Does anyone at least have a clue of how many people own bitcoin
now? We know that the number of users is rising constantly and quite consistently. If we can get an idea of how many people own bitcoins now, we can use data provided by blockchain.info (and maybe other sources) to try and guess a number.
Like, for example, if you take a look at
this graph you'll see that the number of transactions per day is consistently increasing. There are about 200,000 transactions a day, as of now. A way to extrapolate this data would give us about 400,000 in 2020, that's twice as much. By using the same extrapolating method on other graphs (such as the one for the number of unique addresses and others consistent data) I get a number somewhere between 2 times and 3 times as high as now. I'd bet around there for the number of bitcoin holders in 2020 then : between 2 times and 3 times as high as now. That's just a bet though, and it's based on the assumption that since this data has raised in a somewhat consistent fashion
until now, it is likely to keep on that way. That's only an assumption, nothing too rigorously scientific. A lot of stuff can happen by 2020. Bitcoin could be dead by then (I don't think it's any likely but it's a possibility). Or on the opposite: inflation could have gotten so much out of control in the EU and the States that everyone would be using bitcoin (not much more likely, but still, a possibility).
Now does anyone have a clue about how many people are using bitcoin now?