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Author Topic: Newest Diff thread April 19th to May 1st-Closed for picks!!  (Read 7490 times)
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notlist3d
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May 02, 2015, 05:39:51 PM
 #201

I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present.
That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%)  
Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days  
Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s




I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative.  There is no way we will get three in a row.

It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash.  Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened.

I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened.  we are really close to 0 at the moment .

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty     (-0.09%)


www.coinbase.com = 234 usd

188 blocks to go means  12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time  sunday the 3rd

Bitwisdom went down slightly:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,524,306,892 (-0.18%)
Adjust time:    After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days

Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day.
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May 03, 2015, 01:27:19 AM
 #202

I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present.
That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%)  
Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days  
Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s




I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative.  There is no way we will get three in a row.

It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash.  Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened.

I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened.  we are really close to 0 at the moment .

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty     (-0.09%)


www.coinbase.com = 234 usd

188 blocks to go means  12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time  sunday the 3rd

Bitwisdom went down slightly:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,524,306,892 (-0.18%)
Adjust time:    After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days

Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day.

Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0.

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May 03, 2015, 01:30:24 AM
 #203

I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present.
That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%)  
Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days  
Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s




I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative.  There is no way we will get three in a row.

It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash.  Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened.

I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened.  we are really close to 0 at the moment .

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty     (-0.09%)


www.coinbase.com = 234 usd

188 blocks to go means  12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time  sunday the 3rd

Bitwisdom went down slightly:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,524,306,892 (-0.18%)
Adjust time:    After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days

Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day.

Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0.

we are at + 0.00086%   basically we are +1 block according to www.bitcoincharts.com


So slow sales via bitmaintech.com and ehash.com  and some downclocking due to hot weather  = almost 0%

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 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 01:57:40 AM
 #204

I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present.
That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.

Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%)  
Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days  
Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s




I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative.  There is no way we will get three in a row.

It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash.  Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened.

I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened.  we are really close to 0 at the moment .

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty     (-0.09%)


www.coinbase.com = 234 usd

188 blocks to go means  12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time  sunday the 3rd

Bitwisdom went down slightly:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,524,306,892 (-0.18%)
Adjust time:    After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days

Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day.

Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0.

we are at + 0.00086%   basically we are +1 block according to www.bitcoincharts.com


So slow sales via bitmaintech.com and ehash.com  and some downclocking due to hot weather  = almost 0%

Right now we are at 234 per bitcoin.  Today we seem to be in 230's up and down some.  Slightly on a downward trend.

Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,532,050,083 (-0.16%)
Adjust time:    After 118 Blocks, About 19.9 hours
Hashrate(?):    330,598,743 GH/s
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May 03, 2015, 02:44:32 AM
 #205

Don't forget that it's the time of the 2015th block that matters (diff retarget calc is based on the difference between 2015 blocks not 2016) so you're always +1 block if you're thinking of it as 2016 blocks between retargets.
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May 03, 2015, 02:52:32 AM
 #206

I believe this is up to date.

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts

145  Apr   19th  half old adjustment
155  Apr   20th    + 12
157  Apr   21st    + 25
149  Apr   22nd   + 30  
131  Apr   23rd   + 17 blocks is real time number  
124  Apr   24th    -  3   blocks is a real time number at the end of the 24th
159  Apr   25th   + 22 blocks
151  Apr   26th   + 29 blocks
135  Apr   27th   + 20 blocks
150  Apr   28th    +26 blocks
130  Apr   29th    +12 blocks
133  Apr   30th     +1 block
144  May     1st     +1 block
149  May    2nd     +6 blocks

drifted just a bit over.

we have made 1931 blocks vs 1925

so we are at  (+0.311%)



-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings
-2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress
-1.76 to -2.00% Lboss
-1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1
-1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000
-1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76 to  -1.00% Jamphone
-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron
-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift
-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

0.00   EMIF

+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee
+0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan
+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow
+0.76 to 1.00% coinits
+1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm

+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor
+1.51 to 1.75% Korbman
+1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean
+2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia
+2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d


I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads   (+0.13%)

I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss  as sinking under Bittings pick of  -2.26% to -2.50% becomes  very hard.  


Most likely -0.75% to + 1.25 % .  I bolded the people I think can still win with 85 blocks left.


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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 05:36:25 AM
 #207


I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened.  we are really close to 0 at the moment .

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty     (-0.09%)


www.coinbase.com = 234 usd

188 blocks to go means  12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time  sunday the 3rd

Which, if I time everything just right, will be when I wake up.  Time for sleep, I will dream of negative network difficulty.
philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 11:42:47 AM
 #208


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty = (-0.56%)

we have made 1973 blocks only 43 to go

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   354773
Total BTC   14.119M
 
Difficulty   47610564513
Estimated   47389911971 in 43 blks
 
Network total   324507.571 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.71 / 630 s

we dropped a bit last night.  we are at   -0.46%

-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings
-2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress
-1.76 to -2.00% Lboss
-1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1
-1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000

-1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76 to  -1.00% Jamphone
-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron
-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift
-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

0.00   EMIF

+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee
+0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan


+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow
+0.76 to 1.00% coinits
+1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm
+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor
+1.51 to 1.75% Korbman
+1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean
+2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia
+2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d


I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads   (+0.13%)

I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss  as sinking under Bittings pick of  -2.26% to -2.50% becomes  very hard.  


Most likely -1.25% to + 0.75 % .  I bolded the people I think can still win with 43 blocks left.

EMIF with the 0 pick is still in the running!

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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
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.. PLAY NOW ..
philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 01:58:48 PM
 #209

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty = (-0.78%)

we have made 1986 blocks only 30 to go   it is drifting lower

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/   now about (-0.79%)


Blocks   354786
Total BTC   14.120M
 
Difficulty   47610564513
Estimated   47230956139 in 30 blks
 
Network total   321304.059 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.66 / 636 s




-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings
-2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress
-1.76 to -2.00% Lboss
-1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1
-1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000

-1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76 to  -1.00% Jamphone
-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron
-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift
-0.01 to -0.25% Amph


0.00                 EMIF
+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee
+0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan
+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow
+0.76 to 1.00% coinits
+1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm
+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor
+1.51 to 1.75% Korbman
+1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean
+2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia
+2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d


I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads   (-0.78%)

I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss  as sinking under Bittings pick of  -2.26% to -2.50% becomes  next to impossible.  


Most likely -1.25% to - 0.25 % .  I bolded the people I think can still win with 30 blocks left.




Jamphone is in the lead  eretron  and myself are second and third

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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 02:06:10 PM
 #210

haha photo finish Cheesy

So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy Smiley

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May 03, 2015, 02:52:11 PM
 #211

haha photo finish Cheesy

So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy Smiley

very tight  I have the real number at -0.2667%

these three are closest:

-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron

-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift

-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

20 blocks left

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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 03:12:19 PM
 #212

haha photo finish Cheesy

So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy Smiley

very tight  I have the real number at -0.2667%

these three are closest:

-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron

-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift

-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

20 blocks left

Looking like a negative again:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,407,114,788 (-0.43%)
Adjust time:    After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours
Hashrate(?):    339,359,786 GH/s

Think summer is causing some to unplug?
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May 03, 2015, 03:22:43 PM
Last edit: May 03, 2015, 05:53:09 PM by philipma1957
 #213

haha photo finish Cheesy

So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy Smiley

very tight  I have the real number at -0.2667%

these three are closest:

-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron

-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift

-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

20 blocks left

Looking like a negative again:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,407,114,788 (-0.43%)
Adjust time:    After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours
Hashrate(?):    339,359,786 GH/s

Think summer is causing some to unplug?
 downclocks due to heat is more likely .

My avalon will need to downclock very soon due to warming weather.

We are now on 23 minutes since last block.  I could get closer. -0.101 to -0.125 is my pick

make it 25 minutes.  since block 354798


big fast flurry of blocks  we are at 0.02%  with four blocks left.  11 blocks in 62 minutes! smoking !!!

Looks like I am done.  would be cool to see it be 0.

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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 06:19:16 PM
 #214

haha photo finish Cheesy

So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy Smiley

very tight  I have the real number at -0.2667%

these three are closest:

-0.50 to -0.75%  eretron

-0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift

-0.01 to -0.25% Amph

20 blocks left

Looking like a negative again:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    47,610,564,513
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,407,114,788 (-0.43%)
Adjust time:    After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours
Hashrate(?):    339,359,786 GH/s

Think summer is causing some to unplug?
 downclocks due to heat is more likely .

My avalon will need to downclock very soon due to warming weather.

We are now on 23 minutes since last block.  I could get closer. -0.101 to -0.125 is my pick

make it 25 minutes.  since block 354798


big fast flurry of blocks  we are at 0.02%  with four blocks left.  11 blocks in 62 minutes! smoking !!!

Looks like I am done.  would be cool to see it be 0.


and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0.20 btc prize

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May 03, 2015, 06:22:45 PM
 #215

It would be nice to see 2 negatives, congrats to zebeedee. I am quite happy with 0.07 also...

See you at the next round...

EMIF
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May 03, 2015, 07:01:52 PM
 #216

-snip-

and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize

Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks Cheesy
philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 07:23:16 PM
Last edit: May 03, 2015, 07:39:35 PM by philipma1957
 #217

-snip-

and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize

Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks Cheesy

if it was a horse race the call would be

 zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!!

▄▄███████▄▄
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.
 MΞTAWIN  THE FIRST WEB3 CASINO   
.
.. PLAY NOW ..
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May 03, 2015, 08:16:11 PM
 #218

-snip-

and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize

Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks Cheesy

if it was a horse race the call would be

 zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!!

That was a fun race though!  I can handle this small of a positive Smiley
suchmoon
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May 03, 2015, 08:18:41 PM
 #219

-snip-

and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize

Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks Cheesy

if it was a horse race the call would be

 zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!!

That was a fun race though!  I can handle this small of a positive Smiley

Nice. I think this is as close to zero as we've ever been.
zebedee
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May 03, 2015, 09:36:06 PM
 #220

-snip-

and done   at + 0.07%   looks like zebeedee wins

please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize

Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks Cheesy

if it was a horse race the call would be

 zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!!

That was a fun race though!  I can handle this small of a positive Smiley

Nice. I think this is as close to zero as we've ever been.

Thanks very much, unexpected!  It's very generous of you.  Please send to 1NmY4u8fGUQRKQWDeeJYLJHWpLGHgpzQDS, thanks.
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