Diff thread Mar 18 to Mar 31? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc

[philipma1957]

So are we still waiting for picks?

 yes and you need more posts to join the contest.

On current numbers


we are at block 403684
we started at    403201


so this is 484 blocks

time has been

72 + 12 = 84 hours and 30 minutes

so 84 x 6 = 504 + 3 or 507 blocks for  a 0%

484/507 - 1 = (-4.53%)


 not bad but a lot of time to go.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   167,179,921,465 (+1.02%) this is a future number and is high
Adjust time:   After 1531 Blocks, About 10.8 days
Hashrate(?):   1,130,411,628 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   18:20 (1.6 minutes ago)



https://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   403685
Total BTC   15.342M
 
Difficulty   165496835118
Estimated   165070693668 in 1531 blks
 
Network total   1151163.418 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.83 / 617 s


this is a mix of current and future it is (-0.257%)

I like the current number -4.53% it it holds diff becomes  157.99  and would keep us safe until april 12 or 13.  Fingers crossed

[notlist3d]

I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change.  Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping.  And could be a mix of both.

I would be very happy with a negative.  Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411.  So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see.

[RichBC]

I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change.  Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping.  And could be a mix of both.

I would be very happy with a negative.  Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411.  So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see.

Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments?

Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative?


Rich

[philipma1957]

I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change.  Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping.  And could be a mix of both.

I would be very happy with a negative.  Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411.  So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see.

Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments?

Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative?


Rich

quite good numbers  a little price creep to 415 usd

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   165,910,587,548 (+0.25%)
Adjust time:   After 1450 Blocks, About 10.3 days >>>> picks open in 34 blocks
Hashrate(?):   1,155,904,833 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:45 (2.8 minutes ago)


the  (+0.25%)   above is off by 4 percent or so we are real time

403767 (Main Chain)   2016-03-22 11:46:30
403201 (Main Chain)   2016-03-18 09:50:30

567 blocks in  4 days and 2 hours

4 x 144 = 576 + 12 = 588

so 567/588-1 = (-3.57%)


this would mean a diff of 159.6 about march 31

[notlist3d]

I agree with fingers crossed, it has signs this could be a good change.  Seems either manufactures are slowing down on making compared to january, or altcoins are helping.  And could be a mix of both.

I would be very happy with a negative.  Also past 24 hours price is moving up just a little and currently over 411.  So not a huge jump but still looks nice to see.

Yes I have this feeling that if you were a big farm then you will have made your S7 / Avalon6 investment, perhaps you have turned off some older Miners and everyone is waiting for 14/16nm before making any more serious investments?

Yesterday back to being a negative day with -3.47% and 139 Blocks. A possible band is emerging with the run rate moving between -4% & -6%, so here's hoping that the net of these 3 Periods can be Zero, or even a little negative?


Rich

quite good numbers  a little price creep to 415 usd

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   165,910,587,548 (+0.25%)
Adjust time:   After 1450 Blocks, About 10.3 days >>>> picks open in 34 blocks
Hashrate(?):   1,155,904,833 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:45 (2.8 minutes ago)


the  (+0.25%)   above is off by 4 percent or so we are real time

403767 (Main Chain)   2016-03-22 11:46:30
403201 (Main Chain)   2016-03-18 09:50:30

567 blocks in  4 days and 2 hours

4 x 144 = 576 + 12 = 588

so 567/588-1 = (-3.57%)


this would mean a diff of 159.6 about march 31

Looks like we leveled off a little over 415 to.  So was a nice little boost but looks like were done for a few day's I would guess.  We don't seem to get big upswings anymore very often.

I still am very happy with looks of difficulty, I think altcoins could be helping on this.   So I think it's temporary.   Also it's hard to say when but I still fear next big batch of miners.

[Brob12321]

So picks should be open now correct ? Adjust time in 1414 blocks

[VRobb]

All right, game on! 

A wise man once said, "foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of simple minds."
That being said:

+1.3% = VRobb

 

[philipma1957]

picks are open

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   165,496,835,118
Estimated Next Difficulty:   165,857,183,920   (+0.22%)  this is future time real time we are near (-3.00%)
Adjust time:   After 1400 Blocks, About 9.9 days
Hashrate(?):   1,156,800,634 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:

   true real time standing
https://blockchain.info/blocks/1458677268523


403816 (Main Chain)   2016-03-22 19:58:13

403201 (Main Chain)   2016-03-18 09:50:30

616 blocks in 4 days 10 hours  and 20 minutes   should be  (4 x 144) + (6 x 10) + 2 = 638

so 616/638 - 1 = (-3.448%)   Real diff number as of right now


current picks below

-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in


+1.3 = VRobb

[HagssFIN]

Let's hope it gets lower

-2.5 = HagssFIN

[philipma1957]

current picks below:

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in


+1.3 = VRobb

[Brob12321]

I'm going to go with:

-0.5 = Brob12321

[philipma1957]

current picks below:

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in
-0.5 = Brob12321

+1.3 = VRobb

[VirosaGITS]

+4.2 = VirosaGITS

Because once again. Why not

[philipma1957]

current picks below:

-2.5 = HagssFIN

-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in
-0.5 = Brob12321

+1.3 = VRobb


+4.2 = VirosaGITS     I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!!

[blindminer]

-1.5 = blindminer

[philipma1957]

current picks below:

-2.5 = HagssFIN
-1.5 = blindminer
-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in
-0.5 = Brob12321

+1.3 = VRobb


+4.2 = VirosaGITS     I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!!

[adaseb]

adaseb = 0.0

0.0 = adaseb

[philipma1957]

current picks below:

-2.5 = HagssFIN
-1.5 = blindminer
-1.2 = philipma1957  since it is my prize money if I win I will roll it back in
-0.5 = Brob12321

0.0 = adaseb

+1.3 = VRobb

+4.2 = VirosaGITS     I will tell you why not the pick is tooo high!!

[notlist3d]

The week still is not looking bad on difficulty.  And coin price is holding pretty well (coindesk http://www.coindesk.com/price/) :
Today's Open - $416.93
Today's High - $417.72
Today's Low - $416.35

So no big surges really lately on price.  But if we can keep difficulty changes in 5 or less with that I will be happy.  But I still will admit I cant for the life of me understand February's difficulty changes.

[philipma1957]

The week still is not looking bad on difficulty.  And coin price is holding pretty well (coindesk http://www.coindesk.com/price/) :
Today's Open - $416.93
Today's High - $417.72
Today's Low - $416.35

So no big surges really lately on price.  But if we can keep difficulty changes in 5 or less with that I will be happy.  But I still will admit I cant for the life of me understand February's difficulty changes.

that 3 week period near the Chinese new year holiday had to be a 1 time 1 cent power contract and someone ran s-3's + s -5's while swapping in s-7's

a 3 week jumps can not be variance  so it had to be that.  


http://e360.yale.edu/feature/chinas_great_dam_boom_an_assault_on_its_river_systems/2706/

maybe they load tested this dam

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Changheba_Dam

timing could be this.

the good thing is if true that hash may never come back on line.

which would mean at least 3 good jumps

 march 31 April 15 May 1

this all translates to   Feb 19 - May 12 = flat  for 85-95 days