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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 972789 times)
SquallLeonhart
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January 31, 2026, 07:11:19 PM

That battle for the top start of the season has ended, while Inter is still not too far away, they are basically relaxing at that level, and Milan doesn't really feel the trouble neither, they are doing a fine job and not worried about it.

However, the battle now is at third place, because Napoli, Juventus and Roma are all fighting for the third place and there is a possibility that any of them could be out of the top four and UCL places as well, which won't be nice for whoever is left out. They are not even fighting for third place anymore if you ask me, sure finishing high is great, but I bet they are happy with fourth place at the end of the season as well, they just do not want to be the fifth place one, because one of them will be.

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January 31, 2026, 07:23:52 PM

Napoli are leading 2-1 going into the last 10 minutes. Hopefully they won't concede a surprise goal and avoid another point loss. Their current goal is the championship, and they've already dropped too many points in the title race. They can't afford to lose any more points. Fiorentina are putting up a good fight. After a poor start, they gained confidence after scoring. If Napoli get these three points, they'll be hoping their rivals drop points.
The final result of the match was Napoli winning 2-1. But Fiorentina fought well in the second half and put Napoli under pressure for some time. Napoli is in third place in the points table, they may have to give up this place very soon. Napoli is still far behind to compete with Inter Milan in the championship fight, there are only 15 matches left in the season. Winning the title by overcoming the gap of 6 or 9 points in just 15 matches will not be easy. Inter Milan may not give them this opportunity.











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January 31, 2026, 07:28:42 PM

Napoli are leading 2-1 going into the last 10 minutes. Hopefully they won't concede a surprise goal and avoid another point loss. Their current goal is the championship, and they've already dropped too many points in the title race. They can't afford to lose any more points. Fiorentina are putting up a good fight. After a poor start, they gained confidence after scoring. If Napoli get these three points, they'll be hoping their rivals drop points.
The final result of the match was Napoli winning 2-1. But Fiorentina fought well in the second half and put Napoli under pressure for some time. Napoli is in third place in the points table, they may have to give up this place very soon. Napoli is still far behind to compete with Inter Milan in the championship fight, there are only 15 matches left in the season. Winning the title by overcoming the gap of 6 or 9 points in just 15 matches will not be easy. Inter Milan may not give them this opportunity.
Yes, Inter is a team strong enough to beat many of its rivals, and I don't think they'll easily lose the lead. From what I can see, Inter is currently the strongest team in Italy. They are the strongest contender for the championship this year. Of course, Napoli will be in the race until the final weeks, but it seems they don't have the advantage right now. Injuries have been the biggest factor affecting Napoli. Having lost many players, Napoli hasn't been able to perform as desired. Yet, they had a very good start to the season. Thankfully, they managed to get three points in this match.

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January 31, 2026, 08:34:40 PM

The final result of the match was Napoli winning 2-1. But Fiorentina fought well in the second half and put Napoli under pressure for some time. Napoli is in third place in the points table, they may have to give up this place very soon. Napoli is still far behind to compete with Inter Milan in the championship fight, there are only 15 matches left in the season. Winning the title by overcoming the gap of 6 or 9 points in just 15 matches will not be easy. Inter Milan may not give them this opportunity.

Napoli is already out of the title race, so you might hope that a rival with an advantage will fall into crisis, but it's hard to hope when there are two such rivals. Both Inter and Milan have a significant advantage over Napoli. Furthermore, Napoli are objectively weak, even today's game against Fiorentina, which is in the relegation zone, was a struggle for Napoli. I don't like clear favourites, so I'm placing all my hopes on Milan, and again, it will be epic if Modric leads his team to the title.

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January 31, 2026, 08:44:58 PM

Wow, excellent play, much goals, such play the comeback is here Napoli has won.... against Fiorentina!
I don't know how much it will take after making half of the points they could in the last 6 games finishing 30th out of 36th in the CL to understand the team won the last Serie A not because it was some powerhouse and goal machine but simply because the others played like crap. And I'm looking at you Milan when I say that!

So they will cling to the 3rd or 4th place to get a ticket in the CL then what?
Finish again below Qarabag and Bodo? Better stay at home!

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January 31, 2026, 09:18:10 PM

Squad depth is a crucial factor and if Lazio wants to achieve significantly better results each season, they should focus more on bringing in the necessary players. This highlights some issues that need to be addressed, as competing with some of the strongest teams in Serie A without the support of potential players will make any team struggle. Similarly Fiorentina played very effectively last season and showed a marked improvement in their competition for a better position. However, after the season ended the competition resumed and Fiorentina lost momentum and maintained their top form leaving them in the relegation zone at the moment.

Lazio's position isn't as bad compared to Fiorentina, currently sitting in eighth place, but competing for a top-five finish will likely be difficult due to their limited squad. Lazio has drawn many games this season which is why they are in eighth place. Overall they have only lost seven games so far.
Depth is something only bigger teams with deeper pockets can afford. If you are Lazio and you focus on having a better bench then you are going to miss the chance to have a better starting team. They need better 11 players let alone bench players, not like their best eleven is good enough to win the league title.

Normally if you are a great team and your best eleven can win the title, you focus on depth so that you can continue when someone is missing. Lazio does not have that luxury.

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January 31, 2026, 09:28:27 PM

This is certainly a factor in their declining performance, and Napoli's president should have made an effort in the mid-season transfer window, but it seems he hasn't, making it seem like the Partenopei have given up early on this season. Nevertheless, Conte will continue fighting and will target a win over Fiorentina to maintain their chances of a top-four finish.
Napoli's top-four position is still possible for the rest of the season with Conte's efforts, especially since Napoli currently have a one-goal lead over Fiorentina at home. However, Napoli must win their remaining matches and hope that other teams like Roma and Juventus can't overtake them in the Serie A standings this season. The top-four spot is currently being fiercely contested by several teams, including Roma and Napoli, as they are very close on points, and Juventus is also not far behind Napoli in the current standings.

Securing the top position in the top 3 is very difficult for Napoli in a bad condition before that it was threatened several times, the victory over Fiorentina with a score of 2-1 made them able to add 3 full points this week, but what needs to be noted is that Fiorentina can still score goals, it is very difficult for Napoli to excel more, this indicates that Napoli is still unstable at this time, the top 4 is still a very big question whether it can be maintained or not until the end of the season.

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January 31, 2026, 09:37:11 PM

Depth is something only bigger teams with deeper pockets can afford. If you are Lazio and you focus on having a better bench then you are going to miss the chance to have a better starting team. They need better 11 players let alone bench players, not like their best eleven is good enough to win the league title.

Normally if you are a great team and your best eleven can win the title, you focus on depth so that you can continue when someone is missing. Lazio does not have that luxury.
Everything must be done as effectively as possible. Just like Como did. They seem to be investing gradually in bringing in players who are more suitable for the team.  Lazio did the same thing in the past. But we know that the club's financial condition can fluctuate. So, if the funding is only enough to get better key players, then that's good enough. Second-tier players can be brought in from younger players who are cheaper but have the potential to develop into better players. However, there are teams with lower spending that still manage to achieve decent results every season. What I'm referring to is Atalanta during Gasperini's tenure as coach.

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January 31, 2026, 10:31:20 PM


On the contrary, Napoli is leading the game 1-0 with an early goal which came from Vergara on the 11th minutes. That has given Napoli the confidence in dominating the game. Fiorentina almost got an equalizer but the ball hit the goal post. Napoli needs to be careful so that they don't make any mistakes that will give Fiorentina the chance of getting an equalizer.
Napoli did won that game by two goals, it is a good one from them, we can only  hope for the better from them moving  forward in the league but I just  fear how consistent  they can be from here because  that is obviously  one of their  biggest challenge  they battle with too often for some seasons now.

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January 31, 2026, 10:59:37 PM

Wow, excellent play, much goals, such play the comeback is here Napoli has won.... against Fiorentina!
I don't know how much it will take after making half of the points they could in the last 6 games finishing 30th out of 36th in the CL to understand the team won the last Serie A not because it was some powerhouse and goal machine but simply because the others played like crap. And I'm looking at you Milan when I say that!

So they will cling to the 3rd or 4th place to get a ticket in the CL then what?
Finish again below Qarabag and Bodo? Better stay at home!


They won the championship last year because they only played in the league! Inter, on the other hand, had a packed schedule and finished second, just one point behind them.
More than being a strong team, they were just very lucky last year.
This year should be Milan's year, as they too have no extra commitments apart from Serie A.

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January 31, 2026, 11:03:02 PM

However, the battle now is at third place, because Napoli, Juventus and Roma are all fighting for the third place and there is a possibility that any of them could be out of the top four and UCL places as well, which won't be nice for whoever is left out. They are not even fighting for third place anymore if you ask me, sure finishing high is great, but I bet they are happy with fourth place at the end of the season as well, they just do not want to be the fifth place one, because one of them will be.

It will be challenging for Napoli to defend their position because Juventus and Roma are still not playing, so there is still a possibility that they can win and add more points, but for now Napoli can still be third or at least fourth place if their performance is like this, but if their performance drops again, then Juventus and Roma can take that place and make their position fall again. Napoli need to further improve their form, or they could drop out of the top 4.

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January 31, 2026, 11:21:52 PM

Napoli cannot just hope for bad luck from competing teams. They need to improve and maintain their performance to continue holding their current position. Napoli still has matches against strong teams, and they will also face Roma, which could be an opportunity to get ahead of their rivals if they manage to beat Roma and several other strong teams in the upcoming matches. But when facing Fiorentina, they must win.
Napoli will have to improve and not what for the downfall of another team before they rise they all started together this season before they declined in their performance they have other strong opponents to meet in their upcoming games the next thing they should start doing now after defeating Fiorentina 2:1 is to prepare well and be ready to take the chances they get. Beating Roma is not going to be easy for them because they have the same point but if they succeed it's going to be a good thing for them to maintain their position while they hope to move up also.

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January 31, 2026, 11:30:20 PM

Just like I mentioned before, Napoli look more focused on domestic games when their schedule isn’t too crowded. The UCL kind of feels like a burden for them. Still, I want to see the results first after they play Roma and Atalanta. If they can take full points from both games, then Napoli are definitely back in the title race.

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February 01, 2026, 03:59:35 AM

The final result of the match was Napoli winning 2-1. But Fiorentina fought well in the second half and put Napoli under pressure for some time. Napoli is in third place in the points table, they may have to give up this place very soon. Napoli is still far behind to compete with Inter Milan in the championship fight, there are only 15 matches left in the season. Winning the title by overcoming the gap of 6 or 9 points in just 15 matches will not be easy. Inter Milan may not give them this opportunity.

We have seen napoli's poor performance in the last few matches. Napoli's players  were able to perform quite well in the home match against Fiorentina. And in the end they secured a 2- 1 victory. I expected a better performance from fiorentina. They did not play as well as  expected. Even then they were  able to make some strong attacks. Although napoli's defenders  could not play well in the last  3 matches, their performance against Fiorentina was  good. As a result, they were able to earn  3 points in the match.

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February 01, 2026, 04:33:28 AM

The final result of the match was Napoli winning 2-1. But Fiorentina fought well in the second half and put Napoli under pressure for some time. Napoli is in third place in the points table, they may have to give up this place very soon. Napoli is still far behind to compete with Inter Milan in the championship fight, there are only 15 matches left in the season. Winning the title by overcoming the gap of 6 or 9 points in just 15 matches will not be easy. Inter Milan may not give them this opportunity.
Napoli found a win that temporarily brings them back to a third position and they now stand above AS Roma already. They will need to wait for results from Inter Milan, AC Milan and AS Roma to see whether they are able to reduce differences with both Inter Milan and AC Milan after this week. It is not an easy win for Napoli but it's important that they eventually got three points for healing their pain from failure in UEFA Champions League while can hope for good news from competitors in Serie A.

We have seen napoli's poor performance in the last few matches. Napoli's players  were able to perform quite well in the home match against Fiorentina. And in the end they secured a 2- 1 victory. I expected a better performance from fiorentina. They did not play as well as  expected. Even then they were  able to make some strong attacks. Although napoli's defenders  could not play well in the last  3 matches, their performance against Fiorentina was  good. As a result, they were able to earn  3 points in the match.
Fiorentina with this defeat will remain their rank at a 18th position in Serie A and it makes their fight for staying in Serie A after this season becomes more difficult. In this season, Fiorentina got many conceded goals even they have David De Gea as their main goalkeeper while they had many draws and too little wins. With Fiorentina, if they can get more wins, their rank will be improved a lot as we can see with 25 goals scored so far, they scored 1 goal more than Lazio, only 2 goals less than AS Roma and let's see ranks of Lazio and AS Roma.

Tightening their defence and improving ability to win matches, Fiorentina will be able to stay in Serie A after this season but they must work very hard for such considerable improvements.

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February 01, 2026, 05:50:18 AM

I think for those who like to take risks, this could be the right day to do it. Napoli have just been knocked out of the Champions League, and their morale may be slightly shaken. Fiorentina could take advantage of that and go for a win. To get out of the relegation zone and boost their confidence, they really need a big result against the league leaders.
On the contrary, Napoli is leading the game 1-0 with an early goal which came from Vergara on the 11th minutes. That has given Napoli the confidence in dominating the game. Fiorentina almost got an equalizer but the ball hit the goal post. Napoli needs to be careful so that they don't make any mistakes that will give Fiorentina the chance of getting an equalizer.

In a long time, Yesterday was the first game I watched David De Gea close but they could not get to win. They may be relegated if they continue this way.
Napoli ended up winning games you don't bet and don't expect them to win after they might have disappointed you severally. With no champions league games, now they will be focused all throughout the league games which they have not. Antonio Conte will not want to see his side absent in the Champions League next year. His man to man marking worked out last night.

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February 01, 2026, 08:20:49 AM

Fiorentina with this defeat will remain their rank at a 18th position in Serie A and it makes their fight for staying in Serie A after this season becomes more difficult. In this season, Fiorentina got many conceded goals even they have David De Gea as their main goalkeeper while they had many draws and too little wins. With Fiorentina, if they can get more wins, their rank will be improved a lot as we can see with 25 goals scored so far, they scored 1 goal more than Lazio, only 2 goals less than AS Roma and let's see ranks of Lazio and AS Roma.

Tightening their defence and improving ability to win matches, Fiorentina will be able to stay in Serie A after this season but they must work very hard for such considerable improvements.
I think Fiorentina deserves to be in their current position,, as their performance this season has been truly dismal, unlike previous seasons. I don't know why Fiorentina's performance has been so poor, but it seems their squad depth is no longer ideal. Even though De Gea is currently their goalkeeper,, if their defenders and attackers are poor, they will certainly still be vulnerable to defeat.

No matter how great a goalkeeper is,, they will inevitably concede goals if they are constantly attacked. Therefore, I think Fiorentina must spend money and acquire new, fresher players. I think the Fiorentina players are currently lacking enthusiasm and their performance has declined. Therefore,, I think Fiorentina must spend quite a lot of money on players next season to improve their performance. Furthermore,, they must survive to avoid relegation. Relegation would be incredibly embarrassing for them.

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February 01, 2026, 08:21:46 AM

Lazio successfully completed their Week 23 match against Genoa, ending with a 2-3 victory. Genoa put up a good fight against Lazio, but Lazio was fortunate to finally get three points, and now Lazio can move up to 8th place. However, we don't know whether Lazio will be pushed aside again by the team below them.

Good for Lazio after not being able to win a game for 2 weeks in the league. But yeah just like you said, it wasn't easy for Lazio at all... They needed a last minute winner by a penalty to take the win.

I don't think they have much chance for top 6 with these inconsistencies and difficulties.

Quote

In Week 23, Napoli will face Fiorentina. We will see Napoli play to see whether they can win or not against Fiorentina. However, considering Napoli's last match against Chelsea in the UCL, Napoli played well. I think Napoli is likely to beat Fiorentina because Napoli also scored against Chelsea. I think the score is 3-1 for Napoli. I think Napoli is definitely the favorite to win, and I will also favor Napoli to win in my betting later.

I expect a win for Napoli here. Their odds are around 2.00 now. This is mostly because of their recent form I assume. But I still see this as an opportunity for gamblers. I find it worth taking the risk considering Fiorentina are having a much more horrible season.

Your prediction is absolutely correct because Napoli won the match with a score of 2-1. Fiorentina in my opinion put up a good fight against Napoli because if Napoli's defense is careless then Fiorentina will definitely score more than 1 goal. Napoli players looked enthusiastic playing and Conte made a good strategy in that match. It seems that the gamblers who chose Napoli to win must be happy now because they got the profit from the betting results in that match. Fiorentina is in the relegation zone and Fiorentina must do something before it's too late because Fiorentina fans definitely don't want to see Fiorentina relegated. Napoli in the next match will face Genoa and Genoa is definitely better in terms of ranking than Fiorentina so the upcoming match will be even more exciting. Do you have a good prediction about this match?

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February 01, 2026, 09:23:40 AM

Napoli cannot just hope for bad luck from competing teams. They need to improve and maintain their performance to continue holding their current position. Napoli still has matches against strong teams, and they will also face Roma, which could be an opportunity to get ahead of their rivals if they manage to beat Roma and several other strong teams in the upcoming matches. But when facing Fiorentina, they must win.
Napoli will have to improve and not what for the downfall of another team before they rise they all started together this season before they declined in their performance they have other strong opponents to meet in their upcoming games the next thing they should start doing now after defeating Fiorentina 2:1 is to prepare well and be ready to take the chances they get. Beating Roma is not going to be easy for them because they have the same point but if they succeed it's going to be a good thing for them to maintain their position while they hope to move up also.


There are still a few matches before Napoli faces Roma. But their meeting will surely be intense, like their last encounter, which Napoli managed to win 0-1. It certainly won’t be easy to repeat that victory, but the chances of Napoli winning could be higher in the upcoming match. 
However, the situation could change. This is due to Napoli’s performance, which tends to be inconsistent at the moment, unlike at the beginning of the season, when all teams were performing well.

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Velvet78
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February 01, 2026, 09:36:53 AM

Today I don't expect Inter to lose points. Cremonese have been in horrible shape. I just can't be sure of Juventus though. They can always get bad results in simple games in this situation.  Sad

Just like I mentioned before, Napoli look more focused on domestic games when their schedule isn’t too crowded. The UCL kind of feels like a burden for them. Still, I want to see the results first after they play Roma and Atalanta. If they can take full points from both games, then Napoli are definitely back in the title race.

The classic Conte... He always puts the domestic league in front of any other tournament. He is still having a challenging season though but he got what he wanted against Fiorentina.

By the way the probability of Fiorentina to relegate is increasing slowly. They are still only 1 point below Lecce maybe but I don't know...

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