How will the stress test effect the price?

[zby]

Apparently the coinwallet stress test have been going on since yesterday: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1175321.0 They give out private keys for accounts with huge numbers of inputs counting that someone reading it will generate the huge transactions. Have any of these huge transactions been generated? How is the network coping with them?

This could push the price down in a big way - but it looks quiet so far - so maybe the effect will be the opposite - as the network proves robust.

Personally I think that the network will survive and the average fees will increase. The gigantic transactions will possibly stay in the backlog for some time, because miners will not have much incentives to put them into the blockchain (and lose fees from other transactions) - but everything else will not be delayed much because miners will not have any problem with other transactions. So yeah - there might be an initial flashcrash because of the uncertainty and doubt - but it should bounce hard once that clears.

[Ibian]

https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions

/yawn

[XCASH]

They had to ban giveaways here because the amount of addresses getting posted here for free coins was stress testing this forum. I hope the same number of people don't try to claim those free coins and do the stress testers jobs for them. All the coins in the giveaway are composed of dust transactions from the last stress test, and transferring them will take up excessive amounts of block space.

[Wardrick]

They had to ban giveaways here because the amount of addresses getting posted here for free coins was stress testing this forum.

No it was because the giveaway threads kept getting bumped to the top of their section. They were basically paying people to bump their threads.

[lorylore]

https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions

/yawn

It's not a huge number of unconfirmed transaction.
I think that the price of bitcoin at the stress test period will maybe decrease.
Why? Because people will not buy, because it can never reach their destination address if the fees are normal.

[Ibian]

https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions

/yawn

It's not a huge number of unconfirmed transaction.
I think that the price of bitcoin at the stress test period will maybe decrease.
Why? Because people will not buy, because it can never reach their destination address if the fees are normal.

It's a normal level of unconfirmed transactions. There is nothing going on that matters. If the price moves it won't be over this.

[Herbert2020]

it is better to remove any link to that thread in order to prevent any more views for that shameful thread.

https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions

/yawn

blockchain.info is returning this error again like last time  :
"Maximum concurrent requests for this endpoint reached. Please try again shortly.

[AtheistAKASaneBrain]

Well, unless the stress test doesn't start being stressful soon, it will prove two things: The demand for a QUICK OR ITS DOOMSDAY type of blocksize increase schelude is insane, and two, it does nothing to the price, in fact its going up since a while ago again.

[LFC_Bitcoin]

The stress test won't impact on the price either positively or negatively. If the price makes a significant move either way I'm pretty sure it'll be nothing to do with the stress test.

[trafficolaa]

I also think stress test would not impact on the bitcoin price because it is stable at this level and in my opinion that stress test don't have any meaning for person who love bitcoin.

[amiryaqot]

The stress test won't impact at price because majority of the people don't aware about this on going stress test, price will be stay remain stable at current price range.

[Itun]

There actually aren't that many unconfirmed transactions right now.

Prices would only start showing effects of this if there ever is a 30 day backlog which I highly doubt will be.

[--Encrypted--]

I think the stress test will have a positive impact on the price. I just don't know how big it will be.
the reason is a simple one. some people will get their btc transaction to exchanges delayed because they are unaware of the stress test. that means less dumps.

[Itun]

I think the stress test will have a positive impact on the price. I just don't know how big it will be.
the reason is a simple one. some people will get their btc transaction to exchanges delayed because they are unaware of the stress test. that means less dumps.

Lol that's one way to think of it.

But are the vast majority of bitcoin users that news-ignorant?

[--Encrypted--]

Lol that's one way to think of it.

But are the vast majority of bitcoin users that news-ignorant?

I don't know. that's why I said this

I just don't know how big it will be.

added that part just before I posted. someone have to put their faith in humanity.  

[zby]

https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions

/yawn

Now it is 21078 with total size of  55418 (KB) - so it looks like it grows and if that goes on for some time this can become a problem.

It was kind of obvious that the backlog will build up and that this will start not at once - but after people figure out how to use the published keys and generate those huge transactions. The only question is how miners will react - if they quickly adjust and just ignore these transactions then this should settle down nicely. And if people start paying any fees - it it would be in the interest of the miners to ignore the huge transactions - because they lose fees from other transactions if they include them. Theoretically it is all very well balanced - but it depends on the miners now and some people can still panic seeing the backlog.

[Amph]

I think the stress test will have a positive impact on the price. I just don't know how big it will be.
the reason is a simple one. some people will get their btc transaction to exchanges delayed because they are unaware of the stress test. that means less dumps.

another one is that some users will not sell any bitcoin, because they will not send any, anywhere, this mean less dumping

but it would be, principally an isolated thing, the majority will trade regularly

[randy8777]

I think the stress test will have a positive impact on the price. I just don't know how big it will be.
the reason is a simple one. some people will get their btc transaction to exchanges delayed because they are unaware of the stress test. that means less dumps.

another one is that some users will not sell any bitcoin, because they will not send any, anywhere, this mean less dumping

but it would be, principally an isolated thing, the majority will trade regularly

the users who don't plan to move their coins due to the test will surely do so eventually. so the dumping stage will be moved away from us for a short while. but it's just temporarily.

[MF Doom]

I think the stress test will have a positive impact on the price. I just don't know how big it will be.
the reason is a simple one. some people will get their btc transaction to exchanges delayed because they are unaware of the stress test. that means less dumps.

another one is that some users will not sell any bitcoin, because they will not send any, anywhere, this mean less dumping

but it would be, principally an isolated thing, the majority will trade regularly

theres always those who are seemingly always ready to dump at the first sign of a problem or bad news though.  I think at some point during the "stress test" (its going on all month I think?) there will be a hiccup and there will be some dumping.  THAT may be a good time to pick up some "cheap coins"

[LMGTFY]

theres always those who are seemingly always ready to dump at the first sign of a problem or bad news though.  I think at some point during the "stress test" (its going on all month I think?) there will be a hiccup and there will be some dumping.  THAT may be a good time to pick up some "cheap coins"

The scheduled stress test was supposed to. The new "not-at-all-a-stress-test-it's-a-benevolent-give-away", however... well, I guess that'll go on until all dust has been swept or we've all lost interest!