notlist3d
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May 02, 2015, 05:39:51 PM |
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I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present. That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%) Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s
I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative. There is no way we will get three in a row. It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash. Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened. I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened. we are really close to 0 at the moment . https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-0.09%) www.coinbase.com = 234 usd 188 blocks to go means 12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time sunday the 3rd Bitwisdom went down slightly: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,524,306,892 (-0.18%) Adjust time: After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day.
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ezeminer
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May 03, 2015, 01:27:19 AM |
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I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present. That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%) Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s
I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative. There is no way we will get three in a row. It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash. Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened. I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened. we are really close to 0 at the moment . https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-0.09%) www.coinbase.com = 234 usd 188 blocks to go means 12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time sunday the 3rd Bitwisdom went down slightly: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,524,306,892 (-0.18%) Adjust time: After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day. Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 01:30:24 AM |
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I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present. That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%) Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s
I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative. There is no way we will get three in a row. It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash. Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened. I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened. we are really close to 0 at the moment . https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-0.09%) www.coinbase.com = 234 usd 188 blocks to go means 12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time sunday the 3rd Bitwisdom went down slightly: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,524,306,892 (-0.18%) Adjust time: After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day. Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0. we are at + 0.00086% basically we are +1 block according to www.bitcoincharts.comSo slow sales via bitmaintech.com and ehash.com and some downclocking due to hot weather = almost 0%
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notlist3d
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May 03, 2015, 01:57:40 AM |
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I'm going to say it's likely to stay in the negatives between Jamphone and eretron at present. That said if we see a decrease in this round the next one will likely be green since we haven't had a consecutive difficulty decrease in a long time.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,355,872,972 (-0.53%) Adjust time: After 231 Blocks, About 1.6 days Hashrate(?): 325,322,454 GH/s
I would agree if we somehow get lucky enough to have a second negative. There is no way we will get three in a row. It has slowed down, but not near that level on new hash. Three negative I think would be a first time ever if it happened. I don't know if 3 negs in a row ever happened. we are really close to 0 at the moment . https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-0.09%) www.coinbase.com = 234 usd 188 blocks to go means 12 noon to 4 pm eastern standard time sunday the 3rd Bitwisdom went down slightly: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,524,306,892 (-0.18%) Adjust time: After 143 Blocks, About 1.0 days Still don't think we will get luck enough for 2 negatives but guess we will see in around a day. Well I believe it is safe to say that a -1% to 0.5% is going to win. Maybe even a ninja snipe at 0. we are at + 0.00086% basically we are +1 block according to www.bitcoincharts.comSo slow sales via bitmaintech.com and ehash.com and some downclocking due to hot weather = almost 0% Right now we are at 234 per bitcoin. Today we seem to be in 230's up and down some. Slightly on a downward trend. Bitwisdom: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,532,050,083 (-0.16%) Adjust time: After 118 Blocks, About 19.9 hours Hashrate(?): 330,598,743 GH/s
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zebedee
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May 03, 2015, 02:44:32 AM |
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Don't forget that it's the time of the 2015th block that matters (diff retarget calc is based on the difference between 2015 blocks not 2016) so you're always +1 block if you're thinking of it as 2016 blocks between retargets.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 02:52:32 AM |
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I believe this is up to date. http://btc.blockr.io/charts145 Apr 19th half old adjustment 155 Apr 20th + 12 157 Apr 21st + 25 149 Apr 22nd + 30 131 Apr 23rd + 17 blocks is real time number 124 Apr 24th - 3 blocks is a real time number at the end of the 24th 159 Apr 25th + 22 blocks 151 Apr 26th + 29 blocks 135 Apr 27th + 20 blocks 150 Apr 28th +26 blocks 130 Apr 29th +12 blocks 133 Apr 30th +1 block 144 May 1st +1 block 149 May 2nd +6 blocks drifted just a bit over. we have made 1931 blocks vs 1925 so we are at (+0.311%)-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph
0.00 EMIF
+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan +0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm+1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads (+0.13%)I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss as sinking under Bittings pick of -2.26% to -2.50% becomes very hard. Most likely -0.75% to + 1.25 % . I bolded the people I think can still win with 85 blocks left.
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Mikestang
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May 03, 2015, 05:36:25 AM |
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Which, if I time everything just right, will be when I wake up. Time for sleep, I will dream of negative network difficulty.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 11:42:47 AM |
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https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty = (-0.56%)we have made 1973 blocks only 43 to go http://www.bitcoincharts.com/Blocks 354773 Total BTC 14.119M Difficulty 47610564513 Estimated 47389911971 in 43 blks Network total 324507.571 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.71 / 630 s we dropped a bit last night. we are at -0.46%-2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph
0.00 EMIF
+0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan+0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm +1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads (+0.13%)I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss as sinking under Bittings pick of -2.26% to -2.50% becomes very hard. Most likely -1.25% to + 0.75 % . I bolded the people I think can still win with 43 blocks left. EMIF with the 0 pick is still in the running!
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 01:58:48 PM |
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https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty = (-0.78%)we have made 1986 blocks only 30 to go it is drifting lower http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ now about (-0.79%)Blocks 354786 Total BTC 14.120M Difficulty 47610564513 Estimated 47230956139 in 30 blks Network total 321304.059 Thash/s Blocks/hour 5.66 / 636 s -2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph0.00 EMIF +0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan +0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm +1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d I know that www.bitcoinwisdom.com reads (-0.78%)I think it would be almost next to impossible for a miss as sinking under Bittings pick of -2.26% to -2.50% becomes next to impossible. Most likely -1.25% to - 0.25 % . I bolded the people I think can still win with 30 blocks left. Jamphone is in the lead eretron and myself are second and third
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eretron
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May 03, 2015, 02:06:10 PM |
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haha photo finish ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 02:52:11 PM |
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haha photo finish ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) very tight I have the real number at -0.2667% these three are closest: -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph 20 blocks left
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notlist3d
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May 03, 2015, 03:12:19 PM |
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haha photo finish ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) very tight I have the real number at -0.2667% these three are closest: -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph 20 blocks left Looking like a negative again: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,407,114,788 (-0.43%) Adjust time: After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours Hashrate(?): 339,359,786 GH/s Think summer is causing some to unplug?
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 03:22:43 PM Last edit: May 03, 2015, 05:53:09 PM by philipma1957 |
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haha photo finish ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) very tight I have the real number at -0.2667% these three are closest: -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph 20 blocks left Looking like a negative again: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,407,114,788 (-0.43%) Adjust time: After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours Hashrate(?): 339,359,786 GH/s Think summer is causing some to unplug? downclocks due to heat is more likely . My avalon will need to downclock very soon due to warming weather. We are now on 23 minutes since last block. I could get closer. -0.101 to -0.125 is my pick make it 25 minutes. since block 354798 big fast flurry of blocks we are at 0.02% with four blocks left. 11 blocks in 62 minutes! smoking !!! Looks like I am done. would be cool to see it be 0.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 06:19:16 PM |
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haha photo finish ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) So we are close to see 2 negatives in a row. Miners will be happy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) very tight I have the real number at -0.2667% these three are closest: -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph 20 blocks left Looking like a negative again: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,610,564,513 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,407,114,788 (-0.43%) Adjust time: After 18 Blocks, About 3.1 hours Hashrate(?): 339,359,786 GH/s Think summer is causing some to unplug? downclocks due to heat is more likely . My avalon will need to downclock very soon due to warming weather. We are now on 23 minutes since last block. I could get closer. -0.101 to -0.125 is my pick make it 25 minutes. since block 354798 big fast flurry of blocks we are at 0.02% with four blocks left. 11 blocks in 62 minutes! smoking !!! Looks like I am done. would be cool to see it be 0. and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0.20 btc prize
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eretron
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May 03, 2015, 06:22:45 PM |
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It would be nice to see 2 negatives, congrats to zebeedee. I am quite happy with 0.07 also...
See you at the next round...
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EMIF
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May 03, 2015, 07:01:52 PM |
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-snip-
and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins
please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize
Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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philipma1957 (OP)
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May 03, 2015, 07:23:16 PM Last edit: May 03, 2015, 07:39:35 PM by philipma1957 |
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-snip-
and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins
please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize
Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) if it was a horse race the call would be zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!!
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notlist3d
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May 03, 2015, 08:16:11 PM |
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-snip-
and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins
please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize
Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) if it was a horse race the call would be zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!! That was a fun race though! I can handle this small of a positive ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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suchmoon
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https://bpip.org
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May 03, 2015, 08:18:41 PM |
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-snip-
and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins
please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize
Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) if it was a horse race the call would be zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!! That was a fun race though! I can handle this small of a positive ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Nice. I think this is as close to zero as we've ever been.
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zebedee
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May 03, 2015, 09:36:06 PM |
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-snip-
and done at + 0.07% looks like zebeedee wins
please give suchmoon a btc addy for the 0. 20 btc prize
Was too close... Congrats zebedee, however very strange last 15 blocks ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) if it was a horse race the call would be zebedee from out of the clouds with a closing rush!!! That was a fun race though! I can handle this small of a positive ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Nice. I think this is as close to zero as we've ever been. Thanks very much, unexpected! It's very generous of you. Please send to 1NmY4u8fGUQRKQWDeeJYLJHWpLGHgpzQDS, thanks.
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