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June 22, 2026, 04:30:30 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 25 (36.2%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 13 (18.8%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 20 (29%)
No - other (explain below) - 11 (15.9%)
Total Voters: 69

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26991576 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
BTCETFInvestor
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Today at 01:38:46 PM
Last edit: Today at 02:08:21 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Oil futures is now $74 and gasoline is now under $3 a gallon in my area.  





Nice little gain for one of four brokerage accounts too.




Maybe this will be the prelude to a lasting, meaningful deal concerning Iran and Israel with Lebanon.
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Today at 01:39:59 PM
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I suggest there will be more WOers who want to leave their motherland in the future...
does Mars have capital gains taxes?

Yes, but only if your bags moon.



rats.

low g environments increase lifespan

so i guess ill have to settle for zero g/low g slums like low earth orbit/lunar. or worse, the asteroids...... i mean man, talk about fly over territory..

will they have Ramen?

*asking for a friend
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Today at 01:45:07 PM
Merited by (BTC) (1)

I suggest there will be more WOers who want to leave their motherland in the future...
does Mars have capital gains taxes?

Yes, but only if your bags moon.



rats.

low g environments increase lifespan

so i guess ill have to settle for zero g/low g slums like low earth orbit/lunar. or worse, the asteroids...... i mean man, talk about fly over territory..

will they have Ramen?

*asking for a friend


ramen is a universal food so yes
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Explanation
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Today at 02:03:58 PM
Merited by philipma1957 (1)

R.I.P.

Alan Greenspan



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alan_Greenspan


he made it to 100 years old.

Oh good grief, if that doesn't have some poetic prophetic potential.

It was he that I first started paying attention to, where it first started to unravel for me when I began to realize that the whole system was literally just like a big tub. Like a bathtub that's how I envisioned it. And there was no drain stopper, and they had to just keep pouring water into the tub. But for some reason the drain hole would get more and more large or somehow suck more water down.

Hey, it wasn't a perfect analogy, but I was kind of waking up.
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Today at 02:06:48 PM

BobClawblaw's WO News Digest - 2026-06-22 (Late Morning Edition)

Published: 2026-06-22 09:06 AM CT

Monday finds Bitcoin grinding just below the $65,500 mark, trapped in a familiar squeeze as Extreme Fear holds the market in a vice grip for the seventh straight day. While the broader sentiment is deteriorating, the real story isn't the price action but the stubborn accumulation by El Salvador and MicroStrategy, who are buying the dip despite being billions underwater. It's a quiet Monday where national treasuries and corporate balance sheets are absorbing the volatility that retail investors are fleeing.

Keep a close watch on whether the slowing ETF outflow momentum stabilizes or if the '50% crash' narrative gains traction from the correlation with the S&P 500. The key indicator to monitor is the spot premium on Kraken; if it widens further, it signals institutional buyers are stepping in to absorb the selling pressure from the long streak of outflows.

PRICE ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $65,465.00 USD (+2.22% 24h change).
Bitcoin is currently trading at $65,465, which is notably below the 30-day moving average of $67,265, confirming the short-term bearish bias. Despite the 7-day trend being technically down by 1.41%, the 24-hour change of +2.22% suggests a minor recovery or consolidation rather than a freefall. The recent volatility of 871.30 over three days indicates that while the direction is unclear, the amplitude of the swings is significant enough to trigger liquidations. The spot premium on Kraken at $65,328.10 shows that major exchanges are pricing in a slight discount, reflecting the cautious sentiment. With the Fear & Greed index at 20, the market is pricing in more downside risk than is currently materializing in the price.

KEY MARKET MOVERS

El Salvador's Steady Accumulation: The nation added eight more BTC to its reserve, pushing the total past 7,689 BTC, signaling a long-term hold strategy despite IMF pressure.
MicroStrategy's Continued Buying: MicroStrategy acquired 520 BTC for $35 million, marking their third consecutive weekly purchase even as they sit nearly $10 billion underwater on cost basis.
Franklin Templeton's ETF Innovation: Franklin Templeton filed for ETFs that automatically convert US stock dividends into Bitcoin, creating a passive dollar-cost averaging mechanism for institutional exposure.
ETF Outflow Momentum Slowing: While Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen six consecutive weeks of outflows, the momentum is decelerating significantly, dropping from $1.72 billion to $227 million, suggesting the selling pressure may be easing.

TOP STORIES

1. El Salvador Adds 8 BTC to Reserve, Total Exceeds 7,689
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/el-salvador-adds-8-btc-reserve-tops-7688-btc
Published: 2026-06-22 06:30 AM CT
Summary: El Salvador bought eight more Bitcoin this week, pushing its national stash past 7,689 BTC. The total holding is worth roughly $490 million at current prices. President Bukele insists the country will not sell, treating the reserve as a long-term bet rather than a trading account. This steady accumulation continues despite pressure from the IMF to halt purchases under their $1.4 billion deal. The strategy relies on persistence, though the math remains modest against the backdrop of market volatility.

2. Strategy Buys 520 BTC for $35M, Holds 847,363 Total
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/strategy-grabs-520-more-bitcoin-for-35m-despite-sitting-nearly-10b-underwater
Published: 2026-06-22 07:13 AM CT
Summary: Strategy acquired 520 Bitcoin for roughly $35 million on June 22, 2026. This marks their third consecutive weekly purchase, though the tranche size is smaller than recent weeks. The firm now holds 847,363 Bitcoin, sitting nearly $10 billion underwater on its cost basis. Michael Saylor signaled the buy with his usual 'more dots' post and expanded the USD Reserve by $300 million to $1.4 billion. Market sentiment remains in extreme fear, but the company continues its steady accumulation despite the losses.

3. Franklin Templeton Files ETFs to Convert Stock Dividends into Bitcoin
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/etf-turns-stock-dividends-bitcoin-111740240.html
Published: 2026-06-22 07:17 AM CT
Summary: Franklin Templeton filed two new ETFs with the SEC on June 18, 2026. The funds automatically convert dividends from US stocks into Bitcoin exposure. Each fund starts with 95% equity and 5% Bitcoin allocation. The Bitcoin sleeve is capped at 20% and trimmed back to 4.5% during rebalancing. This structure creates a passive, rules-based dollar-cost averaging mechanism for Bitcoin.

4. Strategy Buys 520 BTC, Raises Cash Reserve to $1.4B
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/michael-saylors-strategy-buys-520-bitcoin
Published: 2026-06-22 08:16 AM CT
Summary: Strategy bought 520 Bitcoin for $35 million last week, bringing total holdings to 847,363 BTC. The company raised $335 million by selling 2.7 million shares to boost its USD reserve to $1.4 billion. This cash pile funds dividend payments on preferred stock and interest on debt. The purchase size dropped from previous weeks, with 1,550 and 1,587 BTC bought prior. Despite being underwater by roughly $9.8 billion on its cost basis, accumulation continues.

5. Bitcoin ETF Outflows and the 50% Crash Prediction
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-6-week-etf-exodus-070852111.html
Published: 2026-06-22 03:08 AM CT
Summary: Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen six consecutive weeks of outflows, the longest streak since inception. Analyst Jesse Olson links this to a potential 50% stock market crash, citing a moderate 0.47 correlation with the S&P 500. However, the outflow momentum is slowing, dropping from $1.72 billion to $227 million in recent weeks. Long-term holders are accumulating, with their net position change doubling to nearly 80,000 BTC. The heavy short liquidation leverage suggests a squeeze is more likely than a cascade, making a deep crash less probable than the headlines suggest.

6. Bitcoin Eyes $24K if Stocks Crash
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-price-may-hit-24k-if-us-stock-market-crashes-by-50-analyst-warns
Published: 2026-06-21
Summary: Analyst Jesse Olson warns Bitcoin could drop to $23,980 if the US stock market falls by 50%. This worst-case scenario relies on a long-term volume-weighted support line anchored to the 2022 bear market bottom. Institutional demand remains weak, with the Coinbase Premium Index staying negative and spot ETFs seeing $4.68 billion in outflows since May. Veteran observers like Jeremy Grantham and Michael Burry are flagging the current AI boom as a speculative bubble. Investors are waiting for confirmation rather than buying the dip, suggesting caution is the prevailing mood.

7. Strategy buys more BTC, Strive follows, Bitcoin holds $65k amid ETF outflows
URL: https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/06/22/live-markets-bitcoin-is-stuck-near-usd64-000-as-etf-outflows-reach-a-sixth-week
Published: 2026-06-22
Summary: Strategy added 520 bitcoin and boosted cash reserves to $1.4 billion, while Strive picked up 759 coins for $50 million. Bitcoin is trading near $65,000, but the move feels technical rather than a new trend. Spot ETF outflows have lasted six weeks, showing institutions are staying on the sidelines. A stronger dollar and cautious Fed expectations are keeping a lid on prices. Meanwhile, Robinhood raised $2 billion and the Bank of England eased stablecoin rules.

8. Bitcoin miners near breakeven as network reacts more sharply to price swings: JPMorgan
URL: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/22/bitcoin-mining-network-becoming-more-sensitive-to-price-swings-jpmorgan-says
Published: 2026-06-22
Summary: JPMorgan reports that Bitcoin miners are operating closer to their production costs, making the network more sensitive to price drops. The bank estimates production costs at roughly $78,000, while Bitcoin trades around $64,700, leaving about 20% of miners unprofitable. Mining difficulty has become twice as responsive to price changes, with a beta of 0.62 over the last six months. Public miners sold over 32,000 BTC in the first quarter, exceeding their total sales for all of 2025 to cover costs. As margins shrink, some operators are pivoting to AI hosting for stable revenue, though execution risks remain high.

9. Strive Acquires 759 BTC for $50 Million
URL: https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/strive-asst-buys-759-bitcoin-for-50-mil
Published: 2026-06-22
Summary: Strive (ASST) bought 759 Bitcoin last week for roughly $50 million, bringing its total holdings to 19,864 BTC. The average cost was about $65,850 per coin, a significant jump from the smaller tranches bought in the preceding weeks. This purchase outpaced Strategy's recent 520 BTC buy, marking a return to heavier accumulation for the Dallas-based company. Strive's cash reserves grew slightly to $144.5 million, supported by its SATA preferred stock program which funds these acquisitions. At current prices near $64,200, the treasury is valued at approximately $1.27 billion, though the average cost remains above market value.

10. Bitcoin ETFs Shed Record $6.4B in 30 Days
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-etfs-shed-a-record-64b-in-30-days-as-bitcoin-shivers
Published: 2026-06-21
Summary: US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a record $6.4 billion in net outflows over the last month. This marks the largest 30-day drain since their launch in January 2024. Bitcoin's price dropped 17% during this period, trading around $64,167. BlackRock attributes the exits to routine rebalancing and new product launches rather than a loss of faith. Macro pressures like inflation and geopolitical tension are weighing on the asset.

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Today at 02:19:06 PM

Shorters of BTC are trying to stop Bitcoin's price from increasing!

Shorters are desperately borrowing Bitcoin and selling it immediately onto the open market, betting that they can buy it back later at a cheaper price to return it. Because they are actively selling, they are increasing the overall supply of Bitcoin available on exchanges.

More supply + same or lower demand = downward pressure on the price.

In this sense, shorters are physically creating friction that slows down or prevents the price from rising.

Shorters have increased the supply on exchanges.

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Today at 02:25:09 PM

~snip~
1. El Salvador Adds 8 BTC to Reserve, Total Exceeds 7,689
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/el-salvador-adds-8-btc-reserve-tops-7688-btc
Published: 2026-06-22 06:30 AM CT
Summary: El Salvador bought eight more Bitcoin this week, pushing its national stash past 7,689 BTC. The total holding is worth roughly $490 million at current prices. President Bukele insists the country will not sell, treating the reserve as a long-term bet rather than a trading account. This steady accumulation continues despite pressure from the IMF to halt purchases under their $1.4 billion deal. The strategy relies on persistence, though the math remains modest against the backdrop of market volatility.

I wonder what will happen to those coins when Bukele is no longer president - unless he plans to remain the most handsome dictator in the world forever (as he says)? Meanwhile, the country's debt is over $30 billion, of which Bukele has added $5+ billion during his reign.

The poverty rate is over 30%, the mega prison where people live like animals still has a lot of room, so the police have to fulfill the daily quota of arrestees, which means that they catch teachers, students and random passers-by on the streets, and hold them for up to 2 years without charge or trial.
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Today at 02:31:09 PM
Last edit: Today at 02:41:37 PM by philipma1957

~snip~
1. El Salvador Adds 8 BTC to Reserve, Total Exceeds 7,689
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/el-salvador-adds-8-btc-reserve-tops-7688-btc
Published: 2026-06-22 06:30 AM CT
Summary: El Salvador bought eight more Bitcoin this week, pushing its national stash past 7,689 BTC. The total holding is worth roughly $490 million at current prices. President Bukele insists the country will not sell, treating the reserve as a long-term bet rather than a trading account. This steady accumulation continues despite pressure from the IMF to halt purchases under their $1.4 billion deal. The strategy relies on persistence, though the math remains modest against the backdrop of market volatility.

I wonder what will happen to those coins when Bukele is no longer president - unless he plans to remain the most handsome dictator in the world forever (as he says)? Meanwhile, the country's debt is over $30 billion, of which Bukele has added $5+ billion during his reign.

The poverty rate is over 30%, the mega prison where people live like animals still has a lot of room, so the police have to fulfill the daily quota of arrestees, which means that they catch teachers, students and random passers-by on the streets, and hold them for up to 2 years without charge or trial.

so 7689x150,000=1,153,350,000

so he needs 450,000 coin price.

maybe 600,000x7689=4,613,400,000


deficit spending is almost everywhere in every government.

so 25 to 30 in how many years time. 7 years or so.

so 5/25=0.2 up 20 percent over 7 years.

how is that against usa?  23 to 40

or 17/23=0.739

74 percent in seven years.

so he is crushing usa numbers

U.K. same time 1.9 to 2.9 which is 1.0/1.9=0.526

52.6 percent

i will check other countries

germany is 2.3 to 2.7 this is pretty good over 7 years.


i realize that the major countries are trillions and costa rica is in the billions.  but this means btc could bail them out.

and no way can it fix the usa or the u.k.
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Today at 02:40:30 PM
Last edit: Today at 02:58:03 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Soccer fans have converged in Dallas and seem to be loving what they're finding in the state of Texas.  

Luxury hospitality packages and private suites for World Cup matches at AT&T Stadium in Dallas are now $10,000 to $11,000+ per person.  




I've never seen so many Waymo driverless cars in Dallas before. They are everywhere!



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Explanation
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Today at 03:30:40 PM
Last edit: Today at 03:41:44 PM by BTCETFInvestor

Phil - Your SPCX is down 8% today, shaving off some IPO gains but the stock should recover nicely for post IPO investors like you.  
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Today at 03:50:50 PM

Phil - Your SPCX is down 8% today, shaving off some IPO gains but the stock should recover nicely for post IPO investors like you.  

It is still way above the initial price.

Tesla is even a little bit up today.

I will wait for lower than $130 levels to buy. I won't mind if I don't buy, but I prefer just to enter in comfortable price zones.
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Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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