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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 924430 times)
iamsange
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May 09, 2025, 03:27:24 AM
 #92421

Napoli may not lose 3 points, but 1 point can happen in the remaining 3 matches. Assuming Inter will get the UCL title and Inter Milan will not think about the title in series A. So if maybe Napoli get a draw from the match, still Napoli will lead at the end of this season. But this is only limited to my speculation.
The three remaining matches for Napoli are against very easy opponents so it is quite possible that Napoli will not lose points in the rest of this season. Meanwhile, Inter Milan still have to fight hard in two major competitions because in the Champions League Inter Milan also does not guarantee that they will immediately win even though Inter Milan has quite good strength. So Inter Milan could potentially not get any trophies if they cannot win in the Champions League final this season because Napoli will play very carefully so as not to lose in the remaining three matches.

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May 09, 2025, 03:40:58 AM
 #92422

Napoli may not lose 3 points, but 1 point can happen in the remaining 3 matches. Assuming Inter will get the UCL title and Inter Milan will not think about the title in series A. So if maybe Napoli get a draw from the match, still Napoli will lead at the end of this season. But this is only limited to my speculation.
The three remaining matches for Napoli are against very easy opponents so it is quite possible that Napoli will not lose points in the rest of this season. Meanwhile, Inter Milan still have to fight hard in two major competitions because in the Champions League Inter Milan also does not guarantee that they will immediately win even though Inter Milan has quite good strength. So Inter Milan could potentially not get any trophies if they cannot win in the Champions League final this season because Napoli will play very carefully so as not to lose in the remaining three matches.
Unofficially, it can be said that Napoli is going to be the champion of the Italian league this season. If Inter Milan had the same points as Napoli now, then maybe there would be some hope for Inter Milan, but Inter Milan already has a tough match ahead, and Inter Milan is slightly behind Napoli in terms of points, so it is not possible to reduce the gap in these three matches and go to the top of the points table with so much pressure. Congratulations in advance to Napoli for becoming the champion of the Italian league in the 2024-25 season. Since Inter Milan has no chance in the Italian league, Inter Milan should focus their entire attention on the Champions League match because it is the final of the Champions League. If they can win that final once, it will be a great thing.

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May 09, 2025, 05:37:12 AM
 #92423

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.

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May 09, 2025, 06:53:13 AM
 #92424

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.

Yes, today we know this match, an advance. Milan clearly has the strength to beat Bologna, but I don't think it has the head.
Unfortunately, mentality is something that is very useful in a game where it is not only the body that is challenged but also the will and mentality.
Football is a physical and psychological challenge

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May 09, 2025, 07:01:04 AM
 #92425

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.
I also think that Milan will win, obviously nothing is certain and you always have to be very careful about what bets you make, they are certainly better prepared than Bologna who, despite being a team with enormous character, will not be able to win, I agree with you that there will be many goals

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May 09, 2025, 07:53:26 AM
 #92426

Milan will not want to lose at home but on the other hand Bologna have lost 4 points and dropped down the standings after 2 weeks of draws.After wins over Inter and Empoli, Bologna have drawn with Udinese and Juventus and have fallen to 7th place in the standings.They will want to take at least points from this game as they still have a chance to finish in the top 4 of the league. Of course, Milan's chances are still there too, but I see Bologna's chances of finishing in the top 6 as higher, so a win for Milan won't really help.Milan will increase their points tally to 60 if they win, but their points difference with Lazio will be reduced to 3.A rough calculation is that if Roma lose points against Atalanta, Roma and Milan will meet the following week.If Roma lose to Atalanta, a win for Milan will really help, but Roma have been in great form in recent weeks. They are 18 weeks unbeaten and I think Roma will at least get a draw away to Atalanta.
Bologna draws a lot (14 in 35). They’ve gained the most points from losing positions (16), but also dropped the most from leading (9)

Now, Milan… yes, 60 points looks like a dead-end if you go by the usual 71+ needed for 4th. But beat Bologna, and suddenly you kneecap a direct rival before the Coppa Italia Final. Then go into Roma with blood in the water and momentum behind you. And Milan’s xPts is +5 over actual points. They’ve underperformed all season

Roma has been monsters with the 19-match unbeaten streak. But 8 of their last 10 wins were only 1-0.  So don’t count on that draw too comfortably

 
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May 09, 2025, 08:17:38 AM
 #92427

Milan will not want

Milan can want a lot of things and we all know how it turns out.
The moment you even try to analyze this team is the moment you're on the path to ruin, one of the most inconsistent teams in Serie A from the top tier, 16-9-10,  how could you even try to play based on past results with them, they are all over the place.



2.38 for them on average when they have little to play for as they need every 6th team to not make more than 3 points to get in there while Bologna has real chances to grab even the 4th spot if they play their cards right and just two teams miss on the the 9 points in 3 matches max?
No way this is a 2.40 odds game!


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May 09, 2025, 08:37:37 AM
 #92428

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.
Good betting choice I also think the same thing especially the Odds are quite large if Milan wins which is 2.38 and it is undeniable that Milan current performance is much more stable compared to Bologna but there is one concern that we must consider which is Bologna target, I think they will also fight hard to win the match because it is clear if they get 3 points they will approach the top 4 positions on the other hand Milan does not have any target at this time so in 3 matches this season including this match Bologna will maximize it.

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May 09, 2025, 10:12:24 AM
 #92429

Napoli may not lose 3 points, but 1 point can happen in the remaining 3 matches. Assuming Inter will get the UCL title and Inter Milan will not think about the title in series A. So if maybe Napoli get a draw from the match, still Napoli will lead at the end of this season. But this is only limited to my speculation.
The three remaining matches for Napoli are against very easy opponents so it is quite possible that Napoli will not lose points in the rest of this season. Meanwhile, Inter Milan still have to fight hard in two major competitions because in the Champions League Inter Milan also does not guarantee that they will immediately win even though Inter Milan has quite good strength. So Inter Milan could potentially not get any trophies if they cannot win in the Champions League final this season because Napoli will play very carefully so as not to lose in the remaining three matches.

yes Napoli can actually close the discussion, there is Inter who will not be able to recover after the performance made in the Champions League, it really cost them a lot in terms of energy, and then on May 31st there will be the final, they will certainly be focused there

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May 09, 2025, 10:18:13 AM
 #92430


All particularly boring matches indeed, only Lazio - Juventus can give some flashes of beauty
even Atalanta - Roma (not because Atalanta is my favorite team) can give some satisfaction and be a good hard-fought match
the rest is quite boring in my opinion

I agree with you, there are really few interesting games at the moment let's say quite boring in fact
the few interesting ones have started to decide the place in the cup zone, so they will certainly be fought
On the other hand, i believe the teams at the bottom of the table are mathematically condemned to return to Serie B

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May 09, 2025, 10:20:51 AM
 #92431


Good betting choice I also think the same thing especially the Odds are quite large if Milan wins which is 2.38 and it is undeniable that Milan current performance is much more stable compared to Bologna but there is one concern that we must consider which is Bologna target, I think they will also fight hard to win the match because it is clear if they get 3 points they will approach the top 4 positions on the other hand Milan does not have any target at this time so in 3 matches this season including this match Bologna will maximize it.
Although Milan's chances are very low, but for them the season is not over either, this does not mean that they can now afford to just lose, because their chances of rising to the Eurocup zone are very low. It is clear that for Bologna this victory makes more sense, but for them it is an away match, and for Conceicao victories are also very important, because as I understand it, the question is being decided whether he will remain Milan's coach for the next season or not. On the other hand, I do not know whether it is possible to say this or not, but if Milan gives them a match in Serie A to win the Italian Cup, although this is unlikely.
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May 09, 2025, 10:39:07 AM
 #92432

Let's look at the remaining 3 matches for both teams. Napoli (Genoa, Parma and Cagliari) while for Inter (Torino, Lazio and Como) seen from the quality of their respective opponents, it can be concluded that the opponents that Napoli will face are slightly easier than Inter, so is it possible that Conte troops can lose 3 important points between the 3 matches? I personally don't see that so I think Inter should shift their focus to other competitions where I think the UCL title is much more valuable.

Anything can happen but obviously you're right, it's very likely that Napoli, unless they lose these matches, will take the Scudetto.
That's fine and i am also happy as an Inter fan.
In the end we get the Champions League, so i am fine with that too.

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May 09, 2025, 10:47:38 AM
 #92433

Do you think that if Conceicao wins the Italian Cup final, he will get another chance to coach Milan next season? I don’t know, maybe so, because it will be his second trophy since he came to Milan, on the one hand, it is a very good achievement, and it will give them a place in the Europa League. But on the other hand, Milan will be without the Champions League, and for such a team this is a very big criterion, so I still think that Milan will look for a replacement for him in any case.

I think he will definitely get another chance in that case. Even if he doesn't win Coppa Italia he could still be given the chance next season in my opinion.

But thinking how long Fonseca stayed at Milan previously, I understand people who think he can also be sacked soon. But the difference between is that at least Sergio has won a trophy in this short time.  Tongue

It is really difficult to know who is the right manager for a team. Sometimes you give them time and they get much better (Like Liverpool - Klopp). And sometimes you make changes very often and find the right fit for your team (Like Roma - Ranieri).

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May 09, 2025, 11:02:43 AM
 #92434

I think it will not be easy for Inter to be able to shift Napoli's position because of course Napoli will also not allow themselves to be shifted by Inter. and if you look at the matches that Napoli will play, of course, such as against Genoa, Parma and Cagliari, I think they have the potential to be overcome by Napoli, so of course even though Inter, for example, can win in the remaining matches, of course if Napoli can consistently win, then of course Napoli will be the Serie A champion this season.

but what is clear is that anything can happen and of course only time will tell and of course now that Inter has advanced to the UCL final, Inzaghi in my opinion will have the potential to be more serious about being the UCL champion because of course by being able to win against PSG, of course he will be the champion. so in my opinion Napoli does not have a tight schedule like Inter, so I think Napoli will be more serious and ambitious to be able to win the scudetto.
Genoa, Parma and Cagliari are all obviously very easy opponents. But did Napoli not lose to easy opponents this season? Or not get any ties? We have seen them get losses and ties against very easy opponents, so it's not really that easy for them to win all three, anything could happen. If they see the next three games as guaranteed wins, then they are going to be very upset when the end comes, because underestimating your opponent is the biggest mistake you can make in the football world.

However, if they fear a lot, that would not be good neither, we are going to end up with bad results there too. That has to be the most important part, so we can't really see this as a way to improve over course of long time and has to do something better. Find the middle ground, trust yourself, but do not underestimate.


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May 09, 2025, 11:03:48 AM
 #92435

Although Milan's chances are very low, but for them the season is not over either, this does not mean that they can now afford to just lose, because their chances of rising to the Eurocup zone are very low.

They need :
- to beat Bologna, Roma, and Monza
- they need Fiorentina to lose at least once against Bologna, Venezia and Udine, but that means Bologna gets 3 points, so just the last two
- they need Bologna to only make 3 points so it needs to lose against Genoa but beat Fiorentina
- they need Lazio to lose against Juventus and Inter

But, first things first, forget about Bologna, do you see this Milan beating Roma? Nope!

Milan needs a complete reset, and I'm saying this as a fan who is just tired of their plays and strategies.



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May 09, 2025, 11:13:15 AM
 #92436

They need :
- to beat Bologna, Roma, and Monza
- they need Fiorentina to lose at least once against Bologna, Venezia and Udine, but that means Bologna gets 3 points, so just the last two
- they need Bologna to only make 3 points so it needs to lose against Genoa but beat Fiorentina
- they need Lazio to lose against Juventus and Inter

But, first things first, forget about Bologna, do you see this Milan beating Roma? Nope!

Milan needs a complete reset, and I'm saying this as a fan who is just tired of their plays and strategies.
AC Milan can not get in top four because there are many clubs above them and it's unrealistic to hope that all of those above clubs will lose many points and give AC Milan to overtake a fourth position. Another big condition is from AC Milan that they will almost impossible winning all three remaining matches with two opponents are Bologna and AS Roma. They only can beat Monza and in two other matches, they might lose or get draw only.

AC Milan can try their best and hope that they can climb up and get a position that is enough for participating in UEFA Conference League next season. This target is still difficult for AC Milan so they can not hope high with top four position.

R


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May 09, 2025, 11:35:08 AM
 #92437


 Although Milan's chances are very low, but for them the season is not over either, this does not mean that they can now afford to just lose, because their chances of rising to the Eurocup zone are very low. It is clear that for Bologna this victory makes more sense, but for them it is an away match, and for Conceicao victories are also very important, because as I understand it, the question is being decided whether he will remain Milan's coach for the next season or not. On the other hand, I do not know whether it is possible to say this or not, but if Milan gives them a match in Serie A to win the Italian Cup, although this is unlikely.

The Coppa Italia final will be a big moment. Although Milan is more favored, Bologna could be a real threat. The reason is, Milan is still inconsistent, this could be the cause of Milan lose in this match. Moreover, the Coppa Italia is often full of surprises, so Milan cannot underestimate them fot the title. If Milan can play with a mature strategy, with high focus and solid play, they might be champions. Milan meets Bologna in Serie A before the match to the Coppa Italia final will be an interesting test for Milan, especially since they are in a challenging condition this season.

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May 09, 2025, 12:07:13 PM
 #92438

Bologna draws a lot (14 in 35). They’ve gained the most points from losing positions (16), but also dropped the most from leading (9)

Now, Milan… yes, 60 points looks like a dead-end if you go by the usual 71+ needed for 4th. But beat Bologna, and suddenly you kneecap a direct rival before the Coppa Italia Final. Then go into Roma with blood in the water and momentum behind you. And Milan’s xPts is +5 over actual points. They’ve underperformed all season

Roma has been monsters with the 19-match unbeaten streak. But 8 of their last 10 wins were only 1-0.  So don’t count on that draw too comfortably
Obviously it's hard to predict what will happen but we can say that both teams are in dire need of points.Milan will want to keep their chances until the last week and Bologna, on the other hand, will want to get a win since they are already behind with a draw in the last 2 weeks.It's hard to predict who will win, maybe the match will even end in a draw.A draw doesn't seem like a good option for both teams in my opinion.


Milan can want a lot of things and we all know how it turns out.
The moment you even try to analyze this team is the moment you're on the path to ruin, one of the most inconsistent teams in Serie A from the top tier, 16-9-10,  how could you even try to play based on past results with them, they are all over the place.



2.38 for them on average when they have little to play for as they need every 6th team to not make more than 3 points to get in there while Bologna has real chances to grab even the 4th spot if they play their cards right and just two teams miss on the the 9 points in 3 matches max?
No way this is a 2.40 odds game!

I think the odds are normal.If we look at the performance of both teams in their last matches, both teams have the potential to win, but of course Milan has the advantage as they are the hosts.Bologna and Milan have managed to defeat tough opponents in their last matches.For example, Milan managed to defeat Inter in Bologna.So I'm honestly curious to see how this match will turn out.Of course, Milan has a clear advantage in the matches between them, but things will be a little different in this match.
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May 09, 2025, 12:44:13 PM
 #92439

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.

Interestingly, Milan and Bologna will meet in two consecutive matches, namely in Serie A and Coppa Italia. Given the tight match time, I think AC Milan will focus more on the Coppa Italia final. So I don't expect too much from their match in Serie A.

On the other hand, winning or losing in tonight's match has absolutely no effect on their position in the standings, because there is no longer a chance for AC Milan to finish in 4th place and get a ticket to the Champions League next season. So even though they face the same opponent in Serie A or in the Coppa Italia final, AC Milan is more concerned with the Coppa Italia title than the match in Serie A.



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May 09, 2025, 01:52:43 PM
 #92440

Milan vs Bologna (Milan win)

Bologna have previously beaten Milan and Bologna can always hold a draw when competing against Milan. But this time it will not be that easy and Milan currently has a slight improvement in attacking performance that can beat Bologan in today's match. Bologna is currently also experiencing a slight decline in performance in defense although previously very stable but I believe Milan can score 2 scores and Bologna 1 score.
I also think that Milan will win, obviously nothing is certain and you always have to be very careful about what bets you make, they are certainly better prepared than Bologna who, despite being a team with enormous character, will not be able to win, I agree with you that there will be many goals
Obviously nothing is certain yet that AC Milan will be defeated but through this match we may be able to select a worthy team for the Coppa Italia final. Tonight AC Milan and Bologna will play an Italian league match against each other but in the next match, they will have to face each other again in the Coppa Italia final. Earlier in the Milan derby this team defeated Inter Milan, who had reached the final of the current Champions League, through a proper performance.

So overall there is no guarantee that they are ready to accept defeat to the Bologna football team in today's match. So far Bologna Football Club has built a strong base in this league position, still we give more priority to AC Milan.

R


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