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May 19, 2026, 06:52:05 PM *
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Question: Is the "bear market" over?
Yes - 20 (51.3%)
No - we need to sweep the low again - 5 (12.8%)
No - we need to set a new low first - 7 (17.9%)
No - other (explain below) - 7 (17.9%)
Total Voters: 39

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26973800 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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May 18, 2026, 02:01:19 AM


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Biodom
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May 18, 2026, 02:11:33 AM

Our dear Sparkle Fairy can get a little emotional during price swings. The recent price action has her really down, so shes solving the problem the way she knows how, which is watching a chick flick and eating ice cream.

Lucky for her, there's a Fairy Queen with a drive through right down the street.





That ice cream cone is huuuge  Grin.
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May 18, 2026, 03:00:12 AM

Our dear Sparkle Fairy can get a little emotional during price swings. The recent price action has her really down, so shes solving the problem the way she knows how, which is watching a chick flick and eating ice cream.

Lucky for her, there's a Fairy Queen with a drive through right down the street.





That ice cream cone is huuuge  Grin.

under 77k
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philipma1957
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May 18, 2026, 03:01:57 AM

buddy and the fairy were too busy getting busy and let this weekend slide happen bigly
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In all fairyness!


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May 18, 2026, 03:23:14 AM
Merited by vapourminer (1)

buddy and the fairy were too busy getting busy and let this weekend slide happen bigly

Hush! You just made her start to chill a box of pink wine!

She came to her senses and just poured it over ice. But she has a big box.
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May 18, 2026, 05:30:02 AM
Merited by ESG (1)

----------
[edited out]
Last time when Bitcoin was under 70k, I wasn't able to accumulate because my finances were busy covering some personal stuff. But this time I am ready to catch the sale.
I think anything under 70k is a sale on Bitcoin.

Under $70k might not happen, and then if sub $70k does not happen
,.....
In addition, I feel better about you being normal, because
when we were above 110k, you were bullish,
after bitcoin fell below 70k, you were bearish, even proposing bearish bets...

But now it's okay with you,
so I see.

I don't claim to know which way the bitcoin price is moving except for maybe having some assessments of probabilities at any point in time in regards to whether we are in a bear market or a bull market, so it seems that at some point, maybe around late January or early February when we had the BTC price dip into the $70ks and even to pass into the $60ks, I came to the conclusion that we were no longer in a bull market..

Therefore if I have an assessment that we are in a bear market rather than a bull market, then the probabilities of down become greater than the probabilities of up.

Sure, I could be wrong about my assessment or I could end up changing my mind, yet generally my assessment in regards to whether we are in a bear market or a bull market will have some influences in regards to how I am framing my assessments.

[edited out]
If I gambled I would take under 60k by new years day 2027
For at any day from today.

Bitstamp any time of the days.
 I would put up 8 and expect 92.
But I don't gamble with members on price of  coins

That seems to mean that you expect 92% odds that under $60k will not be reached before 00:00 January 1, 2027 - most likely referring to UTC time.

With those odds, I would probably take your side of the bet, too.
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May 18, 2026, 06:52:22 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), ESG (1)

[edited out]
If I gambled I would take under 60k by new years day 2027
For at any day from today.

Bitstamp any time of the days.
 I would put up 8 and expect 92.
But I don't gamble with members on price of  coins

That seems to mean that you expect 92% odds that under $60k will not be reached before 00:00 January 1, 2027 - most likely referring to UTC time.

With those odds, I would probably take your side of the bet, too.

Are they really that pessimistic about the future of Bitcoin?
Have they stopped believing or forgotten that two years ago, 60k was the peak?  Roll Eyes

Or is this just a strategy to get better prices on their BTC purchases?  Roll Eyes
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May 18, 2026, 08:26:54 AM

     

Stop please stop don't do this post again and again .....
this is so ridiculous .....
This maybe go up.....
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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May 18, 2026, 12:27:08 PM


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Stop please stop don't do this post again and again .....
this is so ridiculous .....
This maybe go up.....

piss off
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