The Flag Pattern is about to breakout..

[Enjorlas]

But which way will it break out? Up or down?

[Pro Gamers]

But which way will it break out? Up or down?

Does it about the halving? Hopefully me. Should this to go up. We will see what the effects.

[Patel]

It always goes the other way than what everyone expects. Halving is already priced in.

[gkv9]

It always goes the other way than what everyone expects. Halving is already priced in.

True, because the ones who control the markets, they always look for people's sentiments and play with the markets accordingly...
Though, I am UP on this one, as halving is getting nearer...

[r0ach]

Halving is already priced in.

Wrong:

There is no such thing as "halving already priced in" because the mining power increased a lot when price went up.  For the halving to be "priced in", the mining power would of needed to stay the same after price went up, then halving happens, and mining power is still the same.

As things are now, a lot of miners would need to turn off if no price increase happened for the halving.  So absolutely nothing is priced in.  Miners also tend to mine at a loss in hopes coins wil lbe worth more in the future rather than turning them off.  Nobody is going to be turning off their millions of dollars in miners.  They will simply stop selling coins at a loss, then the market dries up and price goes up.  This is why it's inevitable price increases afterwards regardless of what happens before.  All miners in the world did not stop selling coins 6 months in advance to make the price go up already.  It's possible a few did, but I highly doubt the majority of all miners removed all coins from market 6+ months in advance.  The price would still be increasing by the day if they did so.

[SFR10]

From the sign of it, it will be an uptrend mainly due to the fact that base on an analysis since September of last year, every time, there was a stable phase in terms of value, there's was an uptrend effect after it (IIRC twice happened so far), Although the past effects doesn't ensure futures outcome, I still believe the uptrend plus were approaching the halving slowly, so that ads up as well.

[Tacalt]

The fluctuation of the bitcoin has reduced recently. It has consolidated for some time. The next price action will be up.

[hector3115]

I think the release of segwit plus a firm launch date for the lightning network will force us up out of this flag pattern hard. 

That plus the halving should make for a very exciting summer.

[thejaytiesto]

I think the release of segwit plus a firm launch date for the lightning network will force us up out of this flag pattern hard. 

That plus the halving should make for a very exciting summer.

Yeah to many good solid news happening, + all of the psychological factors are also on point to get a massive bull craze: The FOMOs that still are stupid enough to not own any Bitcoin will come quick in fear of missing out and buy at any price, and the people that has Bitcoin will simply HODL and sit back and relax and watch it go higher that never before. I can't wait for the summer, the halving will be epic.

[richardsNY]

I think the release of segwit plus a firm launch date for the lightning network will force us up out of this flag pattern hard. 

That plus the halving should make for a very exciting summer.

It will be exciting for sure with all the stuff that is coming our way, but I think all these happenings will have a short term impact on the price. I am more interested in a more slower but sustainable growth instead of peaks. We all know that peaks don't last very long in the Bitcoin land.

[spazzdla]

down.. no volumes. we are going for one more bounce at least.

[Tacalt]

down.. no volumes. we are going for one more bounce at least.

When the price is down, there is no volume. When the price is up, there are some more volume. it is good.

[maokoto]

Yeah, we are going through better times now trading-wise. Price is moving a little more and you can trade to make some profit.

[Swisk]

Halving is already priced in.

Wrong:

There is no such thing as "halving already priced in" because the mining power increased a lot when price went up.  For the halving to be "priced in", the mining power would of needed to stay the same after price went up, then halving happens, and mining power is still the same.

As things are now, a lot of miners would need to turn off if no price increase happened for the halving.  So absolutely nothing is priced in.  Miners also tend to mine at a loss in hopes coins wil lbe worth more in the future rather than turning them off.  Nobody is going to be turning off their millions of dollars in miners.  They will simply stop selling coins at a loss, then the market dries up and price goes up.  This is why it's inevitable price increases afterwards regardless of what happens before.  All miners in the world did not stop selling coins 6 months in advance to make the price go up already.  It's possible a few did, but I highly doubt the majority of all miners removed all coins from market 6+ months in advance.  The price would still be increasing by the day if they did so.

Well Roach, your explanation makes some sense. But at the same time, couldn't the pricing in be explained by a huge surge in demand due to speculators believing that the price will rise due to the halvening? Essentially, pricing in the future expectation.

[zby]

Halving is already priced in.

Wrong:

There is no such thing as "halving already priced in" because the mining power increased a lot when price went up.  For the halving to be "priced in", the mining power would of needed to stay the same after price went up, then halving happens, and mining power is still the same.

As things are now, a lot of miners would need to turn off if no price increase happened for the halving.  So absolutely nothing is priced in.  Miners also tend to mine at a loss in hopes coins wil lbe worth more in the future rather than turning them off.  Nobody is going to be turning off their millions of dollars in miners.  They will simply stop selling coins at a loss, then the market dries up and price goes up.  This is why it's inevitable price increases afterwards regardless of what happens before.  All miners in the world did not stop selling coins 6 months in advance to make the price go up already.  It's possible a few did, but I highly doubt the majority of all miners removed all coins from market 6+ months in advance.  The price would still be increasing by the day if they did so.

Well - why do you think that this kind of thinking have not influenced the price by now? Many people must have thought along these lines - and some of them acted upon this - and those actions influenced the pricing. This is what 'pricing in' means.

[Swisk]

Well, its all a question of degree. I like to view is as demand/supply mechanics, so if that many people hadn't factored in the halving yet, then demand wouldn't have surged. However, it seems like the halvening has become a much more prominent topic, so many more people would 'price' it in.

That being said, I do think that the price will still increase as the halvening draws closer, so yeah. I'd like the hear different opinions though, as I'd think i'm still fairly new to this bitcoin space.

[Tacalt]

Well, its all a question of degree. I like to view is as demand/supply mechanics, so if that many people hadn't factored in the halving yet, then demand wouldn't have surged. However, it seems like the halvening has become a much more prominent topic, so many more people would 'price' it in.

That being said, I do think that the price will still increase as the halvening draws closer, so yeah. I'd like the hear different opinions though, as I'd think i'm still fairly new to this bitcoin space.

The price is increasing slowly now. But after the halving, the price will increase even more. That happened in the last halving.

[talks_cheep]

Well, its all a question of degree. I like to view is as demand/supply mechanics, so if that many people hadn't factored in the halving yet, then demand wouldn't have surged. However, it seems like the halvening has become a much more prominent topic, so many more people would 'price' it in.

That being said, I do think that the price will still increase as the halvening draws closer, so yeah. I'd like the hear different opinions though, as I'd think i'm still fairly new to this bitcoin space.

The price is increasing slowly now. But after the halving, the price will increase even more. That happened in the last halving.

I agree. I think the last halvening happened in late 2013 (October/November?) and a great bubble happened in April of 2014, followed by another great bubble in December 2014. Which leads me to believe, December 2016 bubble, followed by another even greater bubble in June 2017.

[Dilla]

Well, its all a question of degree. I like to view is as demand/supply mechanics, so if that many people hadn't factored in the halving yet, then demand wouldn't have surged. However, it seems like the halvening has become a much more prominent topic, so many more people would 'price' it in.

That being said, I do think that the price will still increase as the halvening draws closer, so yeah. I'd like the hear different opinions though, as I'd think i'm still fairly new to this bitcoin space.

The price is increasing slowly now. But after the halving, the price will increase even more. That happened in the last halving.

I agree. I think the last halvening happened in late 2013 (October/November?) and a great bubble happened in April of 2014, followed by another great bubble in December 2014. Which leads me to believe, December 2016 bubble, followed by another even greater bubble in June 2017.

Woah woah woah..... Did talks_cheap just say that???

[Tacalt]

Well, its all a question of degree. I like to view is as demand/supply mechanics, so if that many people hadn't factored in the halving yet, then demand wouldn't have surged. However, it seems like the halvening has become a much more prominent topic, so many more people would 'price' it in.

That being said, I do think that the price will still increase as the halvening draws closer, so yeah. I'd like the hear different opinions though, as I'd think i'm still fairly new to this bitcoin space.

The price is increasing slowly now. But after the halving, the price will increase even more. That happened in the last halving.

I agree. I think the last halvening happened in late 2013 (October/November?) and a great bubble happened in April of 2014, followed by another great bubble in December 2014. Which leads me to believe, December 2016 bubble, followed by another even greater bubble in June 2017.

Woah woah woah..... Did talks_cheap just say that???

The price is about $445 now. It seems the price has broken out of the recent trading range. It could be a good sign.