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Author Topic: Be very patient, Greek payment drama to continue beyond 2050  (Read 1777 times)
yellowpage09 (OP)
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April 21, 2015, 08:21:17 AM
 #1

http://www.fxwirepro.com/data/charts/201504215679ef8dGreece's%20debt%20due.jpg.jpg

European creditors and Greek government remains at logger heads over the reforms that Greece needs to progress with in order to keep it afloat and within Euro zone.

Some market participants and official institutions like IMF in recent past have indicated that their patience over current Greek government is nearing end and fast action is required.
However analysis over Greece's debt distribution suggests that it is going to be very long affair and as Yanis Varoufakis suggested, this is how Europe moves on from crisis to crisis.

Next major payment tranche is due to IMF on May 12, which is about € 0.77 billion and as of now LAST PAYMENT TRANCHE IS DUE TO EUROPEAN STABILITY FUND (EFSF) ON 28TH APRIL 2054.
In 2011/12 debt crisis it was very clear that Greece has no ability to pay back at least in near term. What was done is distribute the loans over many years and propose such a program that will bring competitive advantage and growth back in Greece, similar to Ireland.

Fantastic chart from WSJ provides glimpse to Greece's liability.

This year remains crucial, as large sum beyond €25 billion is due this year towards IMF, ECB and Treasury bill holders.

What went wrong?

Growth disappointed in Greece and policy makers failed to move ahead with reform amid deteriorating living condition.
With Greece keep returning money till 2054 at least, there is no point losing patience. What Greece and European lenders need now is a credible plan to manage the payments and intention from Greek officials that they will be honoring payments.

(Source: http://fxwire.pro/Be-very-patient-Greek-payment-drama-to-continue-beyond-2050-27567)
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April 21, 2015, 08:57:14 AM
 #2

I'm guessing Bitcoin will make the debt easily payable sometime after 2025... as all fiat starts disappearing.

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April 21, 2015, 09:01:18 AM
 #3

I'm guessing Bitcoin will make the debt easily payable sometime after 2025... as all fiat starts disappearing.

lol ... this entire European crisis lingers forever, the ones who suffer are the middle class, the not the ones who're running the show.

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April 21, 2015, 11:50:23 AM
 #4

If you have accumulated bad debt, sometimes it would take a miracle to turn things around. That's what I see happening despite injecting billions of euros into an economy which has no way of paying back and the pressure keeps on piling. The condition and scenario faced by the Feds are different since it is a single nation, but the Eurozone is totally different story altogether.

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April 21, 2015, 04:53:05 PM
 #5

it's a ridiculius situation and it won't stop. they will just stretch it for as long as possible. no one believe these suckers anymore. prepare for worse.
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April 21, 2015, 05:11:38 PM
 #6

I am pretty sure it will not last until 2050. It will end this year in a big bang what is the start of the end of the Euro Zone. Would be the best for whole Europe.
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April 23, 2015, 11:57:23 AM
 #7

It's now clear that sovereign democracy has been ejected from power by a Financiers and Bankers Coup. Ask yourself where the power to govern resides, ask who sets the rules, who tells the people how they will live and what they are allowed to do. It is a cabal of bankers and big market players, their institutions, empowered by the EU in Brussels, that dictate and rule.
It is not Democracy anymore it is great example of Plutocracy where only power and money rule, and not the people - as they are insignificant and can be replaced. Greece should follow steps of Iceland.
Choose new government and declare that previous debts and loans was unjustly taken by criminals. It would simplify this whole situation.


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bryant.coleman
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April 23, 2015, 03:17:00 PM
 #8

By 2050, we will be having dozens of bankrupt nations, not just Greece and Cyprus. Top candidates are the United States, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. And we will be having many more bank savings account "hair-cuts".

And who knows.... Germany may be able to achieve what they failed to do in the two world wars, as a result of these bankruptcies.  Grin
johnyj
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April 23, 2015, 03:48:48 PM
 #9

The entire problem will disappear if Greece can print their own money, giving up the right of money creation was the fatal error of Greek government

In majority of citizen's eyes, money is wealth. Lose the power of creating money, then you lose the power of creating wealth

AtheistAKASaneBrain
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April 23, 2015, 03:54:45 PM
 #10

By 2050, we will be having dozens of bankrupt nations, not just Greece and Cyprus. Top candidates are the United States, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. And we will be having many more bank savings account "hair-cuts".

And who knows.... Germany may be able to achieve what they failed to do in the two world wars, as a result of these bankruptcies.  Grin



By 2050 several halvings will have happened, the BTC price will be sky high and stable. Those that sold in times like this will be crying on a daily. We'll be old as fuck, so I hope it only takes a year for so the pioneers like us holding BTC will be able to retire from the rat race. Best of luck.
johnyj
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April 23, 2015, 04:30:14 PM
 #11

By 2050, we will be having dozens of bankrupt nations, not just Greece and Cyprus. Top candidates are the United States, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. And we will be having many more bank savings account "hair-cuts".

And who knows.... Germany may be able to achieve what they failed to do in the two world wars, as a result of these bankruptcies.  Grin

With each hair-cut,  bitcoin's value will rise by 100 times, after a couple of hair-cuts, bitcoin is enough to buy the whole ECB

manselr
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April 23, 2015, 05:35:56 PM
 #12

By 2050, we will be having dozens of bankrupt nations, not just Greece and Cyprus. Top candidates are the United States, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. And we will be having many more bank savings account "hair-cuts".

And who knows.... Germany may be able to achieve what they failed to do in the two world wars, as a result of these bankruptcies.  Grin

With each hair-cut,  bitcoin's value will rise by 100 times, after a couple of hair-cuts, bitcoin is enough to buy the whole ECB

By that time they'll not even need haircuts, they'll be bald and those still holding their assets outside the Bitcoin ecosystem, crying about it. Such is the self repeating history of those that laugh at pioneers.
V for Varoufakis
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April 23, 2015, 07:04:46 PM
 #13

The inflation is the only solution for Greek, Spain, Italy, Portugal.
bryant.coleman
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April 24, 2015, 02:04:57 AM
 #14

By 2050, we will be having dozens of bankrupt nations, not just Greece and Cyprus. Top candidates are the United States, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia. And we will be having many more bank savings account "hair-cuts".

And who knows.... Germany may be able to achieve what they failed to do in the two world wars, as a result of these bankruptcies.  Grin

With each hair-cut,  bitcoin's value will rise by 100 times, after a couple of hair-cuts, bitcoin is enough to buy the whole ECB

That I am not too sure of. During the Cyprus hair-cut, the value of Bitcoin remained very much stable. The Greek / Cyprus issues seems to be having zero effect upon the Bitcoin exchange rates. I just hope that I'll be proven wrong in the future.
teukon
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April 24, 2015, 11:17:02 AM
 #15

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V for Varoufakis
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April 24, 2015, 01:08:01 PM
 #16

All the Fin Mins of the other countries, is one hair of the balls of Varoufakis. They are uneducated and they have no idea about macroeconomics.
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April 26, 2015, 05:59:33 PM
 #17

I'm guessing Bitcoin will make the debt easily payable sometime after 2025... as all fiat starts disappearing.

Varoufakis was just joking about Greece's Bitcoin adoption

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April 26, 2015, 08:05:05 PM
 #18

The inflation is the only solution for Greek, Spain, Italy, Portugal.

inflation is good as long as there is something that keeps on sucking it(a thing that is deflationary), like for example bitcoin, if people start put their inflated money into a deflationary system like bitcoin, it would create an equilibrium , that will help the crisis
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April 26, 2015, 10:20:26 PM
 #19

inflation is good as long as there is something that keeps on sucking it(a thing that is deflationary), like for example bitcoin, if people start put their inflated money into a deflationary system like bitcoin, it would create an equilibrium , that will help the crisis

Wealth moving from an inflationary instrument to a deflationary one only serves to exacerbate both states.  The only equilibrium implied by this simple description is in the hyper-inflationary annihilation of the former.

The inflationary instrument would have to have some functional advantage over the deflationary one to not suffer this death.  This works for fiat money relative to gold because fiat money is much cheaper to move and store.  This works today for fiat money relative to Bitcoin because Bitcoin is not widely accepted.  If Bitcoin were universally accepted then I'm doubtful that fiat money's remaining functional advantages in paying taxes and settling debts would be enough to save it.
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April 26, 2015, 10:28:22 PM
 #20

A nation state giving up the ability to create their own money means they are enslaved by their master.

The only solution is to not pay any debt and start developing their own currency. What will their master do? Sue them? How would they enforce it if they won? By war?
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