Call the Peak Contest/Experiment (1 BTC Prize)

[epbaha]

Rules:

UPDATE:  Contest ends May 31st

To win, post your guess for the peak USD/BTC price.
To win, post your guess before the peak USD/BTC price occurs.
Only a user with 100+ posts can win.
Only the first guess for a user can win.

Winner, with price guess closest to price peak, will receive a 1 BTC prize.

I will use the USD/BTC MTGOX price.
I will determine if you posted before the peak price.
I will determined what is a peak.  I consider these peaks:




When you guess:
Please, I would appreciate any reasoning or let me know if it is a complete guess.  Although, I will not require this in the first experiment to reduce the amount of fake reasoning/guesses given.


Goal:  I hope to run multiple experiments to see if any user(s) can consistently call the peak with some accuracy.  Let me know if I should change any rules for future experiments to better achieve this goal.

[1713995800]

1713995800

[1713995800]

1713995800

[1713995800]

1713995800

[1713995800]

1713995800

[1713995800]

1713995800

[1713995800]

1713995800

[epbaha]

Please make it clear that you are guessing by posting like this at the beginning of your post:

GUESS: $15

[gimme_bottles]

if your definition of a peak is a spike followed by a longer period of time (>1 month) with lower prices, my guess is:

GUESS: $17,10

of course i don't expect to hit that price in the next few days, but since there is no timeframe given, thats my guess

[phatsphere]

15.45

[smoothie]

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

[Bowjob]

14.64

[epbaha]

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

This will expire May 31st.  If that changes anyone's guess, feel free to edit to change it.  Please edit within the next three days. 

I will be recording guesses so people don't keep editing in an attempt to win.

[21after2]

17.35

[zoinky]

22.35

[Elwar]

GUESS: $30

A repeat of June 2011 will occur with the repeated crash after a one day spike.

[smoothie]

$23.50

[FreeMoney]

Guess: $107.66

[RyNinDaCleM]

You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

This will expire May 31st.  If that changes anyone's guess, feel free to edit to change it.  Please edit within the next three days. 

I will be recording guesses so people don't keep editing in an attempt to win.

I advise quoting posts, it's irrevocable!

[lucif]

$14.3499

[drakahn]

$15.20

[ildubbioso]

$15.30

[cloon]

$29.32

[Batteryfire]

26.53 or I'm a monkey's uncle. 

[notme]

108

[dooglus]

Random guess: $18.88