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Author Topic: Call the Peak Contest/Experiment (1 BTC Prize)  (Read 8012 times)
epbaha
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January 12, 2013, 10:10:53 PM
 #1

Rules:

UPDATE:  Contest ends May 31st

To win, post your guess for the peak USD/BTC price.
To win, post your guess before the peak USD/BTC price occurs.
Only a user with 100+ posts can win.
Only the first guess for a user can win.

Winner, with price guess closest to price peak, will receive a 1 BTC prize.

I will use the USD/BTC MTGOX price.
I will determine if you posted before the peak price.
I will determined what is a peak.  I consider these peaks:




When you guess:
Please, I would appreciate any reasoning or let me know if it is a complete guess.  Although, I will not require this in the first experiment to reduce the amount of fake reasoning/guesses given.


Goal:  I hope to run multiple experiments to see if any user(s) can consistently call the peak with some accuracy.  Let me know if I should change any rules for future experiments to better achieve this goal.

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epbaha
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January 12, 2013, 10:12:03 PM
 #2

Please make it clear that you are guessing by posting like this at the beginning of your post:

GUESS: $15

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January 12, 2013, 10:38:47 PM
 #3

if your definition of a peak is a spike followed by a longer period of time (>1 month) with lower prices, my guess is:

GUESS: $17,10

of course i don't expect to hit that price in the next few days, but since there is no timeframe given, thats my guess
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January 12, 2013, 10:52:16 PM
 #4

15.45
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January 12, 2013, 11:01:35 PM
 #5

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

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January 12, 2013, 11:12:00 PM
 #6

14.64

It seemed like a good idea at the time.
epbaha
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January 13, 2013, 04:48:47 AM
 #7

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

This will expire May 31st.  If that changes anyone's guess, feel free to edit to change it.  Please edit within the next three days. 

I will be recording guesses so people don't keep editing in an attempt to win.

21after2
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January 13, 2013, 04:57:08 AM
 #8

17.35
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January 13, 2013, 05:18:37 AM
 #9

22.35
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January 13, 2013, 05:46:11 AM
 #10

GUESS: $30

A repeat of June 2011 will occur with the repeated crash after a one day spike.

http://www.bitpools.com
Pool your bitcoins with others. Vote on solutions using the Bitcoin blockchain. Keep your bitcoins in your cold storage until you find a solution you like.
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January 13, 2013, 06:25:46 AM
 #11

$23.50

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. ★☆ WWW.LEALANA.COM        My PGP fingerprint is A764D833.        SMOOTHIE'S HEALTH AND FITNESS JOURNAL          History of Monero development Visualization ★☆ .
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FreeMoney
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January 13, 2013, 06:58:19 AM
 #12

Guess: $107.66

Play Bitcoin Poker at sealswithclubs.eu. We're active and open to everyone.
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January 13, 2013, 07:47:39 AM
 #13

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

This will expire May 31st.  If that changes anyone's guess, feel free to edit to change it.  Please edit within the next three days. 

I will be recording guesses so people don't keep editing in an attempt to win.

I advise quoting posts, it's irrevocable!

lucif
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January 13, 2013, 07:52:50 AM
 #14

$14.3499
drakahn
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January 13, 2013, 08:02:10 AM
 #15

$15.20

14ga8dJ6NGpiwQkNTXg7KzwozasfaXNfEU
ildubbioso
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January 13, 2013, 01:14:04 PM
 #16

$15.30
cloon
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January 13, 2013, 02:40:51 PM
 #17

$29.32

donations to 13zWUMSHA7AzGjqWmJNhJLYZxHmjNPKduY
Batteryfire
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January 13, 2013, 02:53:39 PM
 #18

26.53 or I'm a monkey's uncle.  Cool
notme
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January 13, 2013, 07:48:56 PM
 #19

108

https://www.bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
While no idea is perfect, some ideas are useful.
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January 13, 2013, 08:38:08 PM
 #20

Random guess: $18.88

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   1% House Edge
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