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Author Topic: Hillary vs Trump betting: what are the best sites?  (Read 4519 times)
TraderETH
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November 02, 2016, 04:25:39 AM
 #21

Im looking forward to gamble with the winner of the election. I think Hillary will win, so I want to put some money in there and see what happens. I want to do it through Bitcoin because it's more handy than regular transactions with fiat.

I need the best sites that are accepting Hillary/Trump bets to see what the odds are.
I have plan using directbet.eu and i will making betting on Hillary too, i think she will be wins on election but still waiting because of i don't have enough bitcoin for making it on directbet.eu and still there is time.  Grin
arseaboy
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November 02, 2016, 04:38:14 AM
 #22

Im looking forward to gamble with the winner of the election. I think Hillary will win, so I want to put some money in there and see what happens. I want to do it through Bitcoin because it's more handy than regular transactions with fiat.

I need the best sites that are accepting Hillary/Trump bets to see what the odds are.
I have plan using directbet.eu and i will making betting on Hillary too, i think she will be wins on election but still waiting because of i don't have enough bitcoin for making it on directbet.eu and still there is time.  Grin

Yeah I will try that site too and will still to wait for some available betting sites with the same topic. I like Hillary too and I'm really confident that she will win the election. Trump only knows how to talk nonsense (just my opinion)  Grin

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BayAreaCoins
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November 02, 2016, 05:34:39 AM
 #23

I'm looking to sell my full Donald Trump wager or half of it.

Beating all major bitcoin sports book odds.

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November 02, 2016, 11:06:31 AM
 #24

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newcripto
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November 02, 2016, 11:54:08 AM
 #25

I have my bet on Hillary Clinton for that betting I used directbet.eu few weeks ago when odds were really much better than they looks right now. I like the idea of having another round to cover or polish your odds at election night when odds will be huge for both candidates with spreading of different news.
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November 02, 2016, 12:57:54 PM
 #26

Don't.

The best odds are gone.

Wait for election night when there'll be crazy odds fluctuation - if you bet smart you can make guaranteed profit

There's no thing such as guaranteed profit, if there was, you would take 1 million dollars loan and go all in on your "guaranteed winner", but you will not because we don't know who is going to win.

I also think Hillary will win and it's relatively safe to bet on a Hillary win, but we don't know, Trump may win too, its getting close..
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November 02, 2016, 01:16:40 PM
 #27

Don't.

The best odds are gone.

Wait for election night when there'll be crazy odds fluctuation - if you bet smart you can make guaranteed profit

There's no thing such as guaranteed profit, if there was, you would take 1 million dollars loan and go all in on your "guaranteed winner", but you will not because we don't know who is going to win.

I also think Hillary will win and it's relatively safe to bet on a Hillary win, but we don't know, Trump may win too, its getting close..
If I will bet, I will definitely wait for the night before the election as being suggested but I will also bet on Hillary irrespective of the odds whether small or big or even if the gap is closed or not. I also have a feeling that the major betting sites might actually want to make Trump win as a result they make enormous amount of wealth as a lot of people maybe not in US will still want to go with Hilary
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November 02, 2016, 01:26:54 PM
 #28

Yeah but its really not worth the risk taking a Hillary bet. Even if you win, you won't win much. Maybe Trump will come back with a revgance and surprice us all and he might actually win. Better odds then.

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November 02, 2016, 01:34:04 PM
 #29

Yeah but its really not worth the risk taking a Hillary bet. Even if you win, you won't win much. Maybe Trump will come back with a revgance and surprice us all and he might actually win. Better odds then.

Yep! That's basically what I did. No fun going for Hilary. Plus I still can't shake off in my guts how Trump might really win this election, and yep, i'm not sure if it's a good thing or a bad thing. Lol

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November 02, 2016, 04:11:17 PM
 #30

Im looking forward to gamble with the winner of the election. I think Hillary will win, so I want to put some money in there and see what happens. I want to do it through Bitcoin because it's more handy than regular transactions with fiat.

I need the best sites that are accepting Hillary/Trump bets to see what the odds are.
In my opinion, onehash.com is a good site for you to bet who is the winner of the USA election. You do not need to make an account to place your bet. All you need is a receiving address so that they can send the bitcoin back to you if you win the bet. Fast and convenient and efficient

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November 02, 2016, 04:25:04 PM
 #31

If anyone is interested, I have found this very useful website, that shows different gambling sites and compares the odds on a certain topic. In this case, for the US election:

https://www.bitedge.co/odds-comparison/2016-us-presidential-election/

I think I will wait until the last minute to make a bet, you never know with all those leaks.
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November 02, 2016, 07:31:14 PM
 #32

The issue with Trump was that he basically insulted the majority of voters, especially Women. And also many immigrants and muslims. He really should of kept some comments to himself instead of posting all these insults on Twitter. It might of been entertaining from time to time however its what caused him to lose.

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November 02, 2016, 10:16:58 PM
 #33

The issue with Trump was that he basically insulted the majority of voters, especially Women. And also many immigrants and muslims. He really should of kept some comments to himself instead of posting all these insults on Twitter. It might of been entertaining from time to time however its what caused him to lose.
quote him insulting majority of voters and women Smiley ?
or was it CNN that said so?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=851BqHMCaeM  here is Trump's official camapign's clip Smiley
Trump speaks his mind,he is not a politician per se
thats why he is going to win,or murica has no future whatsoever
it won't sustain another 4 years of lies and broken promises and will collapse USSR style,but worse due to inherent racial and other problems
those betting Hillary to win are in for a big surprise


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actmyname
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November 03, 2016, 12:17:20 AM
Last edit: November 06, 2016, 03:37:11 PM by actmyname
 #34

Don't.

The best odds are gone.

Wait for election night when there'll be crazy odds fluctuation - if you bet smart you can make guaranteed profit

There's no thing such as guaranteed profit, if there was, you would take 1 million dollars loan and go all in on your "guaranteed winner", but you will not because we don't know who is going to win.

I also think Hillary will win and it's relatively safe to bet on a Hillary win, but we don't know, Trump may win too, its getting close..

I'm pretty sure that you're missing the point. You can "play the odds" and try to bet such that you're +ev whether Hillary or Trump win - by betting and seeing if the odds change in your favor (you bet on a favorite, and then the payout decreases for them and increases for the other - now you can bet on the other candidate and profit no matter the result)

For example... on the day, Hillary's odds are at 1.98x and Donald Trump's odds are at 1.98x as well (arbitrary example)

You "short" on Hillary Clinton where you expect her payout to decline. Say you bet 10 BTC.

This is the case and then now her odds are at 1.32x and Trump's odds are at 3.3x (like on DB right now) then now you can make a bet on Trump odds to get a guaranteed profit.

If Hillary wins, your prior bet gives you a profit of 9.8 BTC.
If Trump wins, you lose 10 BTC...
So you prevent that by betting at least 3.04 BTC on Trump. If you want a profit, then you bet 6 BTC which would provide the following:

Your total bet is 16 BTC.
If Hillary wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC
If Trump wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC

Guaranteed profit of 3.8 BTC. Unless somehow the other candidates win.



You can check the math:

To choose a profitable bet with the increased Trump odds... let n represent the amount you bet on Trump

If Hillary wins, your profit is 19.8 - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)
If Trump wins, your profit is 3.3n - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)

19.8 - n  - 10 = 3.3n - n - 10
9.8 - n = 2.3n - 10
19.8 = 3.3n

n = 6

So you bet 6 BTC. And you get a profit of 19.8 - n - 10 = 3.8 BTC



Use this Sports Betting Hedge Calculator to simplify things so you that don't have to do algebra.

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November 03, 2016, 04:06:47 AM
 #35

Don't.

The best odds are gone.

Wait for election night when there'll be crazy odds fluctuation - if you bet smart you can make guaranteed profit

There's no thing such as guaranteed profit, if there was, you would take 1 million dollars loan and go all in on your "guaranteed winner", but you will not because we don't know who is going to win.

I also think Hillary will win and it's relatively safe to bet on a Hillary win, but we don't know, Trump may win too, its getting close..

I'm pretty sure that you're missing the point. You can "play the odds" and try to bet such that you're +ev whether Hillary or Trump win - by betting and seeing if the odds change in your favor (you bet on a favorite, and then the payout decreases for them and increases for the other - now you can bet on the other candidate and profit no matter the result)

For example... on the day, Hillary's odds are at 1.98x and Donald Trump's odds are at 1.98x as well (arbitrary example)

You "short" on Hillary Clinton where you expect her payout to decline. Say you bet 10 BTC.

This is the case and then now her odds are at 1.32x and Trump's odds are at 3.3x (like on DB right now) then now you can make a bet on Trump odds to get a guaranteed profit.

If Hillary wins, your prior bet gives you a profit of 9.8 BTC.
If Trump wins, you lose 10 BTC...
So you prevent that by betting at least 3.04 BTC on Trump. If you want a profit, then you bet 6 BTC which would provide the following:

Your total bet is 16 BTC.
If Hillary wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC
If Trump wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC

Guaranteed profit of 3.8 BTC. Unless somehow the other candidates win.



You can check the math:

To choose a profitable bet with the increased Trump odds... let n represent the amount you bet on Trump

If Hillary wins, your profit is 19.8 - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)
If Trump wins, your profit is 3.3n - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)

19.8 - n  - 10 = 3.3n - n - 10
9.8 - n = 2.3n - 10
19.8 = 3.3n

n = 6

So you bet 6 BTC. And you get a profit of 19.8 - n - 10 = 3.8 BTC



Use this Sports Betting Hedge Calculator to simplify things so you that don't have to do algebra.

I dont think that this is right though. You said that the odds right now is 1.32 on hillary and 3.3 on trump. But you calculate it with 1.98 on hillary? How can this thing is a guarantee win? Does not make sense to me though. If you want to make this guarantee win you must bet on minimum 40% more on hillary then you can make this equal or put more to get more profit
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November 03, 2016, 04:38:19 AM
 #36

The issue with Trump was that he basically insulted the majority of voters, especially Women. And also many immigrants and muslims. He really should of kept some comments to himself instead of posting all these insults on Twitter. It might of been entertaining from time to time however its what caused him to lose.

Yes, I believe that Trump would've won easily had he controlled his mouth a bit better, as a lot of people don't like Hillary and American citizens want something different; a successful businessman (as opposed to a politician) probably would've won.

I wanted to bet, but after the recent allegations against Trump, I believe that the odds are way against him right now.

All the well known sportsbetting sites have been listed already, but if you want to try something different, check out https://www.betmoose.com. You can bet on anything there, including politics!
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November 03, 2016, 07:41:37 AM
 #37

Don't.

The best odds are gone.

Wait for election night when there'll be crazy odds fluctuation - if you bet smart you can make guaranteed profit

There's no thing such as guaranteed profit, if there was, you would take 1 million dollars loan and go all in on your "guaranteed winner", but you will not because we don't know who is going to win.

I also think Hillary will win and it's relatively safe to bet on a Hillary win, but we don't know, Trump may win too, its getting close..

I'm pretty sure that you're missing the point. You can "play the odds" and try to bet such that you're +ev whether Hillary or Trump win - by betting and seeing if the odds change in your favor (you bet on a favorite, and then the payout decreases for them and increases for the other - now you can bet on the other candidate and profit no matter the result)

For example... on the day, Hillary's odds are at 1.98x and Donald Trump's odds are at 1.98x as well (arbitrary example)

You "short" on Hillary Clinton where you expect her payout to decline. Say you bet 10 BTC.

This is the case and then now her odds are at 1.32x and Trump's odds are at 3.3x (like on DB right now) then now you can make a bet on Trump odds to get a guaranteed profit.

If Hillary wins, your prior bet gives you a profit of 9.8 BTC.
If Trump wins, you lose 10 BTC...
So you prevent that by betting at least 3.04 BTC on Trump. If you want a profit, then you bet 6 BTC which would provide the following:

Your total bet is 16 BTC.
If Hillary wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC
If Trump wins, you win 19.8 BTC - 16 BTC = 3.8 BTC

Guaranteed profit of 3.8 BTC. Unless somehow the other candidates win.



You can check the math:

To choose a profitable bet with the increased Trump odds... let n represent the amount you bet on Trump

If Hillary wins, your profit is 19.8 - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)
If Trump wins, your profit is 3.3n - n - 10 (winnings - hedge bet - initial wager)

19.8 - n  - 10 = 3.3n - n - 10
9.8 - n = 2.3n - 10
19.8 = 3.3n

n = 6

So you bet 6 BTC. And you get a profit of 19.8 - n - 10 = 3.8 BTC



Use this Sports Betting Hedge Calculator to simplify things so you that don't have to do algebra.

There is something wrong in your calculation. Hillary's odds are around 1.3 on the best website and for trump its around 3.5 or so. I think you made a calculation somewhere.

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November 03, 2016, 07:42:37 AM
 #38

Im looking forward to gamble with the winner of the election. I think Hillary will win, so I want to put some money in there and see what happens. I want to do it through Bitcoin because it's more handy than regular transactions with fiat.

I need the best sites that are accepting Hillary/Trump bets to see what the odds are.

Try fairlays. They basically is an orderbook for predictions... Pretty sure they are offering Hillary/Trump betting as well. The odds I am not so sure about whether they are better or worse than conventional non bitcoin bookies.
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November 03, 2016, 08:08:00 AM
 #39

Maybe onehash can be your website, but  be carefully the odds changes because they change even if you already made the bet. Try to look this website hours before the elections came.

Current Odds.


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November 03, 2016, 09:34:18 AM
 #40

Love that we can bet on this!

I don't see an option to bet on Trump head to head at directbet  Undecided
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