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Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26911683 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
philipma1957
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January 06, 2026, 09:43:24 PM
Last edit: January 06, 2026, 10:06:08 PM by philipma1957

Rusty pipe not in my house..

Copper of course  Grin

Some Brass cause I can be a P.I.T.A.

and a little bit of stainless steel for longest lasting effect.


Now enough for pipes.


Lets deal with 8marketcap

Silver is now #2 passed Nvidia and moved from about 1.6 trillion to 4.5 trillion in around 128 days.

Lets see if BTC can make the move from 1.8 trillion to 4.7 trillion in 128 days or early may

if silver can do it why not BTC?

Tonimez
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January 06, 2026, 09:45:06 PM

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Beauty in numbers  Smiley Cool


What a ride, a tour of time!!!

2163 days on the forum with 4500 posts (quality posts as evident in your Merit number). I think you are one of the few forum members who has more merit numbers than number of posts and it's worth some accolades.

Keep the stride and I must say that you've got more fans than you could imagine.
ChartBuddy
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January 06, 2026, 10:01:14 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
OutOfMemory
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January 06, 2026, 10:04:19 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (5), philipma1957 (2), vapourminer (1), JimboToronto (1), JayJuanGee (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

What a ride, a tour of time!!!

2163 days on the forum with 4500 posts (quality posts as evident in your Merit number). I think you are one of the few forum members who has more merit numbers than number of posts and it's worth some accolades.

Keep the stride and I must say that you've got more fans than you could imagine.

Hmm, while i'm actually hanging around here since 2017 and most of the Merit i got here for humor, support, photography and writing haikus. I think i also remember solving a where-am-i riddle (or maybe two) in the past?
However, i was never here for fans. This place is much like family.
You can't change it, but you can get along, but you may have to accept a few exceptions.
OgNasty
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January 06, 2026, 10:18:30 PM

MSCI decided not to ban Strategy from their indexes. This is pretty big news as it means we won’t see a massive collapse from here in Strategy stock. The biggest fear for the moment is no longer a concern, at least until May’s meeting if they revisit it.
ChartBuddy
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January 06, 2026, 11:01:19 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
philipma1957
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January 06, 2026, 11:27:43 PM

MSCI decided not to ban Strategy from their indexes. This is pretty big news as it means we won’t see a massive collapse from here in Strategy stock. The biggest fear for the moment is no longer a concern, at least until May’s meeting if they revisit it.

Thought this would come out next week?

Hmm if it is true and triggers a big rally.
I am still too low on btc.

Interesting for me what to hope for.

A much bigger silver spike to 150k? With sideways on btc.

Or

Silver drifting down with btc spiking to 200k in next 120  days.

Well I think I would pick the 200k spike.
OgNasty
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January 06, 2026, 11:47:35 PM

MSCI decided not to ban Strategy from their indexes. This is pretty big news as it means we won’t see a massive collapse from here in Strategy stock. The biggest fear for the moment is no longer a concern, at least until May’s meeting if they revisit it.

Thought this would come out next week?

Hmm if it is true and triggers a big rally.
I am still too low on btc.

Interesting for me what to hope for.

A much bigger silver spike to 150k? With sideways on btc.

Or

Silver drifting down with btc spiking to 200k in next 120  days.

Well I think I would pick the 200k spike.

I was expecting it on the 15th as well. I’m not sure this means anything to anyone but MSTR holders who have evaded further collapse for now.

Polymarket is giving away free money still…

https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31
philipma1957
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January 06, 2026, 11:58:32 PM

Polymarket offers a good play. If list silver at 95 an Oz on ebay

And put in a hedge at 65 an Oz on polymarket 

Rather than list at 80 an Oz on ebay it could be a good play.
ChartBuddy
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January 07, 2026, 12:01:18 AM


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cAPSLOCK
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January 07, 2026, 12:47:23 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (5), OutOfMemory (1)

What a ride, a tour of time!!!

2163 days on the forum with 4500 posts (quality posts as evident in your Merit number). I think you are one of the few forum members who has more merit numbers than number of posts and it's worth some accolades.

Keep the stride and I must say that you've got more fans than you could imagine.

Hmm, while i'm actually hanging around here since 2017 and most of the Merit i got here for humor, support, photography and writing haikus. I think i also remember solving a where-am-i riddle (or maybe two) in the past?
However, i was never here for fans. This place is much like family.
You can't change it, but you can get along, but you may have to accept a few exceptions.



Truth.  Have another merit. Smiley

The family even has a cRAZY uNCLE who lives in a tiny shack in the woods pacing back and forth talking to himself.

cAPSLOCK
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January 07, 2026, 12:50:05 AM

Polymarket offers a good play. If list silver at 95 an Oz on ebay

And put in a hedge at 65 an Oz on polymarket 

Rather than list at 80 an Oz on ebay it could be a good play.

I saw you mention that earlier..  That's a very cool play a little second level arbitrage.  A self made futures hedge.
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January 07, 2026, 12:54:59 AM
Last edit: January 07, 2026, 01:05:16 AM by Biodom

Polymarket offers a good play. If list silver at 95 an Oz on ebay

And put in a hedge at 65 an Oz on polymarket  

Rather than list at 80 an Oz on ebay it could be a good play.

Most likely a double loss: will not sell at 95 and will not hit 65, although it depends on a time frame...eventually, it should hit 65, of course.
I made a "killing" only once in options (tried quite a few times) when i bet on a small biotech succeeding in it's trial. A 16X in a couple of days. I did not even sell the option, exercised instead and got another 2X out of it.

That said, about 90% option buyers lose money, so, usually, it pays to sell options (open covered calls, for example) rather then buy them.
Polymarket might be different.
ChartBuddy
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January 07, 2026, 01:01:15 AM


Explanation
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ChartBuddy
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January 07, 2026, 02:01:13 AM


Explanation
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philipma1957
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January 07, 2026, 02:53:07 AM

Polymarket offers a good play. If list silver at 95 an Oz on ebay

And put in a hedge at 65 an Oz on polymarket  

Rather than list at 80 an Oz on ebay it could be a good play.

Most likely a double loss: will not sell at 95 and will not hit 65, although it depends on a time frame...eventually, it should hit 65, of course.
I made a "killing" only once in options (tried quite a few times) when i bet on a small biotech succeeding in it's trial. A 16X in a couple of days. I did not even sell the option, exercised instead and got another 2X out of it.

That said, about 90% option buyers lose money, so, usually, it pays to sell options (open covered calls, for example) rather then buy them.
Polymarket might be different.

not going to do it.

market does not seem to know what it wants. whether it is the silver or the gold market. or btc.

so easy to do hedge plays I think we are seeing a ton of just that with no real rhyme or reason.


still

gold = no 1
silver = no 2

www.8marketcap.com
ChartBuddy
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January 07, 2026, 03:01:17 AM


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d_eddie
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January 07, 2026, 03:04:18 AM
Last edit: January 07, 2026, 03:15:00 AM by d_eddie
Merited by El duderino_ (13), vapourminer (1), philipma1957 (1)

Rusty pipe not in my house..
Copper of course  Grin

Copper in the walls,
Copper routes for water,
Copper not for sale.


#haiku
philipma1957
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January 07, 2026, 03:34:04 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), vapourminer (1)

Rusty pipe not in my house..
Copper of course  Grin

Copper in the walls,
Copper routes for water,
Copper not for sale.


#haiku


copper from the street
stainless steel to fill the bowl
a copper waste pipe

but iron to sewer
stainless steel for the gas pipe
 copper to ground it

even got silver for
the tweeter cones to ring clear.
 copper for the sub

is there aluminum
 its been replaced by me
power  is copper
Searing
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January 07, 2026, 03:37:06 AM

So you sold below $92k then?  Tongue

LOL hell no.


Best to HODL like me and others and not touch. In my case since 2015.

My advice is to accumulate and HODL till 2035 when 99% of all BTC has been mined.

Anyway, what I'm doing....good to have a hobby..

By the By, is the btc market being manipulated or is it just Institutions and Whales playing games with low BTC liquidity?

I know zip...just asking.
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