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Author Topic: Are you ready for an 80% difficulty increase in about a week?  (Read 4115 times)
mjsbuddha
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June 12, 2011, 03:45:59 AM
 #21

The next difficulty is estimated at about 40% jump and even with the current drop in price my miners are about 3 to 4 times more profitable then when I started in April. Stop trolling.

3 to 4 times more profitable.... right... I think YOU'RE trolling.  So that's like mining today @ $3-4 a bitcoin at current rates.  Who the hell would mine at the current difficulty level for $3-4?  If you pay for power, you'd be lucky to make more than a couple of dollars a day.... I call BS.

don't believe me look here. http://www.tvori.info/bitcoin/charts/ compare where the pretty green line was on april first to where it is now. I said 3 or 4 times more profitable, not 3 or 4 times the price.

Looks more like 2x more profitable, rather than your claimed 3-4x... Maybe 3-4x before the bubble popped @ ~$30.

price dropped a bit more since i posted but you get my point. it was a good idea to mine in april and its an even better idea now.
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Veldy
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June 12, 2011, 03:48:41 AM
 #22

844 blocks to go, 11 blocks an hour = 3.19 days till diff change
estimated as of this post = 821945 or a  45% increase

Uhm, 9 blocks per hour is a 50% increase. 11 blocks per hour is (11-6)/6•100 in percent; go ahead and solve it.  I don't think the current block rate dictates the difficulty increase, but rather the average block rate over the entire difficulty span.  I could be wrong however, but I know that the last difficulty increase did not reflect the block rate at the time the difficulty increased.

If you have found my post helpful, please donate what you feel it is worth: 18vaZ4K62WiL6W2Qoj9AE1cerfCHRaUW4x
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June 12, 2011, 03:55:54 AM
 #23

844 blocks to go, 11 blocks an hour = 3.19 days till diff change
estimated as of this post = 821945 or a  45% increase

Uhm, 9 blocks per hour is a 50% increase. 11 blocks per hour is (11-6)/6•100 in percent; go ahead and solve it.  I don't think the current block rate dictates the difficulty increase, but rather the average block rate over the entire difficulty span.  I could be wrong however, but I know that the last difficulty increase did not reflect the block rate at the time the difficulty increased.

it was two parts, a when the next reset is, b next estimated diff

copy and pasted from http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/ is all i did professor
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June 12, 2011, 04:03:02 AM
 #24

guy, don't be so passionate/enthusiastic, relax a bit -) goldrush is tasty/addictive, probably, but not allow to be  consumed by Beast.
stress kills )
i lose number of good friends this way :[
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June 12, 2011, 04:09:14 AM
 #25

844 blocks to go, 11 blocks an hour = 3.19 days till diff change
estimated as of this post = 821945 or a  45% increase

Uhm, 9 blocks per hour is a 50% increase. 11 blocks per hour is (11-6)/6•100 in percent; go ahead and solve it.  I don't think the current block rate dictates the difficulty increase, but rather the average block rate over the entire difficulty span.  I could be wrong however, but I know that the last difficulty increase did not reflect the block rate at the time the difficulty increased.

it was two parts, a when the next reset is, b next estimated diff

copy and pasted from http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/ is all i did professor

Bitcharts works with a short window (i.e. 402 seconds).  The estimated difficulty is changing all the time and the block rate has been increasing dramatically and has been above 8 since the last difficulty change and now it is about 11.  I still believe it will be above 50% and possibly above 60%.

If you have found my post helpful, please donate what you feel it is worth: 18vaZ4K62WiL6W2Qoj9AE1cerfCHRaUW4x
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June 12, 2011, 05:48:55 AM
 #26

I'd say around 50% since it is at 45% now and few days are left.

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June 12, 2011, 05:57:52 AM
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=[



smell
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June 12, 2011, 08:24:17 AM
 #28

3 to 4 times more profitable.... right... I think YOU'RE trolling.  So that's like mining today @ $3-4 a bitcoin at current rates.  Who the hell would mine at the current difficulty level for $3-4?  If you pay for power, you'd be lucky to make more than a couple of dollars a day.... I call BS.

I don't think he was lying... look at the P/D ratio back in April: http://forum.bitcoin.org/?topic=7427.0  it was below one while right now it's about 2.5. 

Also, I'd say 50-55% difficulty increase on or slightly before June 16.  No idea about P/D though, anyone care to guess?
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