlyToMoon: MY PREDICTION
Alliance - ViKin.gg: MY PREDICTION
Ninjas in Pyjamas - Virtus Pro: MY PREDICTION
Team Liquid - Team Spirit: MY PREDICTION

On the day 1 we saw FlyToMoon beat Vikin.gg with a 2-1 score. It looked like FTM had the win in their pocket after the 2nd map, but Vikin.gg managed to return back into the game and even the series. On the other side HellRaisers were demolished by 2x TI champions OG with MidOne and Ceb in their lineup. I’m feeling like HellRaisers dropped in their form quite heavily, and their match history shows that. They have only 1 win in the last 5 matches, while FlyToMoon is on an amazing winning streak. 5 wins out of 5 last matches. FTM’s carry Iceberg played amazingly on Day 1, and I expect him to repeat his performance on Day 2. Even though HellRaisers are sportsbooks favourites, I would go here with FTM win. They have all that it takes. However, in their last clash, HellRaisers won the match 2-0. Now 19 days later, it’s maybe the time for revenge.

Vikin.gg looked pretty good lately, but on the day 1 of this event, they were shut down by the FlyToMoon. Alliance still didn’t play any matches in this league, as this will be their opening match. Alliance are big favourites here, but I worried about their strength currently as they still didn’t find a long term solution on the position 5. I don’t think SoNNeikO is the right solution, due to possible communication issues. Alliance has lately lost to Team Liquid and VP.Prodigy, while Vikin.gg has some decent wins vs tier 2 EU / CIS teams. Yes, Alliance are favourites here, but Vikin.gg will be a big threat to them, as they surely can take a map here. They can fight top EU teams for sure. Nice bet with amazing odds.

Ninjas In Pyjamas had an amazing league opening on Wednesday. They were underdog vs Team Liquid and they managed to take the series with 2-1. Such a nice confidence boost for them. On the other side, VirtusPro is looking lost lately, as they can’t find their pace vs top tier teams. They have lost vs Team Liquid and Team Secret twice in the last days, without taking a map. Yes, NiP is not a top EU team yet, but surely they have capacity for it. I do think NiP can surprise VP too, as they did with Team Liquid yesterday. VP is on a slight knock down, as they were again destroyed by Team Secret yesterday. That’s a chance for NiP. VP are sportsbooks favourite, NiP are underdogs here, but I believe they can surely take a map here. Handicap is a good bet here.

Team Liquid somehow dropped their first match in this league to NiP. They opened it with a strong 1-0 lead, but in the next 2 games they fell apart. In the last 5 matches, Team Liquid has only 2 wins and 3 losses. Out of those 2 wins, one win was 2-0 vs VirtusPro and another one was 2-1 win over Alliance. From their win vs VirtusPro we can draw some conclusions that they are comfortable by playing CIS teams and beating them (not including VP.P of course). Team Spirit is dropping in form, they’ve replaced one player and now they have 0LD_A on position 3. Did he adapt already? I don’t think so. Their results lately are disastrous, as they have only 1 win in their last 5 matches, and that was a win over currently very weak Team Unique. I do think Spirit has quality carry players with a lot of potential, but they need stability. Liquid is a big favourite here, but odds on Liquid’s win are so low. I do think there is a decent chance that Liquid can 2-0 Spirit. I would say chances for that are 60%, and if we check out those -1.5 handicap odds on Liquid, it turns out it is worth a risk.

GL!

[ralle14]

The odds are slowly shifting towards the side of FlyToMoon currently they're currently at 2.1 on some books and went up to 2.38 several hours ago. It's crazy that the bookmakers still put Hellraisers as a favorite despite the losing streak they have recently I see this series as a 50-50 with a small advantage to FlyToMoon because of their win streak.

What do you guys think about the NiP vs Vitality match later today ? I like NiP after their performance against Faze but i'm still having doubts after their last series went to all three maps.

[rand1919]

[CS:GO] My picks for today:

Espada - NaVi Junior: MY PREDICTION

Espada is going to face NAVI Junior in the match of SECTOR: MOSTBET Season 3 on 14th of May 2020. Espada are ranked 44, while NAVI Junior have a rank of 85. Espada are considered heavy favourites by the bookmakers. NAVI Junior is worse ranked (#85), they have won their last game against LDLC, and have 3 victories in last five matches played. Espada best maps are Train and Dust2, with 75% and 67% win rate respectively. Their first pick in 45% of the cases is Dust2, leaving Vertigo as a first ban (70%). NAVI Junior favours Dust2 as their first pick with 46%. In 85% of times they ban Nuke. Espada have a win rate of 67% on Dust2, while their worst map is Vertigo with a win percentage of 0. NAVI Junior are at their best on Train — a win rate of 100%. However, they really struggle at Nuke with a success of just 0. NAVI Junior usually win 9.88 rounds in their losses on average. Patsi is arguably the best player in Espada at the moment with 0.68 kills per round and an impact of 1.06. His KAST is 70.5%, and he is showing a Rating 2.0 of 1.07. His most dangerous rival in NAVI Junior is B1T. He provides 0.72 kills per round on average, has an IMPACT of 1.23, and Rating 2.0 of 1.15. I believe Espada will win if everything goes according to their plans. But i think NaVi junior can surprise us with a map. Odds on their handicap are higher then on Espada ML.

Heretics - G2: MY PREDICTION

Coming into this match, G2 is the obvious favourite here. Anything other than that, with the likes of KennyS, Nexa, and huNter, would be pretty shocking. However, they shouldn’t underestimate their opponents here. Heretics packs quite the punch in terms of experience and talent. KioShiMa and Lucky are still going strong, but Maka is the one delivering the main fragging potential with outright ridiculous numbers. Against North, the 22-year-old Frenchmen had 61 kills across two maps, and 1.63 HLTV score. If that’s not ridiculous, then I don’t know what is… Unfortunately, a big part of Heretics’ surprising win against North comes down to the fact jumpy had to replace kjaerbye. I’m not trying to belittle Maka’s excellent gameplay, I’m just saying that he wouldn’t get the chance to snowball that much if kjaerbye was on the server. As far as our G2 vs. Heretics predictions are concerned, there’s really no need to overcomplicate things. KennyS is in fine form, and the rest of his teammates are rock solid too. They shouldn’t have any absentees today, and despite the fact we’re looking at an online match here, G2 should cruise to victory. G2 are the heavy favorites here, and there’s no way Heretics mess up their plans… not even if we see another brilliant performance by Maka. Heretics defeated Dignitas, ENCE, and Complexity, but in my books that’s just not enough to be a potent opponent against G2. True, one of the best French teams had its ups and downs on this event, but with KennyS showing off superb form in the last few matches, there’s little kioShiMa and the boys will be able to do today. However, odds on G2 ML are pretty low, and I do believe Heretics showed us that they can win vs big teams, hopefully they can take a map here, im positive about that.

GL!

[Globb0]

Viking so close in round 1 against alliance. It flipped a few times. I have Viking +1.5 for a few accs.   :/   come on Viking