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Question: Do you think any of us early adopters will have a chance of mining with ASICs before the change of 50 > 25 block reward?
Yes
No
Maybe for those at the very front of the line
Maybe for those at the front and middle of the line
Maybe (other)

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Author Topic: [Poll] - Will ASICs Hit Before Block Reward Halving / Drop?  (Read 1949 times)
The-Real-Link
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October 20, 2012, 05:39:53 PM
 #1


  Pretty much what the description says Wink.

  Now that we know BFL may launch in Nov to Dec. any shot at 50 coins a block or nope?

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October 20, 2012, 06:00:11 PM
 #2

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=81.0

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October 20, 2012, 08:43:09 PM
 #3

Not a chance!

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October 20, 2012, 10:32:00 PM
 #4

Slim chance.
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October 21, 2012, 02:03:24 AM
 #5

I really hope so but the bitcoin magazine mention of end of November, beginning of December timeline is cutting it very close.

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October 21, 2012, 03:37:57 AM
 #6

Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.

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October 21, 2012, 05:20:52 AM
 #7

Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.

Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.

Oh Loaded, who art up in Mt. Gox, hallowed be thy name!  Thy dollars rain, thy will be done, on BTCUSD.  Give us this day our daily 10% 30%, and forgive the bears, as we have bought their bitcoins.  And lead us into quadruple digits
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October 21, 2012, 12:35:33 PM
 #8

doesn't look like its going to happen  Sad

poop!
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October 21, 2012, 05:28:48 PM
 #9

probably no..


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October 21, 2012, 05:57:37 PM
 #10

I think some of the very early BFL orders will get theirs in time.
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October 21, 2012, 05:59:37 PM
 #11

perhaps only the testing units  Wink
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October 21, 2012, 05:59:52 PM
 #12

Probably not...chances are we'll hit the block reward cut before we get the new devices. I don't see anything wrong with that either. With the reward split and no new devices, I'm sure we'll see a drop off in difficulty as GPU farms start to shutdown due to lack of profitability.

Oh, and the "Maybe" options are misleading. BFL released a statement on shipping noting it was going to be random...pulling from not only top of the list purchasers, but middle and bottom as well to spread out who gets what.
Oh?  Did they change the 1/3rd rule as originally planned?  Should check that link above that was made.  Thanks.
The final 1/3 of BFL's shipping, the randomly picked ones, will still only come from the first month of pre-orders. You can't place an order now, and hope it gets into the final 1/3.

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November 03, 2012, 06:42:55 AM
 #13

I've said it before in another thread, but I'll say it again; I predict ASIC manufacturers will do what is best for the market they serve, which would be releasing batch-1 shortly after the block reward halving. Less volatility in BTC supply this way. Predicting early early December release.
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