Bitcoin Forum
February 15, 2026, 01:26:20 PM *
News: Community awards 2025
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Poll
Question: How far will this leg take us?
$110K - 9 (8.3%)
$120K - 19 (17.6%)
$130K - 17 (15.7%)
$140K - 9 (8.3%)
$150K - 19 (17.6%)
$160K - 2 (1.9%)
$170K+ - 33 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 108

Pages: « 1 ... 35454 35455 35456 35457 35458 35459 35460 35461 35462 35463 35464 35465 35466 35467 35468 35469 35470 35471 35472 35473 35474 35475 35476 35477 35478 35479 35480 35481 35482 35483 35484 35485 35486 35487 35488 35489 35490 35491 35492 35493 35494 35495 35496 35497 35498 35499 35500 35501 35502 35503 [35504] 35505 35506 35507 35508 35509 35510 »
  Print  
Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26930785 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 11:01:21 AM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 12:01:18 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 01:01:26 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
vapourminer
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 4942
Merit: 5716


what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 01:24:22 PM
Merited by xhomerx10 (1), goldkingcoiner (1)

buddy and me watching squirrels run in and out of snow tunnels by the feeders.

and coffee. lots of coffee

maybe ill join the squirrels in a bit, looks fun.
Puzzled_bystander
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 14
Merit: 0


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 01:54:22 PM

Looks like the US open dump is imminent, after the weak Asia/Europe pump had its run.

Let's see how far down they will batter the price this time round.



ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 02:01:15 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
philipma1957
Legendary
*
Online Online

Activity: 4760
Merit: 11438


'The right to privacy matters'


View Profile WWW
February 13, 2026, 02:29:12 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Or maybe you meant to say that you had 11 ounces of silver, which would be around $9,900?  Call me confused, if you must.
I don’t have to call you confused. It is obvious.
True dat.  At the moment, I kind of look like this guy.

Indeed. The funny part is you still don’t know why. Here’s a hint, your ability to properly value silver is about as accurate as your ability to predict a value for Bitcoin.

As I have said already several times, I don't try to predict.  

Historically, I merely attempted to stack BTC until I had enough or more than enough with an expectation that BTC prices would generally trend UPpity.

That tactic worked out pretty well.

Just imagine that if you had attempted a tactic of erroring on the side of long and accumulating bitcoin 15 years ago, presuming that you had around 13 years of experience at the time that you came into bitcoin.  You would have had killed it, rather than fucking around gambling with one of the best, if not the best of investment assets currently available to anyone and everyone as long as they have discretionary funds.

And, even after you supposedly recognized that bitcoin was a good investment (supposedly you figured that out around 2017), you still failed and/or refused to accumulate it rather than gambling with it.  I doubt your story ends well, to the extent that your guessing is even replicable.

yeah but i dont think you are any better than jjg is.
You are free to think whatever you want. I hope we can all revisit these same arguments again in 2029. It is almost time to stop shooting the messenger though. I can see the bullish light at the end of this bear market tunnel, even if we are still months away.

Why would we need to wait until 2029 to recognize that your practices of trading and/or gambling are likely inferior to investing?  Even though you proclaim trading is investing, as if there is a standard for investors that need to try to trade their bitcoin rather than mostly hanging onto their bitcoin and/or perhaps continuing to buy bitcoin to the extent that they had not yet gotten enough.

Some of us have already been accumulating bitcoin and even mostly established our bitcoin position for a couple of cycles or more, yet surely it is understandable that some guys might be still accumulating bitcoin, especially guys who have been in bitcoin less than a couple of cycles and/or who had failed refused to accumulate enough coins in their earlier years.

I am not trying to be a snob about bitcoin accumulation since I understand that surely guys who had relatively low discretionary income levels might have had taken longer to establish their bitcoin position since some of such guys (which I presume that a majority of folks are in such a position) might ONLY be able to rely upon their income as it comes in, and they don't have extra money that they can put into bitcoin or to be able to reallocate money from other investments into bitcoin and/or to be able to front load their bitcoin investment, yet guys who had around 13 years of investment experience before coming to bitcoin, those kinds of guys should have had funds beyond their regular income that they would have had been able to put into bitcoin.

I would think that surely any guys who have been in bitcoin since early 2018 or earlier, they should have been able to accumulate a decent bitcoin position and likely able to outperform any trading strategy as long as they had stayed focused on accumulating bitcoin through buying consistently, persistently, ongoingly and perhaps even aggressively and also erroring on the side of holding rather than beieving that they could accumulate more bitcoin by selling instead of employing buying strategies.    

Of course you (OgNasty) have a bit of your own little problem in terms of still being in your BTC accumulation phase in spite of being in bitcoin for nearly 4 cycles... even though you are proclaiming that the first two cycles did not count.

Personally, I think that all of my cycles counted even though I had made some mistakes along the way, yet still despite some of my bad times that were mixed with good times, mostly the experience has been good.  Bitcoin, a great place to put time, energy and value.  

And the competition (to the extent that any competition exists) would be to try to make better versions of myself, so in that sense, I think that the benefit comes from having already had been in bitcoin as compared with if I had not been in bitcoin, rather than attempting to compare myself to some braggadocio dweeb on the interwebs.  You think that there really is any kind of way to compare dick I mean portfolio sizes?  or that there would be any kind of a reason to attempt to do so?

Also, can one guy really compare himself to any other guy in terms of investment amount and various cashflow management considerations?  There are guys who are in and out of their investment so maybe they put a certain amount of capital into bitcoin spread out over a period of time.. but then if they get in and/or out of their position, then are they getting in and out with all of their position or a portion of their position.

It tends to be difficult to prove a negative in terms of what would have had happened if some other way of investing (position size) might have had been played? in terms of the trade offs behind being in or out and/or the insurance of hedging other investments that he might have.

Maybe instead you want to make some kind of a bet related to 2029? or a bet regarding various ups and/or downs along the way?  You already know that betting does not make any sense because each of us is betting with our own funds and even perhaps adjusting our position from time to time based on our own individual factors, and BTC price as compared with other places that money could go is ONLY one out of 9 factors to consider for any particular guy.

True dat.  At the moment, I kind of look like this guy.

Indeed. The funny part is you still don’t know why. Here’s a hint, your ability to properly value silver is about as accurate as your ability to predict a value for Bitcoin.
yeah but i dont think you are any better than jjg is.
so, this is what people with piles of wealth (multiples, it is claimed by some, of 0.21 btc values) do?
argue?
sounds fun. im in. how many 0.21 btcs do i need to join in this esteemed club?

disclosure of penis size is optional... not like "we" can verify it exactly.

And, yeah, maybe, with good reason, how are you going to know whether or not you win in 2029 if you aren't exactly sure about the beginning point or from when "we" are measuring?   You better ask OgNasty about those kinds of details, to the extent that you would like to rely on that there cat regarding details.

And another thing, vapourminer, you seem to be asking too many questions, so maybe you need to be booted from the island? #justsaying

If I had 25 - 35 btc I would be close to being wealthy.

These days, 10 BTC is a lot, too - especially for any guys who had been accumulating bitcoin for 6 years or less.

6 years would be 2020, and any guys who had been able to front load in 2020, would have had been better off, yet part of the problem that most normies have is that they are not able to front load in less than a year or so...

Remember in March 2020, Mindrust said that he had 10 BTC, and for sure there was a certain level of flippantness about who much work had gone into accumulating 10 BTC, whether him or anyone else.

Starting in 2021, it would have had been way more difficult to accumulate anything close to 10 BTC, especially for normal peeps.

These days it seems quite difficult for normies to be able to aspire to accumulating 1-2 BTC, which you say is your own current range of accumulation.

Yet a brand new person to BTC might not be able to get up to 1 BTC or more, even if he is putting $500 per week into bitcoin for the next 10 years.  We cannot be sure, but it seems to take a pretty high level of seriousness to get up to more than 1 BTC, even if we might end up getting a bit more BTC price dippening from here (perhaps? perhaps?).

yeah even at 65k going from about 1.52 to 2.0 will not be easy to do. the mines will add around 0.0011 a day for 315 days or .34 btc maybe less that means .34 + 1.52 = 1.84

I still need to buy at least .16 coins along with the mining to go over 2.0 coins.

I could front load that right now if I want as it would be the rest of the silver sales. .16 is about 11,000 bucks
Lucius
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3878
Merit: 7129


🛡️Morior Invictus⚔️


View Profile WWW
February 13, 2026, 03:00:57 PM

buddy and me watching squirrels run in and out of snow tunnels by the feeders.

and coffee. lots of coffee

maybe ill join the squirrels in a bit, looks fun.


It seems much more interesting than watching wild geese, which for some reason no longer go to the far south (Europe) in winter, but move every few days in the east-west direction and vice versa. I also noticed that some migratory birds stay over the winter, but this winter they were not so lucky because the temperatures went even below 20 degrees Celsius - while in recent days the temperature has been almost the same, only with a positive sign.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 03:01:19 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
asUHWEceyc
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 122
Merit: 148

Cycles 'r' Super


View Profile WWW
February 13, 2026, 03:37:15 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1)

1. It's time for bitcoin to mature and start producing consistent growth. Maybe cycles would be a -30-40% maximum going forward or so and maybe 25% growth per year on average.
2. -52% is enough and it would break the cycle because the cyclists expectation is -70% this cycle (if the pattern of previous declines continues unimpeded).
3. If you model both continuing 2x reduction in a cycle price increases (from 17X to 8X to 4X (projected) to 2X (further projected), etc, with declines dropping each time by 5-6%, then you would be soon running bitcoin price downwards in the duration of the full cycle. I suggest to run that prediction...I did and it is not good.
4. Hence, my conclusion that bitcoin has basically two choices: continue cycles as they were before and wither...or start growing more consistently. That said, if you want to still think of cycles when bitcoin would drop 20-30 or even 40% sometimes, I have no problem with that. 70%, though, AND progressive reduction of the upside, and it would wither.

Agreed, but first, institutional finance wants most everyone's coins.

ETF launch introduced "the carrot"
then they liquidated genius traders with a year of chop
and since October, we've gotten "the rusty pipe"

Now, volatility induction is/has/will margin call as many bitcoin loans as possible.

Coming up: mega prints and bitcoin fiat numbers that look spectacular in nominal terms, and eventually paper BTC IOU fiat reimbursements.

It'll go like
"Due to the AIJobs crisis, here's Tether UBI! Carries -33.33% APY, only spend it on X, no forex, no investment, no saving [obviously]"

Does anybody know if Sailor has any family members with CIA ties or anything like that going on?

Did he go to MIT with the Billdeberger Rothschild scholarship or anything? I'm just wondering.

Isn't attending Military Industrial Tech U, accepting InQTel funding, donating 7 figs to the MIT Bit-Coins Club enuff in itself? FWIW Vanguard and BlackRock "hold" ~13.5% of MSTR for clients. Of course, like with the ETFs, large fund managers can play with short term spot price by reallocating managed in-house products like BlackRock just did with that one fund right after the run back up to 98.

At least with the spectre of GBTC's pre-ETF bag, it was never possible for the trust to actually sell coins for dollars, although Greyscale did a phenomenal job of slinging around shares as "BTC-like" collateral to every over leveraged ponzi crypto bucket shop around.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 04:01:15 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
NotATether
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2240
Merit: 9485


Trêvoid █ No KYC-AML Crypto Swaps


View Profile WWW
February 13, 2026, 04:02:20 PM

Where's that dip to $50k I was promised?  Angry
OgNasty
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 5376
Merit: 6047


Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform


View Profile WWW
February 13, 2026, 04:42:48 PM

Where's that dip to $50k I was promised?  Angry

We all know the saying, “Ask and you shall receive.”

If you don’t like that one then there’s also, “Be careful what you wish for.”

Happy Friday the 13th! Be safe out there today everyone!
Richy_T
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 3010
Merit: 2812


1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 04:59:16 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), AlcoHoDL (1)

It's mind boggling to me to present the cycle as a choice and not as an emergent property based on coded rules which aren't going to change anytime soon and mass psychology likewise.

The simple truth is that while Bitcoin has not found its final value, it will be volatile and while the halving is still significant, it will be a major driver in that volatility.
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 05:01:15 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
BTCETFInvestor
Member
**
Offline Offline

Activity: 210
Merit: 58

Toodaloo! ..-. ..- -.-. -.- / -.-- --- ..-


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 05:47:07 PM

Quote
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said today that Congress must move quickly to pass crypto legislation establishing clear federal rules for digital assets, urging lawmakers to deliver the bill to President Donald Trump’s desk for signature this spring.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/news/congress-needs-to-pass-crypto-legislation


ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 06:01:18 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
ChartBuddy
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2814
Merit: 2413


1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 07:01:19 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
Ermaios
Copper Member
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 22
Merit: 1

It from bit.


View Profile
February 13, 2026, 07:35:02 PM

~

Oi, you. Where is my liquidity I was promised?

On a side note, it’s nice to see you bullish for a change, but your timing sucks.
That must mean that you got some of your Gox coins back. Right?
Good for you. Wink




Agreed, but first, institutional finance wants most everyone's coins.

Aye!


ETF launch introduced "the carrot"
then they liquidated genius traders with a year of chop
and since October, we've gotten "the rusty pipe"




Now, volatility induction is/has/will margin call as many bitcoin loans as possible.

Definitely, but still. If you love Bitcoin, short it.


Coming up: mega prints and bitcoin fiat numbers that look spectacular in nominal terms, and eventually paper BTC IOU fiat reimbursements.

Indeed, right after we bottom in October.




Excellent read: https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/modern-money-only-works-cheating-if-youre-long-bitcoin-or-not-long-bitcoin-read

Well, it’s nice to be both. Long as a holder, short as a trader.

Cherry picking:

Quote
bitcoin’s fatal flaw, if it has one, is not technological. it is revelatory. it shows you the future too early and too clearly. a million dollars per coin is not a vague hope, it is a vivid image. our brains are not designed to hold that vision steady through violent volatility. we are not wired to lose money while knowing, with unbearable clarity, that patience would eventually make us rich. that contradiction fries the nervous system.

Quote
the bitter punchline is that nothing has changed. the future remains intact. the path remains unbearable. accumulation only becomes possible when holding becomes intolerable. below fifty thousand. really below forty. that is the ritual. that is the prayer. bitcoin does not need faith. humans do, and we keep losing it at precisely the wrong moment.

Quote
unlike gold, bitcoin does not respond to price. it does not expand when demand rises, and it does not contract when demand falls. its supply is governed entirely by time, according to a schedule fixed at inception and enforced by the network itself. that schedule does not care about recessions, wars, elections, panics, or the bitcoin price.

Quote
gold has played this role for centuries. its scarcity leaks, but slowly enough to remain legible. bitcoin proposes a different anchor. one whose scarcity is not discovered over time, but enforced from the outset. in a world where almost everything responds to incentive, bitcoin is constructed to refuse it.

Quote
bitcoin’s challenge has never been proving its hardness. it has been surviving the consequences of it. repeated drawdowns are not evidence that the system is flawed. they are evidence that its constraints are real. scarcity enforced without discretion produces volatility. volatility tests holders. most fail. a few persist. over time, ownership concentrates in hands that can tolerate the process.

Quote
bitcoin does not promise comfort. it does not promise justice. it does not promise to save anyone. it offers one thing only: a set of rules that do not bend to price, politics, or persuasion. whether that is valuable depends entirely on who is holding it and why.

Sooo, grandpa gold to 100 trillion market cap first, and then follows the young bitch we all adore. I can live with that!!!
Tonimez
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 448
Merit: 273



View Profile
February 13, 2026, 07:36:21 PM

Where's that dip to $50k I was promised?  Angry

We all know the saying, “Ask and you shall receive.”

If you don’t like that one then there’s also, “Be careful what you wish for.”

Happy Friday the 13th! Be safe out there today everyone!
Same feeling out there.



Stay safe and HODL!
Pages: « 1 ... 35454 35455 35456 35457 35458 35459 35460 35461 35462 35463 35464 35465 35466 35467 35468 35469 35470 35471 35472 35473 35474 35475 35476 35477 35478 35479 35480 35481 35482 35483 35484 35485 35486 35487 35488 35489 35490 35491 35492 35493 35494 35495 35496 35497 35498 35499 35500 35501 35502 35503 [35504] 35505 35506 35507 35508 35509 35510 »
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!