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Author Topic: Gartner Hype Cycle  (Read 4108 times)
mooseman99 (OP)
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December 06, 2012, 07:10:43 PM
 #1

Anyone else think that the price of bitcoins over time looks exactly like the Gartner Hype cycle?  Which is specifically designed to measure adoption of new technologies over time

https://i.imgur.com/tFDJH.png
https://i.imgur.com/VjMYu.gif

Sources:
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#tgSzm1g10zm2g25zv
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle
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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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ElectricMucus
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December 06, 2012, 07:13:18 PM
 #2

I agree.


But price and visibility aren't the same thing. I wouldn't be surprised if prices develop in the same manner but I wouldn't consider it certain or even a sound prediction.
notme
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December 06, 2012, 07:14:58 PM
 #3

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=119096.0

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
annette786
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December 06, 2012, 08:21:51 PM
 #4

As was discussed on the previous thread.  This is the look of a successful launch phase.  Where it goes now depends on the efficacy of the product.
Spekulatius
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December 08, 2012, 03:52:02 PM
 #5





I wonder, why I have never seen any "digital currencies" -or similar- entries to their yearly updates.
Also wonder where they would put Bitcoin on their model.
Adrian-x
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December 08, 2012, 06:45:15 PM
 #6

Related:

Bitcoin and Hype Cycle -
http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=53068.0

The Startup Curve -
http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=69039.0

Where is Bitcoin in the Technology adoption lifecycle? -
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=113606.0

Thank me in Bits 12MwnzxtprG2mHm3rKdgi7NmJKCypsMMQw
scrybe
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December 09, 2012, 10:22:46 PM
 #7


I wonder, why I have never seen any "digital currencies" -or similar- entries to their yearly updates.
Also wonder where they would put Bitcoin on their model.

Because for the most part they are funded by corporations wanting research about other corporations products. If enough Gartner subscribers or CIO's start talking about BitCoin they will start covering the market space.

It would be cool to see a Gartner Magic Quadrant (TM) with BTC, LTC, etc. on it, but the number of asterisks on an annually updated report would be insane right now...

Velocity will have to slow down a bit, maybe in 2014 we will see something.

I know a few analysts, I'll put a bug in their ear.

"...as simple as possible, but no simpler" -AE
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mooncake
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March 26, 2014, 01:03:20 PM
 #8

I just need to dig this out.

Notice the graph pattern keeps repeating?



Torque
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March 26, 2014, 03:08:35 PM
Last edit: March 26, 2014, 08:01:52 PM by Torque
 #9

It would be cool to see a Gartner Magic Quadrant (TM) with BTC, LTC, etc. on it, but the number of asterisks on an annually updated report would be insane right now...

But does that really make sense?  The GMQ charts companies in a space, not protocols.  That would be like putting HTTP, SMTP, FTP, etc. on a chart.

Instead, it'd make more sense for the GMQ to show companies like BitPay, Coinbase, Circle, Blockchain.info, Bitstamp, VoS, etc.
anonleak
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August 02, 2014, 05:37:43 PM
 #10


I wonder, why I have never seen any "digital currencies" -or similar- entries to their yearly updates.
Also wonder where they would put Bitcoin on their model.

Because for the most part they are funded by corporations wanting research about other corporations products. If enough Gartner subscribers or CIO's start talking about BitCoin they will start covering the market space.

It would be cool to see a Gartner Magic Quadrant (TM) with BTC, LTC, etc. on it, but the number of asterisks on an annually updated report would be insane right now...

Velocity will have to slow down a bit, maybe in 2014 we will see something.

I know a few analysts, I'll put a bug in their ear.
https://twitter.com/anonleak1/status/495540557037699072
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BuCDgduIcAAY_46.jpg
dompsairs
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August 02, 2014, 06:40:09 PM
 #11

So what does this mean, where are we at? it means we missed the boat and 1K was peak?
TheNewAnon135246
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August 02, 2014, 07:05:10 PM
 #12

So what does this mean, where are we at? it means we missed the boat and 1K was peak?

I don't think we missed the boat. The price will rise above 1K again, it will take some time though.
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