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481  Economy / Securities / Re: The coming flash crash in AMC on: June 28, 2013, 06:35:51 PM
They should just merge VMC and AMC, using the money of AMC's shareholders to fund another separate company does not make much sense to me, loan made to startup is too huge of a risk to ignore and they didn't mention this until the recent announcement. People buying the walls @0.0025 are essentially lending their money to VMC, a separate entity to AMC, which means they aren't investing in the company they apparently are putting their money into. I can't predict whether the price will rise or fall, but I feel completely betrayed, speaking of a former shareholder, so I decided to exit with a fairly satisfactory profit instead of putting my money at stake.

Smart move.  The shell company structure is designed to benefit Ken and no one else.  I don't even understand why the listing was allowed.

There a lots of epic statements in the company contracts.  Like the copy/paste error that makes a completely unrelated (?) company arbitrator for any disputes.  Or this little gem: "AMC is a wholly owned subsidiary of VMC".  Wholly owned?  Then what are you buying with these shares?
482  Economy / Securities / The coming flash crash in AMC on: June 28, 2013, 06:06:41 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?
483  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER Speculation Thread on: June 28, 2013, 10:07:11 AM

Multiply the BFL number by 75 and you'll find that in a month from now, the BFLs would have earned at least 75 BTC more than the AM shares. Did you have a point or are just trying to reinforce mine?

A first day Jalapeno will have made more profit than an AM IPO share by the end of the month and you'd still have the Jalapeno, whereas you'd have to sell the AM share.


You really are smoking crack.

A Jalepeno cost 33 BTC if you ordered one early enough to expect delivery before the fall of this year.

Those lucky buyers will never get their 33 BTC back, let alone profit from the device.

BFL devices are priced in USD not BTC. The Jalapeno cost 149 USD not 33 BTC. You're agrument is completely irrelevant.

Only to people without money.  Like those that invested in BFL.
484  Economy / Securities / Re: ASICMINER Speculation Thread on: June 28, 2013, 09:48:32 AM

Multiply the BFL number by 75 and you'll find that in a month from now, the BFLs would have earned at least 75 BTC more than the AM shares. Did you have a point or are just trying to reinforce mine?

A first day Jalapeno will have made more profit than an AM IPO share by the end of the month and you'd still have the Jalapeno, whereas you'd have to sell the AM share.


You really are smoking crack.

A Jalepeno cost 33 BTC if you ordered one early enough to expect delivery before the fall of this year.

Those lucky buyers will never get their 33 BTC back, let alone profit from the device.
485  Economy / Auctions / Re: [WTS] B2 Avalon In Hand on: June 28, 2013, 07:28:07 AM
Currently reserved @ BIN of 210, awaiting escrow'ed payment.

200+BTC ? When they expected break even with that cost? 

But good to you dogie  Grin
@88-100GH, faster than any hardware available on the market

how do you squeeze that much out of a 3 module Avalon?  Have I missed some developments?
486  Economy / Securities / Re: [WTB] 10BTC AMC European Call Options on: June 28, 2013, 07:06:14 AM
Basically, your escrow request is far too high.

I don't follow you. 

By your own figures:
100% of option proceeds = BTC10
20% of underlying security value less out-of-the-money amount = 20k * BTC0.0025 * 20% = BTC10

Giving total "escrow" requirement of BTC20.

However, the option proceeds are included in the above.

Surprise is asking for BTC25, but you get to keep the BTC10 option proceeds, so really he's only asking BTC15. 

So please, I'm obviously missing something, please explain.



20% of the underlying, less any out of the money value.   The option is out of the money by more than 20% so there is no underlying value to post.
487  Economy / Securities / Re: [FIMB] Fixed-Interest-Mining-Bond on BTC-TC on: June 28, 2013, 05:46:58 AM
1. What does this have to do with mining?
2. How is your asset approved so quickly and with less than 5 votes?

1. To the bondholder, you are right that it does not matter what the funds are being used for, so long as the interest is paid. I am publicly announcing exactly what the funds will be used for for the sake of transparency and nothing more.
2. See TF's post.



Graet is about the most trustworthy guy around here and he is paying 20% annual with daily coupons.

After all the BS you have pulled lately you really think people will lend to you at better terms than that?
488  Economy / Securities / Re: Where can I find Market Cap Data for BTC Securities? on: June 28, 2013, 03:54:34 AM
I'm in the middle of a legal research project that involves assessing risk of enforcement against the businesses selling unregistered, restricted securities on this board and  stock exchanges like Bitfunder, BTC-TC, etc.

Any idea where can I find a breakdown of each securities' market cap, or at least a reliable list of the total shares outstanding?

Thanks in advance.

Can you share the who and why of this project?

I would note that some of the issuers are intentionally distorting their market cap by making it appear there are fewer shares than actually exist.

Kslaughter of VMC/AMC likes to claim 40 million shares exist, but each share is 1 /100 Millionth of the company...
489  Economy / Securities / Re: The expectation of div's sets the world of crypto-stocks off on the wrong foot on: June 28, 2013, 02:10:21 AM
Insightful responses. I agree that the trust factor is a big issue right now and something I probably don't consider with enough weight.  It seems that bitcoin investors lack a certain badge of trust that traditional regulators are supposed to supply.  The SEC in the USA for instance is supposed to ensure that security issuers are playing by a certain standard set of rules so investors need no sweat the small stuff.

Perhaps what bitcoin investors need is an independent auditor with a specific set of technical criteria for evaluating publicly traded bitcoin companies.  A group dedicated to providing audits of financials, share structure, true capitalization ratings, debt and credit ratings etc etc.

If trust is the big issue here, (and upon some consideration I would agree that it is) then it would seem that we need a sort of better business bureau of the bitcoin securities world. Like a seal of approval not to provide endorsement of a company per se but rather to provide assurance that a certain set of standards have been observed and met by the company being rated that would be of relevance to crypto-stock investors.  Has anyone tried to do this sort of the a thing before?

It hasn't been done.  And in truth it can't be done honestly.  You would struggle to find a single company to actually recommend.

The history of bitcoin securities is an ongoing debacle of lost investor funds and enriched stock promoters.  With a side course of shell games and craziness if you include Usagi who sold a dozen interlocking securities while pretending to be a young girl from Japan.
490  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: So what happens if Gox misses their deadline in one week? on: June 28, 2013, 01:58:09 AM
Personally if I had anything at Gox I would have moved it out already, just to improve the quality of my sleep at night.

If they do not open USD withdrawals as announced, we will probably see the same trend continuing, people will buy BTC with their USD, and move it out, resulting in higher prices at Gox compared to other exchanges.

If that's all that happens, there will be no dramatic impact on prices - dramatic would be Gox closes down, goes out of business.

That's not true at all and thats what scares me. I posted before on other forums about my experience with localbitcoins. For every 10 offers of people selling me BTC, I *might* get one offer of someone that wants to buy. The demand for buying BTC is just not there - I live in a large area, plenty of people. So I have to believe that these other exchange sites experience the same. Take for example Coinbase - I have no idea what their numbers are and maybe their ratio is not as bad as my 10:1 but I'm willing to bet they also have MANY more sellers than buyers. So these exchanges must also use Gox at some point. If Gox goes down, or cannot do USD any more, I would expect at least a couple of exchanges to follow suit and close down. If the avenues of getting USD back are closing down then something just has to cave in.

You don't understand how a free market works do ya?

For every seller, there must be a buyer. Price makes this happen.

If it was a sellers market, with 90% people wanting to sell bitcoins and only 10% wanting to buy, then the price per bitcoin would continue to drop until there was no longer more selling interest than buying interest.



I've only done about $700,000 USD transactions of BTC this year, so yeah, I don't understand a thing . . .   Cool

you are putting way too much trust in a virtual company. Not all transactions are what they seem, buyers can "appear" out of thin air, you know?

And the Winkelvoss twins bought $10 M USD and didn't sell any.

Anecdotes are not data.

Maybe your customers are all drug dealers.

I'm clearly more concerned about BUYERS of BTC, as in the lack-of. Again, my ratio is 10:1, granted bigger companies may have a smaller ratio, but I would be HIGHLY surprised if there was a company out there (like Coinbase) that could claim a larger buy-side than sell-side demand. There is clearly a larger demand (both in customers and amount) to SELL BTC than buyers of BTC (both in customers and amount - my largest request to buy BTC was 3.5)

If there wasn't equilibrium in the market price would be moving.  If you don't understand that you ought to find a new line of work.

There are lots of reasons you get more sellers than buyers.  An obvious example is tax avoidance.  If you are buying for cash, and your sellers are avoiding tax your personal buy/sell equilibrium is being skewed by the typical income tax rate.
491  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: So what happens if Gox misses their deadline in one week? on: June 28, 2013, 01:41:09 AM
Personally if I had anything at Gox I would have moved it out already, just to improve the quality of my sleep at night.

If they do not open USD withdrawals as announced, we will probably see the same trend continuing, people will buy BTC with their USD, and move it out, resulting in higher prices at Gox compared to other exchanges.

If that's all that happens, there will be no dramatic impact on prices - dramatic would be Gox closes down, goes out of business.

That's not true at all and thats what scares me. I posted before on other forums about my experience with localbitcoins. For every 10 offers of people selling me BTC, I *might* get one offer of someone that wants to buy. The demand for buying BTC is just not there - I live in a large area, plenty of people. So I have to believe that these other exchange sites experience the same. Take for example Coinbase - I have no idea what their numbers are and maybe their ratio is not as bad as my 10:1 but I'm willing to bet they also have MANY more sellers than buyers. So these exchanges must also use Gox at some point. If Gox goes down, or cannot do USD any more, I would expect at least a couple of exchanges to follow suit and close down. If the avenues of getting USD back are closing down then something just has to cave in.

You don't understand how a free market works do ya?

For every seller, there must be a buyer. Price makes this happen.

If it was a sellers market, with 90% people wanting to sell bitcoins and only 10% wanting to buy, then the price per bitcoin would continue to drop until there was no longer more selling interest than buying interest.



I've only done about $700,000 USD transactions of BTC this year, so yeah, I don't understand a thing . . .   Cool

you are putting way too much trust in a virtual company. Not all transactions are what they seem, buyers can "appear" out of thin air, you know?

And the Winkelvoss twins bought $10 M USD and didn't sell any.

Anecdotes are not data.

Maybe your customers are all drug dealers.

Or maybe you have an agenda to talk the price down.  I see you trying that on threads all over the site.
492  Economy / Auctions / Re: 2 Block Erupter USB Starting Bid 0.85 BTC! per miner Ends 6/27/13 11:59PM CST on: June 28, 2013, 01:39:13 AM
2 @ 1.11
493  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game on: June 27, 2013, 07:33:35 PM

(like how AM IPO holders have an enormous advantage due to 35x rise in share price making a larger barrier to entry for new investors on an absolute basis)

This statement is just another way to say "AM is a bubble and the shares aren't worth what they go for". That this realization is slowly percolating even through the investors that'd be much better served thus should be perhaps a little worrying

You ought to create a new thread and back up that story.

The reality is:
Friedcat offered a fair deal in his IPO, worked extremely hard, and through a combination of good fortune, incompetence on the part of his competition, and shrewd decision making has increased the valuation of his company.

Just mining income alone supports a 35% yield at current prices.  That's not a bubble.

Will he hold his market share in the long term?  That is hard to say.  But I'd give it better odds than seeing any of the Keystone cops competing with him take the lead.

And just to be on topic:

Dooglus good luck to you with this venture!  I hope it works out, and I think 1% is far to low a commission for operation costs.
494  Economy / Securities / Re: P/B ratio, or how to not get raped in the Bitcoin securities markets on: June 27, 2013, 04:16:13 PM

I know AM hash power is growing, and mine isn't. However, the future hashpower from AM has not been paid for. The 200TH priced at the same rate their previous power was priced will cost investors $2 million, or BTC20'000. Assuming AM percentage of the network at around 15% (which would mean network is 400TH and AM is 62TH) that is roughly 6 weeks of dividends from mining.

No, that has not happened yet, but it must for AM to get another 200TH of hashingpower. Even if they get their new chips for half the price of what friedcat has stated previously, we're looking at just under three weeks of no dividends at all to pay for it.

I know AM is selling hardware too, but since mining power is equal from one asset to another (assuming luck is equal) AM investors are paying 340% more for that future hardware sales than they are for mining.

In simpler terms, AM must sell hardware for 3,4 times more than they mine every month for their prices to be comparable to mine.

.b

EDIT: Corrected some decimal and thousand separator mistakes

You seem to be completely oblivious to the economics of semiconductor manufacturing.  And you are mixing the pricing of goods sold by ASICMINER with their shareholder's costs.

Let's ignore today's price to book because as EskimoBob rightly points out, there is less data than there should be.

Let's just compare IPO prices.

ASICMINER:  2
BFMINES   :  18
AMC         :  35  (sounds like 70 for Ken's next cash grab)
TAT.V       :  infinite

In order for a buyer to profit, the asset has to grow into their valuation.  Anyone buying your asset is starting from an 1800% deficit.

As I have said before, you offer a better deal than Kslaughter's ripoff, but that in no way makes your offering anything but a cash grab for yourself.

495  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Patrick Harnett - Kraken Fund on: June 27, 2013, 05:30:47 AM
That sux. I liked Patrick...

Well his credit ratings were comedy gold.

Other than that what was there to like about the guy?  He was an apologist for BFL and GigaVPS, and Pirateat40.  He promoted stock vehicles guaranteed to fail including the outrageous PPT.DIV that would have been a huge loser for investors even if Pirate didn't default.

I couldn't stand the twat from the first day I browsed this site.

The only thing that makes me sad is that no one pursued him for real world consequences.
496  Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] G.ASICMINER-PT on: June 27, 2013, 04:16:10 AM

Withdraw:
1 Send DeaDTerra a pm with the following info.
Amount of shares:
To account email (the email your want to registered with FriedCat):
To Bitcoin address (the Bitcoin address you want to registered with Friedcat):
2 Send DeaDTerra the shares you want to withdraw (BF name: DeaDTerra)
3 Wait for Friedcat to complete the transfer.

If you have any questions or comments I am happy answer them Cheesy
Best Regards
//DeaDTerra

I would like to withdraw shares from butfunder.
I have more than 250 shares to withdraw.
Step one is completed yesterday.
Still no any answer from DeaDTerra.
What I am doing wrong?


You aren't doing anything wrong.  DeadTerra just doesn't honor transfer requests.

I waited a month and he never bother to even respond to me.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=148827.120
497  Economy / Securities / Re: P/B ratio, or how to not get raped in the Bitcoin securities markets on: June 27, 2013, 12:33:24 AM

Okay.  So your price to book is 18.  Good to know.

And ASICMiner price to book using the same rules is roughly 240. Also good to know, I guess.


You are trying to sell a contract for hardware you bought at an 1800% markup.

Have you no shame?

Obviously I have more shame than friedcat who sells hardware he bought at a 5000% markup (thats 5 thousand percent, or 50 times what he paid) when he sold AM Blades at 50BTC that he bough for around 1BTC each, for 10GHs. I obviously have more shame than friedcat who now proposes to sell hardware with a 3300% markup, when he's selling USB miners he bought for ~$3 for ~$100.

Look, we can do this dance all night, but no matter which rules you apply, my asset is priced far below AM in P/B. I've said it before, it is a moot point because my contracts isn't a company, but you can't really win this comparison.

.b



Nonsense.  AM IPO'd at a price to book of 2, and I have shown a clear analysis that suggests their current P/B is on the order of 3.

You really should take a tip from Kslaughter and TAT.  They have the sense to not even try to defend their ripoffs of the public.

Be like Ken, go make a press release promising another press release like a wise stock sham promoter.  Trying to defend your attempt to price your shares at an 1800% markup isn't doing you any good.
498  Economy / Auctions / Re: ASICMINER direct shares up to 100 @ 2.95 on: June 26, 2013, 11:57:22 PM
Any shares available?

I will probably offer some more at 4 BTC once the passthroughs are trading at 3.8
499  Economy / Auctions / Re: Your best offer to clear my debt on: June 26, 2013, 05:13:35 AM
You expect someone to make a cash transfer to an unknown persons account, in an amount that triggers KYC review, and you expect a discount over exchange prices for the privilege?

Dream on dude.  Try starting with a 20% discount.
500  Economy / Securities / Re: P/B ratio, or how to not get raped in the Bitcoin securities markets on: June 26, 2013, 01:18:17 AM
Hmm, there is what they paid for it, and then there is what they could sell it for now. Those are not always the same thing.

I tried using that approach too, but then it became about what you paid for it. When I tried using what I paid for it, it became a matter of the value of hashing power (completely independent of both what was paid and for what it could sell). Regardless, my asset has a much better P/B than AM.

Of course, this entire point is moot because my asset isn't a company, it is a contract, so a measure of P/B is about as useful as a comparison of gasoline prices to cab fare.

.b

Again you fail to understand.

It is the value of the hardware.  Since you do not have that hardware in hand, it is the future value of hardware.  KNC has established that value at $20 / GH/s.

Now, if you can point to recent sales of future hardware orders significantly above that valuation we might have something worthwhile to discuss.

And again:  How much did you pay for your hardware?
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