Short-term target?

[AmazonStuff]

Please share your opinion 

[uMMcQxCWELNzkt]

You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes.

[AmazonStuff]

You should add $180+ and $40- just for the sake of those who believe in either of the extremes.

Here, you have extremes now

[evolve]

Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days.

[AmazonStuff]

Depends on what you mean by "short term" (Weeks, days, hours, minutes?). I voted $80 and assumed we were talking about days.

OK, let's say 24h

[AmazonStuff]

Currently, results look like normal distribution...

[Ichthyo]

Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

[arepo]

straight to zero, of course

edit:

Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?

[notme]

straight to zero, of course

edit:

Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?

Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation)

[seleme]

Don't have idea and nobody does. Act as it happens, that's the only way you can deal with bitcoins market, unless you're the one who can make things happen.

[arepo]

straight to zero, of course

edit:

Currently, results look like normal distribution...

...centred roughly at the current price
with a bias to slightly lower values in the centre of weight,
but with a more developed tail on the up side

this is a really good model. the normal distribution is a probabilistic representation. i wonder how one would go about calculating the skew?

Skew = (mean - median ) / (standard deviation)

executing that on historical price data would be simple. the question is, is it a functioning indicator? is the height above the peak of the distribution indicative of deviation from a trendline? time-scale matters here as well.