Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL)

[vella85]

I'm really looking forward to the Manchester derby and I like Man City +1 European handicap @1.64 so I'll be putting a bet on this and I'll also take a small parlay with Man City +1 European handicap, Middlesbrough +1 European handicap, Arsenal win, Tottenham win and Leicester City +2 European handicap. At just a little over $8 odds for the parlay, I think is pretty decent. Good luck to all those who have a bet this weekend.

[erwin45hacked]

how about under 0.5 goals?
i guess it will be draw too , and even goaless 0-0 till the end of match
or at least 1 goal scored only the odds looks low @3.2 for unde 1.5 goals

That is not convincing at all, if you look at the statistic most of the time the derby manchester will have a score of over 1.5 goals and by looking at the odds provided by the bookies, it is more of a trap to me. 3.2 for under 1.5 goals is quite high so it is less likely to happen compared with over 1.5 goals

[Suskunadam]

how about under 0.5 goals?
i guess it will be draw too , and even goaless 0-0 till the end of match
or at least 1 goal scored only the odds looks low @3.2 for unde 1.5 goals

That is not convincing at all, if you look at the statistic most of the time the derby manchester will have a score of over 1.5 goals and by looking at the odds provided by the bookies, it is more of a trap to me. 3.2 for under 1.5 goals is quite high so it is less likely to happen compared with over 1.5 goals

I think you're right! Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 looking safer choice. 

[airezx20]

how about under 0.5 goals?
i guess it will be draw too , and even goaless 0-0 till the end of match
or at least 1 goal scored only the odds looks low @3.2 for unde 1.5 goals

That is not convincing at all, if you look at the statistic most of the time the derby manchester will have a score of over 1.5 goals and by looking at the odds provided by the bookies, it is more of a trap to me. 3.2 for under 1.5 goals is quite high so it is less likely to happen compared with over 1.5 goals

I think you're right! Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.32 looking safer choice.  

Actually i dont go with over 1.5 Goals,yes its pretty much safe bet but i would take a chance and go for goals under 2.5 which will provide better odds and i think there is chance that goals will be under 2.5 so i am defeinetily going for it,i hope only 2 goals are score so we both can win it.

[tokeweed]

Menchester derby.Bookies are giving 10/1 if united win
becouse of that United will not win
I am giving more chances to Citi,Mourinho will be stressed,it is his personal war to play against Guardiola

The draw is the best result, I mean, They are really strong. Manchester is the strongest team for me.
They do the first 3 game with winning all. Now they in big 3.
So i'm going to draw for this derby.

yeah, if we look at the statistics of both teams are very strong and balanced with three victories at the start of the match.
I saw this game really hard to predict, especially when both teams have great coaches.
but I really agree, that this match will most likely end in a draw.

Then it would make sense to bet on +0 for City at 2.45 (2.35 now).  That would be considered a value bet since the match is closer to evens.  And in my opinion City has a slight edge over United at front.  But United's defense is very good.  I would like to see City tika taka their way thru it.

[rizkyhiw]

how about under 0.5 goals?
i guess it will be draw too , and even goaless 0-0 till the end of match
or at least 1 goal scored only the odds looks low @3.2 for unde 1.5 goals

That is not convincing at all, if you look at the statistic most of the time the derby manchester will have a score of over 1.5 goals and by looking at the odds provided by the bookies, it is more of a trap to me. 3.2 for under 1.5 goals is quite high so it is less likely to happen compared with over 1.5 goals

you know usually under 1.5 goals have a higher odds than 3.2.
usually there is an odds around 4 to 5 for the under 1.5 goals.
but for this time in the manchester derby there only 3.2.
which i think it's not a trap at all , it has calculated by the odds creator. i more likely to under goals instead over goals.

[shulio]

Then it would make sense to bet on +0 for City at 2.45 (2.35 now).  That would be considered a value bet since the match is closer to evens.  And in my opinion City has a slight edge over United at front.  But United's defense is very good.  I would like to see City tika taka their way thru it.

What kind of slight advantage are you talking about? I clearly dont see any advantage of city having over manchester united, it is clear that manchester united has better goalkeeper , city wont be playing wih their top goalscorer aguero and it is in old trafford, clearly advantage is with manchester united

[olympicwinner]

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

[Dux2K]

Then it would make sense to bet on +0 for City at 2.45 (2.35 now).  That would be considered a value bet since the match is closer to evens.  And in my opinion City has a slight edge over United at front.  But United's defense is very good.  I would like to see City tika taka their way thru it.

What kind of slight advantage are you talking about? I clearly dont see any advantage of city having over manchester united, it is clear that manchester united has better goalkeeper , city wont be playing wih their top goalscorer aguero and it is in old trafford, clearly advantage is with manchester united

i don't think so my options is goals and think it will end with at least three goals for sure I will go for over 2.5 goals

[panjul07]

Menchester derby.Bookies are giving 10/1 if united win
becouse of that United will not win
I am giving more chances to Citi,Mourinho will be stressed,it is his personal war to play against Guardiola

The draw is the best result, I mean, They are really strong. Manchester is the strongest team for me.
They do the first 3 game with winning all. Now they in big 3.
So i'm going to draw for this derby.

how about under 0.5 goals?
i guess it will be draw too , and even goaless 0-0 till the end of match
or at least 1 goal scored only the odds looks low @3.2 for unde 1.5 goals

I think it will not ended with goaless 0-0, there is a good chance for MU to score at least one goal. City's defense is not that good so far, conceded 3goals in 3matches 1goal/match. Those goals came from low quality team, so I believe MU can score at least one goal as well.

[tokeweed]

Then it would make sense to bet on +0 for City at 2.45 (2.35 now).  That would be considered a value bet since the match is closer to evens.  And in my opinion City has a slight edge over United at front.  But United's defense is very good.  I would like to see City tika taka their way thru it.

What kind of slight advantage are you talking about? I clearly dont see any advantage of city having over manchester united, it is clear that manchester united has better goalkeeper , city wont be playing wih their top goalscorer aguero and it is in old trafford, clearly advantage is with manchester united

I said, in my opinion, City has a slight advantage at front.  If you notice when City has the ball, they transition into something like a 3 2 5.  That's 5 players up front passing the ball around, finding an opening.  So on the pitch they would look like this when attacking:


                         Aguero (or Iheanacho)
Nolito ---------                                       --------- Sterling
              Silva ------------------------ De Bruyne


                 Clichy ---------------- Zabaleta (or Sagna)


     Otamendi (or Kolarov) - Fernandinho ------- Stones


                                   Bravo


Sometimes it's a 3 5 2 with the wingers still wide but dropping a few of paces deep.  Pep also likes using inverted fullbacks if you noticed.  I think this game will be decided in the midfield.  So even without Aguero, City can still make it.

[imissyou]

Then it would make sense to bet on +0 for City at 2.45 (2.35 now).  That would be considered a value bet since the match is closer to evens.  And in my opinion City has a slight edge over United at front.  But United's defense is very good.  I would like to see City tika taka their way thru it.

What kind of slight advantage are you talking about? I clearly dont see any advantage of city having over manchester united, it is clear that manchester united has better goalkeeper , city wont be playing wih their top goalscorer aguero and it is in old trafford, clearly advantage is with manchester united

I said, in my opinion, City has a slight advantage at front.  If you notice when City has the ball, they transition into something like a 3 2 5.  That's 5 players up front passing the ball around, finding an opening.  So on the pitch they would look like this when attacking:


                         Aguero (or Iheanacho)
Nolito ---------                                       --------- Sterling
              Silva ------------------------ De Bruyne


                 Clichy ---------------- Zabaleta (or Sagna)


     Otamendi (or Kolarov) - Fernandinho ------- Stones


                                   Bravo


Sometimes it's a 3 5 2 with the wingers still wide but dropping a few of paces deep.  Pep also likes using inverted fullbacks if you noticed.  I think this game will be decided in the midfield.  So even without Aguero, City can still make it.

i hear news aguero can not play injuri
and claudio bravo in goal keeper can't play too
without aguero backup iheancho not same quality aguero, i think manchester united can wn

[tokeweed]

i hear news aguero can not play injuri

No Aguero is not injured, he is currently serving a three match ban.

and claudio bravo in goal keeper can't play too

Nope, Bravo will play in the derby.  It is already confirmed.

Pep Guardiola confirms Claudio Bravo WILL make Manchester City debut in derby
Source

without aguero backup iheancho not same quality aguero, i think manchester united can wn

I agree that he's not at the same level as Aguero (yet), but do consider that he's only 19 years old.  But he's good enough for what they need.  He has excellent team mates backing him up.

 

[tyz]

I made some thoughts about this match myself and I came to the point that it is a typical under 2.5 goals match. 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 are likely results of such a high-classified derby. I know that odds tell something else but I would risk it though.

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

[jack1111]

I made some thoughts about this match myself and I came to the point that it is a typical under 2.5 goals match. 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 are likely results of such a high-classified derby. I know that odds tell something else but I would risk it though.

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

Most likely this match won't have many goals , both teams will close their areas , because if a team recieved a goal , it will be hard to come back , so one goal might decide the winner , in addition , the winner will go to the first place , and this point will motivate the players to win .

[lexuz]

I made some thoughts about this match myself and I came to the point that it is a typical under 2.5 goals match. 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 are likely results of such a high-classified derby. I know that odds tell something else but I would risk it though.

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

Derby manchester always have a huge ego for both team may be the match will playing openly and both teams going back and forth to attack, bet on under 2.5 goals is too risky.

[Lucas*]

ENGLAND: Premier League :

Manchester United   -   Manchester City => 1.

Arsenal   -   Southampton => 1&2+.

Bournemouth   -   West Brom => Under 2.5 Goals .

Burnley   -   Hull City => 1x.

[Lucas*]

ENGLAND: Premier League :

Middlesbrough   -   Crystal Palace => x2.

Stoke City   -   Tottenham => x2& 2+.

West Ham   -   Watford => 1.

Liverpool   -   Leicester => under 3.5 Goals.

[cazkooo]

I made some thoughts about this match myself and I came to the point that it is a typical under 2.5 goals match. 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 are likely results of such a high-classified derby. I know that odds tell something else but I would risk it though.

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

Derby manchester always have a huge ego for both team may be the match will playing openly and both teams going back and forth to attack, bet on under 2.5 goals is too risky.

It is not risky and Im not sure wether united or city will be able to score or not. City probably wont be able to score without aguero so their strategy could be relying more in a fast counterattack game, so that will depends on how united reacted to that. Kinda predicting that there will be no winner at all for the derby

[pocarime32]

I made some thoughts about this match myself and I came to the point that it is a typical under 2.5 goals match. 1-0, 0-1 or 1-1 are likely results of such a high-classified derby. I know that odds tell something else but I would risk it though.

I will go for over 2.5 goals in Manchester derby, this match will be very fierce, let's see Paul Pogba's art soccer.

Derby manchester always have a huge ego for both team may be the match will playing openly and both teams going back and forth to attack, bet on under 2.5 goals is too risky.

It is not risky and Im not sure wether united or city will be able to score or not. City probably wont be able to score without aguero so their strategy could be relying more in a fast counterattack game, so that will depends on how united reacted to that. Kinda predicting that there will be no winner at all for the derby

Both teams are on top performance and by looking their recent matches, they always make many goals on a single match. So i think both teams can make a goal on this match, over 2.5 goals is a good pick imo.