Bryan Micon's "Bet Me Anything" thread

[Micon]

Totally want to bet the don't on muslim.

min bet: 0.5 coin
max bet: 5 coins
odds: even $

Let me know if you get coins.

OK, I shipped 5 coins.  I have MOOSLIMS.  Good luck.

I may take the "not caught bet too".  Wouldn't mind losing that one though.  When you write 11:59 EST, most people are probably going to take that to mean 11:59 AM EST.  If it's supposed to be PM or 23:59, I would clarify.

booked / rec'd / glglglgl

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[Micon]

To keep this bet even money, now that time has elapsed, I must adjust the strike time/date:

At least 1 Boston Marathon suspect is named AND apprehended by 4/21/2013 11:59 EST.  The suspect must not be released within 72 hours of arrest.

I have "true"

"No" is available at Even money.   Available for the next 11 hours unless obvious news changes things.

1MSq1whnVfgzkJJ94SRxxHSEJq1ZbwBGKf

min: 0.5
max: 3

can PM a hash if you do not want this public. 

OK, booked.  I shipped 3 BTC.  Unfortunately, it doesn't look like they have a clue who did it or why.  No one has even claimed responsibility.  Hope I am wrong on this one. 

To keep this bet even money, now that time has elapsed, I must adjust the strike time/date:

At least 1 Boston Marathon suspect is named AND apprehended by 4/21/2013 11:59 EST.  The suspect must not be released within 72 hours of arrest.

I have "true"

"No" is available at Even money.   Available for the next 11 hours unless obvious news changes things.

1MSq1whnVfgzkJJ94SRxxHSEJq1ZbwBGKf

min: 0.5
max: 3

can PM a hash if you do not want this public. 

I just logged on and sent 1.2 coins before I saw KGambler had already sent the max on our bet that you would take. I guess if BTC4.2 is too much action, you can return the coins to the address they came from. This is why I wanted you to send me the address in a PM.

both are booked / I'll take 4.2 coin on it / but I am closing that bet so it doesn't grow further.

glglglgl guys, this thread is fun

[Micon]

I bet that BTCGuild average not less than 7652762 shares per block for the first 24 hours after the next retarget.

I will need to research BTCGuild and the share system in order to offer you a bet on this.  Allow me time.  Thanks.

[KGambler]

Sounds like they have a suspect in custody.  It could be another Richard Jewell fail but it sounds like they have some good leads.  They supposedly caught a guy on camera leaving a bag at the scene of the crime.

Media is saying the motive is still unknown.  This could mean you won both bets.  But probably it means that his name is Muhammed Abdul Farouk, but neither LE nor the media want to "speculate".


EDIT: NEVERMIND, NOW REPORTS COMING IN THAT NO ONE IS IN CUSTODY.  WHO KNOWS?

[fishface]

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

[Micon]

Sounds like they have a suspect in custody.  It could be another Richard Jewell fail but it sounds like they have some good leads.  They supposedly caught a guy on camera leaving a bag at the scene of the crime.

Media is saying the motive is still unknown.  This could mean you won both bets.  But probably it means that his name is Muhammed Abdul Farouk, but neither LE nor the media want to "speculate".


EDIT: NEVERMIND, NOW REPORTS COMING IN THAT NO ONE IS IN CUSTODY.  WHO KNOWS?

and that's why it's fun to have action on this.  Now the news is like watching sports.

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

+500 on Denver to make NBA finals

[fishface]

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

+500 on Denver to make NBA finals

I'd put 0.8 btc on it.

[Micon]

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

+500 on Denver to make NBA finals

I'd put 0.8 btc on it.

"Denver makes the NBA finals"

127vB1yAz6ipAYV3Z6qmRCtijWk4cfLRLe

max:  2 btc
odds: +500

offer good for 24 hrs


==================================================

Updated "Lakers to Make the Playoffs"

max: 6 btc
odds: -600

[for lakers not to make playoffs, Utah needs to win (they are +5 underdogs, playing on the road) and LA needs to lose (they are 2.5 point favorites, playing at home)

lucky no 1 hit me up for -300 that was a very +EV offer I posted yesterday.

[dooglus]

you can have LA at -150 if you'd like.  This means you can bet 1.5 coins vs. my 1 coin [mostly for newbs reading this thread that will want to bet in the future, I'm sure mastercoin knows was 1.5 is]

LA to make playoffs:
min bet: 0.5 coin
max bet: 6 coins
odds: -150

I still don't get "odds: -150".  Can you explain it like I'm 5?

What's "odds: -600" and "odds: 500" too?

It sounds like -150 means "3 to 2 on", since you said he bets his 1.5 vs. your 1.  Is that right?  How did you get from 3-2 on to 150?  100*3/2 ?

Wait - why don't I just google it!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fixed-odds_betting#Moneyline_odds

[fishface]

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

+500 on Denver to make NBA finals

I'd put 0.8 btc on it.

"Denver makes the NBA finals"

16PfKVWL97P3Ecejd2DvrBNvQLJCdYZVHB

max:  2 btc
odds: +500

offer good for 24 hrs

.8 btc sent for Denver to make the NBA finals. https://blockchain.info/tx/31fd247d9f1f05967eecb181bc716aa4aba536e5686474bc58c1a90a3ce553be

[Micon]

I am interested in betting on the Denver Nuggets reaching the NBA finals (winning the Western Conference). What odds would you offer here?

+500 on Denver to make NBA finals

I'd put 0.8 btc on it.

"Denver makes the NBA finals"

16PfKVWL97P3Ecejd2DvrBNvQLJCdYZVHB

max:  2 btc
odds: +500

offer good for 24 hrs

.8 btc sent for Denver to make the NBA finals. https://blockchain.info/tx/31fd247d9f1f05967eecb181bc716aa4aba536e5686474bc58c1a90a3ce553be

1)  I may have fucked up and put the wrong hash... [that hash is in my "address book" not the "receive coins" on my satoshi wallet.. am i fucked?]

no worries though, you certainly have action if you sent.

2) New Denver +500 hash for future bets:
"Denver makes the NBA finals"

127vB1yAz6ipAYV3Z6qmRCtijWk4cfLRLe

max:  2 btc
odds: +500

offer good for 24 hrs

[Pythonideus]

Damnit I didn't even get to bet on my own bet.

[Minor Miner]

How about the over/under on when Vantage Lofts gets completed?

[organofcorti]

I bet that BTCGuild average not less than 7652762 shares per block for the first 24 hours after the next retarget.

I will need to research BTCGuild and the share system in order to offer you a bet on this.  Allow me time.  Thanks.

The retarget just retargetted

Take your time - I'll be interested in betting on any 24 hours at any pool.

[dooglus]

.8 btc sent for Denver to make the NBA finals. https://blockchain.info/tx/31fd247d9f1f05967eecb181bc716aa4aba536e5686474bc58c1a90a3ce553be

1)  I may have fucked up and put the wrong hash... [that hash is in my "address book" not the "receive coins" on my satoshi wallet.. am i fucked?]

I think the address book shows all the addresses you ever sent coin to.

If you go to the transactions tab and type the start of the address into the search box at the top, it will show you all your transactions that sent coins to that address.  The date, amount, or surrounding payments may jog your memory as to whose address it is.  Depending on who it is, you may be able to get them to send you the coins back.  Maybe it's just a deposit address for some service you have an account at, in which case fishface's 0.8 BTC will be sitting in your account on that site ready for you to withdraw.

Good luck!

Edit: and now that you've found it, label it (double-click on '(no label)' in the address book and write a note about what the address is for).  Then you'll be less likely to make the same mistake again in the future.

[IveBeenBit]

Sounds like they have a suspect in custody.  It could be another Richard Jewell fail but it sounds like they have some good leads.  They supposedly caught a guy on camera leaving a bag at the scene of the crime.

Media is saying the motive is still unknown.  This could mean you won both bets.  But probably it means that his name is Muhammed Abdul Farouk, but neither LE nor the media want to "speculate".


EDIT: NEVERMIND, NOW REPORTS COMING IN THAT NO ONE IS IN CUSTODY.  WHO KNOWS?

and that's why it's fun to have action on this.  Now the news is like watching sports.

Cops are now claiming to have good photos of 2 suspects and will be releasing them later today....this is getting exciting!

[Micon]

Sounds like they have a suspect in custody.  It could be another Richard Jewell fail but it sounds like they have some good leads.  They supposedly caught a guy on camera leaving a bag at the scene of the crime.

Media is saying the motive is still unknown.  This could mean you won both bets.  But probably it means that his name is Muhammed Abdul Farouk, but neither LE nor the media want to "speculate".


EDIT: NEVERMIND, NOW REPORTS COMING IN THAT NO ONE IS IN CUSTODY.  WHO KNOWS?

and that's why it's fun to have action on this.  Now the news is like watching sports.

Cops are now claiming to have good photos of 2 suspects and will be releasing them later today....this is getting exciting!

I know, sort of loving this wager.  Obviously I have the "win-win" or "lose-lose" side of the bet:  either they catch the fucker(s) and I win btc, or the bombers get away (for now) and I lose btc.  Fun sweat indeed.

Also Note:  I had a guy PM me asking for payment on a -150 Lakers bet.  Obviously I didn't book any such bet.  For those wanting to wager, it is very simply and I'm very fair, but you of course must post coins to me (or escrow in the case of a large wager to protect the bettor) to have action.   I will also reply in this thread saying "booked"

.8 btc sent for Denver to make the NBA finals. https://blockchain.info/tx/31fd247d9f1f05967eecb181bc716aa4aba536e5686474bc58c1a90a3ce553be

Fishface I have confirmed your .8 coins rec'd and you are booked, even though you were booked before, just re-iterating that I was stupid and pasted the wrong hash, but luckily got it worked out.  You will win a full 4 coins + your wager back, or 4.8 BTC if Denver somehow makes it through the gauntlet.

[fishface]

.8 btc sent for Denver to make the NBA finals. https://blockchain.info/tx/31fd247d9f1f05967eecb181bc716aa4aba536e5686474bc58c1a90a3ce553be

Fishface I have confirmed your .8 coins rec'd and you are booked, even though you were booked before, just re-iterating that I was stupid and pasted the wrong hash, but luckily got it worked out.  You will win a full 4 coins + your wager back, or 4.8 BTC if Denver somehow makes it through the gauntlet.

Glad it got worked out... I didn't know what to think at first, but I was quickly reassured since you said from the start that it was all good and my bet would count regardless. Go Nuggets  

[KGambler]

The photos have been released.  They are not clear.  They look a little darker skinned with black hair, but they could be any of many ethnicities.  

I am willing to give you +200 on non-muslims now if you want more action.


Edit:  Of course, decent chance those aren't even the bombers.

[Minor Miner]

Pictures of suspects are released.   Micon looks to be pretty safe.