Bitcoin Forum
May 05, 2024, 02:17:09 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 [2]  All
  Print  
Author Topic: Perhaps the crash was only a correction  (Read 2915 times)
Kazu
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 168
Merit: 100


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 07:00:07 PM
 #21

Forgive me if I am being dense, but isn't the entire point of a log scale is to make trend lines drawable?

CoinLenders - Bitcoin Bank Script / Demo
1v.io/kazu - 15ccW7m6RxDFWEKc3P1NdwWpX1N1pU7gZ8
1714875429
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714875429

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714875429
Reply with quote  #2

1714875429
Report to moderator
The grue lurks in the darkest places of the earth. Its favorite diet is adventurers, but its insatiable appetite is tempered by its fear of light. No grue has ever been seen by the light of day, and few have survived its fearsome jaws to tell the tale.
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1714875429
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714875429

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714875429
Reply with quote  #2

1714875429
Report to moderator
1714875429
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1714875429

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1714875429
Reply with quote  #2

1714875429
Report to moderator
afbitcoins (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061



View Profile WWW
April 12, 2013, 08:29:35 PM
 #22

Way to draw support lines exactly as they fit you.

Thats where they fit the data. I drew that line in the same place all through February. Check my blog if you don't believe me  Huh
afbitcoins (OP)
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061



View Profile WWW
April 12, 2013, 08:32:58 PM
 #23

I started off drawing my lines on linear scales but found they were only accurate for short time periods. Log scale works because the price rise is exponential.
Wuji
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 56
Merit: 0


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 08:38:01 PM
 #24

Sorry to repeat myself:

$83 or so was on March 23rd an inflection point where we kicked into a higher rate of exponential growth.

This is where things got unsustainable and people started screaming "Bubble!" or if they were doing so already, shouting it even louder.

If we see the price dip and gravitate loosely around this point in the next few days we would be on a previous upward trend which stretched from Jan 9th to March 23rd and to some degree, beyond.

Bear in mind we are seeing a decent-sized bid wall at $76 and that the ask wall isn't so much a wall as a gentle ramp.

Pick your entry point, gird your loins and ride this up.

Actually most investors I talk to were screaming Bubble based on the run up from Jan to Mar. 17th (after that they were just saying tulips).  They are interested in tangible commodities and not virtual commodities.  When BTC is adopted as a currency and passes the regulation litmus tests then I expect it to go sky high.  Until then I don't think most real investors are taking this seriously or even getting involved (none I have known for 10+ years are).  I only bought in below $14 a long time ago because I'm a computer guy and think it is a cool idea.
thefiniteidea
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 509
Merit: 564


"In Us We Trust"


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:20:50 PM
 #25

Forgive me if I am being dense, but isn't the entire point of a log scale is to make trend lines drawable?

It helps with trends that rise exponentially, like Bitcoin. But no, that is not the entire point, nor is it really the basis of log charts.

Way to draw support lines exactly as they fit you.

Thats where they fit the data. I drew that line in the same place all through February. Check my blog if you don't believe me  Huh

You're chart may not prove anything in terms of future price (no one can?!), but what's certain is that you don't need to worry about responses from internet-children who can not see things that are blatantly apparent to everyone else  Cheesy
nebulus
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 490
Merit: 500


... it only gets better...


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:23:44 PM
 #26

I don't understand why people call this a crash. Somebody just had a lot of bit coin to fill a lot of pending orders. A thing of the sort has a different name.

evolve
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 700
Merit: 500


daytrader/superhero


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:25:35 PM
 #27

I don't understand why people call this a crash.

Maybe the 75% drop in value within 2 days?
Ichthyo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 602
Merit: 500


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:32:03 PM
 #28

I don't understand why people call this a crash.

Maybe the 75% drop in value within 2 days?

after an increase of 100% also in just some days?
Odalv
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1400
Merit: 1000



View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:36:09 PM
 #29

I don't understand why people call this a crash.

Maybe the 75% drop in value within 2 days?

why not ?
Ichthyo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 602
Merit: 500


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:37:01 PM
 #30

you could call it "crash" only in hindsight.
In this case, it must be the start of an large scale downward trend.


All these terms "correction", "dip", "crash" are qualitative to some extent: they express the relation to the whole context.
When a whole market segment performed just average over a long time and then with a single blow gets substantially reduced and then grinds down to a way lower category, than this is another situation as when a single stock, asset or instrument had a short period of completely out-of-range growth, and finishes this period with a set-back.
evolve
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 700
Merit: 500


daytrader/superhero


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 09:44:29 PM
 #31

after an increase of 100% also in just some days?

Don't tell anyone, but thats how bubbles work....
move_zig
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 60
Merit: 10



View Profile
April 12, 2013, 11:35:27 PM
 #32

A linear line on a logarithmic chart is perfectly valid. It indicates a steady rise in value. The angle of the line corresponds to the growth rate.
HighInBC
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 85
Merit: 10


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 11:54:30 PM
 #33

A linear line on a logarithmic chart is perfectly valid. It indicates a steady rise in value. The angle of the line corresponds to the growth rate.

The thing is that a "line" on a log scale is not a line or an angle, it is a curve.
arepo
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 448
Merit: 250


this statement is false


View Profile
April 12, 2013, 11:59:46 PM
 #34

everyone's yelling BULLTRAP, but the hands that are buying right know seem pretty damn strong. the big hands waited a long damn while (two-hundred and sixty-six USD? really?) the first time around, why not just pull the pump n dump again, immediately! anyone who wanted to sell already has, and those who are comfortable holding will continue doing so.

i thought bulltrap, too, but that ask depth is soooo thin and the price just keeps stepping up the staircase...

this sentence has fifteen words, seventy-four letters, four commas, one hyphen, and a period.
18N9md2G1oA89kdBuiyJFrtJShuL5iDWDz
move_zig
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 60
Merit: 10



View Profile
April 13, 2013, 12:01:28 AM
 #35

A linear line on a logarithmic chart is perfectly valid. It indicates a steady rise in value. The angle of the line corresponds to the growth rate.

The thing is that a "line" on a log scale is not a line or an angle, it is a curve.

If it's linear, it has a rise over run. That angle corresponds to a specific constant growth rate.

I'm just trying to explain some math to the people that don't understand the significance of straight lines on log charts.
Zangelbert Bingledack
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000


View Profile
April 13, 2013, 12:21:12 AM
 #36

I started off drawing my lines on linear scales but found they were only accurate for short time periods. Log scale works because the price rise is exponential.

Really because the fundamental indicators are all increasing exponentially. Most relevantly the number of people who even know about Bitcoin, as well as those who have taken the time to learn about Bitcoin.
Pages: « 1 [2]  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!