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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 978156 times)
katanic97
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February 18, 2026, 11:08:47 PM

Inter are now in an even bigger advantage compared to Milan and Napoli. It’s really hard to see them dropping a 7 point lead, and especially an 11 point gap over Napoli. But in football, anything can happen ,  we’ve seen crazier things.Milan played a really poor game. I can’t say Como are a weak side , on the contrary, they’re a very solid team , but Milan simply had to take points here to stay in the title race with Inter. With this loss, they’ve made their path a lot more complicated

It is almost certain that this year's serie A champions will be Inter milan. First of all, the performances of napoli and AC milan have become erratic. They are not  able to perform well consistently. So AC milan is 7 points behind Inter milan. And Napoli is 11 points behind. Each team will play only 13 more matches. It is very difficult to close a big point gap.

Secondly, Inter Milan is probably going to be eliminated from the champions league playoffs. They lost 3-1  in the first leg match against Bodo. If Inter Milan is eliminated from the champions league, they will focus completely on serie A. And it will be easier for them to win the serie A title.

I never like to say something is certain when the season is still far from over, if you know what i mean. Inter are definitely moving in the right direction and the chances of them winning the title are very high, but i wouldn’t write off Milan or Napoli just yet.The form of those two teams has really been poor, you’re right about that, but there’s still a lot left to play , 39 points are still on the table, so anything can happen.As for Inter and the UCL, it won’t be easy. Bodo are always tricky when they play at home , and only at home, to be honest. I think Inter will get through it in front of their own fans

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February 18, 2026, 11:35:45 PM

Inter are now in an even bigger advantage compared to Milan and Napoli. It’s really hard to see them dropping a 7 point lead, and especially an 11 point gap over Napoli. But in football, anything can happen ,  we’ve seen crazier things.Milan played a really poor game. I can’t say Como are a weak side , on the contrary, they’re a very solid team , but Milan simply had to take points here to stay in the title race with Inter. With this loss, they’ve made their path a lot more complicated

The only thing I see happening to inter Milan is that if they fail to qualify for the next round of the champions League they will fall back to concentrate on securing the league title which will no longer be difficult for them since Napoli and AC Milan has made it so for them. 7 point lead is not too much but having both teams not closing in the gap because of their endless poor results Leeves you wish no option but to pick Inter Milan as title winners. Como is not a bad team they have shown good confidence and performance over big teams don't expect to see them dropping points soon.

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February 19, 2026, 12:28:18 AM

-snip-
Como have their ambitious target in this season, top four, and to achieve a fourth position, they must beat AC Milan in coming match. This match between AC Milan and Como is a very big and important match for both, and each of them only want to win and have three points. Any other result like a draw or a defeat will damage either AC Milan target for Scudetto or top four target for Como.

And that's exactly what happened. The game between AC Milan and Como ended with a one goal draw for each team. That's mean Inter Milan is happy because they have 7 points advantage. Otherwise Como as you said, has it difficult now to catch even Juventus. There is still time for sure but things are getting harder with every point missed.

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Gallar
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February 19, 2026, 03:31:42 AM

The only thing I see happening to inter Milan is that if they fail to qualify for the next round of the champions League they will fall back to concentrate on securing the league title which will no longer be difficult for them since Napoli and AC Milan has made it so for them. 7 point lead is not too much but having both teams not closing in the gap because of their endless poor results Leeves you wish no option but to pick Inter Milan as title winners. Como is not a bad team they have shown good confidence and performance over big teams don't expect to see them dropping points soon.
I think Inter should just focus on Serie A for now,, because their defeat in the play-offs is proof that their current performance is not on par with the other teams competing in the UCL. So rather than having high expectations for the UCL,, I think they should just accept the situation. Because in the first leg, Inter lost 3-1, and so in the upcoming second leg, Inter must defeat Glimt 3-0, and honestly, I think that will be quite difficult.

Because in the second leg,, the Glimt players will certainly put up much stronger resistance than in the first leg. So,, with that in mind, I think Inter will definitely fail to advance to the next round. Therefore,, focusing on Serie A is the right move for Inter, as they are currently at the top of the standings and just need to maintain their current performance to become champions.

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February 19, 2026, 04:10:03 AM

I think Inter should just focus on Serie A for now,, because their defeat in the play-offs is proof that their current performance is not on par with the other teams competing in the UCL. So rather than having high expectations for the UCL,, I think they should just accept the situation. Because in the first leg, Inter lost 3-1, and so in the upcoming second leg, Inter must defeat Glimt 3-0, and honestly, I think that will be quite difficult.

Because in the second leg,, the Glimt players will certainly put up much stronger resistance than in the first leg. So,, with that in mind, I think Inter will definitely fail to advance to the next round. Therefore,, focusing on Serie A is the right move for Inter, as they are currently at the top of the standings and just need to maintain their current performance to become champions.
Playing in the home stadium of Bodo Glimt under icy and very cold conditions is big challenge for all clubs especially clubs from nations with warm or hot weather conditions like Inter Milan. Losing the first leg playoff 1-3 is bad but it is not the end and I think Inter Milan can win at least 2 goal difference in the second leg playoff match for bringing this playoff pair to two extra halves. If they can do that, with their home stadium and fan support as well as pressure from 2-goal difference in the 90 minutes, Inter Milan will have very good chance of beating Bodo Glimt after all.

In Serie A, with a latest match between AC Milan and Como, a draw of AC Milan, now Inter Milan already officially have 7 points more than AC Milan when they both have same total played matches. With 7-point difference like this, Inter Milan even if continuing their journey in UEFA Champions League after playoff will still have very good advantage and opportunity of winning Scudetto in this season.

R


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February 19, 2026, 04:15:10 AM

And that's exactly what happened. The game between AC Milan and Como ended with a one goal draw for each team. That's mean Inter Milan is happy because they have 7 points advantage. Otherwise Como as you said, has it difficult now to catch even Juventus. There is still time for sure but things are getting harder with every point missed.
AC Milan failed secure three points against Como after the match have been draw and its advantage for Inter Milan has 7 points remaining at current standings of Serie A, Como leading awhile at after Nico Paz scoring goal at 32th minutes and Rafael Leao helping Milan loss three points trough his goals score at 64th minutes. Indeed not bad result after success getting one points but Milan has many points remaining with Inter Milan likely more comfortable to secure the Scudetto this season.
Como has remaining many points not only to catch Juventus but also opportunity to fight for Champion League almost over, remaining 5 points with Roma behind 13 matches left I think Como need to improve well their performance without loss three points yet if want to fight with top fourth standings.


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February 19, 2026, 04:59:49 AM

-snip-
Como have their ambitious target in this season, top four, and to achieve a fourth position, they must beat AC Milan in coming match. This match between AC Milan and Como is a very big and important match for both, and each of them only want to win and have three points. Any other result like a draw or a defeat will damage either AC Milan target for Scudetto or top four target for Como.

And that's exactly what happened. The game between AC Milan and Como ended with a one goal draw for each team. That's mean Inter Milan is happy because they have 7 points advantage. Otherwise Como as you said, has it difficult now to catch even Juventus. There is still time for sure but things are getting harder with every point missed.

If Como wants to get closer to Juventus or take the top spot, they will have to work harder. They have to stay away from losing points, but if they keep collecting three points in every game, they will be able to go above Juventus. But it will be difficult for Como, because at the moment Como's performance is not strong, they have many weaknesses in the attack department.

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February 19, 2026, 05:31:50 AM

Fiorentina really needs more improvement in their performance if they want to avoid relegation, performance like that one when they draw Lazio and Milan and win Bologna…

Their next match will be against Pisa whom are six points behind them in the Serie A standings and Pisa have only won once this season against Cremonese, Fiorentina played against them this season but it ended as a goalless draw…so they need to play their very best to secure the three points in that match so they can still have hope of not being relegated for if they lose or draw, they I think they’ll definitely be relegated.
The problem is that they are facing teams that are quite good and usually that is not the way to get out of relegation. Normally they should be playing teams that are not them but at like bottom five or something, that way they could get like a few wins and get a distance but they keep playing tough opponents and that makes things a bit harder for them and not really do that well.

I understand why this could be very tough and why this isn't what they wanted but that's just the situation we have in our hands.

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February 19, 2026, 07:33:15 AM

I wasn't too far off the mark, as it was still 1-0, albeit the other way round.
In the end, the match finished 1-1, and I'd say Milan can count themselves lucky not to have lost! Now the gap between Milan and Inter has narrowed, and they are second, seven points behind the top of the table.

Leao scored on the 64th minute to equalize for Milan, and they’re really lucky to have got a point in the game even though they got a red card in the 80th minute! They played with ten men till the end of the game and for now they’re seven points behind Inter..


The problem is that they are facing teams that are quite good and usually that is not the way to get out of relegation. Normally they should be playing teams that are not them but at like bottom five or something, that way they could get like a few wins and get a distance but they keep playing tough opponents and that makes things a bit harder for them and not really do that well.

I understand why this could be very tough and why this isn't what they wanted but that's just the situation we have in our hands.

I don’t think Fiorentina facing stronger teams is the problem, they’ve basically draw Milan whom are second in the table but they lost to Verona  whom are at the bottom of the table.

Their next match is against Pisa who are also behind them in the Serie A, let’s see what performance they’ll pull in that game.

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February 19, 2026, 07:49:56 AM

-snip-
Como have their ambitious target in this season, top four, and to achieve a fourth position, they must beat AC Milan in coming match. This match between AC Milan and Como is a very big and important match for both, and each of them only want to win and have three points. Any other result like a draw or a defeat will damage either AC Milan target for Scudetto or top four target for Como.

And that's exactly what happened. The game between AC Milan and Como ended with a one goal draw for each team. That's mean Inter Milan is happy because they have 7 points advantage. Otherwise Como as you said, has it difficult now to catch even Juventus. There is still time for sure but things are getting harder with every point missed.

Como is a newbee in Seria A, it's true when you say that the target is the european cup, but I think if will not champions league but europa league or conferece this will be a success for this team of young strong boys. Today for Como the right dimension is the europa league.
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February 19, 2026, 08:03:28 AM


I never like to say something is certain when the season is still far from over, if you know what i mean. Inter are definitely moving in the right direction and the chances of them winning the title are very high, but i wouldn’t write off Milan or Napoli just yet.The form of those two teams has really been poor, you’re right about that, but there’s still a lot left to play , 39 points are still on the table, so anything can happen.As for Inter and the UCL, it won’t be easy. Bodo are always tricky when they play at home , and only at home, to be honest. I think Inter will get through it in front of their own fans

What you say is partly correct, but the season, if you think about it, is not that far from the end. In any case, they are still 7 points behind all the others, and Inter are sleeping soundly, or at least will be able to afford to play more calmly in the next few games.
Obviously if he starts playing badly he will lose those points quickly, just keep the performances stable and they will truly manage (even if I don't like Inter) to win the Championship.

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February 19, 2026, 08:29:00 AM

 * Sassuolo - Hellas Verona => Sassuolo
 * Lecce - Inter Milan => Inter Milan
 * AC Milan - Parma => AC Milan
 * AS Roma - Cremonese => AS Roma

Let's try with this poker of matches, I think they're doable except perhaps the Sassuolo one which I included to raise the stakes a little.

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February 19, 2026, 08:40:15 AM

If Como wants to get closer to Juventus or take the top spot, they will have to work harder. They have to stay away from losing points, but if they keep collecting three points in every game, they will be able to go above Juventus. But it will be difficult for Como, because at the moment Como's performance is not strong, they have many weaknesses in the attack department.
This match will certainly be fierce considering they are currently at the same level. Even if Como wins they will still be below the Old Lady in points. However Juventus will be more relaxed in this match because they are hosting so their fans will continue to motivate the players playing at Allianz Stadium.

I have more confidence in Juventus this time because they are currently more consistent. This doesn't mean they are the hosts but Como's recent performance has been a little less than optimal in achieving results when they play. Previously Juventus was below Como but now the opposite is true meaning Juventus will be better prepared for this match.

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February 19, 2026, 09:01:04 AM

If Como wants to get closer to Juventus or take the top spot, they will have to work harder. They have to stay away from losing points, but if they keep collecting three points in every game, they will be able to go above Juventus. But it will be difficult for Como, because at the moment Como's performance is not strong, they have many weaknesses in the attack department.
This match will certainly be fierce considering they are currently at the same level. Even if Como wins they will still be below the Old Lady in points. However Juventus will be more relaxed in this match because they are hosting so their fans will continue to motivate the players playing at Allianz Stadium.

I have more confidence in Juventus this time because they are currently more consistent. This doesn't mean they are the hosts but Como's recent performance has been a little less than optimal in achieving results when they play. Previously Juventus was below Como but now the opposite is true meaning Juventus will be better prepared for this match.
Como is now a top Serie A team to be taken seriously, and I won’t go overboard in predicting because the season's journey is still very long and I think anything is still possible, and of course the competition at the top remains fierce without anyone being underestimated. 

It's true, as you said, that Juventus is slightly more favored because they are playing at home, but as I mentioned earlier, Como cannot be underestimated, and whatever the result of this match later will not have a significant impact, the competition at the top of the standings will continue.

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February 19, 2026, 09:13:32 AM

This match will certainly be fierce considering they are currently at the same level. Even if Como wins they will still be below the Old Lady in points. However Juventus will be more relaxed in this match because they are hosting so their fans will continue to motivate the players playing at Allianz Stadium.

I have more confidence in Juventus this time because they are currently more consistent. This doesn't mean they are the hosts but Como's recent performance has been a little less than optimal in achieving results when they play. Previously Juventus was below Como but now the opposite is true meaning Juventus will be better prepared for this match.
Both Juventus and Como have been struggling recently. Como dropped points in their last match, drawing against AC Milan, and Juventus put up a great fight against Inter Milan, but were ultimately defeated. The recent statistics are against both teams. Juventus have only won two games, lost two and drawn one. Como are relatively ahead in this regard, having won two games, drawn two and lost one.
Since the match will be played at Juventus' home ground, it would be a fair decision to consider Juventus as the favourites to win. Even in terms of team strength, Juventus are ahead now.

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February 19, 2026, 09:25:48 AM

Both Juventus and Como have been struggling recently. Como dropped points in their last match, drawing against AC Milan, and Juventus put up a great fight against Inter Milan, but were ultimately defeated. The recent statistics are against both teams. Juventus have only won two games, lost two and drawn one. Como are relatively ahead in this regard, having won two games, drawn two and lost one.Since the match will be played at Juventus' home ground, it would be a fair decision to consider Juventus as the favourites to win. Even in terms of team strength, Juventus are ahead now.


If Juve is the home favourite, the value is probably gone.

i'd scout alternative markets-double chance, under/overs.
maybe Como's defence holds, so a draw-no-bet is smarter.

its like staring at Bitcoin charts all day instead of placing limit orders and walking away. i'd rather take a calculated punt on a mispriced outcome, like buying a crypto dip during panic.
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February 19, 2026, 10:04:45 AM

And Milan lose points in their missing game... 0 impact in the first half. They did better later on which helped them secure 1 point at least. Como looked better in general of the game.  Smiley

Now the gap between Milan and Inter has gone up to 7 points! 13 games left in the season. I don't think Milan will be able to keep up with the leader in the circumstances.

Inter just need to mess up a lot for that to happen which I don't expect.

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February 19, 2026, 10:10:23 AM

And Milan lose points in their missing game... 0 impact in the first half. They did better later on which helped them secure 1 point at least. Como looked better in general of the game.  Smiley

Now the gap between Milan and Inter has gone up to 7 points! 13 games left in the season. I don't think Milan will be able to keep up with the leader in the circumstances.

Inter just need to mess up a lot for that to happen which I don't expect.

Thirteen matches is a lot anything can still change. If Milan go on a strong winning streak and Inter run into some kind of crisis, then anything is possible. But right now, a seven-point gap looks too big and very difficult for Milan to close. Yesterday Inter played very poorly in the Champions League, before that match they had beaten Juventus in a tough game, Inter won but it was clear that both Juventus and Inter were exhausted after that clash, because both teams then lost their next matches and by fairly big margins. Now Inter will have to make a huge effort to beat Bodø/Glimt at home and avoid being knocked out of the Champions League.

R


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February 19, 2026, 10:40:23 AM

And that's exactly what happened. The game between AC Milan and Como ended with a one goal draw for each team. That's mean Inter Milan is happy because they have 7 points advantage. Otherwise Como as you said, has it difficult now to catch even Juventus. There is still time for sure but things are getting harder with every point missed.

I will be very happy if como can occupy the fifth  place in the table. Como's performance is very surprising to us. The team is not  very strong. Even then, they have been able  to keep their performance stable. Especially against the big teams, the team is performing exceptionally well. In the last match, como was able to share points with AC milan. Juventus is now only 4 points behind como. This is not a big gap. If Juventus cannot maintain their performance, then they will lose the fifth place in the table. Como  will definitely try their best to qualify for the Europa League.

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February 19, 2026, 11:02:59 AM

Inter are now in an even bigger advantage compared to Milan and Napoli. It's really hard to see them dropping a 7 point lead, and especially an 11 point gap over Napoli. But in football, anything can happen ,  we've seen crazier things.Milan played a really poor game. I can't say Como are a weak side , on the contrary, they're a very solid team , but Milan simply had to take points here to stay in the title race with Inter. With this loss, they've made their path a lot more complicated

7 Points advantage is felt, they are unlikely to give ground to Milan, also because of them Milan is not that they are playing great games.
The draw with Como slowed the possibility of closing the gap on Inter.
It's unthinkable to me that Milan could manage to catch up with Inter in any way, especially since if they play like this they risk even dropping in position.

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