philipma1957 (OP)
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October 01, 2015, 12:26:21 PM Last edit: October 08, 2015, 05:02:02 PM by philipma1957 |
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I will add a surprise bonus to the winner of this round. So 0.2 btc and a surprise makes it a round to win. new thread picks open in a day or so. link to the old one is here. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1183709.0we have a 2x bonus due to edonkey and his cats thanks. prize will be 0.20 btc! we made 159 153 blocks on oct 1 that is 15 9 over but about ⅝ was on the last diff so we are maybe 4 over early in the game . https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+3.66%) with 1941 to go so we have made 75 blocks. remember picks start block 300. this is same as block 1716 to go.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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October 02, 2015, 02:40:29 AM |
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http://btc.blockr.io/charts10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period. 10/2/2015 10/3/2015 10/4/2015
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notlist3d
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October 02, 2015, 03:45:32 AM |
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The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.
And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.
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d57heinz
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October 02, 2015, 03:57:05 AM |
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The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.
And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.
its making me think back to that thread i posted about the 100 peta jump.. just wonder if they decided to ease it in rather than dump it on all at once.. looks like another 10 peta online at f2pool. seems maybe they are either expanding or someone using there pool to test new hw possibly.. F2Pool 24.16 % 108.05 PHs src.. https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/pool?pool_mode=day again reason i dont think its variance is i dont see antpool jump 10 -15 peta up and down with variance.. Maybe just a couple at most.. Best Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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zebedee
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October 02, 2015, 04:18:11 AM |
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Lulz, blockr.io has: Next difficulty (estimate) 51,384,481,271.24
-15.50% change to current 1933 blocks until difficulty changes
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philipma1957 (OP)
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October 02, 2015, 04:46:14 AM |
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Lulz, blockr.io has: Next difficulty (estimate) 51,384,481,271.24
-15.50% change to current 1933 blocks until difficulty changes
I would like to see that.
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EternalWingsofGod
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October 02, 2015, 05:29:23 AM |
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Lulz, blockr.io has: Next difficulty (estimate) 51,384,481,271.24
-15.50% change to current 1933 blocks until difficulty changes
I had to read that twice to make sure I saw correctly If only that would happen And props to donkey for bragging rights and a cat that can predict bitcoin difficulty, I guess I haven't seen it all ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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Mikestang
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October 02, 2015, 05:44:48 AM |
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The interesting thing about this time period is it currently being a holiday in China. I was surprised to see 3-4 percent. I was hoping that we might see even smaller as no new miners should be built during this period.
And I could be a idiot and bitmain might be filling up S7's in a data center during the holiday to test. Just waiting till after holiday to ship. Not sure what to think with current difficulty.
Mostly everyone expected the last adjustment period to be a much larger gain, will this be the one that we were afraid of? I wonder how many S7s Bitmain is keeping for themselves vs. selling to the public. Maybe they are replacing hash for hash rather than machine for machine and becoming more efficient (lower power costs, more profits) without unnecessarily increasing difficulty? Could be a viable plan to maximize income by minimizing expenses rather than brute force hash increase.
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notlist3d
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October 02, 2015, 08:28:58 PM |
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Bitwisdom slowly going down:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 60,813,224,039 Estimated Next Difficulty: 62,717,302,528 (+3.13%) Adjust time: After 1837 Blocks, About 12.6 days Hashrate(?): 439,673,341 GH/s
Hopefully this continues over next few day's. I really want to see a 2 percent change again.
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notlist3d
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October 03, 2015, 02:54:47 AM |
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Night bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 60,813,224,039 Estimated Next Difficulty: 62,647,168,085 (+3.02%) Adjust time: After 1799 Blocks, About 12.4 days Hashrate(?): 435,821,900 GH/s
So went down slightly from earlier today. Price really 237-238 most of day. We really have been pretty steady on price for a week or so.
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philipma1957 (OP)
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October 03, 2015, 03:16:05 AM |
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http://btc.blockr.io/charts10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period. 10/2/2015 130 ------------ -14 so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10 10/3/2015 10/4/2015 we have made 217 blocks we should be 231 so the real time number = (-6.06%)frankly pretty far away from bitcoinwisdom. but the Chinese holiday must have lowered some hashing a lot. My guess is we pick up on Tues or Weds.
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mavericklm
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October 03, 2015, 03:17:34 AM |
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bitcoinwisdom.com 62698580608 3.1% bitcoincharts.com 60674559397 -0.2% mining-profit.com 54731901635 -10% ![Shocked](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/shocked.gif) negative for sure?
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philipma1957 (OP)
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October 03, 2015, 03:20:56 AM |
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bitcoinwisdom.com 62698580608 3.1% bitcoincharts.com 60674559397 -0.2% mining-profit.com 54731901635 -10% ![Shocked](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/shocked.gif) negative for sure? No but we can hope for a negative. picks will open sat morning in 10-12 hours or so. we have 221 in and 79 to go.
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notlist3d
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October 03, 2015, 04:35:35 AM |
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http://btc.blockr.io/charts10/1/2015 153------------ + 9 ___--------- about + 4 for this adjustment period. 10/2/2015 130 ------------ -14 so as of 11 pm we are about a - 10 10/3/2015 10/4/2015 we have made 217 blocks we should be 231 so the real time number = (-6.06%)frankly pretty far away from bitcoinwisdom. but the Chinese holiday must have lowered some hashing a lot. My guess is we pick up on Tues or Weds. That is pretty amazing. Wow that is a complete change on hashing. Guess we can hope for more Chinese holiday's to help hash. Sadly after holiday I have a feeling next batch's of S7 will be coming pretty soon. Assuming it all works right for them. Which we know it was not 100 percent since they had some gear not hit the right hash.
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d57heinz
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October 03, 2015, 04:44:48 PM |
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block 301. thread not officially open ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) i did calcs and thought it would be more closer to 9 am in midwest but we had a bit of a slow down it seems.. (3.51% - 3.75%) My guess ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Best Regards d57heinz
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As in nature, all is ebb and tide, all is wave motion, so it seems that in all branches of industry, alternating currents - electric wave motion - will have the sway. ~Nikola Tesla~
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Biodom
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October 03, 2015, 04:51:39 PM |
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well, if I may (as it is >300 objectively)
+3.26 to +3.50 please
If i was too early, sorry.
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suchmoon
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October 03, 2015, 05:21:38 PM |
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well, if I may (as it is >300 objectively)
+3.26 to +3.50 please
If i was too early, sorry.
I'm sure you're fine. There is a fairly steep drop in hashrate right now but we had that at the beginning of the previous period too. A lot can still change in the next 12 days.
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edonkey
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October 03, 2015, 05:58:36 PM |
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So are picks open?
If so, the other cat says +2.26% to +2.50%.
Not very original. She's copying her brother.
That's right. She's a copycat.
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Was I helpful? BTC: 3G1Ubof5u8K9iJkM8We2f3amYZgGVdvpHr
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wlefever
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October 03, 2015, 06:39:17 PM |
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I'll go with my same pick from last week +3.01% to +3.25% for me please, thanks!
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suchmoon
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October 03, 2015, 06:40:58 PM |
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So are picks open?
If so, the other cat says +2.26% to +2.50%.
Not very original. She's copying her brother.
That's right. She's a copycat.
Yes, d57heinz, Biodom and the copycat should be good according to Phil's 300-block rule. I'm sure he'll update the thread title as soon as he gets from whatever people do on weekends +2.26% to +2.50% edonkey's copycat
+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever +3.26% to +3.50% Biodom +3.51% to +3.75% d57heinz
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