uki
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Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000
cryptojunk bag holder
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April 06, 2015, 06:47:55 PM |
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@OP: can we have a summary of all predictions so far in some spreadsheet? It would be very interesting to see the sentiment of posters.
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this space is intentionally left blank
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BTCat (OP)
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Activity: 1960
Merit: 1010
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April 06, 2015, 07:01:24 PM |
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@OP: can we have a summary of all predictions so far in some spreadsheet? It would be very interesting to see the sentiment of posters.
Feel free to make it, a little busy here.
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Febo
Legendary
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Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
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April 06, 2015, 07:04:02 PM |
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463.76
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ravenjt
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April 07, 2015, 01:10:49 PM |
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49.99
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ensurance982
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April 07, 2015, 03:56:19 PM |
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$2'300. I believe we have witnessed the true turnaround now and as soon as we break the resistance line of the current downtrend, we will climb back up. Pop at $3'500 or something and then downtrend to a certain degree. See you in 2016
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yefi
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Activity: 2842
Merit: 1511
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April 07, 2015, 05:27:42 PM Last edit: April 10, 2015, 10:10:10 AM by yefi |
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@OP: can we have a summary of all predictions so far in some spreadsheet? It would be very interesting to see the sentiment of posters.
Name_________________ | Amount ($) | chmod755 | 0.05 | Jammalan the Prophet | 1.00 | mikelitoris | 17.00 | NotHatinJustTrollin | 36.00 | esse83 | 44.00 | ravenjt | 49.99 | thewayshegoes | 54.60 | God27 | 62.00 | BitcoinNewbie15 | 63.44 | Morecoin Freeman | 67.23 | JorgeStolfi | 81.01 | Dump3er | 89.71 | WiiD | 111.00 | SkyValeey | 130.00 | leen93 | 158.57 | gentlemand | 249.51 | Shatoshi | 253.12 | uki | 325.00 | erikalui | 350.00 | Losvienleg | 400.00 | gizmoh | 411.00 | CryptoChaser | 423.00 | litedoge | 444.00 | panjul07 | 444.44 | Febo | 463.76 | snatchmonkey | 475.00 | 1Referee | 520.00 | Q7 | 524.00 | 100x | 565.00 | Katsou | 604.53 | cakir | 613.00 | randy8777 | 650.00 | bitebits | 666.00 | futureofbitcoin | 668.83 | sandy47bt | 817.14 | btcbug | 843.00 | Grand_Voyageur | 860.65 | Amph | 899.70 | bugmenot | 990.00 | unsoindovo | 1,000.00 | pereira4 | 1,192.25 | BitmoreCoin | 1,210.00 | WeltMaster | 1,337.69 | BTCat | 1,426.00 | BitBOOM | 1,512.00 | TQMA | 1,719.00 | Miz4r | 1,852.49 | Kexkey | 2,088.00 | ensurance982 | 2,300.00 | LOBSTER | 2,849.00 | nicked | 3,000.00 | macsga | 3,133.70 | Odalv | 3,150.00 | Chainsaw | 4,120.16 | ssmc2 | 4,232.76 | lunarboy | 5,432.10 | ejinte | 7,777.00 | Bitcoiner_cph | 10,483.98 | americanpegasus | 19,732.00 | agentcash | 187,518.80 |
Stats_____________ | | Response Count: | 60 | Median: | $608.77 | Geometric Mean: | $494.91 | Believe new high: | 33% | Believe rangebound: | 42% | Believe new low: | 25% | edit: updated with latest figures
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Natalia_AnatolioPAMM
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April 07, 2015, 05:38:36 PM |
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$2'300. I believe we have witnessed the true turnaround now and as soon as we break the resistance line of the current downtrend, we will climb back up. Pop at $3'500 or something and then downtrend to a certain degree. See you in 2016 so optimistic
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ensurance982
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April 07, 2015, 05:47:56 PM |
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It's incredible that this year's bets are way lower than last year's... Then again, if you look at the predictions, they tend to be at about 3x the current price in median. Last year was something along the lines of 6x or something. Still optimistic, but a bit battered bullish....
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BTCat (OP)
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Activity: 1960
Merit: 1010
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April 07, 2015, 06:07:34 PM |
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I believe the next bullmarket will at least start this year but is gonna take several years to reach the top. So my own entree will be on the road towards that: US$1,426
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Grand_Voyageur
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April 07, 2015, 07:35:10 PM |
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@OP: can we have a summary of all predictions so far in some spreadsheet? It would be very interesting to see the sentiment of posters.
Name_________________ | Amount ($) | chmod755 | | Jammalan the Prophet | 1.00 | mikelitoris | 17.00 | NotHatinJustTrollin | 36.00 | esse83 | 44.00 | ravenjt | 49.99 | thewayshegoes | 54.60 | BitcoinNewbie15 | 63.44 | Morecoin Freeman | 67.23 | JorgeStolfi | 81.01 | Dump3er | 89.71 | WiiD | 111.00 | SkyValeey | 130.00 | leen93 | 158.57 | gentlemand | 249.51 | Shatoshi | 253.12 | uki | 325.00 | erikalui | 350.00 | gizmoh | 411.00 | panjul07 | 444.44 | Febo | 463.76 | snatchmonkey | 475.00 | 1Referee | 520.00 | Q7 | 524.00 | Katsou | 604.53 | cakir | 613.00 | randy8777 | 650.00 | bitebits | 666.00 | futureofbitcoin | 668.83 | Grand_Voyageur | 860.65 | Amph | 899.70 | bugmenot | 990.00 | unsoindovo | 1,000.00 | pereira4 | 1,192.25 | BitmoreCoin | 1,210.00 | WeltMaster | 1,337.69 | TQMA | 1,719.00 | Miz4r | 1,852.49 | Kexkey | 2,088.00 | ensurance982 | 2,300.00 | macsga | 3,133.70 | Odalv | 3,150.00 | Chainsaw | 4,120.16 | ssmc2 | 4,232.76 | lunarboy | 5,432.10 | ejinte | 7,777.00 | Bitcoiner_cph | 10,483.98 | americanpegasus | 19,732.00 | agentcash | 187,518.75 |
Median response: $604.53. Did you use a Gaussian function to have it? A normal distribution is very good to understand probability...
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ensurance982
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April 07, 2015, 07:49:01 PM |
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I believe the next bullmarket will at least start this year but is gonna take several years to reach the top. So my own entree will be on the road towards that: US$1,426
Interesting prediction, but I honestly don't think that it will take us more than a handful months (at most) to achieve a new ATH as soon we've passed, say $600 or so. Things may get pretty bullish once we've passed $350!
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We Support Currencies: BTC, LTC, USD, EUR, GBP
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nicked
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April 07, 2015, 10:02:19 PM |
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$3000.00
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yefi
Legendary
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Activity: 2842
Merit: 1511
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April 07, 2015, 10:24:00 PM |
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Did you use a Gaussian function to have it? A normal distribution is very good to understand probability...
The median is simply the middle number of the sample here. The data isn't distributed normally, the mean is over $5000 and the SD over $26000.
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Morecoin Freeman
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April 07, 2015, 10:32:15 PM |
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^ Thank you for combining the responses! Nicely done.
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Ask the stranger he knows who you really are.
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JorgeStolfi
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April 07, 2015, 11:38:49 PM |
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The median is simply the middle number of the sample here. The data isn't distributed normally, the mean is over $5000 and the SD over $26000.
Should have used log scale (seriously!) i.e. use the geometric mean instead of arithmetic mean, and compute the SD by exp(sqrt(sum((log(P(i)) - log(Pmean))^2))).
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Academic interest in bitcoin only. Not owner, not trader, very skeptical of its longterm success.
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God27
Sr. Member
Offline
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
The 4th industrial revolution!
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April 08, 2015, 12:04:53 AM |
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$62
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btcbug
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April 08, 2015, 05:00:53 AM |
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$843
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BitBOOM
Member
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Activity: 69
Merit: 10
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April 08, 2015, 05:44:43 AM |
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$1512
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JorgeStolfi
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April 08, 2015, 10:22:46 AM |
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where do you all take these numbers from?
Real numbers, unlike 'real money', are inflationary and infinitely divisible. Their Central Bank can issue an infinite amount of them in an arbitrarily short time. In fact, more than you can count.
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Academic interest in bitcoin only. Not owner, not trader, very skeptical of its longterm success.
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