Setting up new diff thread Dec 6 to Dec 20 picks closed.

[edonkey]

It's not too late to pick.

However it is too late for ROI, apparently. Especially for us poor schlubs who bought batch 1 S7s for 8 BTC each 

Isn't that a good thing however? You only paid around $1800 but you started mining in Oct when the difficulty was still slightly lower and now all your coins are worth more.

It was better buying the miner in Sept for $1800 then today for $1650.

I'm talking about ROI in raw BTC terms, not fiat. It was already a pretty big risk that brand new B1 S7s would make back their cost in BTC. With the insane difficulty rise it's a lot less likely.

Sure if I look at the fiat value of BTC mined so far from my S7s, I'm about halfway to ROI (if the price holds). But in the end I would have been better off buying BTC at October prices instead of hardware.

With this game you're either speculating on the difficulty or the price. My BTC ROI calculations were based on a reasonable historic difficulty times 2. Boy was I off this time...

If the price holds, it looks like I'll be selling BTC instead of holding, in order to get back ROI.

[philipma1957]

+20.7 radiumsoup

(not sure if by "new" people you mean new to bitcointalk or new to these threads, so if it's "no new folks to this thread", then sorry for intruding - seems like a fun game, though, even if it's a bit depressing at this level)

 

you are okay  these were 3 new forum members with less then a week on site.

[philipma1957]

+10.0   = mavericklm
+10.1 = edonkey
+10.2 = needmoney
+11.8 = flikflak
+12.1 =  zebedee

+12.3 = philipma1957
+12.5  = Notlist3d
+12.7 = indiemax
+12.8  =radnom------new---can not win btc prize>>> All three must contact with proof of address for usb prize before 1200th block
+12.9  =Forumgeiq---new-- can not win btc prize>>>>"    "        "        "         "      "      "     "       "    "     "       "          "         "
+13.0  = Valkir

+13.2 = Lauda
+13.3 = Tupsu
+14.2 = 64dimensions
+14.7 = Biodom
+14.8 = jonnybravo0311
+14.9 = Last of the V8s
+15.0 = HerbPean
+15.1 = psy0----------------new--can not win btc prize>>> "    "      "         "         "          "       "     "       "         "    "         "
+16.0 = adaseb
+16.1 = sloopy
+16.4 = vortexz
+16.5 = amph ------------gave  you this number as vortexz was ahead of you
+17.2  = d57heinz

+17.7 = Chris_Sabian
+17.8 = ingiltere
+18.4 = VirosaGITS
+18.5 = UfoRia
+18.6 = dukeneptun
+18.7 = Tmdz
+18.8 = Swordsoffreedom
+20.0 = Kexkey
+20.7 = radiumsoup
+21.4 = keystroke

+21.5 = wpt1wpt1
+21.7 = ezeminer
+25.5 =  goxed











okay people 3 new members  all joined the forum this month  they are marked above.  suchmoon and I have decided what to do with prize btc and prize compac usb.

    NO New members will not be accepted in this contest they will need at least one month old  account and decent  postings.

I have put down how those three new accounts will be handled.  AND no more new accounts.

And I am banning any more new members from this point on during this adjustment period.

No more for this adjustment.   if you have been on this  site for months , but not in this game that is okay!

[jonnybravo0311]

I can't believe you're not going to let me create a whole bunch of alt accounts and post here to increase my chances!!!  That's so unfair!!!  /sarcasm.

[philipma1957]

I can't believe you're not going to let me create a whole bunch of alt accounts and post here to increase my chances!!!  That's so unfair!!!  /sarcasm.

Hey I am still offering them a chance win the usb stick  so far none of them have given me a  mailing address.

[philipma1957]

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Dec   6 ---157
Dec   7 ---149   + 5
Dec   8 ---171   +27
Dec   9----174   +30
Dec 10----212   +68
Dec 11
Dec 12
Dec 13
Dec 14
Dec 15

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty  (+18.25%)

Bitcoin Difficulty:   79,102,380,900
Estimated Next Difficulty:   93,538,750,120 (+18.25%)
Adjust time:   After 1202 Blocks, About 7.1 days
Hashrate(?):   721,254,046 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 8.5 minutes
3 blocks: 25.5 minutes
6 blocks: 51.0 minutes
Updated:   

we dropped off a lot today from the smoking crazy hot 212 block number


https://blockchain.info/blocks

387886 (Main Chain)   2015-12-11 16:28:17

387782 (Main Chain)   2015-12-11 00:00:05

105 blocks in 16 hours and 50 minutes  we should be  101  so we are at a   148 block pace.


to be able to go to 215 then to 148 can only mean a huge farm or two farms.

My Chinese ghost city filled with old gear and  a second unknown farm of sp50s ?


price at coinbase 439

[cakir]

+13.1 = cakir

Let's get some optimistic about this time (I hope it won't rise %20+...)

[suchmoon]

to be able to go to 215 then to 148 can only mean a huge farm or two farms.

My Chinese ghost city filled with old gear and  a second unknown farm of sp50s ?

Variance

[mavericklm]

i kind of heard also something about sp50...
actually there was silence(because they sign an non-disclosure agreement) and no denying

[Mikestang]

+15.2 = Mikestang

I remember posting about 100G network difficulty a month or two ago and people responded like well that's crazy, we'll never get that high, way too much hash required, etc. etc. and now we are on the cusp of that number.  A few more big jumps and 100G it will be.

It's not so much the percentage change that is amazing, but the shear amount of hash being added.  It's like the entire network of only a year ago was re-added to the current network in one adjustment period and that's insane.

[iglasses]

Wow we may never even see an 8x billion diff.  going from 79 to somewhere in the 90's

yikes.

[Account Supplier]

+15.5 = Account Supplier

[herzlos1985]

+12.2 = herzlos1985

[notlist3d]

Holy crap guys! Were at 448 at coinbase.  Were talking about possibly breaking 450 today.

That is huge! Expect high difficulty for sure with this going on.

[philipma1957]

+10.0   = mavericklm
+10.1 = edonkey
+10.2 = needmoney
+11.8 = flikflak
+12.1 =  zebedee
+12.2 = herzlos1985
+12.3 = philipma1957
+12.5  = Notlist3d
+12.7 = indiemax
+12.8  =radnom------new---can not win btc prize>>> All three must contact with proof of address for usb prize before 1200th block
+12.9  =Forumgeiq---new-- can not win btc prize>>>>"    "        "        "         "      "      "     "       "    "     "       "          "         "
+13.0  = Valkir
+13.1 = cakir
+13.2 = Lauda
+13.3 = Tupsu
+14.2 = 64dimensions
+14.7 = Biodom
+14.8 = jonnybravo0311
+14.9 = Last of the V8s
+15.0 = HerbPean
+15.1 = psy0----------------new--can not win btc prize>>> "    "      "         "         "          "       "     "       "         "    "         "
+15.2 = Mikestang
+15.5 = Account Supplier
+16.0 = adaseb
+16.1 = sloopy
+16.4 = vortexz
+16.5 = amph ------------gave  you this number as vortexz was ahead of you
+17.2  = d57heinz

+17.7 = Chris_Sabian
+17.8 = ingiltere
+18.4 = VirosaGITS
+18.5 = UfoRia
+18.6 = dukeneptun
+18.7 = Tmdz
+18.8 = Swordsoffreedom
+20.0 = Kexkey
+20.7 = radiumsoup
+21.4 = keystroke

+21.5 = wpt1wpt1
+21.7 = ezeminer
+25.5 =  goxed











okay people 3 new members  all joined the forum this month  they are marked above.  suchmoon and I have decided what to do with prize btc and prize compac usb.

    NO New members will not be accepted in this contest they will need at least one month old  account and decent  postings.

I have put down how those three new accounts will be handled.  AND no more new accounts.

And I am banning any more new members from this point on during this adjustment period.

No more for this adjustment.   if you have been on this  site for months , but not in this game that is okay!

[kipper01]

+22.2 = Kipper01

 

Go Home or go Broke

[adaseb]

Day is over

Today was only

+9.4%

[mavericklm]

2h ago i went for a beer and diff was at +17%... and now:

Estimated Next Difficulty:    94,151,861,522 (+19.03%)
Adjust time:    After 1145 Blocks, About 6.7 days
Hashrate(?):    715,979,336 GH/s

[philipma1957]

+10.0   = mavericklm
+10.1 = edonkey
+10.2 = needmoney
+11.8 = flikflak
+12.1 =  zebedee
+12.2 = herzlos1985
+12.3 = philipma1957
+12.5  = Notlist3d
+12.7 = indiemax
+12.8  =radnom------new---can not win btc prize>>> All three must contact with proof of address for usb prize before 1200th block
+12.9  =Forumgeiq---new-- can not win btc prize>>>>"    "        "        "         "      "      "     "       "    "     "       "          "         "
+13.0  = Valkir
+13.1 = cakir
+13.2 = Lauda
+13.3 = Tupsu
+14.2 = 64dimensions
+14.7 = Biodom
+14.8 = jonnybravo0311
+14.9 = Last of the V8s
+15.0 = HerbPean
+15.1 = psy0----------------new--can not win btc prize>>> "    "      "         "         "          "       "     "       "         "    "         "
+15.2 = Mikestang
+15.5 = Account Supplier
+16.0 = adaseb
+16.1 = sloopy
+16.4 = vortexz
+16.5 = amph ------------gave  you this number as vortexz was ahead of you
+17.2  = d57heinz

+17.7 = Chris_Sabian
+17.8 = ingiltere
+18.4 = VirosaGITS
+18.5 = UfoRia
+18.6 = dukeneptun
+18.7 = Tmdz
+18.8 = Swordsoffreedom
+20.0 = Kexkey
+20.7 = radiumsoup
+21.4 = keystroke

+21.5 = wpt1wpt1
+21.7 = ezeminer
+22.2 = Kipper01
+25.5 =  goxed











okay people 3 new members  all joined the forum this month  they are marked above.  suchmoon and I have decided what to do with prize btc and prize compac usb.

    NO New members will not be accepted in this contest they will need at least one month old  account and decent  postings.

I have put down how those three new accounts will be handled.  AND no more new accounts.

And I am banning any more new members from this point on during this adjustment period.

No more for this adjustment.   if you have been on this  site for months , but not in this game that is okay!

[notlist3d]

And I am banning any more new members from this point on during this adjustment period.

Thank your for doing this.  I think looking into it for all future ones might be a decent idea.  Just seems odd we get 3 when week before we had none, but it is a even higher prize so could be coincidence but I normally dont believe in coincidence.

Price is going down some looks like were around 421 now.. so not the 450 we had earlier.  But still nice.

Bitwisdom is scary to be honest:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    79,102,380,900
Estimated Next Difficulty:    93,211,306,663 (+17.84%)
Adjust time:    After 1123 Blocks, About 6.7 days
Hashrate(?):    707,439,362 GH/s