Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[OutOfMemory]

65k today I wonder. Seems like being oversold is not a thing.

Plausible. Either after a small bounce from here ($69.xxx) or directly on the way down.
$65k is the lower end of a liquidity band, next stop would be $52k. I guess we'll hit one or both this year.

Can't be 52, OG said 55 I thought.

In a hurry, so let the graph explain to you:

20k?

That's not the zone we were talking about, no?
Look at the left for the foundation of the blue line in the $50k range. Look up the price for that date (12h chart) and expect it as a valid target for bears.
The $20k is f*n strong and will likely not be broken.

[somac.]

65k today I wonder. Seems like being oversold is not a thing.

Plausible. Either after a small bounce from here ($69.xxx) or directly on the way down.
$65k is the lower end of a liquidity band, next stop would be $52k. I guess we'll hit one or both this year.

Can't be 52, OG said 55 I thought.

In a hurry, so let the graph explain to you:

20k?

That's not the zone we were talking about, no?
Look at the left for the foundation of the blue line in the $50k range. Look up the price for that date (12h chart) and expect it as a valid target for bears.
The $20k is f*n strong and will likely not be broken.

We shall see, I think 200WMA max. Wobbles in the traditional markets now and that means that brrrrrr will be getting thrown about again soon. I've dry powder set and ready to go at 60k, more than happy for it to not reach that though.

[philipma1957]

I got some cheap corn today.

will buy more later on.

Silver went from 90 bucks yesterday to 73 today it is now 76 13% drop

Gold also dropped but only 2-3%.

Difficulty is still 13.3% down but was as bad as 16% a few days ago.

https://newhedge.io/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   935126  (a minute ago)

Current Pace:   86.6820%  (1719 / 1983.11 expected, 264.11 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   146472570619930.8                           
Current Difficulty:   141668107417558.2                           
Next Difficulty:   between 122812301052573 and 123168098721314
Next Difficulty Change:   between -13.3098% and -13.0587%
Previous Retarget:   January 22, 2026 at 2:29 PM  (-3.2801%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Saturday at 4:59 PM  (in 2d 7h 59m 5s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Saturday at 6:06 PM  (in 2d 9h 6m 19s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 16d 2h 30m 11s and 16d 3h 37m 25s



Bad week

I guess my 66.6k number looks to be in play for BTC

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Paashaas]

1 year liquidation map looking good.

Positive thing will be that next final ATH wil exceed much higher than $200,000

How could there be anyone still longing this shit with leverage? with all the long and short term history saying it is nothing but death. Blows my mind.

Problem with that next ATH is that at this rate it will be in 2029.

You were still fairly bullish recently, how far lower do you think we'll go? 200WMA makes a lot of sense to me.

Do not underestimate human greed.

Next ATH will be sooner than 2029. Although, Bitcoin never dropped and stayed below the previous cycle high, old ATH's turned into long term support. We have arrived at that point.

This whole dump is a well organized manipulated by Blackrock and exchanges, they all sell at the same time. CZ from Binance recieved a ''get out of jail'' card not free. His Blackrock overlord wants him to dump the price as low as possible before the crypto bill has been passed in order for the entities behind all those fresh capital entering the market for a low as much possible price.

[philipma1957]

1 year liquidation map looking good.

Positive thing will be that next final ATH wil exceed much higher than $200,000

How could there be anyone still longing this shit with leverage? with all the long and short term history saying it is nothing but death. Blows my mind.

Problem with that next ATH is that at this rate it will be in 2029.

You were still fairly bullish recently, how far lower do you think we'll go? 200WMA makes a lot of sense to me.

Do not underestimate human greed.

Next ATH will be sooner than 2029. Although, Bitcoin never dropped and stayed below the previous cycle high, old ATH's turned into long term support. We haved arrived at that point.

This whole dump is a well organized manipulated by Blackrock and exchanges, they all sell at the same time. CZ from Binance recieved a ''get out of jail'' card not free. His Blackrock overlord wants him to dump the price as low as possible before the crypto bill has been passed in order for the entities behind all those fresh capital entering the market for a low as much possible price.

What do you mean? we will drop and stay under 68/69k?

Last cycle we dropped from 68/69 to 15.9k and eventually came back to 126k

so we are about to drop from 126k to 67k. which is not the same drop

15.9/19.5=0.815 so

.815 x 69=56.235   and people have tossed this about.

the 54-57 range would be as bad as the drop to 15.9 k in 22 and 23

son maybe we go to 54-57 in 26 and again in 27 then comeback in 28 matching the pattern of

22/23 then 24 to an ATH.

[coolcoinz]

Every time it's different because we have different catalysts and claiming that something is strong or this has never happened before, therefore it won't happen, makes no sense.

For instance, bitcoin has never broken below the previous cycles ATH, until 2023, but that was due to a huge drama with FTX because before the FTX bankruptcy bitcoin was solid at ~$25k.
So does that black swan event confirm that we shouldn't have broken below $20k? Or maybe it broke the psychological barrier and showed people that it can be done, therefore now it's going to keep happening?

That said, I believe the crash was orchestrated. Most of the crashes and manipulated deleverage events were a result of US politics, dumb tweets by Trump and all that drama with the FED.
The fair value of bitcoin is around $60k, I doubt we'll go lower without more drama, but 2025 was the year of drama, especially in the US.

[xhomerx10]

There's only one thing left to do.



edit: I've decided to take what I can get from bitcoin and invest in works of art instead.  I think that's how the Richies do it.

[Paashaas]

1 year liquidation map looking good.

Positive thing will be that next final ATH wil exceed much higher than $200,000

How could there be anyone still longing this shit with leverage? with all the long and short term history saying it is nothing but death. Blows my mind.

Problem with that next ATH is that at this rate it will be in 2029.

You were still fairly bullish recently, how far lower do you think we'll go? 200WMA makes a lot of sense to me.

Do not underestimate human greed.

Next ATH will be sooner than 2029. Although, Bitcoin never dropped and stayed below the previous cycle high, old ATH's turned into long term support. We haved arrived at that point.

This whole dump is a well organized manipulated by Blackrock and exchanges, they all sell at the same time. CZ from Binance recieved a ''get out of jail'' card not free. His Blackrock overlord wants him to dump the price as low as possible before the crypto bill has been passed in order for the entities behind all those fresh capital entering the market for a low as much possible price.

What do you mean? we will drop and stay under 68/69k?

Last cycle we dropped from 68/69 to 15.9k and eventually came back to 126k

so we are about to drop from 126k to 67k. which is not the same drop

15.9/19.5=0.815 so

.815 x 69=56.235   and people have tossed this about.

the 54-57 range would be as bad as the drop to 15.9 k in 22 and 23

son maybe we go to 54-57 in 26 and again in 27 then comeback in 28 matching the pattern of

22/23 then 24 to an ATH.

[BitcoinBunny]

What happened to Plan B and his Ten trillion dollar per BTC prediction?

 

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

What happened to Plan B and his Ten trillion dollar per BTC prediction?

 

That was never going to  happen.

But I do think 200-250k by 2028/2029

[UnDerDoG81]

Ah the good old doomsday feeling slowly creeping in. When it feels like there is no bottom and it keeps dipping. It's too fast paced. Either bottom is close or this looks real bad. This is the first time we witness a crash/bear without a scandal like mtgox, ftx etc.

[Lucius]

Pleased to meet you 
Hope you guess my name 
But what's puzzling you 
Is the nature of my game.😈

[goldkingcoiner]

I hope I have time to stack up on nice 60K coins before the next wave of unadulterated human greed.

[BitHodlers]

Ah the good old doomsday feeling slowly creeping in. When it feels like there is no bottom and it keeps dipping. It's too fast paced. Either bottom is close or this looks real bad. This is the first time we witness a crash/bear without a scandal like mtgox, ftx etc.

From what I can see there is a lot of astroturfing ongoing on platforms like X to continue to depress the market price. This is not normal but it would align with the theories of those that believe this is the push for the institutions before the legislation passes. Some accounts make it really obvious even, they claim they've been in Bitcoin since 2009 and this time it is different.  

[philipma1957]

It hit 66.69k on bitstamp

So my work is done here

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Hungry time for buddy he be eating all the profits

[asUHWEceyc]

Tis but a scratch in a 16 year bull market until 60 falls or Pelosi exits NVDA next 48 hours, etc