JoelKatz
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Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
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August 31, 2012, 10:58:54 AM |
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What if Pirate has one-sidedly decided to NOT pay any PPTs
Then under the pooling agreement you are entitled to nothing so no-one is defrauded if Hashking gives out some ones info
To be clear, I have no BTC in Hashkin's passthrough, but I do have BTC with BitcoinMax and we have the same problem there
If he's not going to pay out anything, why give him info? And there's no way Hashking can know this.
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I am an employee of Ripple. Follow me on Twitter @JoelKatz 1Joe1Katzci1rFcsr9HH7SLuHVnDy2aihZ BM-NBM3FRExVJSJJamV9ccgyWvQfratUHgN
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ripper234
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Ron Gross
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August 31, 2012, 12:35:25 PM |
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Sorry about double posting this here but I need to have this done by Friday 8/31/12/. If you have a pending PPT account with me please take a screenshot of your account and send me an email at hashking1@gmail.com. I also need your forum name and withdrawal address you entered in order to verify its your account. This must come from the email that is registered on the website What happens if people do not do this? What are you going to do with the information? hashking, I find your lack of communication disturbing.
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hashking (OP)
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August 31, 2012, 12:46:26 PM |
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I sent the information last night at around 11pm CDT. None of the account holders stated that they didn't want the information sent and I did receive a bunch of emails with updated information. If I didn't submit it and Pirate does pay then there is a good chance that no funds will be sent to me. Pirate can't really do anything without having people's personal information. I will leave that up to each account holder to decide that if Pirate contacts them requesting it.
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Willowbitcoin
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August 31, 2012, 02:17:16 PM |
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Hay Hash,
It seems like i missed the deadline. I have since sent the details but i'm Curious,
1) Why didnt you just query your DB for all of the info ? 2) If there was some technical reason you couldnt do 1) why not a mass email to peoples email addresses to let them know you needed this info. We dont all frequent the forum every day.
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Raize
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August 31, 2012, 06:01:00 PM |
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If I didn't submit it and Pirate does pay then there is a good chance that no funds will be sent to me. If you did submit it, and the "don't ask, don't tell" people Pirate was working with were law enforcement, a bunch of your users who also used Silk Road are going to prison. If you did submit it, and Pirate later gets sued, you and all your userbase can be tried as accomplices. There's a lot of bad things that can happen here, and not a lot of good.
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c0in$
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August 31, 2012, 09:02:26 PM |
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What if Pirate has one-sidedly decided to NOT pay any PPTs
Then under the pooling agreement you are entitled to nothing so no-one is defrauded if Hashking gives out some ones info
To be clear, I have no BTC in Hashkin's passthrough, but I do have BTC with BitcoinMax and we have the same problem there
If he's not going to pay out anything, why give him info? And there's no way Hashking can know this. Hey Joel, I've noticed your firm assertions that pirate is a ponzi on almost every forum thread. How sure are you that he won't pay out principal + interest due through closing announcement?
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JoelKatz
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Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
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August 31, 2012, 10:01:34 PM |
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I've noticed your firm assertions that pirate is a ponzi on almost every forum thread. I am 99.99% convinced Pirate was operating a Ponzi scheme. That is, at least most of the time, interest payments on older deposits were made from newer deposits rather than any actual investment proceeds. How sure are you that he won't pay out principal + interest due through closing announcement? I guess that depends on how generously you want to construe the terms. For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back? If he claims that he has to have copies of driver's licenses to pay back money and the vast majority of his investors are unwilling to do that, and he pays back everyone who submits the precise documentation he demands, does that count as him paying back? If people agree to a 10% payback because that's all it seems like they are likely to get, does that count? By fair and reasonable criteria, I would put the odds of him paying back at around 1%. The criteria are roughly that his investors don't suffer losses that are significant relative to the amount they invested. The odds that everyone who paid Pirate bitcoins will get at least those bitcoins they deposited back are very, very low.
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I am an employee of Ripple. Follow me on Twitter @JoelKatz 1Joe1Katzci1rFcsr9HH7SLuHVnDy2aihZ BM-NBM3FRExVJSJJamV9ccgyWvQfratUHgN
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DutchBrat
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August 31, 2012, 10:07:38 PM |
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For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back?
300 BTC owed is 300 BTC owed.... No matter what the fiat exchange rate... I thought people wanted BitCoin to succeed as an alternative to fiat not just as another exchange-rate gambling mechanism... I am sadly mistaken...
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matthewh3
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August 31, 2012, 10:08:46 PM |
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For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back?
300 BTC owed is 300 BTC owed.... No matter what the fiat exchange rate... I thought people wanted BitCoin to succeed as an alternative to fiat not just as another exchange-rate gambling mechanism... I am sadly mistaken... I think you missed his point.
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DutchBrat
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August 31, 2012, 10:17:25 PM |
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For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back?
300 BTC owed is 300 BTC owed.... No matter what the fiat exchange rate... I thought people wanted BitCoin to succeed as an alternative to fiat not just as another exchange-rate gambling mechanism... I am sadly mistaken... I think you missed his point. The point is that you either think A) Pirate is an upstanding member of the community who is experiencing cash-flow problems but will do his utmost to pay everyone back or B) you think that he ran a ponzi scheme and that he will pay you back as little as possible If A) then you have nothing to worry about, sit back and relax If B) then everyone must try to maximize their return.... You have to be happy with anything you get back... if that takes giving him some info for whatever strange reason then do so, if you don't feel comfortable, then don't.... It's a ponzi so you don't have any expectations or rights to get your money back... Holding out on giving him any info he requests is not putting the pressure on him.... he will be long gone or lawyered up.... As I have posted before... he would be a pretty stupid ponzi scheme operator if he hadn't planned out his exit long ago It's either A) or B) ; There's no grey in between where he is a bit honest and a bit ponzi
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matthewh3
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August 31, 2012, 10:21:25 PM |
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For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back?
300 BTC owed is 300 BTC owed.... No matter what the fiat exchange rate... I thought people wanted BitCoin to succeed as an alternative to fiat not just as another exchange-rate gambling mechanism... I am sadly mistaken... I think you missed his point. The point is that you either think A) Pirate is an upstanding member of the community who is experiencing cash-flow problems but will do his utmost to pay everyone back or B) you think that he ran a ponzi scheme and that he will pay you back as little as possible If A) then you have nothing to worry about, sit back and relax If B) then everyone must try to maximize their return.... You have to be happy with anything you get back... if that takes giving him some info for whatever strange reason then do so, if you don't feel comfortable, then don't.... It's a ponzi so you don't have any expectations or rights to get your money back... Holding out on giving him any info he requests is not putting the pressure on him.... he will be long gone or lawyered up.... As I have posted before... he would be a pretty stupid ponzi scheme operator if he hadn't planned out his exit long ago It's either A) or B) ; There's no grey in between where he is a bit honest and a bit ponzi Or (C) In limbo (by taking the majority of major and senior voices of this forums advice) and in dire straits.
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c0in$
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August 31, 2012, 11:21:03 PM |
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I've noticed your firm assertions that pirate is a ponzi on almost every forum thread. I am 99.99% convinced Pirate was operating a Ponzi scheme. That is, at least most of the time, interest payments on older deposits were made from newer deposits rather than any actual investment proceeds. How sure are you that he won't pay out principal + interest due through closing announcement? I guess that depends on how generously you want to construe the terms. For example, if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back? If he claims that he has to have copies of driver's licenses to pay back money and the vast majority of his investors are unwilling to do that, and he pays back everyone who submits the precise documentation he demands, does that count as him paying back? If people agree to a 10% payback because that's all it seems like they are likely to get, does that count? By fair and reasonable criteria, I would put the odds of him paying back at around 1%. The criteria are roughly that his investors don't suffer losses that are significant relative to the amount they invested. The odds that everyone who paid Pirate bitcoins will get at least those bitcoins they deposited back are very, very low. Great, then I suggest you take a look at my wager offer in which I am accepting Escrowed MtGox USD bets. I used Gar (Cognitive Operator) as my first escrow with PGP signed contract. Since you believe the odds are around 1% I would think you would be interested in making a wager with 7:2 odds. If not you are just blowing smoke
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JoelKatz
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Activity: 1596
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Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
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September 01, 2012, 01:32:08 AM |
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Great, then I suggest you take a look at my wager offer in which I am accepting Escrowed MtGox USD bets. I used Gar (Cognitive Operator) as my first escrow with PGP signed contract. Since you believe the odds are around 1% I would think you would be interested in making a wager with 7:2 odds. If not you are just blowing smoke If I had money I could afford to lose, I'd definitely take your bet. I haven't looked at the terms of your bet or the trustworthiness of your agent, but if the terms are as you describe and the agent is trustworthy, I would advise people to take your bet. (After investigating the issued I described about Matthew's bet such as precisely what the conditions of the bet are.)
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I am an employee of Ripple. Follow me on Twitter @JoelKatz 1Joe1Katzci1rFcsr9HH7SLuHVnDy2aihZ BM-NBM3FRExVJSJJamV9ccgyWvQfratUHgN
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JoelKatz
Legendary
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Activity: 1596
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Democracy is vulnerable to a 51% attack.
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September 01, 2012, 01:35:09 AM |
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The point is that you either think
A) Pirate is an upstanding member of the community who is experiencing cash-flow problems but will do his utmost to pay everyone back
or
B) you think that he ran a ponzi scheme and that he will pay you back as little as possible
It's either A) or B) ; There's no grey in between where he is a bit honest and a bit ponzi
I don't think so. For example, here's a middle position: C) Pirate honestly, but stupidly, believed that if he acquired enough BTC, he could make huge profits by manipulating the market. Or, failing that, the value of Bitcoins would drop to zero before he collapsed because he believed Bitcoin was doomed to fail. He operated as a Ponzi scheme to build sufficient funds fully expecting to make enough profits before he had significant withdrawals. He was never able to make a profit manipulating the market but just figured he didn't quite have enough funds yet. Then, he got hit with a large number of withdrawals at once and realized that if he made all those withdrawals, he'd never be able to be profitable. He still has a pile of money, though not enough to cover all withdrawals, and is not sure what to do with it. Maybe he thinks he can settle with many people for pennies on the dollar and is acquiring his own debt at low cost and hopes that some day soon he can make 100% payouts to everyone who still holds his debt. I'm not saying I think that's what happened. I'm saying though that there are any number of possible middle positions.
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I am an employee of Ripple. Follow me on Twitter @JoelKatz 1Joe1Katzci1rFcsr9HH7SLuHVnDy2aihZ BM-NBM3FRExVJSJJamV9ccgyWvQfratUHgN
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Raize
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September 01, 2012, 08:03:37 AM |
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I'm not saying I think that's what happened. I'm saying though that there are any number of possible middle positions. Lately I've been thinking that if this wasn't merely an arbitrage play that it is possible he thought that, given enough coin, he could purchase for his benefactors (this "don't ask, don't tell" group) at a very low price (~$2.00) then sell at a higher price (~$8.00), and make up for the difference by providing the people he borrowed from some of the "extra" sold coin. The problem is that the people that purchased from him wanted a lower base price for their bulk coin purchase than he was able to provide, so he ultimately ran into problems as the price continued to increase. Of course this theory would require we ignore any Silk Road ties, any money laundering ties, and focus exclusively on Pirate actually having some sort of hedging experience. I'm not saying that he doesn't possess such skills, but he obviously didn't have enough of them to have made money off of the endeavor.
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Willowbitcoin
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September 01, 2012, 11:14:11 PM |
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So your reply to me has taken you longer than you have given us to provide you with this information.
Please reply to my questions at your convenience.
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payb.tc
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September 01, 2012, 11:21:36 PM |
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if the price of Bitcoin drops to $1 in four months and he pays people back the number of Bitcoins owed, does that count as him paying back?
it absolutely would count. 'investing' in bitcoin savings and trust never at any time had anything to do any currency other than BTC. exchange rates with alternate currencies are a totally unrelated issue.
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bitlane
Internet detective
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I heart thebaron
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September 02, 2012, 01:13:47 AM |
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Hey hashking, throughout all of this, I nearly forgot to ask you about the following: [22:55] <hashking> Pirate, what are you plans for your friend BITLANE . [22:56] <hashking> Thanks. Pirate will payout. Don't worry. . [22:56] <@pirateat40> hashking, i'm going to roast him a bit more well done than Vandroiy. . [22:56] <hashking> Nice.
You wouldn't be trying to suck up to Pirate at my expense, would you ? Would this have something to do with the securing of a certain portion of ' Insurance' money currently invested with Pirate, that shouldn't be ? As you can see now, he did a GREAT job roasting Vandroiy. How is your payout coming since you submitted your user info ?
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bitlane
Internet detective
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I heart thebaron
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September 02, 2012, 07:47:26 PM |
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Wow. So, NO response to the little stab in the back ? or call it the 'shot' you decided to take at me, to try and please pirateat40 ? I see that you were online about 2.5 hours ago and find it ODD that you wouldn't check out this thread. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- here's the reference again, just in case: (can also be found on the previous page of this thread)Hey hashking, throughout all of this, I nearly forgot to ask you about the following: [22:55] <hashking> Pirate, what are you plans for your friend BITLANE . [22:56] <hashking> Thanks. Pirate will payout. Don't worry. . [22:56] <@pirateat40> hashking, i'm going to roast him a bit more well done than Vandroiy. . [22:56] <hashking> Nice.
You wouldn't be trying to suck up to Pirate at my expense, would you ? Would this have something to do with the securing of a certain portion of ' Insurance' money currently invested with Pirate, that shouldn't be ? As you can see now, he did a GREAT job roasting Vandroiy. How is your payout coming since you submitted your user info ?
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sadpandatech
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September 02, 2012, 08:09:18 PM |
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Hey Hasking,
Have we heard anything back from Pirate after submitting the required info?
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If you're not excited by the idea of being an early adopter 'now', then you should come back in three or four years and either tell us "Told you it'd never work!" or join what should, by then, be a much more stable and easier-to-use system. - GA
It is being worked on by smart people. -DamienBlack
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