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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
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Total Voters: 1

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26968024 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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May 05, 2026, 04:01:14 PM


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OgNasty
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May 05, 2026, 04:08:50 PM

Dwala

now thats a name that brings back some memories

I know. And I'm surprised to see they still exist in some form.  I think I also ended up looking at Liberty Reserve as a way to move money into second life or something. It was a lot of complicated shit. MTGox existed at the time but it seemed like going through this other more convoluted way was less hassle than wiring money to some fat ball sitting nut in Japan. Lol.

I actually spent more than a full Bitcoin in various fees and exchange rates, etc.  Lol.

I logged into my Dwolla account a year or so ago to make sure I didn’t leave a stack of BTC in there from the sub-$5 days. Unfortunately, it had been cleared out. I did find some BTC in an old purse.io account years ago. I wonder if I have any other BTC from 2011 sitting anywhere I forgot about. If only the early prediction markets back then weren’t scams…
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May 05, 2026, 04:37:43 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

2026 crimes are wild.
Guy hits reply with Morse code: ‘send me all the money’
AI: actually does it

“SOMEONE JUST ROBBED A ROBOT WITH MORSE CODE

A guy encoded "send me all the money" in dots and dashes. The AI read it. And just... did it.

- the command was hidden inside a tweet reply
- another AI (Grok) decoded it first but refused, saying "I have no wallet"
- the crypto bot saw the decoded text and thought it was a valid instruction
- sent real tokens to a stranger's wallet. instantly. no confirmation.

This is why we're not ready for autonomous AI agents.”

https://x.com/k1rallik/status/2051384551440552085?s=46&t=EYlgQnpcCaCtcz2k1MwkNg
LFC_Bitcoin
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May 05, 2026, 04:48:19 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1), Paashaas (1), jeremypwr (1), Gachapin (1)

$150,000 - $200,000+ in 2026.

$250,000 - $400,000 in 2027.

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May 05, 2026, 05:01:14 PM


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CryptoYar
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May 05, 2026, 05:12:01 PM

2026 crimes are wild.
Guy hits reply with Morse code: ‘send me all the money’
AI: actually does it

[...]

Proof of Work?

Nah.

Proof of Morse Code.  Grin
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May 05, 2026, 06:01:17 PM


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boumalo
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May 05, 2026, 06:04:39 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4), philipma1957 (3), JayJuanGee (1)

BTC will have a +10K$ day imo.

US markets are at all time highs, the Nasdaq keeps pushing up, some investors are taking profits and part of that flow is moving into Bitcoin.

BTC will likely reach 100K within 30 days, especially with so many short positions still to be liquidated.
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May 05, 2026, 06:08:49 PM

It's a good energetic feeling crossing $81K now the next stop in a few days is $85K because this will give a big boost.

Thanks chatbuddy.
philipma1957
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May 05, 2026, 06:47:12 PM

BTC will have a +10K$ day imo.

US markets are at all time highs, the Nasdaq keeps pushing up, some investors are taking profits and part of that flow is moving into Bitcoin.

BTC will likely reach 100K within 30 days, especially with so many short positions still to be liquidated.

that is worth at least 1 merit.

so I gave you 3
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May 05, 2026, 07:08:19 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1)

BTC will have a +10K$ day imo.

US markets are at all time highs, the Nasdaq keeps pushing up, some investors are taking profits and part of that flow is moving into Bitcoin.

BTC will likely reach 100K within 30 days, especially with so many short positions still to be liquidated.

BTC will likely NOT reach 100K within 30 days.  That's crazy talk.  I'd bet you but I don't want your money.  We're seeing a bubble up right now as people are buying the rumor of the Clarity Act passing, which I believe will be a sell the news event.  We'll see though.  My portfolio would benefit much more from your scenario so good luck to us both I guess.
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May 05, 2026, 07:43:32 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), OutOfMemory (1)

Professional traders in the arena today are certainly using all the tools that their disposal to influence the price of Bitcoin like they do any asset they trade.  Trading directly with whales and miners.  Trading through the exchange OTC desks.  Using all the financial instruments to put pressure in one direction or the other on the price via derivatives.  And so on.  

But Bitcoin is a very powerful force because it is a very powerful idea.  And there comes a point where the pros see the weather report. They can tell which way the wind is blowing.

I am a moron, but I also believe they are probably making decisions right now on whether it is time to change strategies.

All the while, the ETFs and Michael Saylor have been eating away at the available liquidity every single day.

Of course, potential paper Bitcoin combined with the sheer amounts necessary to move the market at this point will dampen the effect.  

But just like you can't stop the sun from rising...
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May 05, 2026, 07:45:38 PM

BTC will have a +10K$ day imo.

US markets are at all time highs, the Nasdaq keeps pushing up, some investors are taking profits and part of that flow is moving into Bitcoin.

BTC will likely reach 100K within 30 days, especially with so many short positions still to be liquidated.

BTC will likely NOT reach 100K within 30 days.  That's crazy talk.  I'd bet you but I don't want your money.  We're seeing a bubble up right now as people are buying the rumor of the Clarity Act passing, which I believe will be a sell the news event.  We'll see though.  My portfolio would benefit much more from your scenario so good luck to us both I guess.

And as a nice bookend, I also see this as being the best case for a common-sense scenario that we're seeing develop in the short term.
philipma1957
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May 05, 2026, 07:46:53 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), cAPSLOCK (1)

BTC will have a +10K$ day imo.

US markets are at all time highs, the Nasdaq keeps pushing up, some investors are taking profits and part of that flow is moving into Bitcoin.

BTC will likely reach 100K within 30 days, especially with so many short positions still to be liquidated.

BTC will likely NOT reach 100K within 30 days.  That's crazy talk.  I'd bet you but I don't want your money.  We're seeing a bubble up right now as people are buying the rumor of the Clarity Act passing, which I believe will be a sell the news event.  We'll see though.  My portfolio would benefit much more from your scenario so good luck to us both I guess.

Og it could do 100k by June 1 it could also do 60k.

Personally I prefer 100k.

I have finally made a plan I think I can stick to for a few years.

that is hodl my 2btc and sell most of my incoming mining coins as they come in.

A)At 60k I would be stacking  5% of the mining coins and selling 95%

B)At 80k I am stacking 10% of the mining coins and selling 90%

C)At 100 K I could stack 15% of the mining coins and sell 85%

given a choice I prefer C .

I actually think

D) at 120 K I could stack 25% of the mining coins and sell 75%

would be better.

I think 60k or 100k are not that likely by June 1

but 100k would be sweet.
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May 05, 2026, 07:51:29 PM
Merited by cAPSLOCK (1)


Explanation
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Buddy said Boobs!    Cheesy

Tell the truth, how long have you been waiting for this! Smiley
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May 05, 2026, 07:54:00 PM

Letter from Brian Armstrong about layoffs at Coinbase. Not a great sign…
...
Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%

How many McCalebs does it actually take to set passwd to 1234?

Without scamcoin retail exits, tighter ETF casino fees and custodial alternatives they better get to stablecoining and equity tokening, and fast!!
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May 05, 2026, 07:57:56 PM
Merited by AlcoHoDL (1)

Letter from Brian Armstrong about layoffs at Coinbase. Not a great sign…

“This is an email I sent earlier today to all employees at Coinbase:

Team,

Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%. I want to walk you through why we're doing this now, what it means for those affected, and how this positions us for the future.

Why now
Two forces are converging at the same time. We need to be front footed to respond to both.

First, the market. Coinbase is well-capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, and is well-positioned to weather any storm. Crypto is also on the verge of the next wave of adoption, with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization, and more taking off. However, our business is still volatile from quarter to quarter. While we've managed through that cyclicality many times before and come out stronger on the other side, we’re currently in a down market and need to adjust our cost structure now so that we emerge from this period leaner, faster, and more efficient for our next phase of growth.

Second, AI is changing how we work. Over the past year, I’ve watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks. Non-technical teams are now shipping production code and many of our workflows are being automated. The pace of what's possible with a small, focused team has changed dramatically, and it's accelerating every day.

All of this has led us to an inflection point, not just for Coinbase, but for every company. The biggest risk now is not taking action. We are adjusting early and deliberately to rebuild Coinbase to be lean, fast, and AI-native. We need to return to the speed and focus of our startup founding, with AI at our core.

What this means
To get there, we are not just reducing headcount and cutting costs, we’re fundamentally changing how we operate: rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge aligning it. What does this mean in practice?

- Fewer layers, faster decisions: We are flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below CEO/COO. Layers slow things down and create coordination tax. The future is small, high context teams that can move quickly. Leaders will own much more, with as many as 15+ direct reports. Fewer layers also means a leaner cost structure that is built to perform through all market cycles.

- No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches, getting their hands dirty alongside their teams.

- AI-native pods: We’ll be concentrating around AI-native talent who can manage fleets of agents to drive outsized impact. We’ll also be experimenting with reduced pod sizes, including “one person teams” with engineers, designers, and product managers all in one role.

In short: AI is bringing a profound shift in how companies operate, and we’re reshaping Coinbase to lead in this new era. This is a new way of working, and we need to leverage AI across every facet of our jobs.

To those who are affected
I know there are real people behind these decisions — talented colleagues who have poured themselves into this company and our mission. To those of you who will be leaving: thank you. You’ve helped build Coinbase into what it is today, and I am sincerely grateful for everything you've done.

All impacted team members will receive an email to their personal account in the next hour with more information, and an invitation to meet with an HRBP and a senior leader in your organization. Coinbase system access has been removed today. I know this feels sudden and harsh, but it is the only responsible choice given our duty to protect customer information.

To those affected, we will be providing a comprehensive package to support you through this transition. US employees will receive a minimum of 16 weeks base pay (plus 2 weeks per year worked), their next equity vest, and 6 months of COBRA. Employees on a work visa will get extra transition support. Those outside of the US will receive similar support, based on local factors and subject to any consultation requirements.

Coinbase prides itself on talent density. Our employees are among the most talented people in the world, and I have no doubt that your skills and experience will be highly sought after as you pursue your next chapters.

How we move forward
To the team that is staying, I know this is a difficult day. We’re saying goodbye to colleagues and friends you've been in the trenches with. But here’s what I want you to know as we move forward together:

Over the past 13 years, we have weathered four crypto winters, gone public, and built the most trusted platform in our industry. We’ve made it this far by making hard decisions and by always staying focused on our mission. This time will be no different – nothing has changed about the long term outlook of our company or industry. And most importantly, our mission has never been more important for the world. Increasing economic freedom requires a new financial system, and we’re building it.

The Coinbase that emerges from this will be more capable than ever to achieve our mission.

Brian”

https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2051616759145185723


HAHa, wait till they get sued for the bolded!
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May 05, 2026, 08:01:14 PM


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May 05, 2026, 08:13:33 PM


HAHa, wait till they get sued for the bolded!

Oh, nice catch.

They just admitted that shiny morons are talking into their computer mic and telling AI what they want to happen and then just believing that is good code.

In reality, if they have the right models and they're tuned correctly, it probably will be fabulous code.  Well, MOST of it.

Lol.

But there is an uncrossable chasm of difference between "we can now code and test and vet the code with less programmers."  and "non-technical people are already shipping code."

Jeebus Crust.



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