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Author Topic: [ANN] BetKing.io ICO - Bitcoin Gambling website - 581.4 BTC raised so far  (Read 29683 times)
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maidenvoyage
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December 02, 2016, 08:58:40 PM
 #121

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A very interesting ICO, however the valuation you are putting on the website is ludicrous. You are essentially saying the company is worth the amount of profit earned lifetime, ~7000 bitcoin, which is a bit insane. Dean has been talking about adding sports betting and a casino for a couple years now, and each time they've popped up, they've gotten extremely low traffic and/or they did not function properly. Would this change with better software and better marketing? Yes. However, this also means we have to put our trust as investors into a pie in the sky promise that you have contacts in the industry who can drive the company to another level and finally get a foothold in the bitcoin gambling industry. But I have seen no proof, despite past promises, that this is going to happen. We need more than 'I know a lot of contacts'. We need a portfolio, a well thought out business plan, and more info on these supposed experts you know so we can get a more accurate picture for how you are going to turn investor's money into a casino and marketing machine that actually has a chance at significant market share outside of the Dice market.

You need to lay out exactly what this 2000 bitcoin is going towards.

I think an important question is, why would any contacts or software developer you know want to help build you a casino platform that's worth a damn if you they aren't going to have any equity in the business? Why wouldn't they just build it on their own?

Imagine you walked into Shark Tank and you told Mark Cuban 'I want 1.5 million dollars (2000 btc) for you to invest in 30% of my company. I've shown success in this other market, but this new market I've never been in and I don't know yet exactly what we're going to do, but I know a lot of people in the industry, trust me'. You'd be laughed off the show.

It is also important to note that 1 bitcoin earned 2 years ago is not equal to 1 bitcoin earned today. Back then, the price was about $250, and now its at $750. Even 6 months ago, the price of bitcoin was about 60% of what it is now. A huge chunk of the profit came from those time periods. Bitcoin is at, basically, an all time high. I get the thought process from your perspective, although I think it is misguided. You've tried to sell Betking at least 2 other points in the past year that I can remember, but the problem is almost all of Betking's value stems from the bitcoin community's trust in Dean. The brand and software has very little value in my opinion - that's why no one ever offers anything close to what Dean feels Betking is worth (apparently 7000 btc).

All of this is potentially moot however, because at the end of the day a company is worth what someone is willing to pay for it. I seriously doubt this ICO is going to work, considering from what I read in Dean's previous attempt to sell Betking less than a month ago the top bid was 1500 bitcoin for 100% of the company, unless someone offered more and he did not reveal it publicly. How he gets the idea that his top offer was 1500 bitcoin for 100% of the company and in turn starts this ICO 2 weeks later trying to sell 30% for an even larger bitcoin amount than what the top investor offered him for 100% doesn't really make much sense.

Dean's problem in this situation is the only truly valuable commodity in his business is himself as someone who is trusted. That is worth a lot of money. However, all these attempts to sell the whole, or parts, of the company are going to come up short because Dean obviously disagrees with my assessment of the value of his website/software. Dean should eventually just take Betking private and get all the profits himself. It would provide a steady, healthy income for years. Build a new casino/sports betting platform without the investors. Like you said, you are taking in 50% of the profits for a site you believe is worth 5 million dollars and has basically zero operating cost.

A massive problem as well is investors are likely never going to get their investment back+profit, because the only scenario where they do is if Dean decides to sell the company in the future. The problem with that is, Dean is the value of this company. If he doesn't come in the package, no one is paying 7000 bitcoin for this site at the current USD/btc value. Sure, you could sell your shares to other interested buyers, but that will be the only market there is for your shares. You will be relying on dividends to make you money, and this does not have a great outlook if you look at the past few months of wagering on Betking.

The past week, there has been ~670 btc wagered on Betking. That is an expected profit of 6.7 btc/week, or $5,000 per week. $260,000 a year. Or, 19 years to make the $5 million dollars the Dean values his website at.

Also important to look at is how far above EV Betking has been running for Dice. Selling for the actual profit amount is actually quite disingenuous, because Betking could just as easily be at 0 profit as it is at 7000 btc profit. The EV number is the only one that truly matters.

At a much more reasonable ICO price, I would've been very intrigued by investing in Betking/Dean. However, the price is absolutely bonkers.

Regardless, best of luck.

This was one of the best post I have seen on this forum, Sure it is strongly against the idea of this thread, I don't think it should have been deleted.
I was really looking forward to a response from Dean about the negative points raised in this post, When I found it to be deleted I was outraged that the last good bitcoin casino has resorted to the practice of the rest.

EDIT: The quoted text that was deleted was posted by chazley
nice win win, I had my post with similar concerns deleted too yesterday. It is Deans right..this suposed to be "his" sales add... I was 3% of bankroll and will definitely not buy into this new venture but wish Dean, who was always correct luck. Very unhappy that I was forced out ...
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December 02, 2016, 10:11:37 PM
 #122

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Shares:
BetKing will create 100,000,000 tokens (100 million) to represent 100% shares of BetKing.
No new tokens will be created.

30,000,000 (30%) of these tokens will be distributed to investors at the end of the ICO.

The remaining 70,000,000 (70%) will remain in the ownership of BetKing.
We may offer some of these shares in future to potential new staff or contractors as bonuses.

Does this mean that you are valuing the company at 9K bitcoins and selling 30% of the shares to the public while keeping 70%.

What does "will remain in the ownership of BetKing." mean, does the mean the current owner?

What is confusing to me is if you are selling Betking or if you are only selling 30% of it for 2k coins or more.

I'm selling 30% of the site for 2k coins or more. The other 70% of shares are my own shares.
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December 02, 2016, 10:15:25 PM
 #123

A very interesting ICO, however [omissis]
Thank you for this very interesting post.

I would add something more that bothers me, which is the lack of legal bond between the newly emitted stocks and the company's value. Someone already pointed out that the Company might decide to invest all the money raised in expense (which I prefer to call investments), so where does this value go? The "regular" economic answer is: it rises the stock's price. At the moment, I believe that such "stock" is something a bit too vague to be the basis of such a big operation. It is not clear what form it will have, how will it be traded, and most of all how strong is the legal bond (if any) with the Company's value. I can easily see Dean selling (in good faith) his 70% of the Company and the new owner just deciding to pay 0% dividends for the rest of its life (claiming a 0% profit), since there is no public balance, no audit to the books, and in general no disclosure apart what Dean has been so kind to provide. Even if Dean decided to buyback all shares and then sell 100% of the Company (which I seem to recall he hinted to, possibly in not so explicit a form), I doubt any possible buyer would accept to disclose the full price of the operation, thus allowing the refunds at a nominal value.

I would be pleased to hear from Dean about this.

To avoid any issues if I were selling I would take the full sale price and then give 30% of that to the investors of the ICO so you wouldn't have to worry about new owner not paying dividends.

I'm in communication with my lawyer at the moment and a corporate finance advisor to see how we can best set this up.
I wouldn't be doing anything if it weren't legal. If there is any reason that we can't do it legally then everyone would be refunded.
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December 02, 2016, 10:17:44 PM
 #124

how is doing the ico so far?
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December 02, 2016, 10:20:14 PM
 #125

This was one of the best post I have seen on this forum, Sure it is strongly against the idea of this thread, I don't think it should have been deleted.
I was really looking forward to a response from Dean about the negative points raised in this post, When I found it to be deleted I was outraged that the last good bitcoin casino has resorted to the practice of the rest.

EDIT: The quoted text that was deleted was posted by chazley

I agree I shouldn't have deleted that because there were valid points that could be cleared up.
Chazley and I have never really got on well and he has always disagreed with any decision I make and he posts negative of everything. Though he stayed invested.

So I deleted his post as I saw it as another personal attack.

However I will quote his post and answer any questions in it shortly.

Sorry about that. It wasn't very professional.

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December 02, 2016, 10:37:52 PM
 #126

So, how much has been obtained from the ICO?
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December 02, 2016, 10:47:34 PM
 #127

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A very interesting ICO, however the valuation you are putting on the website is ludicrous. You are essentially saying the company is worth the amount of profit earned lifetime, ~7000 bitcoin, which is a bit insane. Dean has been talking about adding sports betting and a casino for a couple years now, and each time they've popped up, they've gotten extremely low traffic and/or they did not function properly. Would this change with better software and better marketing? Yes. However, this also means we have to put our trust as investors into a pie in the sky promise that you have contacts in the industry who can drive the company to another level and finally get a foothold in the bitcoin gambling industry. But I have seen no proof, despite past promises, that this is going to happen. We need more than 'I know a lot of contacts'. We need a portfolio, a well thought out business plan, and more info on these supposed experts you know so we can get a more accurate picture for how you are going to turn investor's money into a casino and marketing machine that actually has a chance at significant market share outside of the Dice market.

You need to lay out exactly what this 2000 bitcoin is going towards.

The value I put on it is fair in my opinion. If you think it's not then you don't invest. No one is forcing anyone to do anything here.

You say finally get a foothold yet BetKing is already one of the biggest sites in the Bitcoin gambling industry.
There's only a couple of sites that are making the kind of profit that BetKing has made. Though none of them are as transparent.
It's probably OK to assume that the only sites making more are Primedice, maybe Bitcoin Video Casino and Bitcasino.io

So BetKing is already a top player with essentially no marketing. Real marketing campaigns can cost $10-20k a month minimum.
There will be a plan released shortly when we develop one with the team I mentioned.


Quote
I think an important question is, why would any contacts or software developer you know want to help build you a casino platform that's worth a damn if you they aren't going to have any equity in the business? Why wouldn't they just build it on their own?

Imagine you walked into Shark Tank and you told Mark Cuban 'I want 1.5 million dollars (2000 btc) for you to invest in 30% of my company. I've shown success in this other market, but this new market I've never been in and I don't know yet exactly what we're going to do, but I know a lot of people in the industry, trust me'. You'd be laughed off the show.
You don't make sense here. They help because it's their job. They get paid. Are you assuming I just a whole team involved that don't want paid for their work?

Quote
It is also important to note that 1 bitcoin earned 2 years ago is not equal to 1 bitcoin earned today. Back then, the price was about $250, and now its at $750. Even 6 months ago, the price of bitcoin was about 60% of what it is now. A huge chunk of the profit came from those time periods. Bitcoin is at, basically, an all time high. I get the thought process from your perspective, although I think it is misguided. You've tried to sell Betking at least 2 other points in the past year that I can remember, but the problem is almost all of Betking's value stems from the bitcoin community's trust in Dean. The brand and software has very little value in my opinion - that's why no one ever offers anything close to what Dean feels Betking is worth (apparently 7000 btc).
Most of the profit is actually recently. You can check on Dicesites.com. The past 6 months BetKing has made 3424 Bitcoin.
Also no one offers because there's not many people who have enough Bitcoin to buy the site AND bankroll it themselves just casually browsing this sub forums I post in.

Quote
Dean's problem in this situation is the only truly valuable commodity in his business is himself as someone who is trusted. That is worth a lot of money. However, all these attempts to sell the whole, or parts, of the company are going to come up short because Dean obviously disagrees with my assessment of the value of his website/software. Dean should eventually just take Betking private and get all the profits himself. It would provide a steady, healthy income for years. Build a new casino/sports betting platform without the investors. Like you said, you are taking in 50% of the profits for a site you believe is worth 5 million dollars and has basically zero operating cost.

If the ICO fails to raise it's target then the plan is to do exactly this. BetKing is now private and not crowdfunded and I'm happy to just do what I'm doing. It would just be faster and take the site to a new level if we raised some serious funds to use to do so.


Quote
A massive problem as well is investors are likely never going to get their investment back+profit, because the only scenario where they do is if Dean decides to sell the company in the future. The problem with that is, Dean is the value of this company. If he doesn't come in the package, no one is paying 7000 bitcoin for this site at the current USD/btc value. Sure, you could sell your shares to other interested buyers, but that will be the only market there is for your shares. You will be relying on dividends to make you money, and this does not have a great outlook if you look at the past few months of wagering on Betking.

The past 6 months BetKing has made 3424 Bitcoin.

Quote
Also important to look at is how far above EV Betking has been running for Dice. Selling for the actual profit amount is actually quite disingenuous, because Betking could just as easily be at 0 profit as it is at 7000 btc profit. The EV number is the only one that truly matters.
The value isn't based on the EV or the profit of the dice. It's based on future growth and more products and revenue streams.

Quote
Regardless, best of luck.

Thanks


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December 02, 2016, 10:50:17 PM
 #128

End of first day, can you show us an address?

Here's address of the funds raised so far.
https://blockchain.info/address/1FFweGFja9VGXXB11JA4eExZGGFaS5zjzj
wavefan
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December 02, 2016, 10:51:34 PM
 #129

End of first day, can you show us an address?

Here's address of the funds raised so far.
https://blockchain.info/address/1FFweGFja9VGXXB11JA4eExZGGFaS5zjzj

waoo, 181+ Bitcoin raised so far! amazing start betking.
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December 02, 2016, 10:51:57 PM
 #130

I am not going to invest in this ICO..

At the first page it is mentioned as refund if less than 2000 btc threshold

when i check the site...it says

"If you would like to invest in our ICO click the invest button. Make sure you have read the details and terms in the post above. THERE IS NO REFUND.

So i am not going to invest...Also people watch out before you do so..

If we don't raise the target 2000 then everyone will be refunded.

The message on the site is just to make sure people don't accidentally put money in thinking it's for the old bankroll investment feature.
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December 02, 2016, 11:18:47 PM
 #131

Dean, I don't think you really answered any of my questions, and completely avoided a lot of my bigger points, but it's up to the investors to decide if you answered them sufficiently.

Best of luck.
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December 02, 2016, 11:25:20 PM
 #132

To be clear well know by January 1st how these tokens are sellable for bitcoin?

Also curious to understand what determines the change in frequency and how you decide revenue-expense. Some businesses choose to dump all revenue into expenses and if you were to do this then investors would never get anything back. What determines how that flows?

Thanks for offering this and answering questions,
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December 03, 2016, 12:16:53 AM
 #133

To avoid any issues if I were selling I would take the full sale price and then give 30% of that to the investors of the ICO so you wouldn't have to worry about new owner not paying dividends.
Thank you for stating this explicitly. I think this may be a significant incentive to potential investors.
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December 03, 2016, 05:08:43 AM
 #134

Broad question Dean - Are you going to pay yourself a salary or anyone else for such expenses?

What is your estimate of total annual expenses planned for the next few years and can you break them down?
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December 03, 2016, 06:26:54 AM
 #135

End of first day, can you show us an address?

Here's address of the funds raised so far.
https://blockchain.info/address/1FFweGFja9VGXXB11JA4eExZGGFaS5zjzj


Thanks for show btc address
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December 03, 2016, 10:22:14 AM
 #136

I'm wondering if people are a little scared to invest due to the no cap and that if we got too much then your share is low.

Maybe we should have the option that if we raise 4000 you can get a refund, 1st come first server, until funds drop to 3000?

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December 03, 2016, 10:54:24 AM
 #137

I'm wondering if people are a little scared to invest due to the no cap and that if we got too much then your share is low.

Maybe we should have the option that if we raise 4000 you can get a refund, 1st come first server, until funds drop to 3000?



sounds good, if you exceed the target, let people divest excess funds if they choose to
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December 03, 2016, 11:05:57 AM
 #138

Broad question Dean - Are you going to pay yourself a salary or anyone else for such expenses?

What is your estimate of total annual expenses planned for the next few years and can you break them down?


This would be interesting to know Dean.

Also the cap you are talking about might help. Would you still give the first weeks investors the bonus?
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December 03, 2016, 04:11:12 PM
 #139

I'm wondering if people are a little scared to invest due to the no cap and that if we got too much then your share is low.

Maybe we should have the option that if we raise 4000 you can get a refund, 1st come first server, until funds drop to 3000?



I believe it has to do with the already small amount of ownership for an overly lucky casino. To expect the same returns is mathematically wrong. It's even more scary when we don't know how the revenue-expense ratio is determined along with no way of being able to ever enter or exit. Far more unknowns than just the amount of shares and crazy more risk than just being able to be the bankroll. You're basically asking for an IPO of only 1/3 of a company without any documentation or proof of how you'll get 2x to 4x on investor returns to justify the risk. Hell there isn't even a plan laid out it's just give me money for an already tiny part of the company so I can go "grow" it because connections. How does that not seem overly scary to you?
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December 03, 2016, 09:18:54 PM
 #140

Latest figures for today of total invested 183.45670739

Still 4 days left of the 10% bonus.
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