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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26380766 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Davyd05
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December 21, 2013, 07:41:27 PM
 #67301

The slide will continue and I expect a Christmas rally which leads into a bear trap


If we make it through the weekend, I doubt we slide to much lower then 550 with out a manipulator or manipulative news.
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Every time a block is mined, a certain amount of BTC (called the subsidy) is created out of thin air and given to the miner. The subsidy halves every four years and will reach 0 in about 130 years.
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December 21, 2013, 07:45:24 PM
 #67302

< 2 BTC bought/sold on BTCChina in last 15 minutes........
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December 21, 2013, 07:45:43 PM
 #67303

Fiatleak is showing lots of CNY going in, did they fix it?

This is why Fiatleak is useless.
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December 21, 2013, 07:50:41 PM
 #67304

We've seen in April/May/June that walls that walls of any size which pop up in front of a downtrend on low volume will be filled. At the peak of the second bulltrap in may on gox there was an 8,000 btc wall at $127 which popped up after the trend had already reversed from $136. It was filled along with about 30K of orders beneath it in a giant market order, and the downtrend proceeded to $66. On the way down there were also a variety of 5K - 20K btc walls that came into the play.

The walls are of course a bullish sign that there is demand from real investors and this may be a fair price. However, people are mistaken to think that it will stop the train.
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December 21, 2013, 07:53:14 PM
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December 21, 2013, 07:59:23 PM
 #67306

Wow, some of the posts in this thread are a celebration to fiscal irresponsibility.
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December 21, 2013, 08:01:52 PM
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December 21, 2013, 08:05:47 PM
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yawn
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December 21, 2013, 08:08:31 PM
 #67309

My prediction: back up to $1000 by new years
have fun
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December 21, 2013, 08:09:47 PM
 #67310

I'm pretty pleased with the stability tbh. We could well hit 550 tomorrow but it looks like we'll settle at 650 come monday. I don't expect much volume over christmas and once we get back over 800 we'll have officially shaken off china. We'll probably have a lot of panics as china exists but we'll be 800 into the new year regardless
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December 21, 2013, 08:22:31 PM
 #67311

I'm pretty pleased with the stability tbh. We could well hit 550 tomorrow but it looks like we'll settle at 650 come monday. I don't expect much volume over christmas and once we get back over 800 we'll have officially shaken off china. We'll probably have a lot of panics as china exists but we'll be 800 into the new year regardless

Have you ever watched the price of petrol/gasoline during a global crisis? It increases dramatically. When the event is over and the market stabilizes the price drops but never to the level that it was before the event that moved it. Bitcoin is proving to be a commodity the reacts similarly. 
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December 21, 2013, 08:32:07 PM
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December 21, 2013, 08:34:26 PM
 #67313

Comeon I wnat chip coins so I cna hodl.
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December 21, 2013, 08:36:15 PM
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I'm pretty pleased with the stability tbh. We could well hit 550 tomorrow but it looks like we'll settle at 650 come monday. I don't expect much volume over christmas and once we get back over 800 we'll have officially shaken off china. We'll probably have a lot of panics as china exists but we'll be 800 into the new year regardless

Have you ever watched the price of petrol/gasoline during a global crisis? It increases dramatically. When the event is over and the market stabilizes the price drops but never to the level that it was before the event that moved it. Bitcoin is proving to be a commodity the reacts similarly.  
I hear what you are saying but gas prices are the most manipulated commodity ever. bitcoin is heavily manipulated but not to the same extent i.e. there is no real opec in our scenario.  We could say the 'bit' in 'bitcoin' is because it's a bit like oil, a bit like gold, a bit like whatever.

I suppose the gold/oil connection is scarcity/difficulty. I'd argue bitcoin is closer to gold than oil. Gold and bitcoin have arguable intrinsic value but it's scarcity that makes them valuable. Same for diamonds/silver etc. Yes you can do some stuff, make jewelry and electronic components but it's manly about a store of wealth.

Oil is different. Oil has a real intrinsic value. It is fuel. A real difficultly(cost) to mine plus it has a cartel limiting the supply.

talking out loud tbh lol
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December 21, 2013, 08:37:54 PM
 #67315

We've seen in April/May/June that walls that walls of any size which pop up in front of a downtrend on low volume will be filled. At the peak of the second bulltrap in may on gox there was an 8,000 btc wall at $127 which popped up after the trend had already reversed from $136. It was filled along with about 30K of orders beneath it in a giant market order, and the downtrend proceeded to $66. On the way down there were also a variety of 5K - 20K btc walls that came into the play.

The walls are of course a bullish sign that there is demand from real investors and this may be a fair price. However, people are mistaken to think that it will stop the train.
+1
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December 21, 2013, 08:40:42 PM
 #67316

I'm pretty pleased with the stability tbh. We could well hit 550 tomorrow but it looks like we'll settle at 650 come monday. I don't expect much volume over christmas and once we get back over 800 we'll have officially shaken off china. We'll probably have a lot of panics as china exists but we'll be 800 into the new year regardless

Have you ever watched the price of petrol/gasoline during a global crisis? It increases dramatically. When the event is over and the market stabilizes the price drops but never to the level that it was before the event that moved it. Bitcoin is proving to be a commodity the reacts similarly.  
I hear what you are saying but gas prices are the most manipulated commodity ever. bitcoin is heavily manipulated but not to the same extent i.e. there is no real opec in our scenario.  We could say the 'bit' in 'bitcoin' is because it's a bit like oil, a bit like gold, a bit like whatever.

I suppose the gold/oil connection is scarcity/difficulty. I'd argue bitcoin is closer to gold than oil. Gold and bitcoin have arguable intrinsic value but it's scarcity that makes them valuable. Same for diamonds/silver etc. Yes you can do some stuff, make jewelry and electronic components but it's manly about a store of wealth.

Oil is different. Oil has a real intrinsic value. It is fuel. A real difficultly(cost) to mine plus it has a cartel limiting the supply.

talking out loud tbh lol

I like that - a bit like oil, a bit like gold. lol

I meant the reaction from market manipulation instead of actual intrinsic value. Bitcoin is highly manipulated by a few power players, so is crude oil.
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December 21, 2013, 08:49:26 PM
 #67317

Where's all the bulls from this morning? They're about to get burned.
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December 21, 2013, 09:00:18 PM
 #67318

On our way to 400s - by Sunday evening.
Now, it's either  Cry Angry or  Grin  Cool , depending where your money is.
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December 21, 2013, 09:01:14 PM
 #67319

Where's all the bulls from this morning? They're about to get burned.

I'm a bull because only not very smart people would be bears in deflationary currency and new technology which is in early stage of adoption. And I'm FAR from burned.
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December 21, 2013, 09:01:47 PM
 #67320

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