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Question: Approximately, what is your first guess?
Drop? I´ll start up my ASIC, and we´ll see if there is any! (or rather, on calculation I might have to go for option 2) - 5 (18.5%)
I have a mighty mining rig I´ll point at it, so sometime by tomorrow 2. March - 0 (0%)
3-4 March - 4 (14.8%)
5-10 March - 4 (14.8%)
10+ March - 10 (37%)
before April 1st(new option) - 3 (11.1%)
April1st + (new option) - 1 (3.7%)
Total Voters: 27

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Author Topic: [CLOSED] Freicoin: Guess the difficulty drop, win 5500 FRC!  (Read 3897 times)
nethead
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March 16, 2013, 03:04:49 AM
 #41

i say 25 mar  Wink
Bicknellski
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March 16, 2013, 07:46:30 AM
 #42

i say 25 mar  Wink

Epoch? Read the rules.

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Bicknellski
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March 17, 2013, 04:31:22 AM
 #43

2 BLOCKS LEFT BEFORE THE CUT OFF?

Get your guessing in... PROPERLY!

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galambo
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March 18, 2013, 11:37:52 AM
 #44

there are only 36 blocks remaining (2%)
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March 18, 2013, 01:23:53 PM
 #45

Now that I still can I'd like to change my guess, hope that's allowed Smiley
Epoch timestamp: 1364477050
Human time (GMT): Thu, 28 Mar 2013 13:24:10 GMT
Jorgeminator
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March 18, 2013, 05:03:52 PM
 #46

Now that I still can I'd like to change my guess, hope that's allowed Smiley
Epoch timestamp: 1364477050
Human time (GMT): Thu, 28 Mar 2013 13:24:10 GMT

The cut-off block was more than 40 blocks ago, unfortunately.
Ignore@YourPeril (OP)
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March 18, 2013, 10:53:07 PM
Last edit: March 18, 2013, 11:18:30 PM by Ignore@YourPeril
 #47

And here are all guesses quoted as we have reached the cut off (some not valid):

Myself:
1364007600 -  Sat, 23 Mar 2013 03:00:00 GMT

Bicknellski
Epoch timestamp: 1364463411
Human time (GMT): Thu, 28 Mar 2013 09:36:51 GMT
Human time (my time zone): 28/3/2013 16:36:51

Jorgeminator
1364077148 - 2013-03-23 22:19:08 GMT

Atruk
1420021230 - Wed, 31 Dec 2014 10:20:30 GMT

wachtwoord
1363958355 -epoch
Fri, 22 Mar 2013 13:19:15 GMT

SalvorHardin
1365337800 - Sun, 7 Apr 2013 12:30:00 GMT

DarkHyudrA
1362908745 - (Day/Month/Year Style) 10/03/2013 09:45:45 GMT

montana
April 5th 0:00 UCT

Warry
1364005400 -  Sat, 22 Mar 2013 03:00:00 GMT

Jorgeminator
Mon, 25 Mar 2013 09:52:15 GMT, Unix: 1364205135
 
galambo
Epoch timestamp: 1364522970
Human time (GMT): Fri, 29 Mar 2013 02:09:30 GMT

nethead
i say 25 mar  
Ignore@YourPeril (OP)
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March 18, 2013, 11:00:30 PM
 #48

And the hash-rate is btw excellent: we are now at block 16101! So only 27 more blocks to go before the drop.
Ignore@YourPeril (OP)
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March 19, 2013, 01:17:12 AM
 #49

Well, the hashrate is a lot lower than the initial mining-pump, and there are no news from Freicoin, so to me its dying.

The average blocks per day while Bitcoin has been at its all time high is 4.3+ (from 1. March). Anyone mining in that period can safely be assumed as die-hard Freicoiners (and we have even had serious DOS attacks on the main freicoin pool site Coinotron in the same period).

So when the difficulty drops to 1/4 these same miners will generate 17+ blocks per day. But more miners will be attracted by the lower difficulty,  and a conservative estimate is doubling of the hash-rate. Then we have 34+ blocks per day. This block frequency is sufficient for again making the Freicion network practical.  



Ignore@YourPeril (OP)
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March 19, 2013, 02:42:35 PM
 #50

The hash-rate is really picking up, we are now at 16115!

DarkHyudrA
1362908745 - (Day/Month/Year Style) 10/03/2013 09:45:45 GMT

is winning if this continues: the drop will probably be well before the next guess which is 1363958355 Fri, 22 Mar 2013 13:19:15 UTC
bushstar
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March 19, 2013, 02:49:57 PM
 #51

I've put some 2.6Mh on the FRC pool at Coinotron to help Smiley

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March 20, 2013, 04:28:54 AM
Last edit: March 20, 2013, 04:45:11 AM by Jutarul
 #52

Hash: 000000000005109a13676ad8365f5d510b9e766dc03c67f2b738a6d164dbccbf
Difficulty: 2443.03 (Bits: 1b1ad360)
Time: 1363749681 (2013-03-20 03:21:21)

Let me up the prize by 20k FRC to celebrate the drop.

(it would probably be fairer to split the price between the two people who are closest the the actual date from below and above)

also another 5k FRC for the one who mined that block. (179fozsLfBPfg6mvhe63J95ySeANVZWYuM)

The ASICMINER Project https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.0
"The way you solve things is by making it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing.", Milton Friedman
SalvorHardin
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March 20, 2013, 04:41:32 AM
 #53

Congratulation.  This is much faster than expected, likely due to the renewed interests across all Alt cryptocurrencies, even long dead ones like coiledcoins.  Any idea about the current hash rate of the FRC network, post difficulty drop?
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March 20, 2013, 04:42:37 AM
 #54

Congratulation.  This is much faster than expected, likely due to the renewed interests across all Alt cryptocurrencies, even long dead ones like coiledcoins.  Any idea about the current hash rate of the FRC network, post difficulty drop?
based on the block generation rate, the hashpower must be quite close to the actual difficulty, so it's now at about 6-7 blocks/hour.

The ASICMINER Project https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.0
"The way you solve things is by making it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing.", Milton Friedman
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March 20, 2013, 04:53:31 AM
 #55

Hash: 000000000005109a13676ad8365f5d510b9e766dc03c67f2b738a6d164dbccbf
Difficulty: 2443.03 (Bits: 1b1ad360)
Time: 1363749681 (2013-03-20 03:21:21)

Let me up the prize by 20k FRC to celebrate the drop.

(it would probably be fairer to split the price between the two people who are closest the the actual date from below and above)

also another 5k FRC for the one who mined that block. (179fozsLfBPfg6mvhe63J95ySeANVZWYuM)

16127,*16128*,16129 were mined by the Coinotron pool  Smiley

I hopped on the pool for a bit to help push it over, I have switched to solo since the difficulty drop.

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March 20, 2013, 04:58:28 AM
 #56

also another 5k FRC for the one who mined that block. (179fozsLfBPfg6mvhe63J95ySeANVZWYuM)
16127,*16128*,16129 were mined by the Coinotron pool  Smiley

I hopped on the pool for a bit to help push it over, I have switched to solo since the difficulty drop.
Then a FRC donation to the pool it is. Who's the operator? stupid question ...

The ASICMINER Project https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.0
"The way you solve things is by making it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing.", Milton Friedman
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March 20, 2013, 05:02:26 AM
Last edit: March 20, 2013, 06:01:30 AM by dreamwatcher
 #57

also another 5k FRC for the one who mined that block. (179fozsLfBPfg6mvhe63J95ySeANVZWYuM)
16127,*16128*,16129 were mined by the Coinotron pool  Smiley

I hopped on the pool for a bit to help push it over, I have switched to solo since the difficulty drop.
Then a FRC donation to the pool it is. Who's the operator? stupid question ...

 Cheesy

You can see their pool stats here:

 http://coinotron.com/coinotron/AccountServlet?action=statistics

Freicoin is the last pool listed.
Jutarul
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March 20, 2013, 05:05:16 AM
 #58

scary stats.

The ASICMINER Project https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=99497.0
"The way you solve things is by making it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing.", Milton Friedman
Ignore@YourPeril (OP)
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March 20, 2013, 05:43:35 AM
 #59

 Cool Congrats with the drop to all, contributors and guessers alike!

The hash-rate at Coinotron is very high, I really hope we are not stuck in a Phugoid http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phugoid with difficulty overshoots and subsequent dramatic drops...
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March 20, 2013, 11:34:57 AM
 #60

The winner appears to be


wachtwoord
1363958355 -epoch
Fri, 22 Mar 2013 13:19:15 GMT


Please post an address or PM address, thanks.
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