Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[OgNasty]

more discounts for us.

hmm 15.9/19.9=0.799

so 55.1/69=0.799

do we need to get to 55.1?

If I were purely a chartist I would feel comfortable buying here. We have finally seen a volume spike that could be viewed as capitulation. However, I am the Reverend of the 4-Year Cycle, so I have to take a look at historical precedent. The last cycle for example saw nearly identical price action and there were still 2 more selloffs in the year that followed. I’m currently expecting we see $46K after the summer and would probably buy a few BTC if we do get there. For now, it is still DCA buys.

[philipma1957]

Well we should not do worse than the 2022/2023 drops to 15.9k from 69k

if you believe in cycles each one the peak was less and the crash was smaller.

now depending on peak to crash is a bit more interesting.

2017 peak  2022 crash

2021 peak 2026 crash

2025 peak 2030 crash

is the cycle comparison I am doing.

so 15.9/19.9=0.799

and 55.1/69=0.799     

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Biodom]

more discounts for us.

hmm 15.9/19.9=0.799

so 55.1/69=0.799

do we need to get to 55.1?

That's what I (and others) call "numerology"...Ben Cowen is an adherent...he always compares pieces of meaningless charts...his favorite is the chart of bitcoin in 2019-2020 because it was so erratic that you can draw basically any conclusion you want from it.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

buddy halt.

more discounts for us.

hmm 15.9/19.9=0.799

so 55.1/69=0.799

do we need to get to 55.1?

That's what I (and others) call "numerology"...Ben Cowen is an adherent...he always compares pieces of meaningless charts...his favorite is the chart of bitcoin in 2019-2020 because it was so erratic that you can draw basically any conclusion you want from it.

saying the numbers I picked are not relevant to cycle worshippers is fine enough.


lots of ways to pick numbers and show graphs.


There is a quote from a song

'the past is just a goodbye'

it fits all of the btc action up to and including feb 10 2026.


none of us know jack shit what we will see on March 1 2026

we can kind of say BTC will not pass 90k by Feb 12 2026 and likely be correct.

But March or May or July 2026. One guess is as good as any other

how about low and high for those months.

March 2026  low 57k high   81k
May    2026  low 71k high   91k
July    2026  low 82k high 102k

[Biodom]

buddy halt.

more discounts for us.

hmm 15.9/19.9=0.799

so 55.1/69=0.799

do we need to get to 55.1?

That's what I (and others) call "numerology"...Ben Cowen is an adherent...he always compares pieces of meaningless charts...his favorite is the chart of bitcoin in 2019-2020 because it was so erratic that you can draw basically any conclusion you want from it.

saying the numbers I picked are not relevant to cycle worshippers is fine enough.


lots of ways to pick numbers and show graphs.


There is a quote from a song

'the past is just a goodbye'

it fits all of the btc action up to and including feb 10 2026.


none of us know jack shit what we will see on March 1 2026

we can kind of say BTC will not pass 90k by Feb 12 2026 and likely be correct.

But March or May or July 2026. One guess is as good as any other

how about low and high for those months.

March 2026  low 57k high   81k
May    2026  low 71k high   91k
July    2026  low 82k high 102k

Merited, not sure that it would work out like this, but definitely possible.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

Buddy drop dead tired of the stops the halts the sandwiches and the like

[cAPSLOCK]

Various government and Bitcoin rumors are floating out there and there's this picture.



What an amazing coincidence.

May you live in interesting times.

Do you know where the photo was taken? Personally, it's not strange for me to see Saylor moving around in such a circle of people - maybe it has nothing to do with Bitcoin, but the social prestige of being seen at a VIP party.

All I know about this is that it came allegedly from Ivanka's Instagram. It could be AI, it could be fake, but I don't think so. I think this is real. And as to where it happened, I don't know, but based on the amount of garish gilding, I would assume that that's Mar-a-Lago somewhere.

But as to why he would have been there... That is the million dollar question, or maybe I should say the billion dollar question.

[xhomerx10]

Various government and Bitcoin rumors are floating out there and there's this picture.



What an amazing coincidence.

May you live in interesting times.

Do you know where the photo was taken? Personally, it's not strange for me to see Saylor moving around in such a circle of people - maybe it has nothing to do with Bitcoin, but the social prestige of being seen at a VIP party.

All I know about this is that it came allegedly from Ivanka's Instagram. It could be AI, it could be fake, but I don't think so. I think this is real. And as to where it happened, I don't know, but based on the amount of garish gilding, I would assume that that's Mar-a-Lago somewhere.

But as to why he would have been there... That is the million dollar question, or maybe I should say the billion dollar question.

 That's definitely the Grand Ballroom at Mar-a-Lago.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com