253 BTC Bet that Butterfly Labs will Not Deliver an ASIC Prior to March 1st

[GoWest]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

[Frizz23]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

Yes: 0.88
No: 253.69

Come on, Josh/Inaba - put your money where your mouth is! If you are so convinced that you ship in February it will be easy money for you.

[GoWest]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

Yes: 0.88
No: 253.69

Come on, Josh/Inaba - put your money where your mouth is! If you are so convinced that you ship in February it will be easy money for you.

That's a good point!  We'll have to wait and see if the bet gets countered.

[DiCE1904]

12-01-13 00:02    No    85`688    250.00000000

wow someones confident

[itsgoldbaby]

Probably bASIC guys that bet the 250 btc. 

[tbcoin]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

Considering that there are still 14561.94104029 BTC on source address, 250btc is a small number for this person.

Edit:
I thought maybe it could be a shared web wallet, mtgox type, but I would say no.
curiosity:https://blockchain.info/related_tags?active=1Fx3N5iFPDQxUKhhmDJqCMmi3U8Y7gSncx

[galambo]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

Considering that there are still 14561.94104029 BTC on source address, 250btc is a small number for this person.

Edit:
I thought maybe it could be a shared web wallet, mtgox type, but I would say no.
curiosity:https://blockchain.info/related_tags?active=1Fx3N5iFPDQxUKhhmDJqCMmi3U8Y7gSncx

This is the MPEx Exchange address (1Fx3N5iFPDQxUKhhmDJqCMmi3U8Y7gSncx). So is this betting with customers exchange funds, or the bookkeeper betting against his own customers (Mircea Popescu partially owns BitBet)?

[Inaba]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

[smoothie]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

Pirateat40 had this same type of confidence that he would win that bet with Vandroiy (whatever his name).

You sound no different.

Just red eyes and shit covered quarters that you hand out at CES.

[YipYip]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

So whats your ship date again ??

i did not hear it the first time

[nathanrees19]

Even now...

[mezzomix]

But you have to admit that was a really good long con. Selling expensive FPGAs for a low price to create confidence, collect tons of pre-order money and then brake down when people loose confidence is a clever strategy. You catch the people pirate never catched - very clever!

[Starlightbreaker]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

So whats your ship date again ??

never.

[k9quaint]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

So whats your ship date again ??

never.

They ship 2 days after a Cleveland franchise wins a championship.

[smoothie]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

So whats your ship date again ??

never.

+1

[Bugpowder]

Well its 275 to 256 now.

A new record?

[kakobrekla]

 I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

Wanna bet?

[MPOE-PR]

http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html

I wonder if this bettor has inside information.  That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.

Considering that there are still 14561.94104029 BTC on source address, 250btc is a small number for this person.

Edit:
I thought maybe it could be a shared web wallet, mtgox type, but I would say no.
curiosity:https://blockchain.info/related_tags?active=1Fx3N5iFPDQxUKhhmDJqCMmi3U8Y7gSncx

That is the MPEx public inbound address. Any customer that ever withdraws anything from MPEx will likely have at least some coins that can be traced to that address (and in that sense it works as a mixer).

 I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

Wanna bet?

Good one.

[crazyates]

Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though.  I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.

So whats your ship date again ??

never.

+1

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/announcements/692-bfl-asic-status.html#post10249

Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.

[Frizz23]

Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.

Is it "honest abe"? Like the October 2012 shipping date?