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581  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 05, 2012, 07:31:52 PM
I think with instrinsic value it is meant that you can use the "money" for itself even if nobody will trade you for it.
For example, wheat has been used as money in ancient times. If nodobdy would trade your wheat you could always eat it yourself. ...

I disagree.
When market value plummets and only the intrinsic value is left, i'd rather have a milion paper slips then a milion bitcoins.
For one, you can isolate your house with paper slips. You can also burn them for heat.

Or you can wipe your a$$ for a couple of months, although not sure if they're that comfortable. Smiley

Anyways, I completely agree with Mageant definition of intrinsic value.

The interesting thing is that the intrinsic value is usually waaaay lower than the face value, therefore does it really matter? In case of a complete crash you could wipe your a$$ with your stash of $100 bills but compared with what they could have bought before the crash. Is it any comfort in having that "option"?

Same thing with Bitcoins ... they have 0 value if no more electricity or system crashed but even if I could get something out of them it, the intrinsic value would be insignificant compared to face value.

Intrinsic value? Meh, whatever ...
582  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder on: October 05, 2012, 07:18:54 PM
First, I don't think manufacturers will be mining, or at least at a significant level.

Why shouldn't they? They would only harm the future earning, not their current ones (not the preorders).

Because they're in the business of manufacturing devices, designing new ones, etc. Not in the business of Bitcoin mining.

There is however one manufacturer that is in both businesses: ASICMINER. All ASICs produced by them will be used for their own "mining company".
583  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder on: October 05, 2012, 02:04:14 PM
In case you don't understand the logic, the GPUs I bought were like $130 and did 320MH/s ea.  So let's say for example all the GPU miners in the world cost $10 mil.  Now with ASICs are $1000+ for a good one, everyone's speeds go up so they all make the exact same income but now all the miners in the world will cost $100 mil.  Oops, everyone got scammed, lol.

In case you didn't notice I'm somehow agreeing with you in the fact that people will get a shock when the difficulty will spike and they will have to redo their calculations. The ASICs won't be paying themselvse back in 2 weeks or 2 months ...

That's why we need more posts like this, so people don't pre-order more Smiley

However this is called "keeping up with the Joneses" or "staying in mining" or whatever you want to call it and not being scammed. Scammed is if BFL takes all the money and dissapears.

584  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder on: October 05, 2012, 01:50:26 PM
I think we need more threads like this one. ASICs pre-orders folks could use some FUD so that when the ASICs are delivered, they make (more) money. Yes, I pre-ordered one. </sarcasm>
585  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Contingency plans for a 51% attack on: October 05, 2012, 01:40:03 PM
Isn't the pools hashrate pie chart going to tell us if that happens?
586  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Why did you get into bitcoin? on: October 05, 2012, 01:50:39 AM
I heard about Bitcoin when those dudes asked 1 mil in Bitcoin from Romney.
587  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder on: October 04, 2012, 06:01:23 PM
Ok, maybe fake is not the right word to describe it. I was saying orders that didn't go through (buyer changed his mind or just wanted to see what the number was at that point in time) but the order number incremented anyways.
588  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder on: October 04, 2012, 05:56:14 PM
Acording to BFL_Josh I would cut that BFL TH output in half due to a lot of fake orders.

Still, I agree that it doesn't look like a "sure thing" money for people that will order after and even for people that pre-ordered.
589  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Difficulty levels by mid-2013 (end of June) on: October 04, 2012, 05:49:47 PM
For mathematical purposes consider for example the 50-60 mil option as 50 - 59,999,999 ...
590  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE][ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 04, 2012, 05:03:53 PM
@moincoin

All the investments are made in BTC, all revenue will come as BTCs, all net profits payments made are in BTC therefore the exchange rate is irrelevant.

However, part of the revenue will have to be converted into USD to cover monthly expenses that can't be paid in BTC. The exchange rate will only play the role of how big that percentage is thus dictating the actual net profit values compared with total revenue.
591  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Contingency plans for a 51% attack on: October 04, 2012, 04:22:18 PM
@Stephen
Been in that wiki but didn't notice there is actually a Contingency plan section. I would like to quote a few lines for folks reading this thread

Quote
  • Here is a message that could be used to spread the word: "A critical bug has been discovered in Bitcoin. Transactions must be considered REVERSIBLE for the time being. Do not send payments, and do not trust payments that you receive."
  • If you run a Bitcoin-related site, shut down the site and replace it with this message.
  • [Note: The following paragraph only applies to certain attacks and may need to be removed.]
    If you are solo mining or running a pool, you must stop mining until you upgrade to the latest version (which may not be released quite yet). If you are mining in a pool, shut down your miner until your pool upgrades. If you continue mining, any blocks you solve will end up being rejected eventually, and you will be working against the legitimate chain.
  • Look to your favorite HTTPS-enabled Bitcoin sites for more news. Before running any software, check that a consensus exists among several sites. Do not trust information from Google, as it can be manipulated by the attacker. Other sites, such as bitcoin.org, can likewise be manipulated, though with more difficulty. The most trustworthy source of information is the text that appears at the bottom of the graphical Bitcoin client.
592  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 04, 2012, 04:10:08 PM
I see scarcity as being contained within protections against counterfeit and market failure.

I don't.

The same article says

Quote
Paper currencies only derive their "value" from what is known as legal tender laws, which are in essence a threat of legal prosecution, and or force, if they are not accepted as money for payment.  ... The governments that sponsor them have essentially unlimited power in their ability to create new supplies.

When using Bitcoin or gold/silver as currency, you don't have unlimited supply even if your life depends on it. Because of the algorithm, miners need to do the work to get new coins and same thing goes for gold coins; someone has to actually go, dig, process and mint the metal into coins.
593  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Contingency plans for a 51% attack on: October 04, 2012, 03:56:45 PM
Are there any contingency plans in case of a 51% attack?

I mean what do we do? Find out who's owning the IPs and hire al-Qaeda to suicide bomb them? lol

Now seriously, what do we do? Do we stop all transactions until the attack is over? Just lay down and let the Bitcoin idea die?
594  Economy / Speculation / Re: RALLY!!! on: October 04, 2012, 03:52:15 PM
595  Economy / Economics / Re: Grand Unified Monetary Theory on: October 04, 2012, 03:34:41 PM
Where is scarcity? Or in other words, a limited quantity and being hard to get more.
596  Other / Off-topic / Re: TOWN HALL (prep) Meeting: Butterfly Labs on: October 02, 2012, 07:10:03 PM
You're right. Sorry, I was under the impression is the other thread with the factory visit.
597  Other / Off-topic / Re: TOWN HALL (prep) Meeting: Butterfly Labs on: October 02, 2012, 05:56:13 PM
There is a poll on their portal forum with a "final" list of candidates. I assume that Josh is waiting for that poll to close to announce the person.
598  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: [Poll] What have you doing with the coins you mined? on: October 02, 2012, 05:38:07 PM
GHs much? lol.

I ain't producing bitcoin at this momemnt (ordered some ASICs) but I plan to at least sell some coinage to cover electricity costs and equipment depreciation once the gear arrives.
599  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: ASICs - the race against time & the race get the most Gh/s from a W on: October 02, 2012, 04:48:46 PM
1) The Jalapeno is one of the lowest MHs/$ ASICs. The SC Single is over 50% faster per dollar spent.

That's what I would like to "speculate" about with my fellow forumists here. From a ROI perspective, in the medium term, getting a rig that offers more Gh/s/$ is better than getting one that is offers more Gh/s/W. However, in the long run, both devices will pay off their initial costs and then the Gh/s/W will win.

What should we do if we don't have money to buy the best of both worlds? Will you bet on the long-run horse (Gh/s/W) or the short-medium run one (Gh/s/$)?

How high would the difficulty have to rise to change your mind?
600  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE][ASICMining.B] ASIC Investments - Establishing my Investment Firm, Part 1 on: October 02, 2012, 04:42:45 PM
BFL uses BitPay to instantly convert received BTC to USD.

Got it. Thanks for the screenshot.
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