Diff thread May 11 to May 24? picks are closed!!.... prize = 0.40 btc

[RichBC]

Yesterday was +5.56% with 152 Blocks but the small number of Blocks so far means we have big variance swings. As Phil says real time we are still negative although we are gradually moving up and 8 Hours in are now at -0.6%.

Richj

[philipma1957]

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   209,109,761,072 (+7.65%)
Adjust time:   After 1555 Blocks, About 10.7 days   <<< about 3 days to picks starting
Hashrate(?):   1,357,065,541 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.6 minutes
Updated:


the site above is giving a future number based on the last diff +7.56%

the site below has the real time number near     0.0 %   

http://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M
 
Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks
 
Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s


the graph below shows more under the blue line then over.

[HerbPean]

Hashrate(?):   1,336,112,524 GH/s

1480 => 1336 ... the magic 150 Peta

[notlist3d]

Bitwisdom still looks like it is going to hurt:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    209,522,633,526 (+7.86%)
Adjust time:    After 1517 Blocks, About 10.4 days
Hashrate(?):    1,345,088,112 GH/s

Price remains pretty even at 455.  Still not getting into 460's this period.  Hopefully that changes.

[philipma1957]

Hashrate(?):   1,336,112,524 GH/s

1480 => 1336 ... the magic 150 Peta

comes back time and time again.

[philipma1957]

and we are drifting just under -1.0%







411846 (Main Chain)   2016-05-15 07:47:01

411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45

we have made 582 blocks so far in   98 hours   20 min  should be  590

So 582/590-1 =    -1.35%  that is the real time number.

really comes close to this
http://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M
 
Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks
 
Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s





so above is -1.3%

below is  +7.42%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty



Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   208,660,205,792 (+7.42%)
Adjust time:   After 1433 Blocks, About 9.9 days     we start at 1116
Hashrate(?):   1,379,685,221 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.7 minutes
6 blocks: 59.4 minutes
Updated:   


coinbase = $459

[petahashminer]

are picks closed?

 

this was so quick.

[VirosaGITS]

are picks closed?

 

this was so quick.

No, they have not opened yet.

[philipma1957]

are picks closed?

 

this was so quick.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   207,238,205,356 (+6.68%)
Adjust time:   After 1383 Blocks, About 9.6 days  <<<<<   we start at block 1116!!
Hashrate(?):   1,416,938,451 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.9 minutes
Updated:   13:20 (7.6 minutes ago)

[notlist3d]

Coinbase is over 460, hopefully we can get it to stay for a while.  Not by much at 461 and change but I will take it.

And coindesk has a nice API for watching it and other exchanges - http://www.coindesk.com/price/ .  I like being able to select the exchanges as some do tend to be higher then others.

[ezeminer]

Pretty crazy how difficulty is almost 200B and a year ago it was only 48B.

[philipma1957]

Pretty crazy how difficulty is almost 200B and a year ago it was only 48B.

Well price was under 250 and the s-5 did .51 watts a gh.

So depending on the exact day to compare to about a year we are close to even.



I am on my iPad which sucks to,do a direct comparison .

I will go on the Mac mini and do Jan 1 feb 1 Mar 1 apr 1 May 1 2015

Dec 30 2014 diff = 40.6    price 317

Jan 27  2015 diff = 41.2    price 255

Feb 22 2015 diff = 46.6     price 237

Mar 22 2015 diff = 46.7    price 269

May 03 2015 diff = 47.6   price  240

May 31 2015 diff = 47.5   price  230


today diff is 194                price is 461


So   compare us to May 31  2x the price       so take the diff of 194  make it 97

and a top notch s-7 with a plat psu will do .25 watts a gh    that is ½   the s-5   so 97/2 = 48.5


So an adjusted diff  for now = 48.5  as compared  to  47.5    the may 31st date of 2015.


So we are about an exact tie if you have an s-7 upgrade from the s-5.

Of course the ½ ing is around the corner so a shake up is coming

[fr4nkthetank]

exciting times ahead ahoy !  with all the s9 speculation going around....the production will be ramped up on that one.  I suspect diff will continue to rise, somewhat dramatically until halving.

[RichBC]

So we are 4 Full Days in and things are currently looking like nothing has been added so far. Yesterday was -3.47% with 139 Blocks and Period Run Rate to Date is -1.5%. I too feel that S9 must be being deployed at Bitmain, so we may see the rate lifting later in the Period. Or we may not  this predicting is very hard.... 


Rich

[philipma1957]

So we are 4 Full Days in and things are currently looking like nothing has been added so far. Yesterday was -3.47% with 139 Blocks and Period Run Rate to Date is -1.5%. I too feel that S9 must be being deployed at Bitmain, so we may see the rate lifting later in the Period. Or we may not  this predicting is very hard.... 


Rich

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,671,487,550 (+4.85%)  this is about 6% off.
Adjust time:   After 1280 Blocks, About 9.0 days    we are starting in about 164 blocks
Hashrate(?):   1,385,412,753 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   

https://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   411460
Total BTC   15.537M
 
Difficulty   194254820283
Estimated   194524231738 in 1820 blks
 
Network total   1381989.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.96 / 604 s

this is closer.



the chart is mostly under the blue line which is negative.

price is stable at 458

[notlist3d]

I won't complain at all if we could get a difficulty change of 5 percent or less.  I like to stay under that.... but that does not always happen.   I just wish we could keep gaining value.  It seems like we are stuck around 450's right now.  Hard to stay above 460 for long.

The next 2 months or so until having I think will be interesting to watch is something I'm sure of.

[philipma1957]

I won't complain at all if we could get a difficulty change of 5 percent or less.  I like to stay under that.... but that does not always happen.   I just wish we could keep gaining value.  It seems like we are stuck around 450's right now.  Hard to stay above 460 for long.

The next 2 months or so until having I think will be interesting to watch is something I'm sure of.

we are pretty solid -1% at the moment.  prices are at 458-465

would be good to stay at that.

we open in 115 blocks.

[judypug1956]

 A  bump for phil

[philipma1957]

My alter ego account bumped thread.

current info coming up

this is block we are at.
https://blockchain.info/blocks

412092 (Main Chain)   2016-05-17 01:42:47

411265 (Main Chain)   2016-05-11 05:37:45     first


so 818 blocks so far

the time is 5 days and 20 hours  that is a pace of 840 to be at 0%

so 818/840 = 0.9738 or   (-2.619%)

that is a fine number  and the real time number.

below is the future pick

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   194,254,820,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   203,083,803,151 (+4.55%)  way high compared to real time number
Adjust time:   After 1187 Blocks, About 8.4 days
Hashrate(?):   1,373,286,879 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:


gun to my head picking right now I would average them out  add a little  and pick +1.1

picks should start in around 11 hours. I should be awake at the time since that would about 9 or 10 am east coast time.

[RichBC]

Not sure if we are being lulled into a false sense of security but we continue to trogg along nicely, just in negative territory. Yesterday was -2.08% with 141 Blocks and the Period to Date Run Rate, 8 Hours in Today, is at -1.7%. Let's hope this continues, often things change just after Picks Close.... Which of course will be later this time.  


Rich