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August 18, 2024, 06:18:57 PM *
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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1.1%)
7/28 - 11 (12.2%)
8/4 - 16 (17.8%)
8/11 - 7 (7.8%)
8/18 - 5 (5.6%)
8/25 - 7 (7.8%)
After August - 43 (47.8%)
Total Voters: 90

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26438036 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
LoyceV
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Today at 12:37:13 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JimboToronto (1), d_eddie (1), goldkingcoiner (1), BlackHatCoiner (1)

it's important to remember that the average electricity cost of Bitcoin is around 60k. the likelihood of Bitcoin staying below these price levels for the long term is not very high
Miners don't decide the price, the market does. If it's not worth mining, some will quit, the difficulty will drop, and the electricity cost per mined Bitcoin goes down.
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philipma1957
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Today at 01:11:38 PM

it's important to remember that the average electricity cost of Bitcoin is around 60k. the likelihood of Bitcoin staying below these price levels for the long term is not very high
Miners don't decide the price, the market does. If it's not worth mining, some will quit, the difficulty will drop, and the electricity cost per mined Bitcoin goes down.

not so true. mining growth has been tremendous. even as profits keep reducing.

if you look below you can see difficulty has basically just gone up since the nov 2021 high go 69 k



LoyceV
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Today at 01:40:06 PM

if you look below you can see difficulty has basically just gone up since the nov 2021 high go 69 k
My guess is that's because the hashrate per watt went up on newer miners. One way or another, if it wouldn't be worth the running cost, they'd pull the plug.
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Today at 01:48:08 PM

if you look below you can see difficulty has basically just gone up since the nov 2021 high go 69 k
My guess is that's because the hashrate per watt went up on newer miners. One way or another, if it wouldn't be worth the running cost, they'd pull the plug.

common sense would say you are correct but that chart shows more mining.

and the efficiency increase do not make up for the price.

ie 69k in nov 2021 with a 30 watts a th machine the diff was under 23t

and 60k in aug 2024 with an 17 watt machine the diff is over 86t

so 86/23 = 3.7x harder to mine a coin

and 30/17 = 1.76x more efficient

so if price really was driven by miners profits  it should be 3.7/1.76 = 2.10 x 69k = 145k

or miners should have shut done machines.

There are a lot of hidden angles with mining.

Right now a lot of large companies are gambling that price does moon soon..

Will they be correct ?  Or will they eventually quit and shut down?
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LoyceV
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Today at 02:35:44 PM
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so if price really was driven by miners profits  it should be 3.7/1.76 = 2.10 x 69k = 145k
Electricity is only part of the cost (but you know that better than anyone). After buying the hardware, the running cost is mostly based on the above. So I guess there's still enough margin, otherwise they'd do this (sound on): Gilfoyle's Bitcoin Warning - Silicon Valley.
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Today at 05:50:49 PM

NEW: Robin Linus and other 5 developers publishes the BitVM v2 whitepaper, with proposals to improve #Bitcoin scalability.here

Five people have jointly taken a venture, I think it is definitely a good venture.



If improving scalability can make coin acceptable then there are many coins already in the market with better scalability.
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