Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[goldkingcoiner]

Tingly feeling.

Bitcoin could have a nice pump here imo…

Shut the fuck up.

Get the the pipe on this guy

what….? Are you serious?

Don't sweat it. It's entirely my fault. I started it in the first place.

[BTCETFInvestor]

Greenland is very likely the next target, which means a direct declaration of war against the EU, which will be between the US and Russia, which would not mind sharing the European spoils. Any way you look at it, the current US administration led by the warlike Dony is out for blood and profit.

How fucking stupid can anyone possibly be to think like that?  

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[promise444c5]

Wow!!!  I am having trouble figuring out if you learned your lesson or not.  I am getting the sense that you have not learned your lesson since you are trying to suggest and even explain the ups and downs of what you had ended up doing as if there was some benefit in it, even if we might conjecture that there may well could have had been unrealized potential benefit.

… The explanation was just about how I ended up loosing some stash, not the hard away but it’s good it didn’t result to that..Some lessons doesn’t have to be the hard way

By the way, did you ever attempt to figure out what your level of bitcoin would have had been if you stayed focused on ONLY buying bitcoin as soon as you figured out that bitcoin was something to accumulate.

Did that here :

Sold @69k then bought back around 55k that same August, not upto a week..  with the  $13k difference  in price.
..Sold now @60k…hoping to buy back at 53k but then it never happened so I bought back at $75k with a difference of $15k from where I sold. So I lost a little stash due to 2k difference in price..

So if I had just bought then I would have made My final stash + the amount of Bitcoin I lost  and above ( the continuous buying)

 I understand that you are proclaiming that you were not quite unlost around the time of your forum registration in August 2023, yet you seemed to indicate that at some point, you began to recognize the value of accumulating bitcoin - yet I am still getting the sense that you are lost in regards to the ways that you are going about bitcoin accumulation, whether trading and maybe you would still go back to shitcoins if you were to conclude that some shitcoin might come available in which you perceive that putting value into that shitcoin (rather than staying focused on directly accumulating bitcoin) might end up allowing you to accumulate more bitcoin than a direct buying of bitcoin approach.

Converting my shitcoins to bitcoin was one of the the best decisions I’ve ever  made and I don’t regret it..
Well.. it’s what you think and you’re not wrong but I myself already made a firm decision to continue buying (precisely DCA) till I think it’s enough to start taking profit.

Yeah but you missed November ~ December, most was $90k~$95k.

What do you mean? You said that this year you were going to try to accumulate as much bitcoin as you can.

You also said that you did the same thing at the beginning of 2025.

Yeah I did , but I already started doing that “only “ since November 2024 before 2025..
What I meant there was that,  most of my entries for that same November ~December came in @ $90k ~$95k.

There are lots of pools out there that allow solo mining and some that are even dedicated to it.  This is probably the largest and a good place to look to see the scale of solo mining being done.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5237323.0

Thanks.. The thread only discussed ckpool, btw.. I haven’t completely gone through the pages, but so far I haven’t found a way to get an average to full count of solo miners.
Does this URL work : https://solo.ckpool.org/users
It displays "forbidden."

Got knocked out by fever almost immediately after my last post on Friday..

[Lucius]

Greenland is very likely the next target, which means a direct declaration of war against the EU, which will be between the US and Russia, which would not mind sharing the European spoils. Any way you look at it, the current US administration led by the warlike Dony is out for blood and profit.

I think it would be exceedingly unlikely that anything like what's happening in Venezuela would happen in Greenland.  I'd put a good pile of sats on it, actually.

But that is not to say that there wouldn't be something strategic underway with Greenland and an agreement of some kind or some sort of pressure or something a little less in the use of force category.

I would think the same as you if by any chance the greatest peacemaker of all time is not in power in the US - and the man clearly says several times that Greenland will come under US rule in one way or another, a special envoy for Greenland was recently appointed.

When you look at how the world's biggest powers have been behaving for the past ten years, it is hard to escape the impression that they have practically started publicly showing (and realizing) their desires for the territory of other countries, which are also extremely rich in oil and rare minerals.

However, maybe Greenland will wait a bit, because there is talk that the next target could be Iran. For those who follow what is happening there, the conditions for overthrowing the current political/religious structure are getting better considering the wave of discontent that ordinary people are expressing on the streets.



https://www.dw.com/en/iran-on-the-brink-key-information-about-the-protests/a-75346485

[philipma1957]

Trump and btc right on ebay.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/157589318869


Silver is hot been listing some interesting sets on the bay.

This is my Trump and BTC and other coin set.


Tonight I will be listing the four horseman of death set and our only chance of savior Trump Plus angels Plus btc Plus ltc

It should sell well to a maga buyer.


As for price no mention of uppity til we go to 97-101k

Let's stick to this

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

[philipma1957]

Wow!!!  I am having trouble figuring out if you learned your lesson or not.  I am getting the sense that you have not learned your lesson since you are trying to suggest and even explain the ups and downs of what you had ended up doing as if there was some benefit in it, even if we might conjecture that there may well could have had been unrealized potential benefit.

… The explanation was just about how I ended up loosing some stash, not the hard away but it’s good it didn’t result to that..Some lessons doesn’t have to be the hard way

By the way, did you ever attempt to figure out what your level of bitcoin would have had been if you stayed focused on ONLY buying bitcoin as soon as you figured out that bitcoin was something to accumulate.

Did that here :

Sold @69k then bought back around 55k that same August, not upto a week..  with the  $13k difference  in price.
..Sold now @60k…hoping to buy back at 53k but then it never happened so I bought back at $75k with a difference of $15k from where I sold. So I lost a little stash due to 2k difference in price..

So if I had just bought then I would have made My final stash + the amount of Bitcoin I lost  and above ( the continuous buying)

 I understand that you are proclaiming that you were not quite unlost around the time of your forum registration in August 2023, yet you seemed to indicate that at some point, you began to recognize the value of accumulating bitcoin - yet I am still getting the sense that you are lost in regards to the ways that you are going about bitcoin accumulation, whether trading and maybe you would still go back to shitcoins if you were to conclude that some shitcoin might come available in which you perceive that putting value into that shitcoin (rather than staying focused on directly accumulating bitcoin) might end up allowing you to accumulate more bitcoin than a direct buying of bitcoin approach.

Converting my shitcoins to bitcoin was one of the the best decisions I’ve ever  made and I don’t regret it..
Well.. it’s what you think and you’re not wrong but I myself already made a firm decision to continue buying (precisely DCA) till I think it’s enough to start taking profit.

Yeah but you missed November ~ December, most was $90k~$95k.

What do you mean? You said that this year you were going to try to accumulate as much bitcoin as you can.

You also said that you did the same thing at the beginning of 2025.

Yeah I did , but I already started doing that “only “ since November 2024 before 2025..
What I meant there was that,  most of my entries for that same November ~December came in @ $90k ~$95k.

There are lots of pools out there that allow solo mining and some that are even dedicated to it.  This is probably the largest and a good place to look to see the scale of solo mining being done.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5237323.0

Thanks.. The thread only discussed ckpool, btw.. I haven’t completely gone through the pages, but so far I haven’t found a way to get an average to full count of solo miners.
Does this URL work : https://solo.ckpool.org/users
It displays "forbidden."

Got knocked out by fever almost immediately after my last post on Friday..

https://solostats.ckpool.org/

Are you looking for info on the page above.

[BitHodlers]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

[promise444c5]

https://solostats.ckpool.org/

Are you looking for info on the page above.

Yeah… got even more than what I needed but is /are there any similar site containing general stats for all pools (solo miners)?

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

Well to be a true bear and not a correction time and price drop is needed.

We have the price drop we need.

On Jan 13-14 the two month time for the large drop will be there thus being a true bear.

Ie 25% drop for 2 months.

But as bears go this drop sucks and many will find that they are down bigly.

So while it is technically still a correction it feels like a bear.

[BTCETFInvestor]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

Well to be a true bear and not a correction time and price drop is needed.

We have the price drop we need.

On Jan 13-14 the two month time for the large drop will be there thus being a true bear.

Ie 25% drop for 2 months.

But as bears go this drop sucks and many will find that they are down bigly.

So while it is technically still a correction it feels like a bear.

I think we'll see Bitcoin rally in 2026, catching up to gold's recent rally.

[OgNasty]

https://solostats.ckpool.org/

Are you looking for info on the page above.

Yeah… got even more than what I needed but is /are there any similar site containing general stats for all pools (solo miners)?

I think maybe you don’t understand how solo mining works if you think that you can get statistics for all solo miners. The best you can do is a statistical approximation after analyzing the known data and extrapolating the missing information.

[xhomerx10]

No Kings! They all cried.
Then Maduro was captured.
Noooooooooo! Kings! They all cried.


*hypocritic haiku

[philipma1957]

https://solostats.ckpool.org/

Are you looking for info on the page above.

Yeah… got even more than what I needed but is /are there any similar site containing general stats for all pools (solo miners)?

I think maybe you don’t understand how solo mining works if you think that you can get statistics for all solo miners. The best you can do is a statistical approximation after analyzing the known data and extrapolating the missing information.

Well he won't get info from viabtc and their solo pool.

Plus it really does not matter if he does or does not.

Solo mining with under 10ph means really long waits for blocks.

And 10ph or 10,000 th makes just under 400 bucks a day a block is 280,000 bucks so

280,000/400= 700days  rounding just under 2 years

1 ph is 7,000 days rounding just under 20 years
100th is 70,000 days rounding just under 200 years

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[BitHodlers]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

Well to be a true bear and not a correction time and price drop is needed.

We have the price drop we need.

On Jan 13-14 the two month time for the large drop will be there thus being a true bear.

Ie 25% drop for 2 months.

But as bears go this drop sucks and many will find that they are down bigly.

So while it is technically still a correction it feels like a bear.

If 2025 ends up being a bear, doesn't that confirm that the cycle theory is dead? Without any doubts or subjective analysis where exactly a peak should have happened in 2025 based on post halving timeline and stuff like that.

[OgNasty]

If 2025 ends up being a bear, doesn't that confirm that the cycle theory is dead? Without any doubts or subjective analysis where exactly a peak should have happened in 2025 based on post halving timeline and stuff like that.

No. We saw a run from $17K to $126K and we retreated to $77K like clockwork on the 4-year cycle. I really don’t understand people saying the cycle is dead. It is so obviously in tact and those following it made millions. 

[philipma1957]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

Well to be a true bear and not a correction time and price drop is needed.

We have the price drop we need.

On Jan 13-14 the two month time for the large drop will be there thus being a true bear.

Ie 25% drop for 2 months.

But as bears go this drop sucks and many will find that they are down bigly.

So while it is technically still a correction it feels like a bear.

If 2025 ends up being a bear, doesn't that confirm that the cycle theory is dead? Without any doubts or subjective analysis where exactly a peak should have happened in 2025 based on post halving timeline and stuff like that.

We kind of

Did a shallow  wave pattern

 90/100 dec 2024
90/100 Jan 2025
75/85.  April 2025
110/120 July 2025
 90/100 sept 2025
110/120 oct 2025
85/95.    Dec 2025

One could argue it was sideways.

If you look at gold from 1992 to 2003

We locked into 200-400 slot for around 10 years

Could we be in a 70-130k slot for years to  come?

This would kill off the 4 cycle for btc price

And would make the 2028 1/2 the most important 1/2ing ever.


At og you need to be wrong on the 4 year .

But you could be   correct

[Biodom]

BTW Jan 13-14 if we do not hit 101k we will officially be out of correction and into bear.

Any guess on if we go past 101k

Why those particular dates?

Well to be a true bear and not a correction time and price drop is needed.

We have the price drop we need.

On Jan 13-14 the two month time for the large drop will be there thus being a true bear.

Ie 25% drop for 2 months.

But as bears go this drop sucks and many will find that they are down bigly.

So while it is technically still a correction it feels like a bear.

At a first glance, 25% for 2 months is NOT a common description of a bear market.

A common description is 20% with no time attached:
https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/market-and-economic-insights/bear-markets-the-business-cycle-explained

However, in a volatile market like bitcoin used to be, 20% decline was not a true measure because it occurred on a weekly or even daily basis, with recoveries just as fast.

So, although 25%/2 mo is not a canonical definition, it has a shot at being true.
Personally, once we went below 101K (also a 50d MA), I considered it a local bear.

If we are in a true bear, it is likely that we would travel to the 100-103K area and then Mr. market would make a decision of down.

If we are not in a true year-long bear, then we would puncture 100-103K on the upside (with or without some hesitation).