I have nothing to do with Mr vescudero, but if you want to bet ...
Right, you created an account yesterday, first thing you do is spam everyone with PMs about this bet and bet 300 BTC victor wont default. But we should believe you have nothing to do with him?
Its pretty transparent, you just want to pay your investors interest's with the winnings of this bet, since the ponzi hasnt been running for very long, that should be doable. You cant lose; either the bet winnings exceed the interest cost and you pay everyone out, or they dont, and you will default (or eat the losses to gain rep and go at it again in month or so). Since you know and you can change the outcome of the bet, whichever way the bet goes, you can ensure you win.