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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin price in 5 years - 2/2013 on: November 04, 2017, 04:22:56 AM
It's very possible in 5 years time there could even be a war within Bitcoin itself.  The problem with the 1MB size limit for example and how to deal with it.  As problems and solutions come up, I could see forks in Bitcoin as a possibility.  Some people go with Bitcoin-y for a certain reason while others go with Bitcoin-x for other reasons.

If that's the case then the early, pre-fork Bitcoins would be more valuable as they could be used on all chains.  An early adopter bonus, if you will.

How prescient!
2  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / "tragedy of the commons" - solvable by RBF? on: December 10, 2015, 02:25:20 AM
I'm skeptical if this is actually a problem because of higher orphans rates for larger blocks. The idea is this: What if a miner was guaranteed block after block after block ? What transactions would they include? In theory they would find an optimal minimum fee to include in their blocks. People who guessed below this fee would not be included in the block. In the next block, since their demand for their transaction still exists.. they would raise their fee in theory. This may then meet the minimum threshold to be included.

The point is this: Since a miner is not guaranteed block after block an individual miner may undercut his fellow miner by including every transaction that had a fee for maximum profit by making his block large as possible. What incentive is there for him to create a minimum fee if there is no guarantee that the next miner will not follow it?


solution: if a miner detects that a transaction is under the minimum he can not include the transaction. The next block, if the transaction is an RBF transaction then a part of the fee for that transaction (which would be higher) would be split between the miner of the last block and the current miner.

problem: this wouldn't work for non RBF transactions. Is the fee enough to be split and make it economically incentivized?. Is this possible to split an RBF fee in this manner through a soft fork or only hard? would you have to incentivize RBF transactions somehow since it doesn't work for non RBF ones? Can the coinbase transaction pay out to the old miner as well using the last payout address or would that be too complicated?
3  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 09:14:42 PM
technically there was a guy that was willing to pay over 1.1 btc for each coin in the first one but he didn't because the bidding didn't have the same format as here. that is why we all sat around for 45 minutes . at the time I think 1.1 was worth over 300 dollars for just once coin so we paid a little less than that guy was willing in terms of dollars. But those were lower number coins
4  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 08:51:42 PM
do we get sent an invoice number for that bitpay page?
5  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 08:25:05 PM
2 @ 0.52
6  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 08:16:28 PM
2 @ 0.48
7  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 08:12:00 PM
2 @ 0.44
8  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 07:53:32 PM
2 @ 0.41

notig @ 0.41
notig @ 0.41
9  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION #2] 15x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: November 04, 2015, 07:29:38 PM
out of curiosity are these coins considered worth less than the previous batch because they are "higher number" or whatever?
10  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION] 20x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: October 28, 2015, 04:18:59 AM
2 @ 0.34

notig @ 0.34
notig @ 0.34
11  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION] 20x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: October 27, 2015, 04:26:51 PM
Don't mean to derail the thread i'm just wondering something... if the trustless coin uses 2 of 2 that means a private key is on the coin and you also have a private key. You need both to spend the funds. But how do you get hold of the public address so you can load the coin properly without knowing both of the keys? Can you derive a public address from just half the key?
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Halvening is taking effect from now on on: October 27, 2015, 02:11:28 AM
mark my words the price won't significantly rise again until a couple of things are fixed: scalabilty (at least a bandaid) and the bitcoin winklevii ETF
13  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION] 20x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: October 25, 2015, 05:25:42 PM
I have a couple of questions... I have a friend in Romania that I will be visiting in February. Is it possible to ship a coin to them and pick it up from them with their permission? If I get a coin that is pre loaded would I have any problems going through customs back to the USA? Is it better to carry such a coin on your person, with a carryon item, or with your large luggage? theoretically speaking... what is the opinion of having a coin with a time locked transaction making the funds on the coin unavailable until some point in the future?

Well, there is no problem with this arrangement. You can ask for shipping to Romania no problem. The coin itself, if it is bought loaded, will actually be loaded only when it is activated. So it is actually shipped empty. You can activate the coin and thus get it funded when you're back in the US. That would be the safest method. As for the plane travel, I would carry these in the carry-on but not sure if it matters much.

For the record i'm interested in the trustless 2/2 one

notig 2 @ 0.3
14  Economy / Auctions / Re: [AUCTION] 20x Denarium 1 BTC Physical Bitcoin on: October 25, 2015, 04:48:13 PM
I have a couple of questions... I have a friend in Romania that I will be visiting in February. Is it possible to ship a coin to them and pick it up from them with their permission?
If I get a coin that is pre loaded would I have any problems going through customs back to the USA? Is it better to carry such a coin on your person, with a carryon item, or with your large luggage?
theoretically speaking... what is the opinion of having a coin with a time locked transaction making the funds on the coin unavailable until some point in the future?
15  Bitcoin / Armory / Armory was working but now when I try to broadcast the network rejects it on: September 04, 2014, 01:19:44 AM
I tried to create two transactions tonight and each one was rejected. As soon as I tried to broadcast it the bitcoinqt said it disconnected and then I got a message from armory saying that it failed somehow. Help?
I could try installing the newest armory software but I don't want to redownload the whole blockchain again. Is it possible to update armory separately? Is that what I should do here? I am a bit worried.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Peter R's theory on the collapse of MtGox and its effect on the price of bitcoin on: March 03, 2014, 07:58:10 AM
I am just going to add on to the speculation a bit here. There has been a confirmed leak of audio from January with Mark and a bank of theirs in Japan. This bank was going to shut them down. Without a bank mt gox would have to stop operations and there would be withdrawals in mass. The shit would hit the fan if they were operating under fractional reserve. Is it just a coincidence then that shortly after mark finds out his bank is shutting him down that they lose several hundred thousand bitcoins due to "malleability" ?  I don't think so. Mark is using the malleability as a scapegoat. I think he was operating under fractional reserve and I also think he tucked away many bitcoins for himself since his exchange was going down anyway.
17  Economy / Service Discussion / Gox updated their page "Civil rehabilitation" March 2nd - on: March 02, 2014, 05:04:42 AM
To anyone concerned

Mark Karpeles
Representative Director
MtGox Co., Ltd.
Shibuya 2-11-5

Shibuya-ku, Tokyo

ANNOUNCEMENT REGARDING AN APPLICATION FOR COMMENCEMENT OF A PROCEDURE OF CIVIL REHABILITATION

An overview of the situation should be published here shortly (probably on March 3, 2014 (Japan time)).

Contact information

A call center has been established to respond to all inquiries. The call center is planned to start on March 3, 2014. All inquiries to MtGox Co., Ltd. should be made to the following telephone number:

Telephone number   +81 3-4588-3921
Working hours    Monday to Friday 10am to 5pm (Japan time)

Please refrain from contacting the office of the supervisor/investigator.
18  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: It seems that some people are hoping that the US gov confiscated gox cold wallet on: March 01, 2014, 03:03:18 AM
If that happens then bitcoin is permanently broken.

I think people should get this $100K per btc idea out of their head.  An alt-coin will keep emerging that solves a previous flaw and the interest in 21m spreads out to others.

People that sold @ $1000+ were very smart.

A hundred currencies with small worth aren't as useful as a single currency with large worth because of market depth and volume and stability
19  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / It seems that some people are hoping that the US gov confiscated gox cold wallet on: March 01, 2014, 02:07:24 AM
but this would be the worst case scenario for bitcoin. If Mark stole the bitcoins...... that is bad. If he gave them away because of poor programming that is also bad. But if the government of the US can come and confiscate cold wallets of exchanges because some funds sent to that exchange were from crime........ then it sets a precedent for bitcoin that is terrible. It means that exchanges could no longer trust funds sent to them and they would voluntarily start going on "coin validation" schemes which would destroy fungibility.  If it is true it is also terribly unfair because cash goes into banks all the time that is from crime in some form or another and they never go into banks and confiscate everyones money because of it.
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: What if MtGox makes good? on: February 27, 2014, 04:50:23 AM
Who's theory is this?  It makes no sense, with due respect!

I have no idea whether this is correct.  That's why I wrote "WARNING: PURE SPECULATION."

The bottom line is that there's no way MtGox didn't notice a slow theft of 750,000 BTC.  My three contending theories in current order of preference are:

#1.  What I posted above.
#2.  The 750,000 BTC figure is FUD designed to buy-out GoxBTC for cheap and close the (smaller) solvency gap.  
#3.  The "Mark messed-up the private key to deep cold storage" theory.

Quote
R U saying that the price of BTC should bounce because 750 k are gone?...

If there are 750k BTC less than what everyone thought, I'd say that was very bullish, at least over the medium and long term.  

Theory #2 is wrong because if that was the case they would not have stopped the trading engine. You can't get your bitcoins to the bitbuilder gox address without the trading engine so that would have severely limited things.

I thought they might have had a few thousand coins stolen but this magnitude of a situation surprised me.
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