Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion

[ESG]

I have more questions than answers, perhaps?

-Just to....

You ongoingly assign ridiculous odds to your expectations of bitcoin's price performance and ongoingly flip-flopping along the way. How can the odds go from one extreme to another within a relatively short period of time?   Maybe you struggle with nuance?   I would suggest that the odds of the BTC price going below $60k in the next 7-ish months are probably closer to 50/50^** rather than being merely 5%.


      **

By the way, I have to say 50/50 because I have not yet seen enough information to support any theories that we have yet gotten out of "bear season."

Sorry, you're wrong,
 and you may end up losing bets with this probability of yours,
 and  i'll would say something around 3/97, ..

the closing of the annual candlestick, indicates weakness in buying above 100k,
 and predicts volatility in the first third of 2026,
the price presented its low based on the closing of the 12-month candle,
 and then started the second third looking for the high of the year and plotting the average price of the trend fulfilling part of the predicted volatility.

buyer volume in the region of sixty, was high, continuing with decreasing purchase until the seventy level, possibly, we are in the part that we may be accumulating between 67~76k with the attempt to form for a long-period support, which has been happening for a long time in this region,
 with a lot of fictitious money in this market, an advertisement is necessary for the entry of real money, and or, money from people and or institutions, whose participation has increased more than individuals, and this business of making profits with bitcoin through paper and pencil accounts is saturated, and they will end up doing badly with this manipulation in one way or another.

[WatChe]

-Just to confirm, the chances of
 Bitcoin's price going back below 60k
 in the year 2026 are minimal.
 Something like a 5% chance of that happening.

,Every day, i dont know, is shows on my mind,
 that picture of  an tesla, discharged battery  on forests ....

Why are some things persistent like this....

but, 100k this year is not a news.

btc 60k on sale>>>

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.

I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

[ESG]

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.

I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Nice!
..
....my financelesss are not so good, but whenever I can, I'm buying.
I pay more in P2P and I avoid financing the State as much as possible, since always!

[JayJuanGee]

I have more questions than answers, perhaps?

-Just to....

You ongoingly assign ridiculous odds to your expectations of bitcoin's price performance and ongoingly flip-flopping along the way. How can the odds go from one extreme to another within a relatively short period of time?   Maybe you struggle with nuance?   I would suggest that the odds of the BTC price going below $60k in the next 7-ish months are probably closer to 50/50^** rather than being merely 5%.

      **
By the way, I have to say 50/50 because I have not yet seen enough information to support any theories that we have yet gotten out of "bear season."

Sorry, you're wrong,
 and you may end up losing bets with this probability of yours,
 and  i'll would say something around 3/97, ..

My 50/50 proclamations are not likely to be bettable, even though your 5/95 or updated 3/97 odds would be bettable  - even though I am not going to bet with you since we already went through that waste-of-time process.

[edited out]

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.
I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen, you are just watching with your mouth hanging open.

Waiting and/or buying the dip are not good accumulation practices, especially for anyone who is a low coiner or a no coiner... but of course some guys are traders rather than investors.. so there is that angle.

[welovebit]

I have more questions than answers, perhaps?

-Just to....

You ongoingly assign ridiculous odds to your expectations of bitcoin's price performance and ongoingly flip-flopping along the way. How can the odds go from one extreme to another within a relatively short period of time?   Maybe you struggle with nuance?   I would suggest that the odds of the BTC price going below $60k in the next 7-ish months are probably closer to 50/50^** rather than being merely 5%.

      **
By the way, I have to say 50/50 because I have not yet seen enough information to support any theories that we have yet gotten out of "bear season."

Sorry, you're wrong,
 and you may end up losing bets with this probability of yours,
 and  i'll would say something around 3/97, ..

My 50/50 proclamations are not likely to be bettable, even though your 5/95 or updated 3/97 odds would be bettable  - even though I am not going to bet with you since we already went through that waste-of-time process.

[edited out]

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.
I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen, you are just watching with your mouth hanging open.

Waiting and/or buying the dip are not good accumulation practices, especially for anyone who is a low coiner or a no coiner... but of course some guys are traders rather than investors.. so there is that angle.

My view is also the same now. In 2026, $70K is not coming. Currently, it's a good time to accumulate if anyone wants to.

[ESG]

________X____________

My 50/50 proclamations are not likely to be bettable, even though your 5/95 or updated 3/97 odds would be bettable  - even though I am not going to bet with you since we already went through that waste-of-time process.

yes, i knew this,...

 by now, can i call this an reversed flip-flop pattern?

[WatChe]

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen, you are just watching with your mouth hanging open.

Waiting and/or buying the dip are not good accumulation practices, especially for anyone who is a low coiner or a no coiner... but of course some guys are traders rather than investors.. so there is that angle.

There are equal possibilities of Bitcoin going towards 70k or 100k. In fact no one can predict the price correctly, we can only give our opinion.

Buying the dip has its own benefits specially if you know that price will definalty go up some fine morning.

Nice!
..
....my financelesss are not so good, but whenever I can, I'm buying.
I pay more in P2P and I avoid financing the State as much as possible, since always!

Good to know you have something to buy Bitcoins in this range. Bitcoin will surly cross 100k some day and that will be the day you will cherish.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ESG]

----------

[edited out]

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.
I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen

,

.....

In addition, I feel better about you being normal, because
when we were above 110k, you were bullish,
after bitcoin fell below 70k, you were bearish, even proposing bearish bets...

But now it's okay with you,
so I see.

Nice!
..
....my financelesss are not so good, but whenever I can, I'm buying.
I pay more in P2P and I avoid financing the State as much as possible, since always!

Good to know you have something to buy Bitcoins in this range. Bitcoin will surly cross 100k some day and that will be the day you will cherish.

[AlcoHoDL]

Martinis be stirred,
But James Bond likes them shaken.
Stir 'em, he'll kill you!

What makes a Bitcoin?
Mix two parts red, one part green,
With a pinch of blue.

Saylor is selling?
Honey Badger just don't care,
And neither do we!

He has never left.
He has no reason to post.
He will, in 3 years!

ChartBuddy's on fire.
Looks like Phil took the day off.
We're holding the fort!

Bitcoin can't be tamed.
Stop repeating foolish words.
Meditate some more!

Probabilities.
It's an easy game to play.
Up forever, win!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[philipma1957]

I have more questions than answers, perhaps?

-Just to....

You ongoingly assign ridiculous odds to your expectations of bitcoin's price performance and ongoingly flip-flopping along the way. How can the odds go from one extreme to another within a relatively short period of time?   Maybe you struggle with nuance?   I would suggest that the odds of the BTC price going below $60k in the next 7-ish months are probably closer to 50/50^** rather than being merely 5%.

      **
By the way, I have to say 50/50 because I have not yet seen enough information to support any theories that we have yet gotten out of "bear season."

Sorry, you're wrong,
 and you may end up losing bets with this probability of yours,
 and  i'll would say something around 3/97, ..

My 50/50 proclamations are not likely to be bettable, even though your 5/95 or updated 3/97 odds would be bettable  - even though I am not going to bet with you since we already went through that waste-of-time process.

[edited out]

Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.
I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen, you are just watching with your mouth hanging open.

Waiting and/or buying the dip are not good accumulation practices, especially for anyone who is a low coiner or a no coiner... but of course some guys are traders rather than investors.. so there is that angle.

If I gambled I would take under 60k by new years day 2027
For at any day from today.

Bitstamp any time of the days.

 I would put up 8 and expect 92.

But I don't gamble with members on price of  coins

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[Hueristic]

If I gambled I would take under 60k by new years day 2027

[cAPSLOCK]

If I gambled I would take under 60k by new years day 2027

I said, get my coin's... number... out your dirty mouth!

😁

Meanwhile, Bitcoin will do whatever the hell it wants.

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[ChartBuddy]

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com

[cAPSLOCK]

Our dear Sparkle Fairy can get a little emotional during price swings. The recent price action has her really down, so shes solving the problem the way she knows how, which is watching a chick flick and eating ice cream.

Lucky for her, there's a Fairy Queen with a drive through right down the street.