Inflation and Deflation of Price and Money Supply

[ausbit]

You have to stop a bit a consider trustworthiness. You can not have it, neither in real money regard nor costs. In case you by some methods make sense of how to do the abnormal regardless of its trouble, you pick up the structure static and no ground is possible, and you in like manner murder all danger. The wiping out of risk, without any other person changes the structure. So it is doubly unfathomable.

It takes after fishballs in white sauce. If you crush one down, another flies up. The best (and as consistent as you get) is to just leave everything drifting.

Inflation and deflation and the result of several poorly balanced economies, let's pause to think a little we would have a possible solution with the release of credit to all with lower rates. Producers, industry, traders and consumers had access to money with interest for half of what is charged here today and if the government encouraged and did not allow the corporate loan or personal loan to be an extortion, as it is known here, it would not be better for the economy to turn and present more positive numbers

[1714307905]

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[1714307905]

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[1714307905]

1714307905

[btccointalk]

Thanks a lot for this post. It cleared my confusion for both.

[BitcoinTurk]

Excellent post, thanks for that. I took ECON201 course at my university and this topic will help me about my that topics.

[liseff3]

An area dedicated to discussing the differences of these two terms and the theories supporting them.

I'm looking forward to an in-depth discussion on the subject! I've noticed that confusion between the two seems to come up quite a bit on the forum, and thought it may be reasonable to dedicate a thread on the matter.

Pulled from a discussion in Wall Observer


Price-Deflation is what you are used to hearing about in Bitcoin. That term is used to describe the prices of goods/services as they decrease, because the value of Bitcoin goes up.

Price-Inflation is the opposite. When prices of goods/services increase because the value of Bitcoin goes down.

So, when dealing with Price-Inflation or Deflation, there is an inverse relationship of price and value, in regard to goods/services and Bitcoin.

Example: As the Bitcoin price goes from $10 to $20, the prices of goods/services goes down from 20BTC to 10BTC. As the Bitcoin price goes from $20 to $10, the prices of goods/services goes from 10BTC to 20BTC!

Why does the price of Bitcoin go up and down? The price of BTC goes up and down based on the exchange rate, or market price, which is set by buyers and sellers, or traders. They directly trade the Bitcoin currency with all sorts of other currency, and even some with gold; the most popular being the USD (US dollar). They set the price when executing orders to buy or sell. I will get into the actual reason of why the price fluctuates in the last section.


Now that we've gone over PRICE Inflation and Deflation (which honestly, to me, is a term made popular by Keynesian's to hide the real facts, as price inflation/deflation is simply the market exchange rate, reflective of the money supply into a currency from itself and other currencies), let's go over the REAL inflation/deflation of a currency (otherwise known by many as Monetary Inflation).

MoneySupply-Inflation is when the value of Bitcoin decreases when the total supply of Bitcoin increases. In our current state, this is at a generation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes.

MoneySupply-Deflation will essentially never occur. It is when the value of Bitcoin increases when the total supply of Bitcoin decreases. This may happen, say, when someone loses their private key and all the BTC associated with it are lost. This effectively "makes the rest of us richer". That being said, there is a SET DECREASE in the generation rate of BTC, so you have sort of a "deflationary effect" in the value, as long as more exchange occurs for BTC at a rate which is faster than that set generation rate.

When all 21 million coins are produced, the MoneySupply will be neutral, and the value will continue to increase (prices will decrease, consequently), as long as people continue to exchange in BTC.

This leads me to the last section.


What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.


Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.


We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

Effectively, the quantitative analysis of supply and demand is really what the currency exchange traders attempt to accurately determine which is conveyed through buying and selling of Bitcoin, setting a VALUE via the PRICED exchange rate of the currency. On a side note, most of the big Market Makers (FX Traders) use this price movement as a way to make a profitable living, as well. Especially when price fluctuations are a consequence of hype or fear (bubbles, cliffs), not factual supply/demand data, and are wildly out of the real price range.

Thus, if you analyze the proper macroeconomic data in an attempt to forecast future DEMAND for more Bitcoin (price increase), you will realize some very interesting things, and have a more accurate picture of where the price is going...

Happy trading!

This is  a comfortable topic/fun and one that wouldn't boring.
I know that the bitcoin master would be as good as his word.
To me, it`s as if new sight were given to the blind.

[fayrouz]

An area dedicated to discussing the differences of these two terms and the theories supporting them.

I'm looking forward to an in-depth discussion on the subject! I've noticed that confusion between the two seems to come up quite a bit on the forum, and thought it may be reasonable to dedicate a thread on the matter.

Pulled from a discussion in Wall Observer


Price-Deflation is what you are used to hearing about in Bitcoin. That term is used to describe the prices of goods/services as they decrease, because the value of Bitcoin goes up.

Price-Inflation is the opposite. When prices of goods/services increase because the value of Bitcoin goes down.

So, when dealing with Price-Inflation or Deflation, there is an inverse relationship of price and value, in regard to goods/services and Bitcoin.

Example: As the Bitcoin price goes from $10 to $20, the prices of goods/services goes down from 20BTC to 10BTC. As the Bitcoin price goes from $20 to $10, the prices of goods/services goes from 10BTC to 20BTC!

Why does the price of Bitcoin go up and down? The price of BTC goes up and down based on the exchange rate, or market price, which is set by buyers and sellers, or traders. They directly trade the Bitcoin currency with all sorts of other currency, and even some with gold; the most popular being the USD (US dollar). They set the price when executing orders to buy or sell. I will get into the actual reason of why the price fluctuates in the last section.


Now that we've gone over PRICE Inflation and Deflation (which honestly, to me, is a term made popular by Keynesian's to hide the real facts, as price inflation/deflation is simply the market exchange rate, reflective of the money supply into a currency from itself and other currencies), let's go over the REAL inflation/deflation of a currency (otherwise known by many as Monetary Inflation).

MoneySupply-Inflation is when the value of Bitcoin decreases when the total supply of Bitcoin increases. In our current state, this is at a generation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes.

MoneySupply-Deflation will essentially never occur. It is when the value of Bitcoin increases when the total supply of Bitcoin decreases. This may happen, say, when someone loses their private key and all the BTC associated with it are lost. This effectively "makes the rest of us richer". That being said, there is a SET DECREASE in the generation rate of BTC, so you have sort of a "deflationary effect" in the value, as long as more exchange occurs for BTC at a rate which is faster than that set generation rate.

When all 21 million coins are produced, the MoneySupply will be neutral, and the value will continue to increase (prices will decrease, consequently), as long as people continue to exchange in BTC.

This leads me to the last section.


What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.


Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.


We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

Effectively, the quantitative analysis of supply and demand is really what the currency exchange traders attempt to accurately determine which is conveyed through buying and selling of Bitcoin, setting a VALUE via the PRICED exchange rate of the currency. On a side note, most of the big Market Makers (FX Traders) use this price movement as a way to make a profitable living, as well. Especially when price fluctuations are a consequence of hype or fear (bubbles, cliffs), not factual supply/demand data, and are wildly out of the real price range.

Thus, if you analyze the proper macroeconomic data in an attempt to forecast future DEMAND for more Bitcoin (price increase), you will realize some very interesting things, and have a more accurate picture of where the price is going...

Happy trading!

This is  a comfortable topic/fun and one that wouldn't boring.
I know that the bitcoin master would be as good as his word.
To me, it`s as if new sight were given to the blind.

thanks for this post.

[Epimetheus]

In case of bitcoin, there is only inflation, because continuously increasing valuation of bitcoin signifies that it would never be stopped in the coming future, this increasing valuation has attracted millions of people to be part of it and the future is not that far away that it would be accepted world wide and might be use for online transactions . The only thing left is bitcoin is not yet centralized by the government, its continuously inflation prices would also make government to legalized it and thus help in making great future

[Test511111]

Thanks for the article. I think, that Money Supply will be grown up and bitcoin will become more popular.

[Esiunin]

Inflation (Latin Inflatio - swelling) is the process of reducing the cost of money, as a result of which you can buy a smaller amount of goods and services for a certain amount of money after a while. In practice, this is expressed in an increase in prices.
 
The opposite process is deflation - a decline in prices (negative growth). In the modern economy is rare and short-term, usually seasonal. For example, grain prices immediately after harvest are usually reduced. However, deflation is typical for the Japanese economy (within -1%)

[Momentrix]

What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.

Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.

We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

This part is always interesting and still confusing, you know something like looping. Peoples moves the market, makes the price up and down. Supply and demand determines value is make sense, but then value determines price is confusing. Who actually "converting" the value to the price? Why don't supply and demand straightly determines the price?

[volatilityskew]

Everyone is overcomplicating this. Deflation is inherent to Bitcoin as the supply of coins is fixed. In the real economy, this is not the case as the central bank can manipulate it any way it wants. Deflation is as harmful as inflation.

Deflation is bad because it causes people to hold on to their money: why would they spend it if the value of their money keeps getting bigger? And no spending = no growth, so it's bad for the economy.

[MatteoP.]

the governament should really do something...it is awful

[tomwalsh]

What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.

Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.

We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

This part is always interesting and still confusing, you know something like looping. Peoples moves the market, makes the price up and down. Supply and demand determines value is make sense, but then value determines price is confusing. Who actually "converting" the value to the price? Why don't supply and demand straightly determines the price?

Everyone who demands it wants it at as low a price as possible.
Everyone who supplies it wants it at as high a price as possible.
The even level between demand and supply determines the value.

However if demand increases for example, the value increases, yet the price is still the same. It then takes time for the price to catch up with where the value is.
As value fluctuates price lags behind it.

[Decade_Later]

What determines the PRICE of Bitcoin? The VALUE of Bitcoin at a particular moment.

What determines the VALUE of Bitcoin? The SUPPLY and DEMAND of Bitcoin in the economy.

What determines the SUPPLY of Bitcoin? Currently, the MoneySupply-Inflation rate of 25 BTC every 10 minutes, and traders willing to SELL Bitcoin to BUYERS in exchange for other supplies of money (currencies).

What determines the DEMAND of Bitcoin? Traders willing to BUY Bitcoin from SELLERS in exchange for other currencies.

Therefore: BUYERS, SELLERS, and MONEYSUPPLY-INFLATION (miners) determine the VALUE of Bitcoin, which determines the PRICE of BTC as BUYERS and SELLERS trade based on that VALUE (or supply and demand) of Bitcoin.

We don't exactly know the totality of the supply and demand. Sure, we could try and aggregate data from all the exchanges, but we will never be accurate as there are exchanges which can not be accounted for (OTC). The cool thing is that we DO know the MoneySupply rate, and we DO know the exchange rate. From this, we can determine a real value of Bitcoin when simply multiplying the two factors; a sort of inflation-adjusted view of the currency.

This part is always interesting and still confusing, you know something like looping. Peoples moves the market, makes the price up and down. Supply and demand determines value is make sense, but then value determines price is confusing. Who actually "converting" the value to the price? Why don't supply and demand straightly determines the price?

Everyone who demands it wants it at as low a price as possible.
Everyone who supplies it wants it at as high a price as possible.
The even level between demand and supply determines the value.

However if demand increases for example, the value increases, yet the price is still the same. It then takes time for the price to catch up with where the value is.
As value fluctuates price lags behind it.

They do that to a certain degree. You have to remember the opportunity costs of shopping around. It's why we settle for bad trades, no player has perfect information, some may have better information than others. Especially in the crypto world, perfect information exists in some ways but very much through the grapevine, rather than through the open channels of most economic models because otherwise you could not calculate anything near what we have come close to. Keynesian economics is a horrible system, but so far it works the best until we have another implemented, but to say that supply and demand always reign supreme is naive.

[xrenderman]

Keynesian economics is a horrible system, but so far it works the best until we have another implemented

Keynesian economics is not science, it's just form of propaganda. You receive money from government to justify big government and call this economics, ecology etc.

[coyote0511]

Thank you very much.I learned a lot from your post!!

[elitelongbowman]

Keynesian economics is a horrible system, but so far it works the best until we have another implemented

Keynesian economics is not science, it's just form of propaganda. You receive money from government to justify big government and call this economics, ecology etc.

So you mean the Keynesian economics is not exactly as what they said because they're under control of the goverment?

[Charisse1229]

Please, the definition of inflation is not that controversial of a topic!

I have the feeling somebody is getting trolled here.

I think and i believe that the next coin will next to bitcoin is bitcoincash. Becuase it is have high potential to be compete with bitcoin and his starting to move and ride to rocket to the moon. So bitcoincash is the next in bitcoin. Invest in bitcoincash the you will earn more profit with that.

[MrPhil]

What is inflation and deflation???can i ask and can you explain because i am newbie ..thanks

[a-dalora]

What is inflation and deflation???can i ask and can you explain because i am newbie ..thanks

This is exactly what is decribed in the opening post of this thread.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=140793.msg1499338#msg1499338/

[PatronRH]

These are two related terms. In fact, one is the opposite of the other: inflation is the decrease in the value of a currency to the value of resources (services,goods,disponibilty of materials...). Imagine it as the ratio of the value of resources to the amount of money that exists the change in the resources value is just a question of demand and supply. Deflation is the opposite of that. Now how is Bitcoin related to this? It is simply because bitcoin gains it's value due to the increase in it's use thus the trading with other currencies so if they lose in value bitcoin does too.