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what was your hash rate when you hit that block? and what is POS? and what was your hash rate you recently mined with? I'm just curious about things. I'm also lottery miner with some solar electricity but it does not fully cover my needs at house. I hesitate all the time if I should continue... Taking it realistic, I shouldn't.  If you go all the way back on this thread to page #9 you can see the day I almost got a block. I kept 1x S9 pointed at the pool ever since with the rest of my gear on a pool. The machine I kept pointed here was the one that would've found that block since it was a lucky machine but no dice. It's a lotto you have the same chance of finding a block as anyone but just like the mega millions the more tickets you buy (hash power) the more of a chance you have of winning, like the guy that found 2 blocks the other day that was insane BTW super cool to see. Ahh, thanks for recalling this. Yes, I knew there was such issue, but didn't recognize this from your name. That really was bad luck although being so lucky with share. I'm not sure if I would continue mining after so high share. But at least you could try because of free electricity. My experience so far is that my best share corresponds to the number of shares submitted. I'm at about 1,1% diff and my best share is slightly about 1/100 diff. Thinking more and more often to stop lottery mining... On the other hand regular lotteries are not giving that good "expected value" of a lottery ticket. |
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Well y'all, it's been interesting for the last few years here on the solo lottery. Never found anything besides the block that I lost because the old server was a POS and made me lose 12.5 BTC. But I still played anyway and never struck again. I'm moving and won't have free electric anymore so I sold all my minig rigs today. Best of luck to all y'all and many more blocks have yet to be found by the solo team I hope y'all find some, and often.
what was your hash rate when you hit that block? and what is POS? and what was your hash rate you recently mined with? I'm just curious about things. I'm also lottery miner with some solar electricity but it does not fully cover my needs at house. I hesitate all the time if I should continue... Taking it realistic, I shouldn't. |
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I'm over 50% luck so still hopeful that it'll come soon  Didn't the last block get solved with over 200% luck? Did I read that correctly? That's correct. It was about 220% here. I've hit my XMR solo block with 270% luck. For some other altcoins I've seen pools hitting a block with 600-700% luck. So potentially it could have been personal luck if you go solo. Of course pool was more lucky after that. So if you plan to hit few BTC blocks in your life it's still OK But I'm sure you're aware if you submitted that many shares . |
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My best share went significantly up since my last post!Miracle
actually your share is the best at the moment for the whole pool in this round. you can already call yourself lucky your 80T vs 15-20PH BTW are you renting hash power or is it your device? {"runtime": 70034579, "lastupdate": 1662554000, "Users": 2692, "Workers": 18389, "Idle": 4747, "Disconnected": 363} {"hashrate1m": "21.1P", "hashrate5m": "21P", "hashrate15m": "20.4P", "hashrate1hr": "20.7P", "hashrate6hr": "23.1P", "hashrate1d": "18.3P", "hashrate7d": "22.8P"} {"diff": 1.29, "accepted": 399606395464, "rejected": 1064061080, "bestshare": 409296737905, "SPS1m": 391.0, "SPS5m": 362.0, "SPS15m": 354.0, "SPS1h": 351.0} |
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Hello
Even 12 digits are far to go to solve a 14 digit diff!
How long are you mining on solo? I am about a couple of months already and never went more than 12 digit.
Also i think latency matters!Where are you located?
How many shares have you submitted? My best share is closely matching the number of shares I submitted -> e.g. lets say 1% luck and best share 100 times worse than target difficulty. |
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whoa congrats to the lucky miner. Nice to see someone without a ton of hashrate find the block.
Curious....how can I calculate my own personal luck?
divide [number of shares submitted] by [network diff] 0,37% personal luck. what a f*** lottery. |
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I think I need to repeat my question at the moment my units run with Raspberry PI4 and I don't like it because of more cables flying around. Can I replace Orange Pi4 with Orange PI4 LTS and flash it with publicly available Apollo BTC image? Will it work? What kind of PI board is installed in last batch of full units? Orange PI4 seems to be not available anymore. |
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I did some detailed cleaning of my full unit by removing cover, unmounting fan and taking dust out. By doing so I realized it's not necessary, because most of dust stays outside and it's enough to make sure that visible side edges of radiator are clean. Anyway... My PI board stopped booting now I tried re-flashing with Apollo image, Armbian image (for Orange Pi4), but I still get no HDMI output. Red and Green LEDs are lighted up (w/o blinking). Do I need serial cable to investigate or is there something I can do without cable? I can boot Apollo, but it takes ages (about 30 minutes). SDD drive is not mounted automatically. I can do it via mount /dev/nvme0n1p1 /media/nvme. I cannot save settings through UI - I get Internal error. Device is hashing to default pool and user There are strange errors in DMESG (I listed all in red):
[ 20.926563] brcmfmac: brcmf_fw_alloc_request: using brcm/brcmfmac43456-sdio for chip BCM4345/9
[ 21.125371] brcmfmac: brcmf_fw_alloc_request: using brcm/brcmfmac43456-sdio for chip BCM4345/9
[ 21.125602] brcmfmac: brcmf_c_process_clm_blob: no clm_blob available (err=-2), device may have limited channels available
[ 21.126264] brcmfmac: brcmf_c_preinit_dcmds: Firmware: BCM4345/9 wl0: Feb 11 2020 11:54:51 version 7.45.96.61 (be7af2d@shgit) (r745790) FWID 01 -a41d86bd es7.c5.n4.a3
[ 193.002541] rockchip-i2s ff8a0000.i2s: Fail to set mclk -22
[ 193.002579] rockchip-i2s ff8a0000.i2s: ASoC: error at snd_soc_dai_set_sysclk on ff8a0000.i2s: -22OK, I think I broke something on the PI board while unscrewing. JStefano, can I replace it with Orange PI4 LTS, or does it need to be original PI4? |
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I did some detailed cleaning of my full unit by removing cover, unmounting fan and taking dust out. By doing so I realized it's not necessary, because most of dust stays outside and it's enough to make sure that visible side edges of radiator are clean. Anyway... My PI board stopped booting now I tried re-flashing with Apollo image, Armbian image (for Orange Pi4), but I still get no HDMI output. Red and Green LEDs are lighted up (w/o blinking). Do I need serial cable to investigate or is there something I can do without cable? |
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It could probably handle all 200EH of the current bitcoin mining network if you could find it. Last big rental was 500PH.
Fantastic. On the 500PH rental, where would one rent that kind of horsepower? nice hash has that. Actually this is happening right now. Someone takes all hash power from all regions at NH with price 0.01 BTC / PH. Typical price is slightly above 0,005. Total hash rate is about 450PH now. I'm curious where is it pointed to. It must be another solo pool? I don't understand this. It makes no sense to me (to overpay that much). If anyone has any thoughts on this, please comment |
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I'm synchronising blockchain due to replacement of SSD (to 1TB, hurray . Connection count is about 23-28/32 during sync. I think that some of peers are dropping connection seeing my node is not synchronised. About 10/32 is always when node has no inbound connections. Even fully synced. I'm not that deep into BTC nodes setup, but from experience with another coin and its blockchain, in case no inbound connections are allowed, daemon keeps very few outbound connections and does not increase it to limits as it seems to be sufficient to operate. But in case node is exposed to the Internet number of connections is very high mainly as inbound (reaching my limits for node). |
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[2022-02-11 11:05:42] CPU #1: 2342 kH/s
it's recurring topic. you're mining with CPU. it does not make a sense even as a lottery. pool won't show any statistics for you. you need to buy ASIC miner or you can spend money directly on Nicehash and point computing power on this pool. E.g. in most of European countries buying hashing power on NiceHash is cheaper than rate you would spend on electricity, even not mentioning costs of buying hardware. Use google and read more before you start mining. You can use CPU for mining other coins (Monero, Wownero, Raptoreum, Verus Coin, etc.). But you can earn only some dust on this |
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However keep in mind that the luck is calculated wrong on this pool...
Due to difficulty changes every 2 weeks and if you mine past a difficulty change point the accuracy of the luck is off..
It should have a running total, for every period of difficulty adjustment but instead it just uses shares / luck..
Yes,yes, I know how it is with changing diff. I mine some other coins... BTC is just for lottery / gambling IMHO it's even better to stick to current diff in calculations. What is a past is past, now I need to see what are my chances e.g. if I keep the same share rate. It doesn't make me optimistic, even with this huge luck CK has had recently. Even worse now -> it can be bad luck time now. And I don't want spend too much on gambling with NH |
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another newbie question to calculate so called "luck factor" to estimate progress in finding solo block, is it a matter of dividing current number of shares with network diff? e.g. at the moment of writing for the whole pool 4819841797984 / 26690525287405 = 18% ? |
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How long have you been running it? Id wait at least 24 hours before looking at pool stats, as it takes a while to stabilize especially if the pool is running high diff.
Thanks for so quick answer! Well. Just couple of hours, but miner was restarted few times by me already and now I can see it just did restart itself. But don't bother for now. I use Wifi and it's very laggy while block chain is downloaded. I'll wait for this to get completed and come back in case of any issues. I think it gets more rejected shares just after miner startup. BTW, my initial impression on this product is so good, so I just ordered standard box for this. Well done JStefano! Thank you for your work. |
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Hi all. I just got mine box yesterday. It's lovely ;-) It's quite a lot of pages in this thread already so just a quick question, sorry if it was discussed.
My miner is running in ECO mode at reported temperature of 60C. I get some rejected shares on CK pool. Miner is still downloading block chain...
It's about 5% of rejected shares, but both miner and CK pool reports 15-20% lower hash rate. Hardware error rate is about 0.4 -0.5%.
Is it normal?
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Solochance is pretty accurate, well, the math is rather simple to be honest, I did confirm that Solochance does the math the way it should be done ( I can't find the post but if you dig in the old posts of this topic you will find it).
With that being said, these are nothing but "statistics", luck variance is proportional to your total power, in reality, mining to a large pool only smooths/levels your payouts, a large pool can have a lot of variances and say 50% luck for 10 or 20 blocks, but in say a week or two it's luck will level up/down close to the 100% mark, a single S9 variance can take years to level out, this makes calculating your chances pretty "useless" even with 3PH when the network size is well above 100EH.
Thanks. Indeed, there is nothing but math on solo chance. I was just curious it if still gives the right numbers. BTW, I mined Monero for a long time solo, with estimate on block 31 days at the beginning. I doubled hash-power in meantime, and I've finally hit a block after 6 months, with estimate 60 days for my new hash power. so it was really bad luck. And I'm still dreaming I can hit a bitcoin block with fraction of 1% insane |
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The more time is passing with "our" 3-5 PH without block hit, I'm realizing it makes no sense my lottery mining with tiny hash rate What I personally do is point the majority of my hashrate to PPS+ pools to get daily payouts, point only one or a few miners to cksolo for fun, I think this is the best rational approach.77 I do exactly the same. I mine ETH PPS, and BTC solo for fun. By our PH, I meant the whole pool hashrate :-P. We're community here . It would be good to know accurate solo chances anyway. E.g. to decide if electricity spent and possible win chance is better than buying lottery tickets :-P |
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The more time is passing with "our" 3-5 PH without block hit, I'm realizing it makes no sense my lottery mining with tiny hash rate guys, is http://solochance.com/ accurate or do I need to calculate this myself? |
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if you are usa based I will sell you mine when I get it. at cost. I purchased full deluxe model with all bells and whistles. I think it was 558 USD fully equipped.
thanks, unfortunately I'm from Poland. I'll wait for batch 2. I'm also waiting to get 2way meter installed for my new little Solar installation. no such rush. then I need to find out how how much energy is produced to decide what I can keep running as a lottery, either regular mining of other coins thanks anyway . |
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