Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed!

[philipma1957]

+2.6 = Amph
-3.5 = Quickseller

+3.5 = Ankara
+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.4 = flikflak
+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama
+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank
+7.0 = mavericklm

+9.3 = adaseb

+20.0 = Lauda   

[tlhIlwI]

+3.2 = tlhIlwI

[bileq]

+%1,7 = bileq

[philipma1957]

-3.5 = Quickseller


+1.7 = bileq

+2.6 = Amph
+3.2 = tlhIlwI

+3.5 = Ankara
+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.4 = flikflak
+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama
+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank
+7.0 = mavericklm

+9.3 = adaseb

+20.0 = Lauda  

today  we have 139 blocks in  20 hours this is about a  165-167 block pace 

[philipma1957]

-3.5 = Quickseller


+1.7 = bileq

+2.6 = Amph
+3.2 = tlhIlwI

+3.5 = Ankara
+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = tennozer
+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama
+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank
+7.0 = mavericklm

+9.3 = adaseb

+20.0 = Lauda  NOT SURE ABOUT THIS PICK I may have read his post wrong

today  we have 139 blocks in  20 hours this is about a  165-167 block pace 

[RichBC]

Well I hear we have done 1 EH/s Today.... Who or what was responsible for the Big Increase not at all clear? A lot of Blocks from Bitfury F2Pool & Antpool, however that is sort of normal.. My spreadsheet still showing about 170 blocks for Today.

Rich

[judypug1956]

We passed 1 Exahash already? The jump is extreme. I'll say +20% increase.
Don't forget to add me to that list.

okay just checking

 20.0 = Lauda  correct?

[philipma1957]

Well I hear we have done 1 EH/s Today.... Who or what was responsible for the Big Increase not at all clear? A lot of Blocks from Bitfury F2Pool & Antpool, however that is sort of normal.. My spreadsheet still showing about 170 blocks for Today.

Rich

we touched 1000ph  2 times before this.

So I don't consider this much different.

Although we almost  are over 1000ph. for the third time.

Until we do it 3 days in a row  I won't be too worried.

my house can do 15 avalon 6's at 4000 gh on an overclock

but 24/7/365 is a no go.

bit fury may have finally cleared up the heating issues or we drop again in a day or two.



ps 162 blocks with 100 minutes left on the day

[RichBC]

we touched 1000ph  2 times before this.

So I don't consider this much different.

Although we almost  are over 1000ph. for the third time.

Until we do it 3 days in a row  I won't be too worried.

my house can do 15 avalon 6's at 4000 gh on an overclock

but 24/7/365 is a no go.

bit fury may have finally cleared up the heating issues or we drop again in a day or two.

ps 162 blocks with 100 minutes left on the day

When were the previous times, they don't seem to show on Blockchain.info

https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=180days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=


Rich

[philipma1957]

we touched 1000ph  2 times before this.

So I don't consider this much different.

Although we almost  are over 1000ph. for the third time.

Until we do it 3 days in a row  I won't be too worried.

my house can do 15 avalon 6's at 4000 gh on an overclock

but 24/7/365 is a no go.

bit fury may have finally cleared up the heating issues or we drop again in a day or two.

ps 162 blocks with 100 minutes left on the day

When were the previous times, they don't seem to show on Blockchain.info

https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=180days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=


Rich

 


That is why I  said touched

here are the two dates.

12-27-2015  202 blocks diff of    93    rate of 668   202/144 = 1.4    x 668 =  935

 1- 10 -2015 178 blocks diff of  103    rate of 743   178/144 = 1.236 x 743 =  918

both days  were counted  under 1000 but  if you took 24 hour time periods from part of either day along with the day next to it you push right at 1000.

today will be the first real 1000  if we do 178 blocks   178/144 = 1.236 x 811.4 = 1,002.8

looks like close again 173/144 = 1.2014 x 811.4 = 974.80

so the highest numbers ever done are

12-27-2015   935
1- 10-2016    918
1- 18-2016    974.8

[wpt1wpt1]

+8.4 = wpt1wpt1

[blindminer]

+5.2 = blindminer

[philipma1957]

-3.5 = Quickseller


+1.7 = bileq

+2.6 = Amph
+3.2 = tlhIlwI

+3.5 = Ankara
+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.2 = blindminer
+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = tennozer
+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama
+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank
+7.0 = mavericklm
+8.4 = wpt1wpt1

+9.3 = adaseb

+20.0 = Lauda  NOT SURE ABOUT THIS PICK I may have read his post wrong

today  we have 139 blocks in  20 hours this is about a  165-167 block pace 

[HerbPean]

+4.2 = HerbPean

Thanks

[zebedee]

+4.5  = Zebedee

Thanks

[Amph]

can i change mine? i think i flopped completely the value, i want something like +11.2

[RichBC]

I have got to say that trying to come to grips with Mining Variance / Luck v short term increases in the network hash rate is very difficult.... If you stand back then yes the upward trend is very clear, however if you look too close then I think your eyes deceive you.

Take Yesterday, it was a hell of a Day, Touching 1EH/s, 173 Blocks giving +20% on the Day. It would be easy to conclude that a lot of hash was switched on. However take just a step back and at the end of Yesterday the rate for the period so far was very close to zero. So all that big blip did was make up for the first few Days where we were negative and now we are where we should be if overall no hash has been added to the network this period.


So Today looks like it will be a little quieter, perhaps a standard 144 Block Day?? Leaving my pick to the last minute.


Rich

[Lauda]

okay just checking

 20.0 = Lauda  correct?

Yes, that is correct.

[philipma1957]

-3.5 = Quickseller


+1.7 = bileq

+2.6 = Amph
+3.2 = tlhIlwI

+3.5 = Ankara
+4.2 = HerbPean
+4.5  = Zebedee
+4.7 = ezeminer
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.2 = blindminer
+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = tennozer
+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama
+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank
+7.0 = mavericklm
+8.4 = wpt1wpt1

+9.3 = adaseb

+20.0 = Lauda  
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can i change mine? i think i flopped completely the value, i want something like +11.2

No I can not allow changes.  Just gets too complicated.

Also there is no way 11.2 is going to happen.

look at real time numbers below:

https://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   394026
Total BTC   15.101M
 
Difficulty   113354299801
Estimated   115940545987 in 1110 blks  This is a rate of 2.29%
 
Network total   810029.469 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.99 / 601 s


at this moment your 2.6 pick is the most accurate pick on the board.



This is part of the contest how long can I wait to pick before others grab my pick.

[edonkey]

Our oldest cat thinks we're going to be mostly flat, with a slight downturn:

-0.2 = edonkey

This is the one who guessed right once before, so don't write him off. Fishy treats are a powerful incentive.