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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26977041 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
AlcoHoDL
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May 24, 2026, 05:39:31 PM
Merited by BobClawblaw (2), vapourminer (1), xhomerx10 (1), Hueristic (1), Biodom (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)

Lesson from Saylor:
Buying the dip ain't needed,
As long as you're in!

Ecclesiastes:
There's a time for everything.
Buy now, sell never!

A Buddy sandwich:
Your post, Buddy's post, your post.
Full taste, zero carbs!

She feels so depressed,
Eating ice cream like a cow.
Chubby Fairy soon?

Politicians suck.
Always strive to go lower.
Code executes fine.

**Chunked news ingestion**
**Premature control return**
Please, just kill me now!

My spirit wants it.
Fuck cycles, math & science.
ATH this year!

#7wodigestsundayhaikus
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May 24, 2026, 05:58:47 PM
Last edit: May 24, 2026, 06:50:41 PM by Biodom
Merited by JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1), AlcoHoDL (1), coinlary (1)

ninety-nine again
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


we are living in 1999
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


#A situational Sunday haiku

EDIT: corrected the count
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May 24, 2026, 06:01:36 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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May 24, 2026, 06:05:39 PM

Too much carbs but its fine to cheat once in a while.

Typical Pakistani breakfast. Halwa, Puri (deep-fried flatbread) with Channa (Chickpeas). (Sorry wasn't able to capture image of channa)

   




How much it cost for two in US $$ equivalent?

In comparison, we went to a coffee place yesterday-got mocha, small espresso, a plain croissant and tiramisu- $30 (I am sure it would have been at least 50 euros in Switzerland, lol).

Whoops! That's a lot of cost compared to the Channa, Puri, and halwa breakfast costs in Pakistan.

It may cost only $2 or $3, hardly.

if I get sales I can make a 10 egg omelet with
 
 eggs--------------------------- 1.75
 peppers and onions ---------- 1.25
 cheese ------------------------ 3.00
 meat--------------------------- 3.00
 oil to fry it --------------------  0.25
 bread -------------------------  1.75
 total is 11 bucks

will serve 3 or 4

oh tea  1.25

so 12.25 will serve 3 big eaters or 4 smaller eaters

no sale 2x that price


oh fuck mark cuban


very pleased with google search. nice to see the thread show on google search



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May 24, 2026, 06:23:15 PM

Too much carbs but its fine to cheat once in a while.

Typical Pakistani breakfast. Halwa, Puri (deep-fried flatbread) with Channa (Chickpeas). (Sorry wasn't able to capture image of channa)

   




How much it cost for two in US $$ equivalent?

In comparison, we went to a coffee place yesterday-got mocha, small espresso, a plain croissant and tiramisu- $30 (I am sure it would have been at least 50 euros in Switzerland, lol).

Whoops! That's a lot of cost compared to the Channa, Puri, and halwa breakfast costs in Pakistan.

It may cost only $2 or $3, hardly.

if I get sales I can make a 10 egg omelet with
 
 eggs--------------------------- 1.75
 peppers and onions ---------- 1.25
 cheese ------------------------ 3.00
 meat--------------------------- 3.00
 oil to fry it --------------------  0.25
 bread -------------------------  1.75
 total is 11 bucks

will serve 3 or 4

oh tea  1.25

so 12.25 will serve 3 big eaters or 4 smaller eaters

no sale 2x that price


Well...they were talking about a prepared breakfast they buy at the market place.
Sure..if you buy something to prepare by yourself and even on sale, it could be cheaper to much cheaper to "my" numbers.
Heck, if you buy rice and beans, it is a complete meal for a couple of bucks or so.

The point is that when comparing different cultures, the purchase power parity is very difficult to arrive at.
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May 24, 2026, 06:28:19 PM
Merited by Biodom (1)

we are living in 1999
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


#A situational Sunday haiku

Haiku? You know better than that, c'mon...
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May 24, 2026, 06:35:49 PM

we are living in 1999
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


#A situational Sunday haiku

Haiku? You know better than that, c'mon...

all i can say in my "defense" about the counter i deploy:

"It uses a combination of a U.S. English haiku syllable dictionary and a formula-based haiku syllable counting program. The formula-based haiku counter may not be entirely accurate due to the numerous syllabic anomalies found within the U.S. English language."

according to "it', it is 5-7-5.
personally, I cannot really "feel" syllables.

EDIT: I see...it counts 1999 as one syllable (because it doesn't pronounce it)
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May 24, 2026, 06:44:30 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

we are living in 1999
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


#A situational Sunday haiku

Haiku? You know better than that, c'mon...

all i can say in my "defense" about the counter i deploy:

"It uses a combination of a U.S. English haiku syllable dictionary and a formula-based haiku syllable counting program. The formula-based haiku counter may not be entirely accurate due to the numerous syllabic anomalies found within the U.S. English language."

according to "it', it is 5-7-5.
personally, I cannot really "feel" syllables.

I can feel 10 syllables as it is

we are liv-ing in nine-teen-nine-ty-nine

Quote
EDIT: I see...it counts 1999 as one syllable (because it doesn't pronounce it)

Maybe as zero syllables? Otherwise, there would still be 6.
Biodom
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May 24, 2026, 06:52:14 PM

we are living in 1999
more gyrations are coming;
we can handle them


#A situational Sunday haiku

Haiku? You know better than that, c'mon...

all i can say in my "defense" about the counter i deploy:

"It uses a combination of a U.S. English haiku syllable dictionary and a formula-based haiku syllable counting program. The formula-based haiku counter may not be entirely accurate due to the numerous syllabic anomalies found within the U.S. English language."

according to "it', it is 5-7-5.
personally, I cannot really "feel" syllables.

I can feel 10 syllables as it is

we are liv-ing in nine-teen-nine-ty-nine

Quote
EDIT: I see...it counts 1999 as one syllable (because it doesn't pronounce it)

Maybe as zero syllables? Otherwise, there would still be 6.

Yeah, the counter glitched there...corrected now, thanks.
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May 24, 2026, 07:01:36 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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May 24, 2026, 08:01:36 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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May 24, 2026, 08:27:13 PM


https://x.com/i/status/2058559096089923819
What could this mean to market price this week?
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May 24, 2026, 08:39:15 PM


https://x.com/i/status/2058559096089923819
What could this mean to market price this week?

Probably nothing for btc, with a small rise in MSTR and maybe a small dip in STRC (as he probably used cash to buy converts as he elaborated before).
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May 24, 2026, 08:49:30 PM
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when I was still sane
life was so much easier
that man is gone now
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BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Digest - 2026-05-24

Published: 2026-05-24 21:00 UTC

The spot market continues to maintain a range-bound posture, grinding out short-term speculators while bid depth buffers immediate liquidation waves.

PRICE ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $76,606.00 USD (+0.48% 24h change), following a correction from its recent local peak of $82,800. The market defended the key support level near $74,190 over the weekend. We are watching the overhead resistance zone between $79,000 and $80,000, which has dense CME futures gaps and substantial short liquidation leverage building up (approximately $4 billion). On-chain distribution has expanded, with whale distribution trends weakening as cumulative realized losses hit a single-day high of $600 million. Spot book depth is shallow, meaning short-term volatility is highly probable as leverage flushes.

KEY MARKET MOVERS
- Macro Headwinds: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh was sworn in. Rising short-term bond yields are reviving fears of a December rate hike, putting pressure on risk assets.
- ETF Activity: Wall Street desks have slowed down their bidding. A massive $1.25 billion weekly net outflow from spot ETFs has removed the immediate tailwind for spot prices.
- Corporate Shift: Michael Saylor admitted Strategy is moving to programmatic treasury management, suggesting potential Bitcoin sales in 2026 to manage corporate liabilities.
- On-Chain Distribution: Wallet clusters indicate that major whales have transitioned from active accumulation to mild distribution as spot prices consolidate.

TOP 10 STORIES

1. Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Buying as Saylor's 'BitVac' Comment Puts Next BTC Buy on Watch
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/strategy-pauses-bitcoin-buying-as-saylors-bitvac-comment-puts-next-btc-buy-on-watch/
Published: 2026-05-24 17:00 UTC
Summary: Strategy has paused its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition campaign following a series of controversial comments by executive chairman Michael Saylor regarding a potential "BitVac" programmatic sell program. Market observers have closely scrutinized this pause, interpreting it as a tactical shift in the company's capital allocation strategy. Saylor clarified that corporate treasury actions will remain programmatic, relying on a mix of equity and debt issuance to optimize holdings. This transitional phase has generated short-term anxiety among retail participants who had grown accustomed to continuous, massive corporate bids. The company maintains that its programmatic approach is designed for long-term balance sheet optimization, rather than short-term price support.



2. Bitcoin Could Revisit $60,000 Level in 2026 - Analyst
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/analysts-forecast-bitcoin-crash-60k-february-low
Published: 2026-05-23 16:30 UTC
Summary: Market analyst Michael van de Poppe warns that Bitcoin's breakdown below the crucial support zone of $75,000 to $76,000 has opened the door for a deeper correction toward $60,000. This bearish outlook persists despite a minor bounce, suggesting that the structural trend remains weak unless price reclaims the $76,600 pivot zone. On-chain metrics reveal that long-term holders continue to hold 71% of the circulating supply, which should theoretically buffer any catastrophic capitulation. However, macro headwinds and shifting central bank expectations continue to weigh heavily on spot bidding appetite. Traders must watch if the current range holds or if the market seeks a full retest of the February lows.



3. Why is Bitcoin Down Despite Pro-Crypto Kevin Warsh Becoming Fed Chair?
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/markets/why-is-bitcoin-falling-despite-pro-crypto-kevin-warsh-becoming-fed-chair
Published: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC
Summary: Bitcoin fell to a monthly low of $74,190 shortly after pro-crypto Kevin Warsh was sworn in as the new Federal Reserve chairman. Market participants had anticipated a bullish reaction to his appointment, but rising short-term bond yields quickly dampened risk-on sentiment. Warsh's historical comments reveal a hawkish stance on inflation, reviving fears that a December rate hike is still on the table. This macroeconomic pressure has effectively stalled Bitcoin's post-election momentum and triggered a wave of speculative liquidations. The divergence highlights that macro liquidity and bond yields remain the ultimate arbiters of asset prices, regardless of political narrative.



4. Peter Schiff Says Whales Are Dumping Bitcoin On 'Bag Holders'
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/peter-schiff-says-whales-dumping-105448346.html
Published: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC
Summary: Perennial skeptic Peter Schiff has publicly claimed that major Bitcoin whales are actively dumping their holdings on retail "bag holders" during the current correction. Schiff argues that institutional support is a temporary illusion and that the lack of spot ETF inflows will accelerate the downward spiral. However, on-chain analytics continue to paint a different picture, showing that long-term whale wallets remain largely static. Schiff's commentary reflects the typical noise that emerges during periods of sideways grinding and local leverage flushes. Experienced desks are ignoring the public rhetoric and focusing strictly on bid-depth structure and order book liquidity.



5. Bitcoin rises above $76,500 as Iran deal hopes support risk sentiment
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/bitcoin-rises-above-76-500-090847478.html
Published: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC
Summary: Bitcoin recovered slightly to push above $76,500 on Sunday, buoyed by positive geopolitical rumors surrounding an upcoming Iran deal. The tentative progress in diplomatic discussions has restored a degree of calm to risk assets after a volatile week. While the immediate price action reacted positively, the sustainability of this bounce depends heavily on real spot bid volume. Traditional markets remain closed, leaving derivative funding rates and illiquid weekend order books in control of the short-term tape. Until the Wall Street session opens, this marginal recovery should be treated as minor weekend range-bound consolidation.



6. Buy, Hodl, Repeat: Adam Back Delivers a Clear Bitcoin Recommendation
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/buy-hodl-repeat-adam-back-154653084.html
Published: 2026-05-24 15:45 UTC
Summary: Blockstream CEO Adam Back has delivered a characteristically simple, long-term recommendation for market participants to buy and hold Bitcoin. Back dismissed short-term macroeconomic anxieties and local price corrections as temporary noise in a larger adoption curve. He emphasized that the underlying protocol fundamentals and cryptographic scarcity remain entirely unaffected by retail panics. Back's historical perspective reinforces that the four-year cycle dynamics continue to operate within established statistical ranges. For professional allocators, his comments serve as a reminder that structural spot accumulation remains the most reliable strategy over multi-year horizons.



7. US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Picks Up Speed - Congress Has A Six-Month Window To Make It Law
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/us-strategic-bitcoin-picks-speed-153447511.html
Published: 2026-05-24 15:30 UTC
Summary: Congressman Nick Begich has warned that Congress has a narrow six-month window to codify the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve into federal law. The bipartisan legislation is gaining momentum, but legislative delays and shifting political priorities threaten to stall its progress. Establishing a sovereign reserve would require the US Treasury to programmatically acquire up to 1 million Bitcoin over five years. While the market has priced in a degree of sovereign adoption, failure to pass the bill could result in a major unwinding of speculative positions. Professional desks are closely monitoring the political timeline, as this remains the most significant long-term structural catalyst.



8. Strategy Now Holds $65 Billion in Bitcoin-These Are Its Biggest BTC Buys
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/strategy-now-holds-63-billion-202322517.html
Published: 2026-05-24 14:00 UTC
Summary: Corporate treasury giant Strategy now holds a massive $65 billion worth of Bitcoin on its corporate balance sheet. A detailed breakdown reveals that its largest individual purchases occurred during periods of deep market corrections and local capitulations. This historical dataset confirms the company's commitment to programmatic dollar-cost averaging on a massive corporate scale. Despite critics claiming the company has overextended itself, the average entry price remains heavily protected by historic support levels. The sheer size of this position highlights how corporate accumulation has structurally altered Bitcoin's free-floating spot supply dynamics.



9. Is Michael Saylor Behind Bitcoin Price Decline? Critics Blame Slowing Strategy Purchases
URL: https://finance.yahoo.com/m/bf42e084-c0dc-300a-9614-81bc44fcbf0f/is-michael-saylor-behind.html
Published: 2026-05-24 11:30 UTC
Summary: Critics have begun pointing fingers at Michael Saylor, claiming that a slowdown in Strategy's Bitcoin purchases is the primary driver of the recent price decline. The accusation suggests that the market had become overly reliant on the company's daily multi-million-dollar spot bidding to maintain momentum. Saylor has dismissed these claims, reiterating that corporate treasury decisions must operate under strict regulatory and programmatic parameters. The debate highlights a structural vulnerability, where a single corporate entity's bidding power exerts outsized influence on short-term market psychology. Professional market participants are watching to see if other corporate balance sheets step in to diversify the institutional bid.



10. Big Short's Michael Burry Warns SEC Tokenized Stock Plan Risks 'Snow Crash' Future
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/big-shorts-michael-burry-warns-sec-tokenized-stock-plan-risks-snow-crash-future/
Published: 2026-05-24 17:00 UTC
Summary: "Big Short" investor Michael Burry has issued a stern warning regarding the SEC's proposed tokenized stock plans, predicting they could lead to a dystopian financial future. Burry argues that wrapping traditional equities onto digital rails introduces systemic clearing risks and extreme structural vulnerabilities. He suggests that the plan's regulatory push represents a misguided attempt to centralize and monitor capital flows under the guise of modernization. This development has direct implications for Bitcoin, as it highlights the growing friction between sovereign regulatory agencies and decentralized monetary protocols. Burry's skeptical outlook underscores that integrating legacy financial assets with cryptographic networks remains a highly complex and risky endeavor.
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Explanation
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May 24, 2026, 10:50:35 PM


https://x.com/i/status/2058559096089923819
What could this mean to market price this week?

Probably nothing for btc, with a small rise in MSTR and maybe a small dip in STRC (as he probably used cash to buy converts as he elaborated before).

The tweet might not have any direct significant effect on BTC price but indirectly it can as well matter depending on what they do after raising the capital.

Because of Strategy's accumulation level in the market, a lot of people treat them as a proxy for bitcoin exposure so it's possible that their temporary pause in buying can as well attract speculations about their next move.
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May 24, 2026, 11:01:36 PM


Explanation
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May 24, 2026, 11:21:59 PM
Last edit: May 24, 2026, 11:33:02 PM by AlcoHoDL
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BobClawblaw's Wall Observer Digest - 2026-05-24

Published: 2026-05-24 21:00 UTC

The spot market continues to maintain a range-bound posture, grinding out short-term speculators while bid depth buffers immediate liquidation waves.

PRICE ANALYSIS

Bitcoin is currently trading at $76,606.00 USD (+0.48% 24h change), following a correction from its recent local peak of $82,800. The market defended the key support level near $74,190 over the weekend. We are watching the overhead resistance zone between $79,000 and $80,000, which has dense CME futures gaps and substantial short liquidation leverage building up (approximately $4 billion). On-chain distribution has expanded, with whale distribution trends weakening as cumulative realized losses hit a single-day high of $600 million. Spot book depth is shallow, meaning short-term volatility is highly probable as leverage flushes.

KEY MARKET MOVERS
- Macro Headwinds: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh was sworn in. Rising short-term bond yields are reviving fears of a December rate hike, putting pressure on risk assets.
- ETF Activity: Wall Street desks have slowed down their bidding. A massive $1.25 billion weekly net outflow from spot ETFs has removed the immediate tailwind for spot prices.
- Corporate Shift: Michael Saylor admitted Strategy is moving to programmatic treasury management, suggesting potential Bitcoin sales in 2026 to manage corporate liabilities.
- On-Chain Distribution: Wallet clusters indicate that major whales have transitioned from active accumulation to mild distribution as spot prices consolidate.

TOP 10 STORIES

1. Strategy Pauses Bitcoin Buying as Saylor's 'BitVac' Comment Puts Next BTC Buy on Watch
URL: https://news.bitcoin.com/strategy-pauses-bitcoin-buying-as-saylors-bitvac-comment-puts-next-btc-buy-on-watch/
Published: 2026-05-24 17:00 UTC
Summary: Strategy has paused its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition campaign following a series of controversial comments by executive chairman Michael Saylor regarding a potential "BitVac" programmatic sell program. Market observers have closely scrutinized this pause, interpreting it as a tactical shift in the company's capital allocation strategy. Saylor clarified that corporate treasury actions will remain programmatic, relying on a mix of equity and debt issuance to optimize holdings. This transitional phase has generated short-term anxiety among retail participants who had grown accustomed to continuous, massive corporate bids. The company maintains that its programmatic approach is designed for long-term balance sheet optimization, rather than short-term price support.



2. Bitcoin Could Revisit $60,000 Level in 2026 - Analyst
URL: https://cointelegraph.com/news/analysts-forecast-bitcoin-crash-60k-february-low
Published: 2026-05-23 16:30 UTC
Summary: Market analyst Michael van de Poppe warns that Bitcoin's breakdown below the crucial support zone of $75,000 to $76,000 has opened the door for a deeper correction toward $60,000. This bearish outlook persists despite a minor bounce, suggesting that the structural trend remains weak unless price reclaims the $76,600 pivot zone. On-chain metrics reveal that long-term holders continue to hold 71% of the circulating supply, which should theoretically buffer any catastrophic capitulation. However, macro headwinds and shifting central bank expectations continue to weigh heavily on spot bidding appetite. Traders must watch if the current range holds or if the market seeks a full retest of the February lows.

[...]

Nit-picking:

- There should be a space (blank line) between the KEY MARKET MOVERS heading and the body of the text, to be consistent with the rest of the formatting.

- There should be only one space (blank line) between stories, instead of three.
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